Estoril vs Casa Pia AC Prediction, Match Preview, Saturday, March 7th

Estoril and Casa Pia AC face off in an intriguing Liga Portugal clash this Saturday, March 7th, at the António Coimbra da Mota. Both teams are eager to secure valuable points in the league standings, making this encounter a significant one. Estoril, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over their opponents.

Casa Pia AC, on the other hand, will be aiming to upset the hosts and climb the league table. The match at António Coimbra da Mota promises to be a competitive affair as both sides have shown potential in recent fixtures. With Estoril and Casa Pia AC both striving for a positive result, fans can expect a closely contested battle in this Liga Portugal matchup.

Estoril vs Casa Pia AC Prediction & Betting tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Estoril Praia Draw No Bet	1.8

Given the balance in their head-to-head record and the slight edge provided by Estoril’s home advantage and fully fit squad, the best betting tip for this match is ‘Estoril Praia Draw No Bet’ at odds of 1.80. This market offers a safety net, returning your stake if the match ends in a draw, making it a calculated yet confident choice.

• Estoril have scored in 83% of their home matches this season, demonstrating their consistent ability to find the net.
• Casa Pia AC are dealing with injuries to key players, which could significantly impact their midfield and defensive stability.
• The balanced head-to-head record and Estoril’s home advantage suggest a closely contested game, making the Draw No Bet market a safer option.

Betting Odds

In this Liga Portugal clash, Estoril are the favourites with betting odds of 1.75, reflecting their strong home advantage at the António Coimbra da Mota. Casa Pia AC, on the other hand, are priced at 4.24, suggesting a tougher challenge for the visitors.

Betting Tip	Odds
Estoril to win	1.75
Draw	3.8
Casa Pia AC to win	4.24

The draw is currently at 3.8, which could be tempting for those expecting a closely contested match. Given the odds, punters might also look into markets like under 2.5 goals, considering both teams’ defensive records.

Estoril Analysis & Past Performance

Estoril’s recent form has been inconsistent, with the team managing to secure two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings. The highlight was a convincing 3-1 victory against Gil Vicente, but they also suffered heavy 3-0 defeats to both Sporting CP and AVS Futebol SAD. Such results reflect a side struggling to find consistency against both higher and similarly ranked opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Sporting CP	Estoril	3 – 0 (Loss)	Portuguese League	Feb 27, 2026
Estoril	Gil Vicente	3 – 1 (Win)	Portuguese League	Feb 22, 2026
AVS Futebol SAD	Estoril	3 – 0 (Loss)	Portuguese League	Feb 15, 2026
Estoril	Tondela	2 – 2 (Draw)	Portuguese League	Feb 7, 2026
Santa Clara	Estoril	2 – 4 (Win)	Portuguese League	Jan 31, 2026

Recent Form:
Estoril have averaged 1.80 goals per game in their last five matches, with a total of nine goals, while their defence has been porous, conceding 11 goals at an average of 2.20 per match. Despite scoring in three of their last five encounters, the team has failed to keep a clean sheet, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Furthermore, their home form is notably stronger, having won four out of their last five home games, which should provide some confidence heading into the next fixture.

Team Dynamics:

• LWLDW

Yanis Begraoui remains a key figure in Estoril’s attack, contributing significantly with 17 goals this season. However, the team has shown a tendency to concede goals, affecting their overall standing. Currently positioned 8th in the league with 33 points, Estoril will need to tighten their defence and maintain their home advantage to climb further up the table.

Estoril Suspensions & Injuries

Estoril face a challenging scenario with a few key players sidelined due to injuries. Or Israelov is battling a thigh injury and is doubtful for the match, which could potentially disrupt the midfield dynamics. André Lacximicant also remains doubtful with an unspecified injury, posing further uncertainties in team selection. Kevin Boma’s muscle injury rules him out for about a week, affecting Estoril’s defensive options.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Or Israelov	Thigh injury	Doubtful
André Lacximicant	Unknown	Doubtful
Kevin Boma	Muscle injury	About a week

The absence of these players might compel Estoril to make strategic adjustments in their lineup. With Israelov’s unavailability, the midfield could see a reshuffle, possibly relying more heavily on the likes of Rafik Guitane and Jordan Holsgrove to maintain stability and creativity. In defence, Kevin Boma’s absence might necessitate a shift in formation or personnel, potentially increasing the load on Ferro and Felix Bacher.

