How To Bet On The USPGA Championship
Known as the fourth golf major of the calendar year, the USPGA Championship provides bettors with the opportunity to bet on golf at the highest level. Our detailed guide to betting on the USPGA Championship will show you how to bet on this prestigious golf tournament.
Betting On The USPGA Championship: An Introduction
The USPGA Championship is the year's fourth and final Major of the season and is usually hosted in the third weekend of August. It was re-scheduled for late July in 2016 due to Golf returning to the Olympic Games itinerary. Established in 1916, The USPGA Championship is shared around many different venues and up until 1957 this was a match-play format tournament, before being altered to a more traditional stroke-play tournament in line with the other three Majors in 1958.
The first USPGA Champion back in 1916 was a gentleman called Jim Barnes. His prize for winning the event was $500 and a diamond-studded gold medal. Fast forward to 2015 and the USPGA Championship prize money pot had reached $10 million US dollars, of which the winner Jason Day received a cool $1.8 million.
Over 70 venues have hosted the USPGA over the tournament’s history with several new courses scheduled over the coming years. Given the large number of different venues used for the staging of the event, many punters are left asking the question 'where is the USPGA Championship held'? Luckily the PGA announce the host courses several years in advance:
2016 – Baltusrol Golf Club
2017 – Quail Hollow
2018 – Bellerive Country Club
2019 – Bethgate State Park
2020 – TPC Harding Park
2021 – Kiawah Island
2022 – Trump National
2023 – Oak Hill Country Club
Baltusrol Golf Club hosted the event for the second time in 2016 before four of the next six venues hold the USPGA Championship for the first time. When Oak Hill hosts the 2023 edition, it will be the fourth time it has held the event since 1980 and as such will join Southern Hills Country Club has the only other course to have hosted four USPGA Championships.
USPGA Championship 2018 Dates
The 2018 USPGA Championship will be held at Bellerive Country Club beginning August 9th concluding August 12th.
1 - USPGA Championship Tournament Format
2 - USPGA Championship Betting Odds Explained
3 - USPGA Championship Value Bets
4 - USPGA Championship Betting Explained
5 - USPGA Championship Betting Strategies
6 - USPGA Championship Bookmakers
7 - USPGA Championship Free Bet Offers
8 - USPGA Championship Live Streaming
9 - USPGA Championship Betting Tips
156 golfers make up a USPGA Championship field with over half this number made up of exemptions as opposed regional qualifiers that make up the numbers. Automatic qualifiers for the USPGA Championship include any previous winner of the event itself and winners of the other three Majors from the past five years. Then those that did well in the previous year’s USPGA Championship qualify, with the top 15 and ties gaining entry for next year’s event.
The previous year’s USPGA Senior Open winner gets an invite alongside several of the world’s leading amateur golfers before the field is then made up from members of the previous US and European Ryder Cup teams and then the top 70 of the seasons US Money list.
What makes the USPGA Championship different to other Majors is the large amount of PGA professionals that make the final field of 156. Twenty of the best teachers and coaches qualify for the USPGA Championship based upon their performance in the PGA Professional National Championship.
The USPGA Championship is held over 72 holes (four rounds of 18 holes) like any other standard stroke-play golf tournament with rounds one and two adopting a two tee start from the 1st and 10th tees. These opening two rounds are played with the golfers in groups of three before a 36 hole cut is made in which the top 70 (and ties) make it through to the weekend to play the final two rounds.
Rounds three and four are usually played as groups of two golfers with all players teeing off on the 1st hole. The USPGA Championship leaderboard is usually full of birdies and eagles and is traditionally the easiest scoring of any of the four Major tournaments.
