Preko 21.5 utakmica
Keys' proven ability to challenge Gauff, including a win on clay in Madrid and her overall 3-2 H2H lead , strongly indicates she is likely to be competitive. The "Power vs. Speed" dynamic, especially on the slower Roland Garros clay which allows Gauff more defensive opportunities but also gives Keys time for her powerful shots, points towards potentially extended games and sets. The likelihood of the match extending to three sets is estimated at 50% by my model, which would almost certainly push the total games beyond 21.5. Even in a two-set scenario, the potential for tight sets (e.g., 7-5, 6-4 or 7-6, 6-3, both exceeding 21.5 games) is significant given Keys' capacity to win a set or push sets close, as demonstrated in the Madrid encounter.