# MartinEastwood

Member since 28/11/2012 · Location Great Britain · Rank BE Administrator · Followers 0

Editor of www.pena.lt/y - a website about the statistical and tactical analysis of football

## Latest posts

1. Apr 27th, 2013

## How Much Does Luck Affect Football Results?

How much does luck impact the result of a football match and how much does the result come down to talent? Today on the blog Martin Eastwood introduces us to the work of Tom Tango and how it can be applied to football to determine over the course of a season how much of a team's performance is due to luck and how much is due to skill. One of the more intriguing aspects of football is the role of luck, or random chance. With football being such a low scoring game it instinctively feels that lu...

2. Apr 24th, 2013

## What Is A Meaningful Sample Size?

How much data do you need in order to make accurate predictions? What is a meaningful sample size when conducting your betting analysis? Today on the blog Martin Eastwood discusses how much data is enough. Imagine you have developed a new betting system and you want to know whether it is successful or not - how long do you need to test it for? 10 games, 100 games, 1000 games or even longer? What if you have been looking through sports data to try and find an edge and you think you have spott...

3. Jan 17th, 2013

## Applying Pythagorean Expectation To The Premier League

How can we apply Pythagorean Expectation to football? Today on the blog Martin Eastwood takes a look at the current Premier League campaign and which clubs are performing above or under expectations. The Pythagorean Expectation (below) is an equation originating from baseball to estimate how many games a baseball team could be expected to win based on the number of runs they score and concede. It was originally created by Bill James and was named after Pythagoras' theorem relating the sides o...

4. Dec 15th, 2012

## What Has Caused Dimitar Berbatov’s Goal Drought?

Why is Dimitar Berbatov struggling to score? Today on the blog, Martin Eastwood takes a closer look at the Fulham forward's recent scoring drought. Having spent the majority of his final season at Manchester United watching from the sidelines, Dimitar Berbatov signed for Fulham on the final day of this summer's transfer window for an estimated fee of around £4 million. Under the guidance of Martin Jol, Berbatov has since undergone something of a career revival at Craven Cottage, makin...

5. Nov 28th, 2012

## Andre Villas-Boas vs Harry Redknapp

How does Andre Villas-Boas early form as manager of Tottenham compare with the final year of Harry Redknapp at the helm? Today on the blog Martin Eastwood takes a closer look. Since taking over as manager of Tottenham Hotspur, André Villas-Boas has been trapped in former Spurs manager Harry Redknapp’s shadow. Every tactical decision or team selection Villas-Boas makes is seemingly compared with Redknapp’s previous achievements. And after Tottenham’s apparent slow star...