Ajax will not fail again
In the Dutch Eredivisie, Ajax are struggling to keep up with PSV at the top of the table. Their rivals are currently six points ahead, but with one more game played, and Ajax simply cannot afford to lose points today. They are simply a much better team than Waalwijk, and everything but a clear victory is unacceptable.
Away from home, Ajax are 5-5-1, with 29 goals scored, e.g. almost three goals per match. However they concede a lot of goals, but Waalwijk are weak, having scored only 14 times in 12 home matches and 25 times in 22 matches overall.
At home Waalwijk are 4-4-4, but their last win at home was at the 8th of december. They haven't even scored in the last three home games, while Ajax are 8-2-1 in their last 11 league matches.
Ajax were unlucky to get only a draw againts Roda last weekend, and they are doomed to win today, if they want to win another championship. This draw maybe gave us these odds, which are a little higher than what you'd usually expect in a game like this.
When we look at the games the teams in between, Ajax are completely sovereign: In the last ten games, the result is nine wins and and a draw, the goalscore being 34-8.
Well, Waalwijk are three points above the relegation play-off zone, but today I believe there is not much they can do. High stakes are recommended. Good luck!