The NBA Winner Odds market refers to each team’s chances of winning the NBA trophy in the 2021/22 season. Only a few teams have a realistic chance of accomplishing this, but with the length of the NBA season and the unpredictable nature of basketball, sometimes the underdogs can come out on top. Since 2011, 8 different teams have lifted the NBA title, and it all depends on who has the right balance of defence and offence that season.
This means that bettors have to balance between finding the best odds before the season starts and choosing the best candidate once the season is already underway. But the best way to go about choosing your best NAB winner pick is taking a look at the teams and what they offer in terms of playstyle. First, you would need a team that is good enough to win enough games to make the playoffs. Usually, teams that get have solid shooters and playmakers during the regular season have more than a solid chance to make the playoffs.
Second, winning the NBA title is next to impossible without elite defence. Some GMs are under the illusion that just having good individual offensive players is enough to make their team title contenders, and yes I’m talking about Sean Marks and Mike D’Antoni. Whilst you can get away with that during the regular season where teams don’t play much defence, the playoffs are a different animal. If you take a look at the NBA champions in recent years, you can see that every team was at least above average in defence, and each team had at least one elite defensive player to cover the opponents’ top scorers.
The Milwaukee Bucks won the NBA title last year for the first time since 1971, and Giannis Antetokounmpo won the Finals MVP award. It’s safe to say that no one expected them to get it done after years of making the playoffs without much success. This is why it’s best for punters to wait until you are absolutely certain that a team has what it takes to go all the way before you make your decision. Of course, injuries and other complications can always ruin your day, and experienced bettors will always go back and adjust in order to maximize their chances of making a profit. Also, if you are not satisfied with this market, consider the Conference Winner markets, where there are fewer teams but also shorter odds.
In this article:
- Who are the Favourites?
- Who are the Contenders?
- Who are the Outside Chances?
- Who are the Unlikely?
- Who are the Longshots?
Current NBA 2021/22 Winner Odds:
|Team Name||BET365||PADDY POWER||WILLIAM HILL||BETFAIR||UNIBET|
|Los Angeles Lakers||4.00||1.91||5.00||1.91||4.75|
|Golden State Warriors||13.00||6.50||11.00||6.50||11.00|
|Los Angeles Clippers||15.00||8.50||21.00||8.50||26.00|
|Portland Trail Blazers||61.00||81.00||61.00||81.00||61.00|
|New York Knicks||61.00||23.00||81.00||23.00||81.00|
|New Orleans Pelicans||61.00||101.00||101.00||101.00||101.00|
|San Antonio Spurs||101.00||101.00||251.00||101.00||201.00|
|Oklahoma City Thunder||251.00||501.00||501.00||501.00||501.00|
NBA Winner Odds as at September 30th September 2021. Odds may now differ.
Probability of Winning NBA in 2021/22 based on adjusted bookmaker odds
NBA Winner Odds as at September 30th September 2021. Odds may now differ.
- Brooklyn Nets NBA Winner Odds: 3.60 (Bet365)
- Los Angeles Lakers NBA Winner Odds: 4.75 (Unibet)
- Milwaukee Bucks NBA Winner Odds: 9.50 (Unibet)
The Brooklyn Nets had their best season since 2012/13 last year, grabbing 48 wins on the season, and making it to the conference semi-finals. The team made a drastic jump in performance since the year prior and it’s easy to see why. With Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant, and James Harden all in one team, getting regular-season wins was a cakewalk. But the playoffs were a different animal, and the Nets faced the Bucks in a seven-game series and ultimately lost to the eventual champions. The team wasn’t bad, but due to their inexperience playing together, their pieces added up to less than they are worth. Their odds to win an NBA championship this year have them as the top favourites, but I advise holding off on any bets until we get to see more from this team. They are available at 2.15 odds (Bet365) and to win the Atlantic Division at 1.40 (Unibet).
The Los Angeles Lakers are coming into the season as second favourites to win NBA gold, and with the team they have, it’s not hard to imagine that scenario. In the 2020/21 season, the Lakers made their first playoffs appearance in 8 years and won an NBA championship in the ‘Bubble’. However, the previous season was not as successful, and the Lakers were eliminated in the first round of the playoffs by the Phoenix Suns in six games. They have been active during the summer, and Frank Vogel will have a balanced squad of defenders, shooters, and playmakers to try and win another NBA championship for the LA Lakers. Their odds go as high as 5.30 in some bookmakers and backing them early isn’t a bad idea. The Lakers are available at 3.00 odds to win the Western Conference and at 2.05 to win the Pacific Division.
