Fortaleza vs. Gremio Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 9 November 2025

The clash between Fortaleza and Gremio in Serie A promises to be a tight affair as both sides have plenty to fight for this late in the season. Fortaleza, sitting in the 19th position with 29 points, are battling to climb out of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, Gremio, in 14th place with 39 points, aim to secure their position in the league.

Despite being the bookmaker’s favourites with odds of 1.96, Fortaleza’s home form has been a mixed bag. Their average of 0.60 goals scored in the last five games highlights their struggle in front of the net. Gremio, with odds of 3.79 to win, have also faced recent challenges, especially on the road, evidenced by their up-and-down form.

Significant injuries could shape this game, with both teams missing several key players. However, we recommend a bet on a draw given both teams’ inconsistency and defensive issues.

Expect a hard-fought contest with everything on the line for both sides.

Fortaleza vs Gremio Prediction & Betting Tip

Fortaleza vs Gremio Prediction
Betting Tip
Draw

Both Fortaleza and Gremio have their respective motivations heading into this match on 9 November 2025. Fortaleza is desperately trying to escape the relegation zone, while Gremio aims to secure their position in Serie A. Considering their recent form—Fortaleza with a single win in the last five games and Gremio struggling on the road—a draw seems the most likely outcome.

Reasons why a draw is a smart bet:

• Both teams have important injuries that might impact their performance.
• Gremio’s poor away record and Fortaleza’s fight for survival.
• Fortaleza’s struggle in front of goal while Gremio has had an inconsistent run.

Given these factors, betting on a draw (odds: 3.34) is our recommended tip.

Fortaleza vs Gremio Odds

This upcoming Serie A match between Fortaleza and Gremio sees the home side as slight favourites according to the bookmakers. Despite their struggles and current position near the bottom of the table, Fortaleza is given an edge, likely due to their home advantage and Gremio’s inconsistency away from home.

Fortaleza vs Gremio Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Fortaleza	1.96
Draw	3.34
Gremio	3.79

These odds reflect the tight nature of the contest and the individual challenges both teams face. With Fortaleza desperate for points to escape relegation and Gremio looking to stabilize their mid-table position, a closely contested game is on the cards. The odds for a draw at 3.34 present a reasonable value bet given the circumstances.

Fortaleza Team Analysis

Fortaleza Recent Performance LLDWP

Fortaleza has had a challenging season, and their recent form reflects the uphill battle they’re facing. With a record of two draws, one win, and two losses in their last five matches, they’ve struggled to find consistency. This recent form includes:

• Ceara 1 – 1 Fortaleza (2025-11-06)
• Santos FC 1 – 1 Fortaleza (2025-11-01)
• Fortaleza 1 – 0 Flamengo (2025-10-25)
• Cruzeiro 1 – 0 Fortaleza (2025-10-19)
• Fortaleza 0 – 2 Vasco da Gama (2025-10-16)

Fortaleza’s average of 0.60 goals scored over these five games highlights their issues in attack, while managing just one clean sheet underlines their defensive vulnerabilities. As they sit in 19th place with 29 points, each game is critical for their attempt to escape the relegation zone.

The upcoming match against Gremio presents yet another tough challenge, but Fortaleza will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage to turn their fortunes around.

Fortaleza Key Players

Key to Fortaleza’s performance will be their top scorer Breno Lopes, who has netted 5 goals this season. His ability to break through defenses will be crucial, especially against a Gremio side that can be resilient at the back. Midfielders Lucas Sasha and Pierre will play pivotal roles in controlling the tempo of the game, aiming to provide the necessary support for the forwards.

Another critical player is the goalkeeper Brenno Costa, who will need to put in an excellent performance to keep Gremio’s attackers at bay. Defensive solidity from Emanuel Britez and Gaston Avila will also be essential to withstand Gremio’s offensive threats.

Expected lineup for Fortaleza:

• Goalkeeper: Brenno Costa
• Defenders: Eros Mancuso, Emanuel Britez, Gaston Avila, Bruno Pacheco
• Midfielders: Lucas Sasha, Pierre, Tomas Pochettino
• Forwards: Jose Herrera, Adam Bareiro, Breno Lopes

The battle between Breno Lopes and Gremio’s defenders, particularly Walter Kannemann, will be one to watch.

Fortaleza Suspensions & Injuries

Fortaleza will be heading into this critical match without several key players due to injuries, which could significantly affect their performance. Key absences include:

• Bruninho (Thigh injury)
• Emmanuel Martinez (Thigh injury)
• Marcelo Benevenuto (Thigh injury)
• Weverson (Thigh injury)
• Joao Ricardo (Shoulder injury, out for season)
• Allanzinho (Thigh injury)
• Marinho (Sprained ankle)
• Rodrigo Santos (Sprained knee)

All these players are expected to return in mid to late November, except for Joao Ricardo who is out for the season.

These absences, particularly in defence and midfield, could hamper Fortaleza’s already challenging task of securing points. Coach Martin Palermo will need to rely heavily on his available squad to step up in this crucial tie against Gremio.

Fortaleza Tactics and Formation

Under the guidance of Martin Palermo, Fortaleza typically lines up in a 4-3-3 formation, focusing on a balance between defence and attack. They aim to control the midfield while relying on quick transitions to penetrate opposing defenses.

