Alianza Atletico vs. Universitario de Deportes Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 2 October 2025

Get ready for an intriguing clash in the Primera Division as 13th-placed Alianza Atletico host league leaders Universitario de Deportes. Scheduled for 2 October 2025, the match promises to showcase contrasting form and ambition, with Universitario aiming to solidify their top spot and Alianza Atletico looking to climb the standings.

Universitario de Deportes come into this fixture as the bookmaker’s favourites, boasting impressive form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their star striker Alex Valera has been in stellar form, netting seven goals this season. In contrast, Alianza Atletico have struggled, recording just one win in their past five games.

Considering current form and squad strength, our recommended bet is for Universitario de Deportes to win, thanks to their superior attacking prowess and consistent performances both home and away.

Don’t miss this pivotal fixture as every match significantly impacts the broader league narrative.

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction & Betting tip

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario de Deportes Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Universitario de Deportes to win	1.68

Best Bet Recommendation: Universitario de Deportes to Win
Reasoning:

• Current Form and Standing: Universitario de Deportes is riding high, leading the league with a strong record of 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. On the flip side, Alianza Atletico is languishing in 13th place, struggling with just 1 win in their last 5.
• Goal Statistics: With an impressive offensive record, Universitario averages 1.40 goals per match, whereas Alianza Atletico falls short with 0.60 goals per outing.
• Head-to-Head Record: Recent meetings favor Universitario, having clinched victory in 3 of the last 5 encounters against Alianza Atletico.

Given these compelling factors, backing Universitario de Deportes to secure another win seems like the smartest bet.

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario de Deportes Odds

Understanding the odds can help make an informed decision on where to place your bets for this Primera Division clash. Universitario de Deportes, the league leaders, are the bookmakers’ favourites, with odds reflecting their top form and superior squad strength.

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario de Deportes Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Alianza Atletico	4.92
Draw	3.41
Universitario de Deportes	1.68

Universitario de Deportes’ odds of 1.68 highlight their status as strong favourites owing to their excellent recent performances and top standing in the league. In contrast, Alianza Atletico, priced at 4.92, have struggled to find consistency, making them the clear underdogs.

The odds for a draw are at 3.41, which might appeal to those expecting a tighter contest. However, given Universitario’s robust form and head-to-head advantage, their win seems the most rational wager.

Alianza Atletico Team Analysis

Alianza Atletico Recent Performance

Alianza Atletico’s recent form has been a mixed bag, marked by inconsistency. In their last five matches, they’ve managed just one victory against Ayacucho FC but have suffered three defeats and one draw. Their recent performances have seen them struggle, particularly with their attacking play, as they average only 0.60 goals per game.

Despite these challenges, Alianza Atletico boasts two clean sheets in their last five games, indicating some defensive resilience. However, their lack of offensive productivity has contributed to their position in the lower half of the table, currently sitting at 13th with only 10 points. Their top scorer, Agustin Graneros, has found the back of the net three times this season, but the team needs more collective attacking prowess to climb the standings.

Alianza Atletico Key Players

Alianza Atletico will heavily depend on their top scorer, Agustin Graneros, who has netted three goals this season. His role will be crucial as the team strives to improve their offensive statistics, which currently stand at a modest average of 0.60 goals per game.

Another key asset for Alianza Atletico is their goalkeeper, Diego Melián, who has been pivotal in securing their two recent clean sheets. His leadership from the backline can significantly influence the defensive stability of the team.

Expected lineup for Alianza Atletico:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Melián
• Defenders: Erick Perleche, Piero Guzman, Jose Villegas, Horacio Benincasa, Anthony Gordillo
• Midfielders: Hernan Lupu, Federico Illanes, Jimmy Perez
• Forwards: Guillermo Larios, Agustin Graneros

Critical individual battles on the pitch will likely feature Graneros against Universitario’s solid defensive duo of Anderson Santamaria and Matias Di Benedetto. This contest could be a defining factor in the match outcome.

Alianza Atletico Suspensions & Injuries

Luckily for Alianza Atletico, there are no players currently suspended or injured ahead of their clash against Universitario de Deportes. This means that Gerardo Ameli can select his strongest starting XI without any forced adjustments.

Having a fully fit squad could be a crucial advantage for Alianza Atletico as they seek to overcome their recent struggles and improve their position in the league standings. With all key players, including top scorer Agustin Graneros and goalkeeper Diego Melián, available for selection, the team will look to maximize their strengths and execute their game plan effectively against the league leaders.

A fit roster gives Alianza Atletico the best possible chance to disrupt Universitario’s top form, raising their hopes of pulling off an upset in this important fixture.

Alianza Atletico Tactics and Formation

Alianza Atletico typically deploys a 5-3-2 formation, emphasizing defensive solidity and counter-attacking play. This tactical setup often includes three central defenders and two wing-backs providing width and support both in attack and defense.

