Horse Racing Betting Tips & Bookmaker Offers
Bettingexpert brings you horse racing betting tips from one of the UK's best racing tipsters, Stephen Harris. Stephen has been posting his daily selections exclusive to bettingexpert since 2012 with a devoted following of punters around the world heeding his horse racing betting tips each day, joining Stephen and bettingexpert is a partnership in profit. Get Stephen's tips now.
But it's not only profitable free horse racing tips available at.bettingexpert, you can also take advantage of a range of great horse racing free bets and promotions. Check our current listing of horse racing offers and enhance your chances of making money following free horse racing tips at bettingexpert.
Daily Horse Racing Betting Tips - by Stephen Harris
With over 20 years experience in the racing industry, Stephen Harris is now one of the UK's best horse racing tipsters, with a certified record of delivering profitable racing tips for over five years. Follow Stephen's popular Daily Nap and Value Angle horse racing betting tips each day exclusive to bettingexpert.
HORSE RACING BETTING TIPS OVERALL STATS
|Selection||Tips||Winners||Winning %||Stakes||Profit||% Return|
|20 October 2018||Ascot||1.25||Stradivarius||2.0|
Today's Daily Nap analysis by Stephen Harris
John Gosden’s top class stayer has won all four starts this summer in brilliant style, all on fast ground, and he can complete the perfect season here at a track that suits ideally (showed softer conditons hold no terrors when a close third to the odds-on Order of St George in 2017)
Daily Nap Results - Horse Racing Betting Tips - October 2018
|18th October 2018||Water Diviner||5.0||WON|
|17th October 2018||Dorah||2.0||2nd|
|16th October 2018||Faro Angel||5.50||WON|
|15th October 2018||K Rock||Abnd|
|14th October 2018||Sir Busker||4.30||2nd|
|13th October 2018||Waldstern||4.0||Unplaced|
|12th October 2018||D'Bai||4.30||3rd|
|11th October 2018||Epona||2.60||WON|
|10th October 2018||Swindler||3.0||3rd|
|9th October 2018||Machell Place||3.50||3rd|
|8th October 2018||Politicise||3.50||2nd|
|7th October 2018||Anytime Will Do||1.70||WON|
|6th October 2018||First Eleven||2.50||3rd|
|5th October 2018||Austrian School||6.0||3rd|
|4th October 2018||Algaffaal||2.50||Unplaced|
|3rd October 2018||Gravina||5.0||Unplaced|
|2nd October 2018||Firewater||4.0||WON|
|1st October 2018||Sharja Silk||1.50||2nd|
|20 October 2018||Ascot||4.30||Mitchum Swagger||17.0|
Today's Value analysis by Stephen Harris
Ralph Beckett’s 6-y-o comes here fresher than most after just two runs this season, and he seems sure to go very close (with some luck in running in a huge field under his usual hold up ride from Harry Bentley).
Value Angle Results - Horse Racing Betting Tips - October 2018
|18th October 2018||Conferie||11.0||WON|
|17th October 2018||Improvising||13.0||Unplaced|
|16th October 2018||Lord Oberon||NR|
|15th October 2018||London Rock||Abnd|
|14th October 2018||Grandstand||9.0||Unplaced|
|13th October 2018||Advertise||9.0||2nd|
|12th October 2018||Sunday Star||7.50||3rd|
|11th October 2018||Guiding Star||17.0||Unplaced|
|10th October 2018||Autumn Flight||9.0||Unplaced|
|9th October 2018||War Chariot||6.0||Unplaced|
|8th October 2018||Bid Adieu||7.0||Unplaced|
|7th October 2018||Third Estate||4.0||WON|
|6th October 2018||Muthmir||6.0||Unplaced|
|5th October 2018||Ortiz||5.50||Unplaced|
|4th October 2018||Space Talk||7.0||WON|
|3rd October 2018||Muthhila||13.0||Unplaced|
|2nd October 2018||The Last Debutante||13.0||Unplaced|
|1st October 2018||Straighttothepoint||11.0||Unplaced|
Why should you follow our horse racing betting tips?
