Semi-finals to win against Spain - stage of elimination in ordinary time at odds 4.00
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Today we have semi finals on the schedule for Eurobasket 2013 and it will be interesting to see how will things develop in late phase of this really interesting and unpredictable tournament. I have decide to get interest in really difficult task to pick my winner. We have only 8 teams left with almost equal chances for title. Those are Spain,Serbia,Slovenia and France are in the top draw. In the bottom draw are Croatia,Ukraine,Lithuania and Italy.
Spain was calculating with their position in previous round and that were bad news for Serbia because they will face each other in this quarterfinals. Night before, Serbia won against France and they were hoping that Spain will beat Italy to secure third place. But that did not happen. Spain lost and they finished on 4th place in their group at the second stage of the tournament .Obviously Spain team believes that they will have more comfort in game against Serbia rather than playing against very unpredictable team of Lithuania. And that is frankly true, i really cant see young team of Serbia going past them, even though they had best plays against superior teams. They are too young and inexperienced for the top.But they showed great potential and they have future. France is also team that i dont rate too much. it is clear that they are not competitive and without balance. They dont act like a team and they have coach with very questionable approach with his players. Slovenia are host team and nobody knows how much they can go further. They can beat anybody but they are overpriced by the bookies.Also Ukraine and Italy are good teams but clearly average if we compare them with rest. So it leaves us with 3 options. i choose Croatia and Lithuania from bottom draw to win this. Croatia are playing great basketball after many years and they can make their way to the finals. They are strong favorite against Ukraine and if they past that big test, everything is possible for them. Lithuania is my top pick. Even though they did have some disappointing results in past years they have decent chance in this final stage. They are playing better and better as tournament goes on. They are team that is highly unpredictable, and they are surely worst team you can face with in this stage of tournament. Those are my two picks.
I have another play for today . This Spain team doesnt give me any confidence like some previous generations of this nation. They play also with great pace and speed but it is easy to that they dont have great shooter besides Fernandez in their team and i cant help the feeling that they are missing another leader besides Gasol to score crucial points in match. They act clever skipping Lithuania in previous round and they will probably beat Serbia today, but main question remains, do they have enough quality to win another title? I am afraid not. William Hill is offering some generous odds on their stage of elimination. I have noticed that they are only 1.67 to reach the finals and 3 to win it. i will stake 3 units on defeat in finals and 4 more units that they will leave competition in semifinals.
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