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MLB Predictions and Betting Tips 2024

Check out our MLB predictions and find the latest baseball picks from expert tipsters in the bettingexpert community. All of our tips are user generated and 100% free of charge! The 2024 MLB season will be exciting to watch starting on March 20 and ending on September 30. 

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MLB Picks For Today

The MLB season has been going on for around 20 rounds. During this period, we could see many matches full of passion. Right now, the MLB teams are about to play a series of three games. The schedule matches some teams of different rankings.

While this week may not feature some of the biggest derbies, our MLB betting tips have singled out two games we believe will be fascinating to watch. First, we have a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers clash.

MLB expert picks

The National League giants will face each other in a tough game. They both have the same number of wins. In addition, the Pirates have two more lost games in comparison to the Brewers. Still, this will not stop the Pirates from trying to take their home-ground advantage.

With two more wins and one more loss than the Reds, the Phillies will enter their new game as a lightweight favourite. Of course, the rankings of these teams are not the highest. Regardless of that, the Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies duel will be full of strong battles.

The gap between these teams in the table is not too large. You can check more details about these games in our predictions. The predictions contain tips and explanations related to the form of these teams as well as other key aspects of the game.

Our professional betting tipsters will also post their reviews on MLB Expert Insights.

MLB Season 2024 Expert Picks

MLB computer picks are a huge thing in betting but the only thing that matters is winning which our experts are doing. We cover all the games so you can make your MLB bets more accurate. Analytics are very important in baseball and you can find everything you need on bettingexpert. MLB is divided into two leagues, the American League and National League which are also divided into East, Central, and West.

American League

American League East American League Central American League West
Baltimore Orioles Chicago White Sox Houston Astros
Boston Red Sox Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels
New York Yankees Detroit Tigers Oakland Athletics
Tampa Bay Rays Kansas City Royals Seattle Mariners
Toronto Blue Jays Minnesota Twins Texas Rangers

National League

National League East National League Central National League West
Atlanta Braves Chicago Cubs Arizona Diamondbacks
Miami Marlins Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies
New York Mets Milwaukee Brewers Los Angeles Dodgers
Philadelphia Phillies Pittsburgh Pirates San Diego Padres
Washington Nationals St. Louis Cardinals San Francisco Giants

MLB Betting Stats

If you want to improve your betting returns, a good place to start is to analyse a large sample size of MLB betting stats. Doing so can help you find angles and biases that other tipsters and bettors simply do not consider. Here we will take a look at MLB stats dating back to the 2007 season beginning with a situational analysis of straight up win-loss results.

Straight Up Win-Loss MLB Stats

The table below shows win-loss percentages for teams in a range of situations. For example, we can see that home teams win almost 54% of games. This represents a home field advantage that is less than that of the NFL where home teams win around 57% of their games.

One factor that is often discussed when it comes to MLB expert picks is rest. We can see that while there is no distinct advantage for a team coming off a number of days rest, there is an advantage when a team has had more rest than their opponents, with such teams winning over 51% of their games. It’s only a slight advantage, but a factor to keep in mind when betting on MLB fixtures.

Situation WIN PCT LOSS PCT
Home Teams 53.9% 46.1%
Away Teams 46.1% 53.9%
Favourites 57.6% 42.4%
Underdogs 42.4% 57.6%
Home Favourites 58.5% 41.5%
Home Underdogs 44.3% 55.7%
Away Favourites 55.7% 44.3%
Away Underdogs 41.5% 58.5%
After A Win 51.2% 48.8%
After A Loss 48.8% 51.2%
After 1 Days Rest 50.4% 49.6%
After 2 or 3 Days Rest 50.1% 49.9%
After 4 or More Days Rest 50.5% 49.5%
With More Rest 51.4% 48.6%

Run Line MLB Stats

Run lines are a popular way of betting on MLB games. A run line is essentially a 1.5 run handicap given to the favourite and a 1.5 run advantage given to the underdog. While we can see distinct advantages for teams in certain situations, such as underdogs playing away from home, we do need to consider the betting odds for these games, as run line odds can vary from between 1.50 and 2.50 rather than the standard 1.90 for handicaps for the NFL and NBA.

Situation RUN LINE WIN PCT RUN LINE LOSS PCT
Home Teams 45.8% 54.2%
Away Teams 54.2% 45.8%
Favourites 41.6% 58.4%
Underdogs 58.4% 41.6%
Home Favourites 40.6% 59.4%
Home Underdogs 49.4% 50.6%
Away Favourites 56.5% 43.5%
Away Underdogs 59.4% 40.6%
After A Win 49.5% 50.5%
After A Loss 50.5% 49.5%

Over Under MLB Stats

Run totals for matches vary from 8 runs to 10 runs. Can we see any distinct biases in MLB run total betting? While nothing jumps off the page, we can see that non league games finish under the run total 51% of the time, as do non division games.

