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Spurs can cancel St Totteringham's Day with North London Derby win


Arsenal fans celebrated fervently on the last day of last season as they extended their streak of finishing above Tottenham in the league, a now annual tradition which has become well known as St Totteringham’s Day. However, as the two North London heavyweights prepare to clash this Sunday at White Hart Lane, it’s Tottenham that's doing the tottering.

No more St Totteringham's Day
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North London rivals heading in opposite directions

St Totteringham's Day has become a Gunner's fan favourite holiday. Marking the day that Tottentham no longer can finish above Arsenal in the Premier League, the date of the holiday varies. Last year, to the dissappointment of Spurs fans, St Totteringham's fell on the very last day of the Premeir League. It is poetic that the game that can decisively mark the first cancellation of St Totteringham's day in 21 seasons falls on the North London Derby.

Currently standing a 14 point deficit, Arsenal need to win at White Hart Lane to maintain a mathematical chance of finishing the league ahead of their North London rivals. The Spurs should be rejoicing in the fact that not only are they hot on the heels of title chasing Chelsea, but that they are edging ever closer to a finishing their first season in 22 years where they could finish above the Gunners and claim North London bragging rights.

Not since the 1994/1995 season have the Spurs finished ahead of Arsenal in the league table. The Gunners truly rubbed salt in their rival's wound hroughout the late '90s to the mid '00s, where they finished with an average of 30 points ahead of the Spurs across 9 seasons. 

Since the 2001/02 season where the top four qualified for the Champions League, Arsene Wenger’s Arsenal have been all so consistent, finishing every single season in the top four, while the Spurs have achieved the same feat just three times. Yet this season, for the first time ever, it could be that Arsenal miss out completely on a place among Europe’s elite, while Spurs look set for at least a top two finish.

The changing tide is indicative by bookmaker Paddy Power’s odds for the derby, which backs Tottenham as the favourite, despite Spurs only taking one victory over the Gunners in the past five Premier League meetings.

Silverware separates Gunners from Spurs

Despite Arsenal’s years of dominance, it’s also interesting to see the comparison over the years of silverware won by the two North London rivals.

Since 1995 Arsenal have cleaned up nine trophies, including three Premier League titles and six FA Cups - they can make it seven in May should they defeat Chelsea in the final at Wembley.

Spurs on the other hand have lifted the League Trophy twice in the same amount of time, and despite having star laden squads through the years, including this season, they have failed in Europe and domestically, however they still harbour an outside chance of snatching the Premier League title away from leaders Chelsea with a few games remaining.

Top four or top six?

Defeat at Spurs on Sunday would leave Arsenal having to walk the tightest of Champions League qualifying tightropes.

Even before kickoff on Sunday the Gunners are outsiders to clinch a top four spot with odds of 5/1 (6.00) at Paddy Power, behind the likes of Man City, Man Utd and Liverpool.

But should results continue to go against Wenger’s men should they be concerned about even a top six finish? Currently sixth in the table, they boast a couple of games in hand to nearest rivals Everton in seventh, so it would take a mighty swing with a few games remaining for the worst case scenario to happen and odds of 1/20 (1.02) should assure fans that they have at least secured top six.

89% chance of a goal to be scored Sunday

It’s quite a stat, but since 1995 in the Premier League, the two sides have only failed to produce a goalless North London derby five times out of 45 meetings. That’s a whopping 89% chance that we’ll see at least one goal on Sunday! The last five league fixtures have seen both sides score against each other, which is the main reason you’ll likely find the ‘both teams to score’ market with pretty short odds with bookmakers.

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