These injuries could have a significant tactical impact on Estoril, possibly altering their usual formation or playing style. The loss of key players might weaken their defensive solidity and midfield control, potentially influencing the match’s betting odds. Estoril’s ability to adapt and fill these gaps will be crucial in their effort to secure a positive result against Casa Pia AC.

Estoril Key Players

Estoril’s attacking prowess is spearheaded by Yanis Begraoui, the team’s top scorer, with an impressive tally of 17 goals. Begraoui’s clinical finishing and positioning inside the box make him a constant threat to any defence. His ability to find space and convert chances will be crucial against Casa Pia AC. Alongside him, Alejandro Marqués provides additional firepower and creativity, forming a dynamic forward line.

In the midfield, Pizzi brings vast experience and vision, acting as the playmaker who orchestrates the team’s offensive plays. His ability to control the tempo and distribute the ball effectively will be vital in unlocking Casa Pia AC’s defence. Defensively, Ferro anchors the backline, using his strength and aerial ability to repel attacks and maintain defensive solidity. His partnership with Felix Bacher will be key in thwarting any offensive threats from the opposition.

Expected lineup for Estoril:

• Goalkeeper: Joel Robles
• Defence: Ricard Sánchez, Felix Bacher, Ferro
• Midfield: Pizzi, Jandro Orellana, Jordan Holsgrove, Gonçalo Costa
• Forward: Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marqués, Yanis Begraoui

Estoril Tactics and Formation

Estoril Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Yanis Begraoui
• Midfield Pivot: Jandro Orellana and Jordan Holsgrove
• Defensive Strength: Struggles with clean sheets, conceding in all last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and counterattacks.

Estoril have recently operated with a 4-4-2 formation, emphasising a balance between defence and attack. The midfield duo of Jandro Orellana and Jordan Holsgrove is tasked with both shielding the defence and initiating attacks. João Carvalho’s creativity is pivotal in linking up with forwards Yanis Begraoui and Alejandro Marqués.

Defensively, Estoril’s backline, comprising Ricard Sánchez, Felix Bacher, Ferro, and Gonçalo Costa, has faced challenges, failing to secure clean sheets in recent matches. The absence of key defenders due to injuries has further compounded their defensive vulnerabilities.

Offensively, Estoril focus on exploiting the flanks, utilising the pace and crossing ability of their wingers. Yanis Begraoui, the team’s top scorer, is a crucial figure in converting these opportunities, although the lack of clean sheets puts additional pressure on the forwards to outscore opponents.

Casa Pia AC Analysis & Past Performance

Casa Pia AC have demonstrated a mixed bag of performances recently, with their last five matches resulting in two wins, two draws, and a single loss. Their recent form includes a notable victory against FC Porto (2-1) and a draw against Moreirense (1-1), showing signs of resilience, yet inconsistency remains a challenge.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Casa Pia AC	Moreirense	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	1 Mar, 2026
Famalicão	Casa Pia AC	2 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	23 Feb, 2026
Casa Pia AC	Arouca	3 – 2 (Win)	Primeira Liga	14 Feb, 2026
Nacional	Casa Pia AC	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	8 Feb, 2026
Casa Pia AC	FC Porto	2 – 1 (Win)	Primeira Liga	2 Feb, 2026

Recent Form:
The team averages 1.20 goals scored per match in their last five fixtures while conceding 1.20, indicating a balance in attacking and defensive output. However, with only one clean sheet during this period, defensive solidity is an area that requires improvement. Casa Pia AC’s away form has been less than stellar, securing a mere win ratio of 20% from their last five away games, underscoring the need for enhanced performance on the road.