Defending NBA champions the Milwaukee Bucks are coming into the season as third favourites to lift the NBA title again at 10.00 odds (Mansion Bet). They won their first title since 1970/71 last season and proved that superteams aren’t necessary to get the job done. The Bucks defeated the Miami Heat, Brooklyn Nets, Atlanta Hawks and Phoenix Suns on their way to the title, and the team showed exceptional resilience, coming back from 0-2 twice – against the Nets and Suns. The Milwaukee Bucks have kept a large part of their core team, but also added Grayson Allen to their squad. They are available at 4.80 odds (Mansion bet) to win the Eastern Conference and 1.14 (Paddy Power) to win the Central Division.
- Golden State Warriors: 11.00 (Bet365)
- Utah Jazz: 15.00 (William Hill)
- Phoenix Suns:17.00 (Bet365)
- Philadelphia 76ers: 18:00 (Bet365)
- Denver Nuggets: 26.00 (William Hill)
- LA Clippers: 26.00 (Unibet)
After winning three NBA titles from 2015 to 2019, the Golden State Warriors have failed to make the playoffs in the last two years. 2020/21 was especially difficult because they came close to making the playoffs, but were eliminated from contention by the Lakers. The Warriors missed Klay Thompson last season, but the team performed very well in his absence, netting 39 wins and 33 losses on the season. Their odds to win the NBA title have them as the fourth favourites at 11.00 odds, runners-up to win the West at 6.50 (Bet365) and third in line to win the Pacific Division at 6.50 odds (Unibet).
The Utah Jazz have made consistent playoffs appearances in recent years, but they never made it past the conference semifinals. Last season, they were eliminated by the LA Clippers in six games, losing their last four in a row. The bookmakers have them in the top five teams to lift the NBA trophy this season with 17.00 odds. Their odds to win the Western Conference are valued at 8.50, and they are available at 1.43 to win the Southwestern Division.
The Phoenix Suns surprised everyone with their performance last season, making the playoffs for the first time since 2009/10 and the NBA finals. Unfortunately, their campaign came to an end in six games, but what they achieved has placed them among the contenders for the title this year again. They are available at 16.00 odds to win the NBA championship, at 9.50 to win the Western Conference again, and at 3.20 to win the Pacific Division.
The Philadelphia 76ers have made the NAB playoffs four years in a row, but the Process hasn’t yielded the results they wanted so far. They were eliminated in the conference semifinals three out of their last four appearances, and once in the first round. They have a solid squad, but the Sixers aren’t able to find their offensive game in the playoffs, where defences tend to get tougher. They are available at 18.00 odds to win the NBA title, at 10.00 to win the Eastern Conference (Paddy Power), and at 4.50 to win the Atlantic Division.
The Denver Nuggets are another team that has made the playoffs in recent years, but they haven’t been able to make it to the finals. They were eliminated by the Suns in the conference semifinals last season, and in the conference finals the year prior. They have a solid squad, and they are available at 26.00 odds to win the title, 11.00 to win the west, and 5.00 to win the Northwest Division.
The final contender for the NBA title are the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clippers have made the playoffs. They were eliminated each time in the conference semifinals, apart from last season when they reached the conference finals, only to be eliminated by the Phoenix Suns in six games. The Clippers are available to win the NBA championship at 26.00 odds, the Western Conference at 13.00 (Unibet), and to win the Pacific Division at 12.00.
The Outside Chances
Miami Heat: 26.00 (William Hill)
Dallas Mavericks: 31.00 (William Hill)
Atlanta Hawks: 41.00 (Bet365)
Boston Celtics: 51.00 (William Hill)
Chicago Bulls: 81.00 (William Hill)
Portland Trail Blazers: 81.00 (Paddy Power)
New York Knicks: 81.00 (William Hill)
The Miami Heat have made the playoffs four times since their Big 3 era, and last season saw them eliminated in the first round by the Bucks in just four games. The bookies don’t have them as serious contenders, but they are available at 13.00 odds to win the east, and 1.91 to win the Southeastern Division.
The Atlanta Hawks made the playoffs after a three-year break and reached the conference finals. Unfortunately, they faced the Bucks and were eliminated in six games. The bookies have them to win the Eastern Conference at 21.00 odds (Paddy Power), and the Southeast Division at 2.30 odds.
The Boston Celtics appeared in the playoffs seven years in a row and made the conference finals three times. Last season, the Celtics made a first-round exit, losing to the Brooklyn Nets in five games. The bookies don’t see them as serious title contenders, but they are available at 26.00 odds to win the east, and 13.00 to win the Atlantic Division (Unibet).
The Chicago Bulls haven’t made the playoffs in the last five years. However, they have a solid squad at the moment and are looking to make a comeback. The bookies have them to win the Eastern Conference at 41.00 odds, and the Central Division at 13.00 (Unibet).
The Portland Trail Blazers have made the playoffs eight years in a row, but haven’t seen very much success. They made the conference finals in 2018/19 but were swept by the Warriors, whilst their campaign last year saw them making a first-round exit, courtesy of the Denver Nuggets. The Blazers are available at 31.00 odds to win the Western Conference (Paddy Power), and 9.50 (Willia Hill) to win the Northwest Division.
