Cruz Azul vs Puebla Prediction, Match Preview, Sunday, 18 January

Cruz Azul vs Puebla Prediction, Match Preview: As we look ahead to this Liga MX clash on Sunday, 18 January, Cruz Azul will host Puebla at Estadio Banorte. This matchup promises to be an intriguing encounter as both teams aim to make a strong impression early in the season. Cruz Azul, renowned for their solid home performances, will be eager to capitalise on their advantage at Estadio Banorte.

Puebla, meanwhile, will be looking to upset the hosts and secure valuable points on the road. With both teams keen to climb the Liga MX standings, this fixture is set to be a competitive battle. Fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see which side can seize the momentum and claim victory in this early-season encounter.

Cruz Azul vs Puebla Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Cruz Azul to Win	1.39

Given the current form and head-to-head statistics, our recommended betting tip is to back Cruz Azul to win. Cruz Azul’s recent performances and Puebla’s defensive struggles make this a strong choice.

• Cruz Azul have shown strong form with two wins and two draws in their last five matches.
• Puebla’s defence has been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match this season.
• Cruz Azul have a historical edge over Puebla, winning three of the last five meetings, including a recent 3-0 away victory.

Betting Odds

Cruz Azul are clear favourites in this Liga MX clash, with betting odds reflecting their strong home advantage at Estadio Banorte. With odds of 1.39, bookmakers are backing them to secure a win against Puebla, who are priced as outsiders at 6.68.

Betting Tip	Odds
Cruz Azul to win	1.39
Draw	4.58
Puebla to win	6.68

The draw is also an interesting option at 4.58, especially considering Puebla’s potential to cause an upset. For those looking at alternative markets, over 2.5 goals could offer value given both teams’ attacking capabilities.

Cruz Azul Analysis & Past Performance

Cruz Azul’s recent form has been inconsistent, with a fluctuating record of two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This includes a notable 2-0 victory against Atlas at home, showcasing their potential for defensive solidity and effective counter-attacks.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Cruz Azul	Atlas	2 – 0 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	14 Jan, 2026
Leon	Cruz Azul	2 – 1 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	11 Jan, 2026
Cruz Azul	Flamengo	1 – 2 (Loss)	FIFA Intercontinental Cup	10 Dec, 2025
Tigres	Cruz Azul	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	7 Dec, 2025
Cruz Azul	Tigres	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga MX Apertura Playoff	4 Dec, 2025

Recent Form:
In their last five games, Cruz Azul have averaged 1.20 goals per match, with a goals conceded average also standing at 1.20. Despite only one clean sheet, their ability to score in all five matches indicates a consistent attacking presence. However, their defence has shown vulnerabilities, conceding in four of these outings, which is a concern going forward.

Cruz Azul’s home form has been relatively stronger, with a 60% win ratio from their last five home games, including three victories. They have scored 16 goals while conceding 11 in their last ten matches, highlighting a tendency for high-scoring encounters. Key player Gabriel Fernández remains influential, contributing crucial goals that have kept Cruz Azul competitive.

Currently positioned 6th in the Liga MX standings with three points, Cruz Azul’s tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and creating opportunities through quick transitions. However, their defensive lapses and inconsistency in closing out games remain areas needing improvement to enhance their win ratio and climb the league table.

• WLLDD

Cruz Azul Suspensions & Injuries

Cruz Azul are missing several key players due to injuries, which could significantly impact their tactical approach against Puebla. Andrés Montaño is out with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return in late January 2026. His absence in defence is a considerable blow, likely forcing Nicolás Larcamón to rely on less experienced options. Kevin Mier’s leg injury sidelines him until early April, leaving a gap in goalkeeping depth, while Jesús Orozco’s broken ankle means he will not be available until early February.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Andrés Montaño	Cruciate ligament injury	Late January 2026
Kevin Mier	Leg injury	Early April 2026
Jesús Orozco	Broken ankle	Early February 2026

With Montaño unavailable, Cruz Azul may turn to Erik Lira to fill the defensive void, though this could affect their defensive solidity. The absence of Orozco may require a reshuffle in midfield, as his versatility will be missed, potentially prompting Larcamón to adjust the formation to a more conservative setup.

