Back OVER 2,5 goals
Thun plays at home very offensive with 67% of matches this season ending above 2,5g. First match against Servette ended 3:0. Servette on the other side will need to win in Thun against the second last team if they want to avoid staying on the relegation spot at the end of the season. Therefore I also expect them to be aggressive and to chase an away win. They also played quite decent against the league leader Grasshoppers last week and deserved more then the defeat they got.
The tip is based on statistical output of a model which includes the result of both teams from the past seasons, not just the current one. I select only outputs from the model if the value I see based on historic results is greater then 10%. I manually adjust the model in case a team shows a totally different performance currently then in the previous season.