- Best bet of the day at the available price
- High strike rate of over 35% since launch in 2011
- ROI of a steady 15%
- Losing runs are thankfully short
- Endorsed by the Secret Betting Club
- Numerous punter testimonials
- Does mean backing horses at short prices under 2/1 a lot of the time
- Prices can shorten quickly in the morning as our popularity has increased
- Searching for winners in the 4/1-50/1 price range away from the front of the market
- Excellent ROI since the service was launched in 2011
- Strike rate of 15% is respectable given the larger odds we are seeking out
- Huge following every morning and endorsed year on year by the Secret Betting Club
- Numerous punter testimonials from those seeking free racing tips on twitter
- Prices, particularly among big priced runners, are hard to obtain and disappear fast in the mornings
- Losing runs can be long and quite common which does mean a patient mentality is needed
Top 5 Horse Racing Betting Tips
The bettingexpert Daily Nap has developed a great following since launch in October of 2011, with a win rate just under 40% and boasting a ROI at advertised prices of near 10%. With over 2,000 horse racing naps selected and backed so far, it's a pretty good sample size from which to judge this free service. Here we take a behind the scenes look and discuss the five keys to consistently finding profitable horse racing betting tips, day in, day out.
#1- Find a suitable race type and quickly eliminate races unsuitable for betting on
We recommend avoiding huge fields as a general rule especially over jumps, where 7/1 (8.0) the field races generally make little appeal value wise, while it is just guesswork as to how the race will be run and the margins between victory and defeat are tiny.
We suggest betting in lower grade races where there are a few realistic contenders and it is easier to price up the contest without fear of the unknown. Novice hurdles and chases have proved particularly profitable for us, while 3-y-o+ maidens on the turf and all-weather also offer excellent opportunities to be ahead of the market.
#2- Try to identify a "weak link" in the chain at the front of the market
Often the key to finding value in these type of races is to play against something that is under-priced and at the head (or close to) of the market. This might be a horse who has won all his last few races on testing ground but now faces rapidly drying conditions, or one that was very well drawn against the favoured rail when "winning impressively" last time out.
Finding an edge that others may not be aware of is getting harder and harder, and certainly all pricing "errors" tend to be ironed out close to the off, so it is important to be able to spot these ricks early on and take advantage.
As the Daily Nap has increased in popularity there is certainly downward pressure on prices on the exchanges and with the bookmakers as soon as the selection goes up (pre 8am), so it is important to shop around and try to attain the best price possible quickly.
#3- Focus on in-form smaller stables and try to avoid the big names who are often overbet
"Names" such as Paul Nicholls, Ruby Walsh or Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes have huge stables and a huge following as a result. They tend to plunder plenty of the top prizes, but rarely offer much in the way of value at the lower end of the spectrum.
Far better then to identify young, up-and-coming stables with decent strike rates at an early stage. We positively look to be with horses trained by people like David O'Meara, Anthony Honeyball, Jeremy Scott, Harry Fry etc etc that we think are destined for the top and are expert at placing their runners to win.
Finding these stables before everyone else is a vital help to finding winners at decent prices away from the obvious.
#4- Always look for prices over "fancies" and solid reasoning as to why that price might be too big
At the end of the day it's all about prices. Anybody can simply tip up favourites and have a win rate of around 35% over time. However, making a profit is the point of the whole game, and forming one's own idea of the market before looking at the exchange price is crucially important.
For example, a novice hurdle looks a straight match between the unbeaten "hyped" up JP/Jonjo/McCoy novice and a solid handicapper who has run with credit in midfield in some big field valuable prizes all season. Pricing it up blind the night before and assuming the ground will ride as forecast, we make the two principals 11-8 (2.38) joint favourites and 12-1 (13.0) bar. Looking at the morning exchange market shows that the "name" horse is 10-11 (1.91) and the other "runner" available at 9-4 (3.25). It is quite simple that the 9-4 chance has to be the percentage call.
Whilst always respecting that the money on the exchange is rarely wildly misplaced, it is well worth trying to get 2-1+ about our preference. Come the off later on, very often the market will have corrected itself, with the favourite now 5-4 (2.25) and our pick 13-8 (2.63). This is a tick in the win column already and will, over time, lead to long term profitability.
#5- Try to work out how a race will be run and make sure it will suit our selection
The shape of the race is massively important, particularly over jumps, but it is often overlooked by people putting up horses. Our favourite angle is to play in races where we think there will be a pace duel on the lead, with several horses wanting to front-run and dominate. In soft ground especially, this can lead to stayers being dragged in from rear as the leaders tire.
To play the flip side of this, seemingly "impressive" winners can often be extremely flattered visually when the leaders go off too hard, and should be opposed next time out. Take the Cheltenham Festival for example, year after year the horses who run well at the meeting do so again, often benefiting from very fast run, big field races that they do not encounter for the rest of the season at this uniquely undulating course.