These injuries could influence Cruz Azul’s betting odds, as the team might struggle to maintain their usual defensive resilience. The tactical adjustments necessitated by these absences could lead to a more cautious approach against Puebla, possibly affecting their attacking output as well.

Cruz Azul Key Players

Cruz Azul’s attacking prowess is led by their top scorer Gabriel Fernández, who has already found the back of the net once this season. Fernández’s ability to exploit defensive gaps with his sharp movement and clinical finishing makes him a constant threat in and around the penalty area. His presence in the forward line is crucial for Cruz Azul as they aim to dominate Puebla.

In midfield, the tactical impact is expected to be shaped by the dynamic playmaker, whose vision and ability to control the tempo are vital for orchestrating Cruz Azul’s offensive plays. The midfield’s creativity is pivotal in linking play between defence and attack, providing Fernández with the service he needs to maximise scoring opportunities.

Defensively, the team’s strength lies in their ability to maintain a solid backline, with key players expected to provide resilience and composure. The defenders’ ability to thwart Puebla’s attacking threats will be integral to Cruz Azul’s strategy, ensuring they remain resolute and organised throughout the match.

Cruz Azul Tactics and Formation

Cruz Azul Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Gabriel Fernández
• Midfield Core: Jeremy Márquez and Carlos Rodríguez
• Defensive Solidity: Recent clean sheet against Atlas
• Notable Strategy: Strong pressing game and quick ball recovery

Cruz Azul are likely to adopt a 4-3-3 formation under coach Nicolás Larcamón, which emphasises a balance between defensive stability and attacking prowess. Key players like Jeremy Márquez and Carlos Rodríguez in midfield are crucial for maintaining possession and distributing the ball effectively. This setup allows them to control the tempo and transition smoothly from defence to attack.

Defensively, Cruz Azul’s recent performance against Atlas, where they secured a clean sheet, highlights their ability to maintain a solid defensive structure. The inclusion of players like Willer Ditta and Erik Lira in the backline ensures a robust defence, capable of handling pressure and limiting opposition chances.

Offensively, Gabriel Fernández remains a pivotal figure in the forward line, supported by dynamic wingers like Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi. The team’s strategy often revolves around a high pressing game to recover the ball quickly, allowing them to exploit spaces and create goal-scoring opportunities efficiently.

Puebla Analysis & Past Performance

Puebla have struggled to find consistent form recently, as evidenced by their last five matches, comprising two wins, two losses, and a draw. In their most recent outing, they secured a narrow 2-1 victory over Mazatlán FC, showcasing their ability to edge out close contests. However, a 1-0 loss to Atlas highlighted their challenges in offensive depth when under pressure.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Puebla	Mazatlán FC	2 – 1 (Win)	Liga MX Clausura	13 Jan 2026
Atlas	Puebla	1 – 0 (Loss)	Liga MX Clausura	10 Jan 2026
León	Puebla	1 – 2 (Win)	Liga MX Apertura	9 Nov 2025
Puebla	Cruz Azul	0 – 3 (Loss)	Liga MX Apertura	1 Nov 2025
FC Juárez	Puebla	4 – 4 (Draw)	Liga MX Apertura	25 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
Offensively, Puebla average 1.60 goals per game across their last five matches, indicating moderate attacking capabilities. Unfortunately, their defence has been less reliable, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game, and they have yet to register a clean sheet during this period. Their defensive vulnerabilities are further reflected in their away form, where they have won only once in their last ten away fixtures, with a win ratio of just 0.10.

In terms of team dynamics, Esteban Lozano has emerged as a key player, leading the scoring with crucial goals. Despite this, the team remain in the lower half of the Liga MX standings, positioned 12th with a win ratio of 0.21 for the season. This highlights the need for improved defensive solidity and greater consistency in performances if they are to climb the league table.