After missing the playoffs for seven years in a row, the New York Knicks finally made it back last season. However, the team struggled to find their offence against a solid Hawks team and were eliminated in the first round in five games. The addition of Kemba Walker to their team will surely help with the flow of their attack, and the bookies have them to win the east at 41.00 odds and to win the NBA title at 81.00.
Memphis Grizzlies: 101.00 (William Hill)
New Orleans Pelicans: 101.00 (William Hill)
Indiana Pacers: 101.00 (William Hill)
Charlotte Hornets: 151.00 (William Hill)
Toronto Raptors: 121.00 (Unibet)
Washington Wizards: 151.00 (William Hill)
After a short rebuild period between 2016/17 and last season that saw them miss the playoffs for three years in a row, the Memphis Grizzlies bounced back with their young core. Their defensive and athletic approach gave them the 8th seed in a tough Western Conference, but they struggled to generate easy baskets in the playoffs and were bounced by the Utah Jazz in 5 games. The bookies have them to win the west at 51.00 odds and to win the NBA Championship at 101.00
The New Orleans Pelicans made the playoffs just twice in the last decade, and are still trying to move on from the Anthony Davis era. They have a fresh squad built around Zion Williamson, but the bookies aren’t convinced. They have the Pelicans to win the west at 51.00 odds and an NBA championship title in 2020/21 at 101.00.
The Indiana Pacers made the playoffs in 5 of the last 6 six seasons but made a first-round exit in each of those appearances. The bookmakers have them to win the Eastern Conference at 51.00 odds, and their NBA title odds are at 101.00.
The Charlotte Hornets have seen their share of adversity in recent years, making the playoffs just twice in the last decade, but things are looking up for them. They won 10 more games than the year prior, and their acquisition of Lamelo Ball turned out to be an excellent decision. They are available at 151.00 odds to win the NBA championship in 2021/21, and the Eastern Conference at 81.00.
After winning the NBA Championship in 2018/19 the Toronto Raptors have fallen into hard times. They won just 27 regular-season games last year and failed to make the playoffs. They are valued at 101.00 odds to win the NBA title in 2021/22, and at 51.00 to win the Eastern Conference.
The Washington Wizards have remained in the middle of the NBA pack in recent years, making the playoffs in most seasons but usually making first or second-round exits. Last season was no different as they were eliminated by the Philadelphia 76ers in five games in the opening round. The bookies give them 81.00 odds to win the Eastern Conference and 151.00 to win the 2021/22 NBA championship.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 301.00 (William Hil)
San Antonio Spurs: 251.00 (William Hill)
Sacramento Kings: 251.00 (William Hill)
Orlando Magic: 501.00 (William Hill)
Detriot Pistons: 501.00 (William Hill)
Oklahoma City Thunder: 501.00 (William Hill)
Houston Rockets: 501.00 (William Hill)
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been a franchise in disarray since the Kevin Garnett era. They only made the playoffs once since 2004/05, and have been stuck in mediocrity for decades. They only won 23 games last season, and the bookies have them to win the west at 151.00 odds, and the NBA championship at 301.00
The last two seasons have been difficult for Greg Popovich and the San Antonio Spurs, only winning 32 and 33 games respectively in the regular season. They are rebuilding their team at the moment, and the bookies don’t have them anywhere near NBA title contention, with 251.00 odds to win the championship and 126.00 to win the Western Conference.
The Sacramento Kings have been stuck in mediocrity since the days of Webber, Divac and Stojakovic, with no playoff appearances since 2005/06. They are available at 251.00 odds to win the NBA title, and 126.00 to win the west.
The Orlando Magic made the playoffs twice in the last three seasons but made first-round exits in both campaigns. They are in rebuild mode and are far from a good team at the moment. They are valued at 501.00 odds to win the NBA title this year, and 251.00 to win the Eastern Conference.
The Detroit Pistons only made the playoffs twice in the last 12 years and were swept in the first round in both campaigns. They only won 20 games in each of their last two seasons, and they are available at 251.00 odds to win the east, and 501.00 to win the NBA Championship in 2021/22.
Since the Kevin Durant and Russel Westbrook era, the Oklahoma City Thunder have fallen off significantly and are looking to rebuild their team. They won just 22 games last season and lost 50. The bookies have them to win the west at 251.00 odds and 501.00 to win the NBA championship in 2021/22.
The final team on the list are the Houston Rockets. Their experiment with Mike D’antoni at the helm was unsuccessful, and the team is in full rebuild mode. They were the worst team in the NBA last season with just 17 wins, and the bookmakers have them to win the west at 251.00 odds and at 501.00 to win an NBA title.