Siena-Lazio

Stake placed: 6 / 10

Final result: Return: 19.14 | Profit: (19.14 - 6) = 13.14

Statistics for likeyoulikeyou

 

This league

40 Tips

+6.27 % Yield

Total

2502 Tips

+0.94 % Yield

Siena to win at the odds 3.19 @ Pinnacle Sports.

SEASON FORM
- Siena have 24 points after 24 matches and are standing at 12th in the table (win 6, draw 6, lose 12).
- Lazio have 44 points after 24 matches and are the third-runner in the table (win 13, draw 5, lose 6).
- Siena have weak attack but normal defense.
- Lazio have both normal attack and defense.
- Probability: 25% - 23% - 52%



SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Siena win 5, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 12 matches at home.
- Lazio win 4, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 11 matches at away.
- Probability: 40% - 26% - 34%



RECENT FORM
- Siena win 2, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.
- Lazio win 1, draw 2, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 40% - 30% - 30%



RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Siena win 2, draw 0, lose 3 in their last 5 matches at home.
- Lazio win 1, draw 3, lose 1 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 30% - 30% - 40%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Siena win 3, draw 5, lose 3 in their last 11 head-2-head matches.
- Lazio win 3, draw 5, lose 3 in their last 11 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 28% - 45% - 27%



HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Siena win 3, draw 2, lose 0 in their last 5 head-2-head matches at home.
- Lazio win 0, draw 2, lose 3 in their last 5 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 60% - 40% - 0%



FINAL PROBABILITY
- Siena have 37% of chance to win.
- Lazio have 31% of chance to win.
- There's 32% of chance it will be a draw match.



BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- Pinnacle Sports says Siena have 31% of chance to win with odds 3.19.
- Pinnacle Sports says Lazio have 39% of chance to win with odds 2.54.
- Ladbrokes says there's 31% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.2.



CONCLUSION
- I bet on Siena to win for the following reasons:

+ Siena's season form at home is good as they won 42% of total home matches (5/12).
+ Siena's recent form is good as they won 40% of total matches (2/5).
+ Siena's recent form at home is good as they won 40% of total home matches (2/5).
+ Siena's head-2-head form at home is very good as they won 60% of total head-2-head home matches (3/5).
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 37% for Siena to win but Pinnacle Sports says it's only 31% for this outcome.
+ Siena's home advantage.

-Betting on Siena to win at the odds 3.19 @ Pinnacle Sports.