Situation OVER WIN PCT UNDER WIN PCT
League Games 49.3% 50.7%
Division Games 49.7% 50.3%
Playoff Games 50.1% 49.9%
Non League Games 48.6% 51.4%
Non Division Games 48.9% 51.1%
Regular Season Games 49.2% 50.8%

Top MLB Betting Tips

During its regular season, several games will be played on a daily basis all week long, providing ample opportunity for betting, and the use of bettingexpert’s free MLB tips.

If you are serious about your MLB predictions, you need to employ a sports betting strategy. The Bettingexpert Academy can help you to formulate a betting strategy tailored to your specific needs. The Bettingexpert Academy is the number one resource for sports betting available online and is an essential aid to any fan of sports betting, from the raw beginner to the experienced veteran.

Similarly, bettingexpert’s Baseball Betting Guide is extremely concise and provides instructions on how to bet on the most popular betting markets. If you are new to MLB predictions, here are a few pointers taken from our Baseball betting guide:

  • Research Starting Pitchers: They’re crucial in baseball outcomes. Look beyond just ERA; examine their recent performances, injury reports, and how they’ve historically fared against their opponents.
  • Analyze Bullpen Strength: Late-game pitching changes can alter the course of a game. Teams with b relievers are often better at preserving leads.
  • Consider Hitting Performance: Evaluate teams’ offensive stats, such as slugging percentage and on-base plus slugging (OPS), to predict scoring capabilities.
  • Pay Attention to Weather Conditions: Wind direction and speed can greatly affect the total number of home runs in a game. Hotter weather also tends to help balls travel farther.
  • Look for Value Bets: Don’t always go for the favorites. Underdogs can offer significant value if you believe they have an overlooked chance of winning or covering the run line.
  • Watch Out for Travel Fatigue: Teams may perform worse when they’re at the end of a long road trip or haven’t had days off in succession.
  • Understand Park Factors: Some ballparks favor hitters (like Coors Field), while others favor pitchers (such as Petco Park). Adjust bets based on where the game is played.

Advanced MLB Betting Strategies Explained

Stepping up their game in the MLB betting arena requires bettors to employ more sophisticated strategies. Here are a few advanced tactics they can use to sharpen their bets:

  • Situational Analysis: Consider factors such as:
    • Historical data on how teams perform in day games compared to night games.
    • Teams playing their first game at home after a long road trip may have a home-field advantage.
    • How teams fare against left-handed versus right-handed starting pitchers.
  • Live Betting: Adjusting bets during the game offers dynamic opportunities:
    • Watch for shifts in momentum due to player substitutions or visible fatigue.
    • React to live occurrences, like a sudden weather change or an unexpected injury.
  • Fading the Public: Sometimes, going against the grain is profitable:
    • Identify games where the majority of public bets are on one side and consider betting on the other if research supports it.
  • Leverage ‘Reverse Line Movement’ (RLM): This occurs when:
    • Betting lines move opposite to what public betting percentages would suggest, indicating sharp money coming in on one side.
  • Proposition Bets (Props) Analysis:
    • Look beyond traditional wagers and explore prop bets like which player will hit a home run or total strikeouts by a pitcher.
  • Using Sabermetrics:
    • Employ advanced stats like Wins Above Replacement (WAR), Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP), and Batting Average on Balls In Play (BABIP) for deeper insights into player performance.

By combining these advanced MLB betting strategies with thorough research and analysis, bettors can uncover value that less informed bettors might overlook. These methods require diligence but can lead to more informed decisions and potentially higher payouts from their baseball wagers. Remember that while no strategy is foolproof, expanding their toolkit allows them greater flexibility and control over their sports investments.

Finding the Best MLB Betting Odds and Sites

Finding the best MLB betting odds and sites can be as strategic as the game itself. To ensure that you are getting top value, it’s essential that bettors know where to look and what to consider.

Step 1: Shop for Odds Their first step is to compare odds across multiple betting sites. This process, known as ‘odds shopping’, is crucial because even slight differences can impact returns over time. You might find one site favors their home team less, offering more profitable odds if they win.

Step 2: Understand the Lines Odds can fluctuate due to player injuries or weather conditions, so it’s important that you understand how these factors affect the lines. Staying informed will help them recognize when odds are in their favor.

Step 3: Assess Site Reputation The credibility of a betting site should never be overlooked. You need a site with a solid reputation for fair play and prompt payouts. Reading reviews from other users can provide valuable insights into a site’s trustworthiness.

Step 4: Look at Payment Options You would want an MLB betting site that offers convenient deposit and withdrawal options that suit their preferences while also providing security measures to protect their transactions.

Step 5: Check for Bonuses and Promotions Many sites offer bonuses or promotions specifically for MLB bets. These could include free bets, enhanced odds, or cashback on losses which can add extra value to their wagers.

Where To Bet On Major League Baseball

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More Betting Tips From bettingexpert

Here at bettingexpert, we think that our free Major League Baseball betting tips are the best you’ll find anywhere. As well as MLB expert picks, our tipsters post their betting previews and predictions on a huge variety of sports each day. From football and hockey tips to rugby and basketball, if you’re trying to find the best free tips on any sport then check out our bettingexpert tips page and get some betting inspiration from our tipsters!

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