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El Clasico defeat for Madrid would spell Real disaster for La Liga hopes


On Sunday, the biggest rivalry of La Liga meets for the second time this season, as Barcelona travels to Santiago Bernabéu to take on Real Madrid. The second El Clasico of the season can make or break either teams’ chances in the La Liga table—but how important is it to win? looks into how past El Clasicos have influenced the final positions in La Liga.

El Clasico defeat for Madrid would spell Real disaster for La Liga hopes
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Madrid hasn't won La Liga when Barca takes El Clasico

If Barcelona manages to take the win on Sunday, history points to trouble for Real Madrid’s La Liga chances. Not since the 1996/1997 season has Real Madrid won La Liga when Barcelona took home the 3 points in the last El Clasico of the season.

With only 3 points behind in the table, Barcelona surely hopes this trend will hold with a victory on Sunday. A win is crucial at this point, as Real Madrid is sitting at the top with 75 points already, while only having played 31 games compared to the rest of the leagues 32—this is because of Real’s postponed game with 10th placed Celta Vigo back in February. 

80% of matches end in 2-1

For those who have placed wagers on sports matches in the past, they’ll agree that a correct score bet will keep them at the edge of their seats.

Considering the star players on either side of the pitch at El Clasico, goals are expected to occur. In fact, the final El Clasico of the La Liga season has not ended in a bore draw in almost 30 years (April, 1989).

If a correct score bet is tempting, then the data is pointing to a final score of 2-1. In the past 10 years of the final La Liga El Clasico fixtures, 4 out of 5 have ended with this result. Although the actual winning team fluctuates, the score trend holds. If bookmakers have anything to say about it, then Real Madrid is favourite, with Paddy Power offering shorter odds on Madrid to end with 2-1 than Barcelona.  

Get Madrid to win at 10/1 with Paddy Power

Balanced Bench: Bale and Neymar

Both the Spanish giants may be missing key players on Sunday. Due to a leg injury, Real Madrid’s Gareth Bale making an appearance is questionable. Although he has been seen returning to the training pitch, it won’t be certain that he will be playing until the final squad is announced ahead of the match. If the star striker is absent, Real Madrid may be relying more heavily on their midfielder Isco.

Neymar Jr. will definitely not be playing in this rivalry game. Thanks to a double yellow card in last weekend’s fixture against Malaga, the Brazilian forward is serving a three game suspension in lieu of the standard one game off due to his attitude after the call was made. See how it played out in the video below.

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If you enjoy reading articles about your favourite leagues and teams based on fun stats, check out more facts from Here you’ll find stories from all your favourite sports, including another look at El Clasico, and why it is football’s biggest betting rivalry.