Under 2.5 goals @ 2.32
This is exclusively a system bet so please leave well alone if you are not interested in that sort of betting.
Would I take this bet beyond what the systemic stats dictate? Definitely no, primarily as Genk are 2nd top scorers in the league and going at over 2.00 goals per game.
Have ever if someone put a gun to my head and told me that I must convince person X that they should bet on the unders I would point out the following:
1. Yes Genk have been scoring for fun in general but taking out their 4-1 opening day mauling they gave Leuven the scoring rate drops to 1.33 goals per game.
2. The two 2012 HTH's were both 1-1 draws which obviously would have bought this bet at home. Both games also went in at remarkably similar odds to this one.
3. Beveren have conceded 6 in 4 home games this season. However 5 of these were against league big boys Anderlecht and Bruges.
4. I took Beveren on a couple of weeks ago against Bruges with the same bet and was licking my lips to collect my winnings when Beveren scored a last kick of the game goal to make it 2-1. Us system monkeys like a statistic and I believe the odds may be in my favour for a bit of luck,
Oh who am I kidding...