Despite being played on a variety of courses, a score well below par is more often than not needed if you are to compete for the trophy. Jason Day’s winning score of -20 in 2015 was the lowest in the tournaments history whereas a look at recent winners and their scores show how low-scoring this event can be:
Recent USPGA Championship Winners
|1996||Mark Brooks||USA||Valhalla Golf Club||-11|
|1997||Davis Love III||USA||Winged Foot||-11|
|1998||Vijay Singh||Fiji||Sahalee Country Club||-9|
|1999||Tiger Woods||USA||Medinah Country Club||-11|
|2000||Tiger Woods||USA||Valhalla Golf Club||-18|
|2001||David Toms||USA||Atlanta Athletic Club||-15|
|2002||Rich Beem||USA||Hazeltine National||-10|
|2003||Shaun Micheel||USA||Oak Hill||-4|
|2004||Vijay Singh||Fiji||Whistling Straits||-8|
|2005||Phil Mickelson||USA||Bultusrol Golf Club||-4|
|2006||Tiger Woods||USA||Medinah Country Club||-18|
|2007||Tiger Woods||USA||Southern Hills||-8|
|2008||Padraig Hamilton||Ireland||Oakland Hills||-3|
|2009||Yang Yong-eun||South Korea||Hazeltine National||-8|
|2010||Martin Kaymer||Germany||Whistling Straits||-11|
|2011||Keegan Bradley||USA||Atlanta Athletic Club||-8|
|2012||Rory McIllroy||Northern Ireland||Kiawah Island Golf Resort||-13|
|2013||Jason Dutner||USA||Oak Hill||-10|
|2014||Rory McIlroy||Northern Ireland||Vahalla Golf Club||-16|
|2015||Jason Day||Australia||St Andrews||-20|
|2016||Jimmy Walker||USA||Baltusrol Golf Club||-14|
|2017||Justin Thomas||USA||Quail Hollow Club||-8|
The USPGA Championship has been won by golfers from all over the world in recent years. Between 2008 and 2015 only two Americans won the USPGA Championship, with four European winners, one Asian and one Australian winning the season’s final Major in this period. This has been a major step change in this tournaments history, given only Gary Player (South Africa) and David Graham (Australia) were the only non-American winners of the USPGA between 1948 and 1990!
If you're serious about betting on USPGA Championship golf you must first understand what betting odds are and the probabilities that they reflect. The probability that betting reflect is often referred to as the implied probability. For example, let's say Jason Day is at odds of 6.0 to win the USPGA Championship. What do these odds reflect? Well, at odds of 6.0, the bookmakers believe that Jason Day is a 16.7% chance of winning the tournament. This implied probability can be calculated as:
|Implied probability||=||1 / decimal odds|
If you don't understand betting odds and their implied probabilities, then you are severely diminishing your chances betting on the USPGA Championship.
For more advice on betting odds and what they mean take a look at these articles:
Not to overstate the point, understanding betting odds is key to successful sports and golf betting. This is because the most important thing when it comes to profitable golf betting, or betting on any sport, is to only place bets when you have identified betting value. What is betting value? A value betting opportunity is when you consider the chances of a given outcome to be greater than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.
Determining betting value requires a simple calculation:
|Value||=||(Decimal Odds * Your Assessed Probability) - 1|
So let's consider our previous example. if we are offered odds of 6.0 (an implied probability of 16.7%) for Jason Day to win the USPGA Championship and after completing our analysis and research we believe Day is a 25% chance to win the tournament, then we have a value betting opportunity. Why? Because our assessed likelihood of Jason Day winning the USPGA Championship is greater than that implied in the bookmaker's odds.
For more information on betting value and tennis staking strategies, read the following articles.
Betting on a Tournament Winner is the most popular market when someone is looking to bet on The USPGA Championship. Sometimes backing a favourite outright is simply just the way to go in any sport, especially during one of the four biggest tournaments in the golfing year. When a favourite goes off at a low price such as sub 15.0, it almost makes the ¼ odds each way market seem pointless; the stake you'd place on the each way half of the bet would surely be better off being invested in the outright market. Before backing a really short priced favourite ask yourself will their price lengthen at any stage, perhaps due to a slow start? If that's likely to be the case, it could be wise to wait and back him in play at a bigger price than the pre-tournament quote.
Each Way Betting
It often makes sense to back a golfer that isn't one of the favourites in the golf bets Each Way market. Quite often the ¼ odds for top 6 can offer more return than backing a favourite outright only. For instance, backing a 50.0 shot each way (12.5 the place) can give a punter more return than backing just an 8.0 favourite outright only. It can also give a punter a far better run for their money, just in case their chosen player(s) gets off to a slow start or one of the favourites gets off to such a quick start, he will struggle to be caught be anyone – let alone your bigger priced outsider.
First Round Leader
Fancy a player to get off to a fast start due to an early morning USPGA Championship tee off time? He’s likely to get the best of conditions (no wind, fresh greens, no leaderboard pressure) If so then an ever growing popular golf betting system is the First Round Leader market (FRL) This is perhaps a good market to back a few outsiders in who could take a fancy to the course or type of test that a USPGA Championship offers, but could otherwise struggle to put a low round together when the pressure is on in the later stages of the tournament.
Top 10 / Top 20
Top 10 / Top 20 finishing position markets can also be profitable when betting on USPGA Championship golf tips. As favourites naturally tend to take up a number of the each way places, there is often more value to be had backing outsiders in these markets at slightly bigger stakes rather than the outright or each way markets.
