Mackenzie McDonald vs Corentin Moutet Prediction, Picks, Odds, H2H, August 19th

Our second preview from the ATP’s Winston-Salem Open on Monday comes in the Mackenzie McDonald vs Corentin Moutet!

Moutet’s win probability is just about 50%, while McDonald is favoured to win at 1.87 odds. The handicap is one game and the total games line is 22.

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Our Muller vs Lestienne prediction is for Muller to win.

Mackenzie McDonald vs Corentin Moutet Prediction: Back Better Frenchman That is Also in Better Form

• Prediction: Moutet to win
• Best Odds: 2.02
• Bookmaker: Pinnacle
• Stakes: 5/10

Odds updated at 2:30 am UK Time on August 19th, 2024. 

There are a lot of reasons to like Moutet in this spot against McDonald. For starters, I don’t think he should be an underdog in a normal situation. If you’re going to oppose Moutet, you’d at least like to do it with someone that can hit him off the court or rack up cheap points against him. McDonald doesn’t possess that raw power or the ability to seamlessly play front foot tennis.

Factor in that he doesn’t have nearly the same ability to cover the court or execute shots with the same level of touch that the fiery Frenchman can, and you’ve got Moutet as the more complete player. Just for that reason alone he shouldn’t be the underdog.

There’s more though. McDonald had a great week at the Cincinnati Open in doubles with his partner Alex Michelsen (also playing Winston-Salem). So much so that they have to play their final…Monday in Cincinnati. Yet McDonald is scheduled to play the last match in the night session down in Winston-Salem the same day (Michelsen has a bye, so this isn’t as much of an issue for him).

Two matches in a day is tough, even if one is in the less physically taxing doubles discipline, but throw in travel and the fact that McDonald will barely have any time to adjust to a new venue and the new courts and weather conditions, and I love Moutet in this spot.

Is there a chance that McDonald simply pulls out of this tournament? Absolutely. In that case, we get our stake back and move on. No harm, no foul. If he does elect to head down to North Carolina to play on Monday night, I certainly want to be holding onto a Moutet ticket to cash!

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Mackenzie McDonald Recent Form

It’s been a pretty poor season on the whole for McDonald, who is pretty reliant on quicker courts to help him generate any kind of offence. Even then, he hasn’t looked great. The early ball striking hasn’t quite been enough and he’s put more balls into net than he could afford.

Even in the one and only week he managed to win two matches at the same tournament (in Montreal), he faced 17 break points in his opening match against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and saved all of them. Needless to say, that’s not a strategy for sustainable success. The other win? In two tiebreaks against James Duckworth, where he once more faced a slew of break points and saved a decent number of them.

I’m not sold on an underpowered McDonald against a decent returner and excellent athlete in Moutet coming off a potential trip from southern Ohio.

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Corentin Moutet Recent Form

Moutet has very little hard court form to analyse this season. In fact, this past week in Cincinnati was his first tournament of the season on the surface. He managed to qualify for the main draw, before bowing out in a close contest to Fabian Marozsan.

On the whole, he’s had a much better season than his American counterpart, and as I alluded to earlier, he plays a much more well-rounded style, while not exactly being well behind in the power department.

With more rest and time to acclimate to the conditions and venue, I’m really liking the underdog odds on the 25-year-old to get the job done.

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Mackenzie McDonald vs Corentin Moutet H2H – Stat of the Match

These two met in Shanghai last fall, where McDonald won fairly easily. One has to assume that is playing an outsized role in shaping the odds for this encounter.

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