What's the Best Horse Racing Bookmaker?
You can find out in our horse racing bookies reviews section, where we consider many factors, including free bets availability, live horse racing streaming, and whether they are best for beginners or professional punters. Below you can see our three current recommendations for following our horse racing betting tips each day, read the reviews and make your own choices!
|Read Bet365 Review here||Read William Review Here||Read Matchbook Review Here|
|Offers and promotions available||Every race priced up and bet size compare well with others||Unlimited and unrestricted bet size with the exchange model|
|bet365 Promo Code||Secure site with well established security and rules.||Ability to trade with other punters and profit out of that|
|Best for: All kinds of racing punters||Best for: ante-post betting and racing punters||Best for: professional punters|
|Rating: 37/50||Rating: 36/50||Rating: 39/50|
If you now wonder which bookmaker offer the best odds guaranted, we recommend you to read this article.
How To Become A Horse Racing Tipster
The best tipsters are the ones that have stood the test of time, remained consistent and been open about their profits and losses (and have the results verified independently). At bettingexpert our free racing tips are up every morning before 8am, and have a ROI of over 10% from over four years of racing tipping.
But what does it take to become a successful racing tipster? What are the keys to posting consistently profitable horse racing betting tips? Here are 10 pointers to guide you in the right direction.
#1 - Specialise in a certain area of racing
Any aspiring racing tipster should become an expert in one particular field of horse racing. Whether it is 2-year-olds on the flat, or novice hurdlers over jumps, it is important to become better than the market with your understanding of the formbook.
Look for angles that might lead to horses being overbet next time i.e the wide margin winner in really deep ground that is flattered, or the horse making all the running against a favoured rail on the day. There is so much racing day to day now (especially in the summer when evening racing takes place six days a week in the UK), that it is impossible to understand every area of the sport.
#2 - Look for weakness at the front end of the market
The weak favourite who takes a chunk out of the market is a great thing to be able to identify as a tipster. Often these will be from the top yards, particularly in maidens and novice hurdles, where cash tends to flow towards the high achieving stables.
On the flat names such as Sir Michael Stoute often have market leaders in races based on breeding or purchase price, not their actual form in the book. They are priced on sentiment rather than what they have achieved, and becoming good at finding these weak links in the market can pinpoint the best races to tip in.
#3- Latch onto up and coming yards and jockeys
Everyone has heard of Paul Nicholls and John Gosden, but have they heard of Henry Oliver or Hugo Palmer? The astute tipster notes a new yard that has a good strike rate and can obtain excellent value by latching onto an up and coming stable before the wider market catches up.
#4 - Avoid hype and whispers at all costs
Keep your eyes open and your ears shut. Anyone in racing will know that whispers and rumours are rife. By the time you hear that a certain horse is working brilliantly or the stable lad has had his maximum on, the business is highly likely to be shopped and the price long gone....even if it happens to be true.
Any tipster aiming for profit should be using his own opinion, from hours of watching races, making ratings and keeping notes...not from a whisper he has heard in the local pub.
#5- Play each-way when the odds are in your favour
Look for races with 8 runners where the bookmakers pay 1/5th the odds a place 1,2,3 where there are very few realistic runners. The same can apply in 16 or more runner handicaps, where 1/4 the odds a place 1,2,3,4 are terms that are mathematically hugely in the punters favour.
Focusing in on the best races to play in is half the battle, and some offering expert racing tips base their main bets on finding these races (admittedly it is very difficult to get on, with the exchanges now flagging up the correct price to be placed and it is often a lot less than what conventional bookmakers are offering).
#6 - Look for any track bias and keep a record
Identifying a bias can be a key element in a tipsters repertoire. Some are well known and priced into the markets, for example a low draw at the tight Chester track is a huge advantage and those drawn in 1,2,3 are always a lot shorter than their form entitles them to be.
But others are less obvious or in the public domain. At Fontwell for example it is often a big edge to go wide away from the deepest ground in the winter, but very few riders are aware of this. Jockeys such as Andrew Thornton always walk the course beforehand, and this sort of knowledge can be crucial when searching for winners away from the obvious.
#7- Check the weather and going reports
If you're offering professional racing tips, it's important every morning to be aware of the latest ground conditions and weather. A dramatic change can completely effect the claims of all the runners, especially a dramatic softening of the ground when all your selections form is on a fast surface.
