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Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs. FBC Melgar Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 24 August 2025

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Asociacion Deportiva Tarma hosts FBC Melgar in a Primera Division clash on 24 August 2025 at 19:00. This match is pivotal for both teams aiming to climb the league standings. Currently, Melgar sits in 7th place with 8 points, while Tarma trails in 11th with 6 points. The teams share a similar scoring form, both averaging 0.60 goals per match in recent fixtures, but Melgar holds a slight historical edge.

Our prediction favors an away win for Melgar, reinforced by their dominant 4-0 victory in their last encounter. Melgar’s odds of 2.29 for a win appear promising given their better league position and recent form.

While Melgar has shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1 goal on average per match this season, Tarma’s tendency to concede most goals between 31-45 minutes could be a critical factor. Injuries may also play a minor role, with Tarma missing Gonzalo Desio, and several Melgar players doubtful.

This matchup, though not headline-grabbing, is crucial for both sides in maintaining their seasonal momentum. Expect a closely contested battle. Recommended bet: away win for FBC Melgar.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Betting tip

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Away win for FBC Melgar 2.29

Best Bet Recommendation: Away Win for FBC Melgar

Reasoning:

  1. Team Performance and Form:
  • FBC Melgar is currently 7th in the standings, compared to Asociacion Deportiva Tarma’s 11th position.
  • Both teams have similar scoring rates at 0.60 goals per match in recent games, but Melgar’s slightly better league position indicates stronger overall form.
  1. Head-to-Head Statistics:
  • FBC Melgar has won 3 out of the last 5 meetings against Asociacion Deportiva Tarma, including a dominant 4-0 victory in their most recent encounter.
  1. Odds Analysis:
  • The odds for an away win (2.29) reflect FBC Melgar’s historical dominance and current form advantage.

Given these factors, an away win for FBC Melgar is the most supported outcome.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Odds

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 2.85
Draw 3.26
FBC Melgar 2.29

The odds for the upcoming Primera Division match between Asociacion Deportiva Tarma and FBC Melgar indicate a slight favouring towards the away team, FBC Melgar, with odds set at 2.29 for their victory. Tarma winning at home is valued at 2.85, while a draw stands at 3.26.

These odds reflect recent performances and head-to-head results, where Melgar has historically held the upper hand. With Melgar currently positioned 7th in the league, compared to Tarma’s 11th, the odds further highlight their stronger form this season.

For bettors, an away win for Melgar presents a promising option given their form and past dominance in this fixture.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Team Analysis

Recent Performance

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last five results are as follows:

  • Alianza Lima 3-1 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
  • Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 1-0 Sport Huancayo
  • Sport Boys 1-0 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
  • Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 0-3 Alianza Universidad
  • Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 1-0 Cienciano

This pattern mirrors their mid-table status, currently sitting in 11th place with 6 points. On average, they’ve scored 0.60 goals per match and managed 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games.

Despite their defensive solidness at times, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game has hindered their progress. They’ll need to tighten up at the back and enhance their offensive output to climb the league standings.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Key Players

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma’s key players to watch include their top scorer, Carlos Cabello, who has notched a goal this season. Cabello will likely play a crucial role, especially in the latter stages of the match given Tarma’s tendency to score most frequently between the 76-90 minute mark.

The expected lineup for Asociacion Deportiva Tarma is:

  • Goalkeeper: Carlos Grados
  • Defenders: Fernando Luis Bersano, Gu Choi, Jhair Soto, Gustavo Dulanto, D’Alessandro Montenegro
  • Midfielders: Ademar Robles, Axel Moyano, Victor Cedron
  • Forwards: Joao Rojas, Adrian Fernandez

A key individual battle to watch will be between Adrian Fernandez and Melgar’s central defenders, Pier Barrios and Alec Deneumostier. Fernandez needs to find his scoring touch against a generally solid Melgar defense that has conceded just one goal per game on average this season.

Tactically, coach Horacio Melgarejo will look for his midfield trio of Robles, Moyano, and Cedron to dominate possession and create opportunities for the forwards. Their combined efforts will be vital for Tarma to exploit any defensive gaps in Melgar’s backline.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Suspensions & Injuries

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma faces a significant challenge with the absence of their midfielder Gonzalo Desio, who is out with a meniscus injury. His return is currently unknown, which could impact Tarma’s midfield stability and creativity.

Desio’s absence means more responsibility on the shoulders of Ademar Robles and Axel Moyano to fill the creative void in midfield. The team will need to rely on these players to maintain control and supply their forwards with opportunities to score.

There are no suspensions for Tarma in this fixture, allowing coach Horacio Melgarejo to field his strongest possible side elsewhere on the pitch. While the team has shown defensive solidity, improving their offensive output will be crucial to offset Desio’s absence and secure vital points at home.

This strategic adjustment could be the key to overcoming FBC Melgar’s strong defensive setup and making a push up the table.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Tactics and Formation

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 5-3-2
  • Key Forwards: Joao Rojas and Adrian Fernandez
  • Midfield Trio: Ademar Robles, Axel Moyano, Victor Cedron
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Frequent scoring between the 76-90 minute mark

Tarma’s approach involves a solid five-man defensive line designed to absorb pressure and prevent goals. This setup has provided them with some defensive resilience, as evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches.