Fortaleza Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Breno Lopes (5 goals this season)
• Midfield Trio: Lucas Sasha, Pierre, Tomas Pochettino
• Defensive Strength: Recorded 1 clean sheet in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wing play, utilizing the pace of their forwards during counter-attacks.

Given their recent struggle to find the net (average 0.60 goals in the last five matches), Fortaleza will need a concerted effort from both midfield and attack to break through Gremio’s defense. Defensively, the back four will have to step up significantly to keep Gremio at bay, especially considering their injury-ridden squad.

Gremio Team Analysis

Gremio Recent Performance

Gremio’s recent performances have been a mixed bag, reflecting their mid-table instability as they currently hold 14th place with 39 points. Their last five matches have seen two wins and three losses:

• Gremio 0 – 1 Cruzeiro (2025-11-05)
• Corinthians 2 – 0 Gremio (2025-11-02)
• Gremio 3 – 1 Juventude (2025-10-26)
• Bahia 4 – 0 Gremio (2025-10-19)
• Gremio 2 – 0 Sao Paulo (2025-10-16)

With an average of 1 goal scored and only one clean sheet in their last five games, Gremio’s form on the road leaves much to be desired. This inconsistent run highlights their defensive vulnerabilities and the challenge they face in maintaining a steady form away from home.

As they prepare to face Fortaleza, Gremio’s need for a positive result is evident. However, their inconsistency, especially in away games, remains a significant hurdle to overcome.

Gremio Key Players

Key to Gremio’s performance will be the contributions from several of their standout players. With Martin Braithwaite, their top scorer with 6 goals, sidelined due to an Achilles tendon injury, the responsibility will likely shift to players like Carlos Vinicius in the forward position. Vinicius has shown promise and will need to step up in the attack.

The midfield is anchored by Dodi and Arthur, who will be crucial in maintaining possession and creating opportunities. Defensively, Walter Kannemann will be key in holding the backline together, especially given Gremio’s recent defensive fragility.

Expected lineup for Gremio:

• Goalkeeper: Tiago Volpi
• Defenders: Joao Lucas, Erick Noriega, Walter Kannemann, Marlon
• Midfielders: Dodi, Arthur, Edenilson, Alysson Edward, Francis Amuzu
• Forward: Carlos Vinicius

The clash between Breno Lopes and Gremio’s defenders, particularly Kannemann, will be a critical battle to watch.

Gremio Suspensions & Injuries

Gremio will have to navigate this match without several key players due to significant injuries and suspensions, which could substantially affect their squad depth and performance. Notable absences include:

• Rodrigo Ely (Cruciate ligament injury)
• Mathías Villasanti (Cruciate ligament injury, out for the season)
• Fabian Balbuena (Broken ankle)
• Martin Braithwaite (Achilles tendon injury, out for the season)
• Joao Pedro (Shoulder injury, out for the season)
• Willian (Broken foot)
• Marcos Rocha (Thigh injury)
• Alex Santana (Muscle injury)
• Riquelme Freitas (Ankle injury, out for the season)

In addition to these injuries, Cristian Pavon will miss the match due to a suspension for accumulating yellow cards. These absences could hamper Gremio’s performance, particularly in defence and attack, making it crucial for the available players to step up against Fortaleza.

Gremio Tactics and Formation

Under Sidnei Lobo, Gremio typically deploys a 4-2-3-1 formation, aiming for a solid defensive structure while providing ample support for the lone striker.

Gremio Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Carlos Vinicius (stepping in for the injured Martin Braithwaite)
• Midfield Duo: Dodi, Arthur
• Defensive Setup: 1 clean sheet in the last 5 games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on a strong midfield presence and quick counter-attacks

Despite injuries to key players like Martin Braithwaite and Rodrigo Ely, Gremio will look to control the midfield battle through Dodi and Arthur, while their defense, led by Walter Kannemann, will aim to thwart Fortaleza’s attacking efforts. The tactical flexibility allows them to switch between defensive solidity and quick transitions, making them unpredictable opponents.

Expect Gremio to rely heavily on their midfield dynamism and defensive resilience to absorb pressure and exploit counter-attacking opportunities.

Fortaleza vs Gremio Head-to-Head Statistics

Examining the recent head-to-head encounters between Fortaleza and Gremio reveals a tightly contested rivalry. Their last five meetings have produced closely fought matches, with results that include:

• Gremio 2 – 1 Fortaleza (2025-07-29, Serie A)
• Gremio 3 – 1 Fortaleza (2024-10-05, Serie A)
• Fortaleza 1 – 0 Gremio (2024-06-19, Serie A)
• Fortaleza 1 – 1 Gremio (2023-09-30, Serie A)
• Gremio 0 – 0 Fortaleza (2023-05-14, Serie A)

Out of these matches, Gremio has had the upper hand, securing three wins, while Fortaleza managed one win and one draw. This head-to-head record suggests Gremio might have a psychological advantage going into this fixture.

However, given the current form and context, the match could very well be another tight contest. Each team will be keen to secure points, with Fortaleza battling to avoid relegation and Gremio striving for stability in the league standings.

Odds accurate as of 07/11/2025 23:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.