Using twitter to follow the various racetracks is a great idea, and all have got a lot better in recent times at keeping the public fully informed of any changes. See my twitter feed @stephenh61 for a great list of racing people and organisations that are worth following to gain that vital edge. Identifying great sources for inside opinion will give you a huge advantage. There are plenty offering racing tips on Twitter, but seek out Twitter accounts that offer more than just telling you who to back as most will simply not be profitable long term. Information is key.
#8 - Tip prices that are available and not just with small firms and likely to disappear
One major problem punters have (and complain about when they review a tipster) is that the prices tipped up are not widely available. Often popular tipsters such as pricewise in the Racing Post will put up horses that are a standout price with one of the smaller layers i.e 16/1 with Boylesports, when the biggest price elsewhere might be 12/1. Profits are therefore based on prices that simply are not available to 99% of punters and even in tiny size to the 1% who can get a bet there.
The professional racing tipster should aim to offer horse racing tips up at prices that are available with two or three of the major firms such as William Hill, Coral or Betfred...and there is certainly little point in tipping up arbs with the Betfair price (as they will disappear within seconds).
#9 - Don't boom the winners or look for blame elsewhere when it goes wrong
Another pet hate is tipsters who feel the need to "BOOM" every time they find a 4/5 (1.80) winner. If you are any good as a racing tipster the results will speak for themselves, and often those who shout the loudest will have the least to say (and will disappear altogether after a poor run of form).
There are plenty of fly by night merchants looking for gullible customers, and these tend to be the ones who exaggerate the success of their tips and shout the loudest when they win. Avoid them at all costs....and try to develop a calm, measured attitude to tipping based on form and sound principals.
#10 - Have a thick skin and ignore the brickbats
As a professional racing tipster, the criticisms will come thick and fast when you encounter the inevitable losing run, with plenty of places where irate punters can now vent their spleen. You are likely to be called names, told you are useless and should give the game up.....but it is best to ignore these screams and concentrate on finding winners without feeling pressurised or tempted to change your methods. Remember that you're posting racing tips for today, not yesterday or last week. Remain in the present with an eye on future success.
Even the best judges of form, such as the excellent Hugh Taylor on Attheraces (the best all-weather judge in the business in my opinion), have spells when the trail goes cold and the losses can pile up. Try to take a long run view, keep records month to month, and try not to doubt yourself when things are not going your way.
Long term profitability is the key and at the end of the year you can truly judge the merits of any racing tipster.
Horse Racing Fixtures 2018
Here you can find a comprehensive list of horse racing fixtures for 2018. Our horse racing calendar highlights the biggest horse racing fixtures throughout the year including dates for the Cheltenham Festival, Royal Ascot and the Grand National.
Our horse racing fixture list includes all the big UK racing, so you'll never miss your favourite races ever again.
Horse Racing Calendar 2018
|Racing Event||Race Date||Race Venue||Live Streaming|
|Cheltenham Festival 2018 - Champion Day 1||13 March '18||Cheltenham, UK|
|Cheltenham Festival 2018 - Ladies Day 2||14 March '18||Cheltenham, UK|
|Cheltenham Festival 2018 - St. Patrick's Thursday - Day 3||15 March '18||Cheltenham, UK|
|Cheltenham Festival 2018 - Gold Cup Day 4||16 March '18||Cheltenham, UK|
|The Grand National 2018||12-14 April '18||Aintree, UK|
|Coral Scottish Grand National Meeting 2018||21-22 April '18||Ayr, UK|
|Boodles May Festival 2018||9-11 May '18||Chester, UK|
|Royal Ascot 2018||19-23 June '18||Ascot, UK|
|Qatar Goodwood Festival 2018||31-04 August '18||Goodwood, UK|
|Ebor Meeting 2018||22-25 August '18||York, UK|
|St Leger Festival 2018||12-15 September '18||Doncaster, UK|
|William Hill Ayr Gold Cup 2018||20-22 September '18||Ayr, UK|
|British Champions Day 2018||20 October '18||Ascot, UK|
|Autumn Afternoon Meeting 2018||26-27 October '18||Doncaster, UK|
"My name is Stephen Harris and I'm the resident horse racing expert here at bettingexpert. With over 20 years of industry experience as an on-course bookmaker, trader at Sporting Index and UKbetting, as well as being a professional punter, my job is to guide your horse racing betting and help you win more money!
Browse through my latest horse racing betting tips, insider horse racing news and find links to upcoming or running events, blogs, interviews and also feel free to send me a Tweet.
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