St. Pauli v Hamburger SV Tipovi za kladjenje 23-01-2026

Derbytime in Hamburg and a lot of work for the police. Both teams are in the religation battle and needs points. St Pauli is after 2 defeats after a 1-2-0 series now again last in the table and scored 12 points from 17 games. Newly promoted HSV is little better with 17 points but are 4 games winless (0-2-2). So I expect here a tough game with a lot of Pyro mess in the 113th City derby. without a winner. X

St. Pauli hosts Hamburger SV, Germany Bundesliga football and the two teams have met in the last 10 games and home team has won 5 games, the two have drawn 2 games and away team has won 3 games, away team has been in a great form and they will not lose at home, all the best

St Pauli sit near the bottom of the table and desperately need points, while Hamburger SV are slightly better off but also struggling for consistency. The rivalry is fierce and history in this fixture gas often been closely contested, with both teams capable of winning. I think this match is a draw.

A 1X2 prediction of Draw for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV suggests the match is expected to be closely contested, with neither side likely to dominate. Both teams may play cautiously, focusing on defensive organization and controlling space. Given their balanced approach and rivalry context, it is plausible that the game ends level, with limited clear-cut chances for either side to secure a decisive lead during ordinary time.

wc to my tip St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV draw in ordinary time is a sensible prediction based on recent form and head-to-head trends. Both teams often play cautiously in this rivalry, focusing on defensive organization and limiting mistakes. Neither side consistently dominates possession or finishing, which increases the chance of a stalemate. With balanced squads and tight tactical setups, the probability of a draw in ordinary time is around 32–36%, making it a realistic outcome.

St.Pauli has been playing terribly this season in the Bundesliga and now sits in penultimate 17 th place in the table with a balance of 12 points.They face a very difficult battle to stay in the league.In their matches so far they have won 3 games,drawn 3 times and been defeated 10 matches.

Despite sitting 18th with 12 points, St. Pauli’s home form and Derby pedigree make them a strong pick to win against 14th-placed Hamburger SV, who have 17 points. St. Pauli recently held Werder Bremen to a 0-0 draw at home (20.12.2025) and defeated Heidenheim 2-1 (06.12.2025), while HSV’s away struggles are clear after a 1-2 loss at Freiburg (04.01.2026) and a heavy 1-4 defeat at Hoffenheim (16.12.2025). In their last head-to-head, St. Pauli won 2-0 away at HSV (29.08.2025), and HSV have failed to win any of their last five away league matches. With the home side’s superior home points-per-game and HSV’s depleted defense, a HOME WIN is the most sensible bet.

This is the derby of the city of Hamburg, unusual to see both these clubs at the same time in the top league in Germany, it has to be said. St. Pauli won this season away at Hamburg very easy with 2-0, and the result for sure did not flatter them as Hamburg failed to create much danger against St. Pauli, while I back the hosts here with cover on the draw.

St. Pauli will come into this match against Hamburger SV, knowing that the away team have had problems in away matches. The away team lost each of their last 4 away matches. Pauli lost just 2 of their last 5 home matches and have a slight edge over the away team here. They need the 3 points badly.

I am looking for a surprise here with the first away win for Hamburger SV this season. ST Pauli is one of the worst home teams on the league and Hamburger has strong incentive to win against his city rival and avenge the result of the first leg (0-2 for ST Pauli)

Good day bettingexpert users, St Pauli will take on Hamburger in this German Bundesliga game scheduled to be played later this Friday night. Before we tell you our pick, let's take a quick look at what the statistics say about this game. For the hosts, it's 2 wins in their last 5 games while the visiting have won 1 out of 5. At Pauli to win or draw here.