Alianza Lima vs. Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 14 September 2025

As the eighth round of the Primera Division approaches, Alianza Lima will host Deportivo Garcilaso on 14 September 2025. Both teams sit near the top of the table, with Deportivo Garcilaso in 4th place with 13 points, and Alianza Lima trailing closely in 5th with 12 points.

Alianza Lima, led by coach Néstor Gorosito, has shown strong form with a ‘WWWWD’ record in their last five games, including a solid defensive performance with three clean sheets. They will be missing key players such as Kevin Quevedo and Renzo Garces due to suspensions, which might impact their game.

Deportivo Garcilaso, managed by Carlos Bustos, has also been consistent, recording a ‘WDDWD’ streak. With top scorer Kevin Sandoval in fine form, they might pose significant threats to the home team. The match promises to be tightly contested, and while Alianza Lima is the favourite, Deportivo Garcilaso’s resilience makes a double chance bet a safer option.

Expect a close battle with critical implications for both teams in their pursuit of higher league standings.

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction & Betting tip

With both teams vying for the top spots in the Primera Division, this matchup promises to be a closely contested affair. Alianza Lima is the bookmaker’s favourite, but Deportivo Garcilaso’s recent resilience hints at a potential upset. Considering the match facts and the latest form, our recommended bet is:

• Deportivo Garcilaso has shown consistency with a ‘WDDWD’ record in recent games.
• Alianza Lima will be missing key players due to suspensions, potentially affecting their strength.
• Less than 2.5 goals have been scored in 72% of Alianza Lima’s matches, suggesting a tight game is likely.

By opting for a double chance on Deportivo Garcilaso, there’s a safer cushion against the unpredictable nature of football while still providing substantial return potential.

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Odds

Alianza Lima comes into this match as the heavy favourite, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage. However, Deportivo Garcilaso’s consistent performance means they can’t be underestimated. Betting odds give a clear indication of where the market sees the value.

With Alianza Lima playing at home and looking to climb the standings, they’re the odds-on favourite. Deportivo Garcilaso offers high returns for those willing to bet on an outsider, and with their resilience, this could be an enticing underdog pick. A large spread in the odds suggests a potential for higher risk but also higher rewards.

Alianza Lima Team Analysis

Alianza Lima Recent Performance

Alianza Lima has been in impressive form recently, boasting a strong ‘WWWWD’ record over their last five matches. They’ve been solid defensively, achieving three clean sheets in these games.

Their last five results include:

• Universitario de Deportes 0 – 0 Alianza Lima
• Universidad Catolica 1 – 2 Alianza Lima
• Alianza Lima 3 – 1 Asociacion Deportiva Tarma
• Alianza Lima 2 – 0 Universidad Catolica
• Ayacucho FC 0 – 1 Alianza Lima

The team has averaged 1.60 goals scored per match in their most recent five outings, indicating a reliable attacking front. However, they’ll be missing key players like Kevin Quevedo and Renzo Garces due to suspensions and injuries. Despite these absences, coach Néstor Gorosito will look to maintain momentum and capitalize on their home advantage.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Alianza Lima’s success hinges on contributions from key players, particularly Hernan Barcos. While Barcos has scored only once this season, his experience and ability to create opportunities make him a focal point of their attack.

Coach Néstor Gorosito will rely on a solid lineup to counter Deportivo Garcilaso’s threat. Their expected lineup includes:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Viscarra
• Defenders: Guillermo Enrique, Carlos Zambrano, Gianfranco Chavez, Miguel Trauco
• Midfielders: Fernando Gaibor, Alessandro Burlamaqui, Sergio Pena
• Forwards: Matias Succar, Hernan Barcos, Eryc Castillo

Key individual battles to watch include Barcos against Garcilaso’s central defenders. This match could see Barcos leveraging his strength and aerial prowess to find the net. Meanwhile, midfield dynamo Fernando Gaibor will aim to control the tempo and supply the forwards with crucial passes.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima faces some significant challenges heading into this match due to suspensions and injuries. Kevin Quevedo and Renzo Garces are both sidelined due to red card suspensions, which leaves some gaps in their usual defensive and attacking setup.

Injuries also loom large with Pablo Lavandeira out until late December due to a cruciate ligament injury. Additionally, Pedro Aquino, Paolo Guerrero, and Juan Delgado are all doubtful with respective tooth, ankle, and broken nose injuries.

These absences will test the depth and resilience of Néstor Gorosito’s squad. Adjustments in their lineup and strategy will be crucial to maintain their competitive edge and overcome Deportivo Garcilaso.

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Hernan Barcos
• Midfield Trio: Fernando Gaibor, Alessandro Burlamaqui, Sergio Pena
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: They tend to concede most goals in the 76-90 and 61-75-minute intervals, which might require bolstering their defense during these risky periods.