Alianza Atletico Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Agustin Graneros (3 goals this season)
• Midfield Trio: Hernan Lupu, Jimmy Perez, Horacio Benincasa
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games

By employing this formation, Gerardo Ameli aims to create a compact defensive unit, relying on their goalkeeper Diego Melián to maintain stability at the back. The wing-backs, Erick Perleche and Anthony Gordillo, will be pivotal in transitioning from defense to attack, while Graneros will spearhead the offensive efforts.

Given the tough opposition in Universitario de Deportes, Alianza Atletico will likely focus on defensive resilience and quick counter-attacks to seize any scoring opportunities.

Universitario de Deportes Team Analysis

Universitario de Deportes Recent Performance

Universitario de Deportes is on a roll, demonstrating a strong run of form with three consecutive wins and two draws in their last five matches. Their most recent victories include a thrilling 3-2 win against Cusco FC and back-to-back 2-1 wins over CD UT Cajamarca and FBC Melgar. These results underscore their top position in the league standings with 24 points.

The team’s attack has been particularly sharp, averaging 1.40 goals per game over their last five fixtures. Defensively, they’ve also shown resilience, securing two clean sheets. Universitario de Deportes will look to extend their unbeaten streak, banking on their potent offensive play and solid defensive organization as they head into this crucial match against Alianza Atletico.

Universitario de Deportes Key Players

Universitario de Deportes will be banking on their top scorer, Alex Valera, who has already netted seven goals this season. Valera’s clinical finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a constant threat to any defense. Another key player for Universitario is their midfielder, Jesus Castillo, who has been a pivotal playmaker, orchestrating attacks and controlling the tempo of the game.

Expected lineup for Universitario de Deportes:

• Goalkeeper: Sebastian Britos
• Defenders: Williams Riveros, Anderson Santamaria, Matias Di Benedetto
• Midfielders: Andy Polo, Martin Perez Guedes, Jesus Castillo, Jairo Concha, Jose Carabali
• Forwards: Jairo Velez, Alex Valera

One of the key individual battles will be between Valera and Alianza Atletico’s goalkeeper, Diego Melián. Another critical matchup will see midfielder Jesus Castillo going head-to-head with Alianza Atletico’s Hernan Lupu, making for an exciting midfield contest.

Universitario de Deportes Suspensions & Injuries

Universitario de Deportes will be missing the services of Rodrigo Ureña, who is nursing a calf injury. His potential absence could leave a void in midfield, as Ureña often contributes significantly to both defensive coverage and transitional play.

The team, however, remains otherwise injury-free and suspension-free. This means that coach Jorge Fossati can rely on his primary line-up, which has been instrumental in their current standing at the top of the league table.

Maintaining a fit squad will be crucial, as they look to extend their unbeaten run and fortify their position at the summit of the Primera Division standings.

Universitario de Deportes Tactics and Formation

Jorge Fossati’s Universitario de Deportes usually utilizes a flexible 5-3-2 formation, which balances both offensive and defensive dynamics effectively. This setup provides them with ample coverage in defense while allowing fluid transitions into attack.

Universitario de Deportes Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Alex Valera (7 goals this season)
• Midfield Trio: Jesus Castillo, Martin Perez Guedes, Jairo Concha
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games

The wing-backs, Andy Polo and José Joel Carabalí, play crucial roles in stretching the play and providing width. They are supported by a solid backline led by Anderson Santamaria. The midfield, orchestrated by Jesus Castillo, aims to control the tempo and link up play with the forwards. Up front, Alex Valera partners with Jairo Velez, forming a potent attacking duo that constantly troubles opposing defenses.

This strategic approach has paid dividends, as evident in their top spot in the league and recent unbeaten run. Their balanced play makes them formidable opponents, capable of adapting to various in-game scenarios.

Alianza Atletico vs Universitario de Deportes Head-to-Head Statistics

In the last five meetings between Alianza Atletico and Universitario de Deportes, the results have generally been in favour of Universitario. They secured victories in three of these encounters, including a dominating 3-0 win in their most recent visit to Alianza Atletico on 15 September 2024.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• 11 May 2025: Universitario de Deportes 0-1 Alianza Atletico
• 15 September 2024: Alianza Atletico 0-3 Universitario de Deportes
• 6 April 2024: Universitario de Deportes 1-0 Alianza Atletico
• 4 July 2023: Universitario de Deportes 2-0 Alianza Atletico
• 14 May 2023: Alianza Atletico 3-1 Universitario de Deportes

These results showcase Universitario’s dominance, especially their ability to keep clean sheets in multiple fixtures. Alianza Atletico did secure an impressive 0-1 away victory in their last match, indicating they can trouble the league leaders on their day. However, Universitario’s overall record demonstrates a significant edge in this matchup.

Odds accurate as of 30.09.2025 00:03, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.