In attack, the duo of Joao Rojas and Adrian Fernandez will aim to exploit any weaknesses in Melgar’s defense. The midfield trio looks to dominate possession and create scoring chances, with Cedron often pulling the strings in the center of the park.

Coach Horacio Melgarejo may emphasize maintaining a compact shape and hitting on the counter-attack, especially focusing on the final stages of the match where Tarma has shown a knack for finding the net.

FBC Melgar Team Analysis

Recent Performance

FBC Melgar has had a turbulent set of results in their last five matches, showcasing a mixed form that includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their recent form looks like this:

  • FBC Melgar 2-1 Ayacucho FC
  • Sporting Cristal 1-0 FBC Melgar
  • FBC Melgar 1-1 ADC Juan Pablo II
  • Alianza Atletico 0-0 FBC Melgar
  • FBC Melgar 0-2 Cusco FC

Currently sitting in 7th place with 8 points, Melgar averages 0.60 goals per match in their last five outings. They’ve managed only one clean sheet in this stretch, which underlines some defensive vulnerabilities.

As they prepare to face Asociacion Deportiva Tarma, their consistency will be tested, especially in tightening up the backline and finding the net more frequently to solidify their standings in the league.

FBC Melgar Key Players

FBC Melgar’s key players to keep an eye on include their top scorer Jhonny Vidales, who has netted 2 goals this season. Vidales will play a pivotal role on the left wing, looking to exploit any defensive lapses by Asociacion Deportiva Tarma.

Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:

  • Goalkeeper: Carlos Enrique Caceda
  • Defenders: Matias Lazo, Pier Barrios, Alec Deneumostier, Mathias Llontop
  • Midfielders: Walter Tandazo, Horacio Orzan, Nicolás Quagliata
  • Wingers: Cristian Bordacahar, Johnny Vidales
  • Forward: Bernardo Cuesta

The key individual battle will likely be between Vidales and Tarma’s right-back Fernando Luis Bersano. Additionally, striker Bernardo Cuesta will be looking to break through the defensive pairing of Gu Choi and Jhair Soto to add to his goal tally. Coach Juan Reynoso will rely on his midfielders to control the tempo and provide service to the forwards, highlighting the importance of a cohesive team effort to secure the win.

FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries

FBC Melgar has a few injury concerns heading into their match against Asociacion Deportiva Tarma. Key players such as Juan Munoz, Diego Rodriguez, and Nelson Cabanillas are doubtful due to physical discomfort. Their potential absence could weaken the midfield and defense, adding pressure on coach Juan Reynoso to adjust his tactics accordingly.

The absence of these players means more responsibility on the shoulders of Walter Tandazo and Horacio Orzan in midfield. Additionally, the defensive lineup featuring Pier Barrios and Alec Deneumostier will need to be extra vigilant to cover for any gaps.

There are no suspensions for FBC Melgar, allowing them to field their strongest possible side despite the injury concerns. This adjustment will be crucial for them to maintain their defensive solidity and attacking threat against Tarma.

FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation

FBC Melgar Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Bernardo Cuesta
  • Midfield Duo: Walter Tandazo, Horacio Orzan
  • Defensive Strength: One clean sheet in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Focus on attacking through the wings, with significant contributions from Johnny Vidales and Cristian Bordacahar

Melgar’s tactical setup involves a strong defensive structure with four at the back, designed to provide stability and limit the opponents’ scoring opportunities. The midfield pivot of Tandazo and Orzan will play a critical role in breaking up play and transitioning the ball forward.

The attacking trio of Bordacahar, Quagliata, and Vidales aims to create width and stretch the opposition defense. The focal point of the attack, Bernardo Cuesta, will look to capitalize on crosses and through balls delivered by the wingers and attacking midfielder.

Coach Juan Reynoso might also opt for a balanced approach, where the team looks to maintain possession and exploit set-piece opportunities to get goals.

Asociacion Deportiva Tarma vs FBC Melgar Head-to-Head Statistics

In analyzing the last five meetings between Asociacion Deportiva Tarma and FBC Melgar, it becomes evident that Melgar holds a distinct upper hand. Here are the results of their past encounters:

  • 2025-04-05: FBC Melgar 4 – 0 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
  • 2024-08-16: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 1 – 1 FBC Melgar
  • 2024-03-09: FBC Melgar 3 – 1 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
  • 2023-06-22: FBC Melgar 4 – 0 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
  • 2023-03-26: Asociacion Deportiva Tarma 0 – 0 FBC Melgar

Clearly, FBC Melgar has been the dominant side, winning three of the last five encounters and scoring 15 goals against just two conceded in these matches. Their most recent clash saw Melgar securing a commanding 4-0 victory.

This trend highlights Melgar’s strong historical performance against Tarma, further backed by their better league position currently in 7th place, compared to Tarma’s 11th. If history is any indicator, Melgar will be favored to continue their dominance in this fixture.

Odds accurate as of 22.08.2025 19:05, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.

Team performance

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  • FBC Melgar
  • Player performance

  • Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
  • FBC Melgar
  • Previous meetings

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