Siena-Lazio

1  

3.19

Tipster's original odds
Tipster's bookmaker

No data  

Current odds at
Win Final result
19.14 Return
19.14 - 6 = 13.14 Profit

Siena to win against Lazio in ordinary time at odds 3.19

Published

likeyoulikeyou  
0.82 %Yield 137.74Profit
  • Win rate in competition 50.00 %
  • Last settled tips
  • Tips in competition 40
  • Yield in competition 6.27 %

SEASON FORM<br />
- Siena have 24 points after 24 matches and are standing at 12th in the table (win 6, draw 6, lose 12).<br />
- Lazio have 44 points after 24 matches and are the third-runner in the table (win 13, draw 5, lose 6).<br />
- Siena have weak attack but normal defense.<br />
- Lazio have both normal attack and defense.<br />
- Probability: 25% - 23% - 52%<br />
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SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)<br />
- Siena win 5, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 12 matches at home.<br />
- Lazio win 4, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 11 matches at away.<br />
- Probability: 40% - 26% - 34%<br />
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RECENT FORM<br />
- Siena win 2, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.<br />
- Lazio win 1, draw 2, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.<br />
- Probability: 40% - 30% - 30%<br />
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RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)<br />
- Siena win 2, draw 0, lose 3 in their last 5 matches at home.<br />
- Lazio win 1, draw 3, lose 1 in their last 5 matches at away.<br />
- Probability: 30% - 30% - 40%<br />
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HEAD 2 HEAD FORM<br />
- Siena win 3, draw 5, lose 3 in their last 11 head-2-head matches.<br />
- Lazio win 3, draw 5, lose 3 in their last 11 head-2-head matches.<br />
- Probability: 28% - 45% - 27%<br />
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HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)<br />
- Siena win 3, draw 2, lose 0 in their last 5 head-2-head matches at home.<br />
- Lazio win 0, draw 2, lose 3 in their last 5 head-2-head matches at away.<br />
- Probability: 60% - 40% - 0%<br />
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FINAL PROBABILITY<br />
- Siena have 37% of chance to win.<br />
- Lazio have 31% of chance to win.<br />
- There's 32% of chance it will be a draw match.<br />
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BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS<br />
- Pinnacle Sports says Siena have 31% of chance to win with odds 3.19.<br />
- Pinnacle Sports says Lazio have 39% of chance to win with odds 2.54.<br />
- Ladbrokes says there's 31% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.2.<br />
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CONCLUSION<br />
- I bet on Siena to win for the following reasons:<br />
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+ Siena's season form at home is good as they won 42% of total home matches (5/12).<br />
+ Siena's recent form is good as they won 40% of total matches (2/5).<br />
+ Siena's recent form at home is good as they won 40% of total home matches (2/5).<br />
+ Siena's head-2-head form at home is very good as they won 60% of total head-2-head home matches (3/5).<br />
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 37% for Siena to win but Pinnacle Sports says it's only 31% for this outcome.<br />
+ Siena's home advantage.<br />
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-Betting on Siena to win at the odds 3.19 @ Pinnacle Sports.

likeyoulikeyou has a stake of 6/10 in winning this bet.

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