Siena - Lazio
| Date | Match | Selection | Odds | Stake | Bookmaker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
18-02-2013, 20:45 | Siena - Lazio League: Serie A, Italy |
Home | 3.19 | 6 |  |
 |
Find more betting data on bettingexpert clash: Siena vs. Lazio |
Posted by likeyoulikeyou (Guru Tipster: 5701 BE Points)
| This league | Last 6 months | Total stats | Subscribe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bets: 33 Yield: 16.6% |
Bets: 1043 Yield: 11.2% |
Bets: 1043 Yield: 11.2% |
|
SIENA TO WIN AT THE ODDS 3.19 @ PINNACLE SPORTS.
Final result: 3 - 0Profit: 19.14 - 6 = 13.14
SEASON FORM
- Siena have 24 points after 24 matches and are standing at 12th in the table (win 6, draw 6, lose 12).
- Lazio have 44 points after 24 matches and are the third-runner in the table (win 13, draw 5, lose 6).
- Siena have weak attack but normal defense.
- Lazio have both normal attack and defense.
- Probability: 25% - 23% - 52%
SEASON FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Siena win 5, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 12 matches at home.
- Lazio win 4, draw 3, lose 4 in their last 11 matches at away.
- Probability: 40% - 26% - 34%
RECENT FORM
- Siena win 2, draw 1, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.
- Lazio win 1, draw 2, lose 2 in their last 5 matches.
- Probability: 40% - 30% - 30%
RECENT FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Siena win 2, draw 0, lose 3 in their last 5 matches at home.
- Lazio win 1, draw 3, lose 1 in their last 5 matches at away.
- Probability: 30% - 30% - 40%
HEAD 2 HEAD FORM
- Siena win 3, draw 5, lose 3 in their last 11 head-2-head matches.
- Lazio win 3, draw 5, lose 3 in their last 11 head-2-head matches.
- Probability: 28% - 45% - 27%
HEAD 2 HEAD FORM (HOME-AWAY)
- Siena win 3, draw 2, lose 0 in their last 5 head-2-head matches at home.
- Lazio win 0, draw 2, lose 3 in their last 5 head-2-head matches at away.
- Probability: 60% - 40% - 0%
FINAL PROBABILITY
- Siena have 37% of chance to win.
- Lazio have 31% of chance to win.
- There's 32% of chance it will be a draw match.
BEST BOOKIE'S ODDS
- Pinnacle Sports says Siena have 31% of chance to win with odds 3.19.
- Pinnacle Sports says Lazio have 39% of chance to win with odds 2.54.
- Ladbrokes says there's 31% of chance it will be a draw match with odds 3.2.
CONCLUSION
- I bet on Siena to win for the following reasons:
+ Siena's season form at home is good as they won 42% of total home matches (5/12).
+ Siena's recent form is good as they won 40% of total matches (2/5).
+ Siena's recent form at home is good as they won 40% of total home matches (2/5).
+ Siena's head-2-head form at home is very good as they won 60% of total head-2-head home matches (3/5).
+ This is value bet as I expect it's 37% for Siena to win but Pinnacle Sports says it's only 31% for this outcome.
+ Siena's home advantage.
-Betting on Siena to win at the odds 3.19 @ Pinnacle Sports.
2
Posted on: 17.02.2013, 01.51 CET (Viewed: 1002 times)
Match starts on: February 18, 2013
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Siena have often taken Lazio by surprise and it may be a repeat of that on Monday with Ledesma suspended, and both Klose and Mauri injured for the away side. It has been the longest stretch of winless games for Lazio under Petkovic. I think they might edge this game though with both Floccari and Kozak set to line up alongside each other. 1 win in the last 8 visits at Siena for Lazio.
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Even though it's not a big competition, you forgot to mention (or at least I didn't see) Lazio are playing Gladbach in EL on Thursday; I actually have huge sum of money on this game and Dijon tonight. I agree with your bet. Good luck!:)