Another way to bet on The USPGA Championship is to focus on Match Bets. These can either be bets placed on who will shoot the lowest score out of a two or three ball group, or a virtual match up between two individual players who are playing the same course but in different groupings. This can be an interesting alternative, and although it doesn't offer the glamour of an outright or each way winner, it can lead to exciting finishes if your player is going head-to-head with an opponent heading down the 18th fairway!
If you are struggling to find value within any of the above markets then perhaps the Top Nationality markets could be the one for you. This can be particularly rewarding when only two or three players from a certain country are teeing it up, meaning your chosen player only has to outscore one or two others in order to win out. We don't like selecting a top nationality if there are multiple players (say top American or top English) as we believe this becomes too much like a lottery to offer any kind of value. If we like a player within a group of half a dozen or more of his own nationality, then we might as well use that stake in the traditional golf each way betting markets or Top 10/20 markets and get more returns for a successful tournament. A Top Nationality market also offers the chance to put together a small accumulator of say three or four players to potentially win big money for limited stake.
There are a number of ways to find betting value when betting on the USPGA Championship. But what are the best USPGA Championship betting strategies? Here we take a look at the key betting strategies for USPGA Championship betting.
Back a golfer that has already won during that season
One of the best USPGA Championship bet tips is to concentrate on selecting a golfer that has already won on Tour that season. Jason Day’s 2015 Whistling Straits success meant that 15 of the last 17 winners of the USPA Championship had already lifted at least one trophy in the season, a real trend that needs to be factored in when having a bet on the USPGA Championship.
Look at performances at Firestone
Since the WGC Bridgestone Invitational moved to a slot a week prior to the USPGA Championship, 8 of the last 9 winners of the year’s final Major registered at Top 20 finish at Firestone Country Club. Whilst the 2016 schedule is different due to the Olympics and the WGC occurs some five weeks before the USPGA, it would make sense to look at the top of the Firestone leaderboard when deciding your USPGA gold betting tips.
Keep an eye on the Europeans
Between 2004 and 2016, there has only been one occasion where there hasn’t been at least one European golfer that has finished in the top four of the USPGA Championship leaderboard. There have also been four winners from Europe since 2008, so this is certainly a tournament where non-Americans, and in particular, Europeans, can fare well.
Back golfers yet to win a Major
This might sound strange, but out of all the Majors, the USPGA Championship is the place where players yet to win a Major tend to register their first big four win. Jason Day’s 2015 success meant that 18 of the last 28 winners of the USPGA Championship were registering their first Major victory of their career.
Back golfers who make birdies
As indicated in the opening guide, the USPGA is a tournament where you need to make birdies to compete. As of 2016, the last six champions of the USPGA ended the season inside the top 60 for the seasons average holes per birdie statistic.
Don't back a defending champion outright only
Since turning into a stroke-play event back in 1958, only Tiger Woods has successfully defended his USPGA Championship title the following year. The legendary Woods incredibly did this twice, winning back-to-back in 1999 & 2000 and 2006 & 2007. Several golfers have won the USPGA for a second time two years after their maiden victory, including most recently Rory McIlroy in 2012 and 2014.
Don’t look outside the world’s top 21 for the champion
If you want to pick the outright winner of the USPGA Championship, then we would have to suggest not looking outside the world’s top 21 golfers. During the week’s build up to their win, 16 of the last 19 were inside that bracket of the official world golf rankings, suggesting winners of the seasons fourth Major are often the cream-of-the-crop.
Don’t back a golfer whose short off the tee
USPGA Championships tend to be played on particularly lengthy golf courses that often measure over 7,600 yards. This means giving it a belt off the tee is a particular necessity if your player is to be there or thereabouts at the end of 72 holes. When Jason Day won in 2015, it meant that 11/12 winners averaged over 291 yards off the tips over the course of a season.
Don’t rule out current Open champion
Since 1994 there have been four instances of a golfer winning both The Open Championship (hosted in the UK in July) and the USPGA Championship in the same year. McIlroy did so in 2014, Paidraig Harrington in 2006, Nick Price in 1994 and that man Woods did so twice in 2000 and 2008. Given that The Open is hosted several weeks before the USPGA Championship, it proves current form is vital.
Don’t be afraid of backing outsiders in the each way market
Whilst we have indicated above that the winner of the year’s fourth Major is likely to come from the world’s top 21 golfers, this is a Major to look to back those three figure outsiders in the each way markets. Surprise victories have ocurred in the USPGA in recent years, with YE Yang in 2008 winning at over 300.0 and Keegan Bradley victorious in 2011 having been matched on the betfair exchanges at over 650.0.
