Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Napolitano Tipovi za kladjenje i prognoze

It's an ATP Challenger event happening in Italy between Federico and Stefano. Federico has a free pass in round one. Stefano had a good start, but I think the bookmakers are overvaluing him since he is ranked outside the top 800. With 8 out of 10 units available, I predict Federico will win.

Stefano Napolitano enters with the edge: more experience, higher career ranking (best #121), and familiarity with big moments on the Challenger tour. Federico Arnaboldi, though younger and talented, is in rough patch—just 13 wins vs 24 losses so far in 2025. The odds reflect that: Napolitano ~1.50, Arnaboldi ~2.38. Arnaboldi’s clay stats are decent, but against a seasoned Napolitano who serves solidly and holds his nerve, it’s likely Napolitano takes this in straight sets if he starts aggressively.