Coach Néstor Gorosito is expected to stick with the 4-3-3 formation, aiming to leverage their attacking prowess. The dynamic midfield trio of Gaibor, Burlamaqui, and Pena will be crucial in dictating the play and supplying the forwards. Their defense has shown resilience, thanks to solid performances by Guillermo Viscarra in goal and the backline of Enrique, Zambrano, Chavez, and Trauco. Despite missing some key players, they will aim to maintain their robust defense and capitalize on scoring opportunities, particularly during the critical 61-75 minute interval.

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso Recent Performance

Deportivo Garcilaso has demonstrated commendable consistency in their recent matches, holding a ‘WDDWD’ form. They are entering this fixture with a blend of determination and resilience, having avoided defeat in their last five games.

Their recent results are:

• Deportivo Garcilaso 1 – 1 Sport Huancayo
• Sport Boys 0 – 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
• Deportivo Garcilaso 1 – 1 Alianza Universidad
• Atletico Grau 1 – 1 Deportivo Garcilaso
• Deportivo Garcilaso 2 – 1 Cienciano

They have managed to score an average of 1.20 goals per game and kept one clean sheet in the last five outings. This indicates a knack for finding the net, albeit coupled with occasional defensive frailties. Coach Carlos Bustos will aim to harness this momentum and deliver a strong performance against Alianza Lima.

Deportivo Garcilaso Key Players

Deportivo Garcilaso’s strength lies in their collective effort, but certain players stand out in their lineup. Kevin Sandoval, the team’s top scorer with four goals, will undoubtedly be pivotal to their attacking ambitions. Sandoval’s finishing skills and ability to find spaces will be a continuous threat to Alianza Lima’s defense.

Coach Carlos Bustos is expected to field a strong lineup against Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Zubczuk
• Defenders: Erick Canales, Aldair Salazar, Juan Lojas, Orlando Nunez
• Midfielders: Carlos Beltran, Pablo Erustes, Nicolás Gómez
• Forwards: Francisco Arancibia, Ezequiel Naya, Kevin Sandoval

Watch out for Sandoval’s duel with Alianza Lima’s center-backs, as his ability to slip past defenders can create critical scoring opportunities. Patrick Zubczuk’s shot-stopping skills will also be crucial in keeping Deportivo Garcilaso in the game, especially facing a motivated Alianza Lima attack.

Deportivo Garcilaso Suspensions & Injuries

Fortunately for Deportivo Garcilaso, they head into this match with a clean bill of health and no suspensions. This provides coach Carlos Bustos the advantage of selecting from a full-strength squad.

With no injuries or suspensions to worry about, Garcilaso can focus on implementing their game plan without any significant hindrances. This could be pivotal in giving them the extra edge needed to secure a positive result against Alianza Lima. The availability of key players like Kevin Sandoval and Patrick Zubczuk enhances their chances of making a strong impact during the match.

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Kevin Sandoval
• Midfield Trio: Carlos Beltran, Pablo Erustes, Nicolás Gómez
• Defensive Strength: Consistent defensive performance, with only one clean sheet in the last five games indicating areas for improvement.
• Notable Strategy: Scoring most goals in the 61-75 minute interval this season.

Coach Carlos Bustos is likely to employ a 4-3-3 formation, which balances their attacking and defensive responsibilities. Kevin Sandoval will be the focal point of their attack, looking to exploit any gaps in Alianza Lima’s defense. The midfield trio of Beltran, Erustes, and Gómez will be essential in controlling the tempo and breaking up opposing play. Defensively, they must tighten up to withstand Alianza Lima’s offensive threats. The team’s strategy often peaks in the 61-75 minute mark, suggesting a tactical approach that builds up intensity gradually.

Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head Statistics

The history between Alianza Lima and Deportivo Garcilaso demonstrates a pattern favoring the home team. In their last five encounters, Alianza Lima has shown dominance, winning all matches:

• Deportivo Garcilaso 0 – 1 Alianza Lima (2025-04-15)
• Deportivo Garcilaso 1 – 2 Alianza Lima (2024-10-26)
• Alianza Lima 3 – 2 Deportivo Garcilaso (2024-05-20)
• Deportivo Garcilaso 0 – 1 Alianza Lima (2023-10-29)
• Alianza Lima 3 – 2 Deportivo Garcilaso (2023-06-11)

This record indicates that Alianza Lima often finds a way to edge out their opponents. However, the matches have typically been close, with Deportivo Garcilaso putting up a strong fight. Alianza Lima’s ability to secure crucial victories in these fixtures speaks volumes about their tactical prowess and resilience in high-pressure situations. But with both teams performing well this season, this head-to-head battle could be another tightly contested affair.

Odds accurate as of 09.12.2025 01:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.