• WLWLD

Puebla Suspensions & Injuries

Puebla face significant challenges ahead of their match against Cruz Azul due to key injuries. Fernando Aristeguieta’s absence with a fractured foot leaves a noticeable gap in their attacking options. His physical presence and ability to hold up play will be missed, potentially impacting Puebla’s offensive dynamics.

Similarly, Lucas Cavallini’s cruciate ligament injury rules him out until late March 2026, further diminishing Puebla’s attacking depth. Cavallini’s prowess in front of goal and his experience in crucial matches are irreplaceable for Hernán Cristante’s side.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Fernando Aristeguieta	Fractured foot	Unknown
Lucas Cavallini	Cruciate ligament injury	Late March 2026

The absence of these forwards necessitates tactical adjustments. Coach Hernán Cristante may need to rely more on players like Emiliano Gómez and Esteban Lozano to step up. Both are capable but lack the experience and proven track record of the injured duo, possibly affecting Puebla’s ability to convert chances.

These injuries may influence betting markets, as the lack of key attacking players could lower Puebla’s chances of securing a win. Bettors might see this as an opportunity to favour Cruz Azul, who will be facing a weakened Puebla side.

Puebla Key Players

Puebla will be looking to their top scorer Esteban Lozano, who has managed to find the back of the net once this season, to spearhead their attack. Lozano’s ability to exploit spaces and his clinical finishing make him a constant threat in the attacking third. His role is pivotal, especially in breaking down the robust defences of teams like Cruz Azul.

In midfield, Puebla rely on dynamic playmakers who can dictate the tempo and create opportunities. The midfield acts as the engine room, providing both defensive cover and attacking impetus. Their ability to transition quickly from defence to attack could be a tactical asset against Cruz Azul.

Defensively, Puebla’s backline will need to be resolute against Cruz Azul’s attacking prowess. The defenders are tasked with maintaining a solid structure and minimising errors that could lead to scoring opportunities for the opposition.

The interplay between these key players is crucial for Puebla’s tactical approach, focusing on swift counter-attacks and solid defensive organisation. This strategic setup aims to maximise their strengths while mitigating vulnerabilities.

Puebla Tactics and Formation

Puebla Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Esteban Lozano
• Midfield Pivot: Alejandro Organista and Luis Gabriel Rey
• Defensive Concern: Zero clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: High pressing with quick transitions.

Puebla’s likely 4-3-3 formation under Hernán Cristante emphasises offensive agility and midfield control. With Alejandro Organista and Luis Gabriel Rey orchestrating the midfield, Puebla aim to maintain possession and facilitate swift ball distribution to the wings.

Defensively, Puebla’s backline, featuring Nicolás Díaz and Brayan Garnica, have struggled to achieve clean sheets, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in recent matches. This vulnerability could be a critical weakness against Cruz Azul’s attacking prowess.

Offensively, the team lean on Esteban Lozano, their top scorer, to lead the attack. Puebla’s strategy often involves high pressing and rapid transitions, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses by the opposition. However, their away form remains a concern, with only one win in their last five away fixtures.

Cruz Azul vs Puebla Head-to-Head Record

Cruz Azul and Puebla have faced off 47 times, with Cruz Azul holding the advantage with 20 wins compared to Puebla’s 12, and 15 matches ending in a draw. Their last meeting saw Cruz Azul secure a convincing 3-0 victory away at Puebla in the Liga MX Apertura.

The last time Cruz Azul hosted Puebla in Liga MX was in January 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw. Historically, Cruz Azul have been strong at home against Puebla, and they’ll be looking to maintain that trend in this upcoming clash.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Competition	Date
Puebla	Cruz Azul	0 – 3	Liga MX Opening	2025-11-01
Cruz Azul	Puebla	1 – 1	Liga MX Closing	2025-01-25
Puebla	Cruz Azul	1 – 2	Liga MX Opening	2024-10-19
Puebla	Cruz Azul	0 – 1	Liga MX Closing	2024-04-13
Cruz Azul	Puebla	1 – 2	Liga MX Opening	2023-11-13