Best Sites For Golf Stats
If you're looking to deepen your betting analysis for this year's USPGA Championship tournament, here are our top five best sites for golf statistics:
Competition for punters cash is fierce amongst all the traditional bookmakers during any of the four Majors, and the USPGA Championship betting odds are certainly no different. As you can see from the below free bet and offers section, there are great deals to be had.
Once we have decided on our list of reputable bookmakers that we can trust, we should factor in three things when backing a golfer in The USPGA Championship betting odds outright win market:
- Price for the win
- How many places for the each way payout
- What fraction of the win price do we get for our each way payout
Skybet offered an unprecedented 7 places for their each way payouts in the 2012 and 2013 outright winners USPGA Championship market. They even kept the each way part of the bet as ¼ of the original odds – far better than Paddy Power who might have offered a competitive 6 places, but at a 1/5 of the original odds.
This means backing a golfer at 100.0 that 'placed' with Skybet would have paid out at 25.0 whereas backing that same golfer with Paddy Power at the same 100.0 price would have only yielded a payout of 20.0 – a pretty big 20% difference.
Quite often the more places on offer for an each way payout, the smaller the price for the win. Coral and Totesport stuck to just 5 places for the 2015 USPGA Championship and as such, their outright win price tends to be bigger than any of the bookmakers offering 6 or 7 places for each way places.
It's worth noting Skybet did offer an incredible 8 places for The 2016 Masters – it will be interesting to see if they do the same for their USPGA Championship outright betting market.
It is down to the individual punter to decide which to go with – we would suggest chasing the bigger prices and less places for someone we fancy backing at sub 26.0, but any longer priced fancies it is always worth looking at 'losing' a bit on the win price to ensure we get an extra couple of places that payout. That extra place on offer is often vital to land a bigger priced outsider given that the USPGA Championship field is made up of 156 golfers.
For more information of the industries best golf bookmakers, please refer to our Bookmaker Reviews page.
In an increasingly competitive industry, many bookmakers now offer free bets and other promotional offers as a way of attracting new customers as well as encouraging existing customers to bet on particular events and markets.
One of the best USPGA Championship bet offers came recently from Coral who clearly didn’t fancy pre-tournament favourite Jordan Spieth as much as other bookies. They offered enhanced odds of Spieth finishing in the top 5 of the 2015 edition at odds of 7.0 Likewise Betfair had an offer for new customers in which they could back Spieth just to make the cut at odds of 3.0!
The USPGA Championship odds to win were trebled for any golfer by 888sport.com for new customers in 2015. This meant punters could back the likes of McIlroy to win the tournament at enhanced odds of 34.0 – a fine offer indeed, even if it was limited to £10 stakes.
Ladbrokes have been known to refund losing bets for any player that misses the cut. This is a great offer to cover any three-figure outside hunches that you might fancy to do well in the USPGA Championship, but could also struggle due to maybe poor form.
BetVictor were very generous in previous USPGA Championship betting offers by rewarding tied finishes as outright winners (with no dead heat rules reducing winnings) This was a great offer for punters whose picks finished say tied sixth alongside another golfer - other bookies would cut your winnings in halve, this wouldn’t be the case if you staked with BetVictor.
To see a detailed list of all current golf free bet and bookmaker promotions available, please refer to our Bookmaker Free Bets page. Everything you need to know about free bets and bookmaker promotions.
Whilst there isn't USPGA Championship live streaming currently on any betting website, we can enjoy live streaming on the tournament's official website. This coverage focuses on two featured groups from the morning tee times and two from the afternoon tee times. Here we get to see every shot played by the two or three players in each group meaning we can build a full picture as to how well each of these golfers are driving it from the tee, how their irons are dialled in and finally how sharp their short game is. This type of invaluable insight can help us with our USPGA Championship betting tips.
Remember, due to Sky Sports' total ownership of golf coverage in the UK, no betting website offers golf live streaming. Of course Sky Sports customers can access coverage on SkyGo through their phones, laptops and tablets. The early additional coverage mentioned above is usually available on Sky's red button, interactive service.
For more information regarding bookmaker live streams, please read our guide to accessing bookmaker live stream services.
If you're looking for golf betting tips, then be sure to check our Golf Betting Tips page particularly in the lead up to each of the Majors. There are some great betting minds in the bettingexpert community, posting profitable tips for a broad range of sports and leagues, including golf throughout the year. Visit our Golf Betting Tips page now to see which tipsters have identified the betting value or even better, sign up to bettingexpert now, become a golf tipster and compete with other tipsters across the world in our monthly tipster competition, There's £3,000 up for grabs each month with a 1st prize of £1,200 cash.
For the best free golf betting tips, please refer to our Golf Betting Tips page, for all the lastest golf predictions from our community of golf tipsters.