Performance Analysis:

• DLWDW

Casa Pia AC sit in 13th position in the league, reflecting a challenging season with 23 points accrued. Their overall season statistics highlight a struggle in both attack and defence, with 26 goals scored and 44 conceded over 24 matches, pointing to vulnerabilities that need addressing to climb the table. Cassiano, their top scorer with five goals, remains a key figure in their offensive strategy.

Casa Pia AC Suspensions & Injuries

Casa Pia AC face the challenge of adjusting their lineup due to the suspension of David Sousa, who has been a regular fixture in their defence. His suspension for accumulating yellow cards forces coach Álvaro Pacheco to reconsider his defensive strategy. The absence of Sousa, known for his solid defensive contributions, might require João Goulart or Kaly to step up in the backline, potentially altering their defensive cohesion.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
David Sousa	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries further complicate Casa Pia AC’s preparations, with Kiki Silva and veteran defender José Fonte both labelled as doubtful. Kiki’s knee injury could affect the team’s width and attacking options, while Fonte’s uncertain status leaves a gap in experience and leadership at the back. Their potential absence might prompt tactical shifts, possibly involving a more conservative approach or reliance on younger squad members to fill in.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Kiki Silva	Knee injury	Doubtful
José Fonte	Unknown	Doubtful

These unavailabilities could significantly impact Casa Pia AC’s performance against Estoril, especially in maintaining defensive stability and creating goal-scoring opportunities. The tactical adjustments required due to these absences might also influence betting markets, suggesting caution for those considering backing Casa Pia AC.

Casa Pia AC Key Players

Casa Pia AC’s top scorer, Cassiano, has been instrumental with five goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net consistently makes him a pivotal figure in their attacking lineup. Cassiano’s prowess in the forward line is complemented by Jérémy Livolant and Korede Osundina, creating a dynamic trio that poses a significant threat to any defence.

The midfield is anchored by Sebastián Pérez, whose playmaking abilities are crucial for Casa Pia AC’s tactical setup. His vision and passing range enable quick transitions from defence to attack, making him an essential cog in the team’s structure. In defence, João Goulart’s leadership and composure are vital, providing stability and resilience at the back.

Expected lineup for Casa Pia AC

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Sequeira
• Defenders: Pedro Rosas, João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly
• Midfielders: Gaizka Larrazabal, Sebastián Pérez, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte
• Forwards: Jérémy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina

The tactical impact of these key players is profound, with Cassiano’s goal-scoring ability and Pérez’s midfield control offering both offensive and defensive strengths. Their contributions are expected to shape Casa Pia AC’s approach, focusing on swift counter-attacks and solid defensive organisation, crucial for their performance against Estoril.

Casa Pia AC Tactics and Formation

Casa Pia AC Tactical Breakdown:

• Recent Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Cassiano
• Midfield Dynamics: Sebastián Pérez and Rafael Brito
• Defensive Challenges: Conceded in four of the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on counter-attacking play

Casa Pia AC have often lined up in a 4-3-3 formation, which allows them to be flexible in both offensive and defensive phases. The midfield, anchored by Sebastián Pérez and Rafael Brito, provides a balance between defensive coverage and forward support, crucial for launching quick transitions.

In the absence of key players like Kiki Silva and José Fonte, Casa Pia AC’s defence has shown vulnerability, having conceded in four of their last five outings. João Goulart and David Sousa will need to step up to ensure defensive stability, especially against Estoril’s attacking threats.

Offensively, Casa Pia AC rely heavily on Cassiano, their top scorer, to convert chances, supported by wingers Jérémy Livolant and Korede Osundina. Their strategy focuses on exploiting spaces through swift counter-attacks, aiming to capitalise on defensive lapses by the opposition.

Estoril vs Casa Pia AC H2H Record

Estoril have a solid head-to-head record against Casa Pia AC, with six wins out of their 11 encounters. Casa Pia AC have managed just one win, while four matches ended in a draw. The last time these two met, it was a thrilling 2-2 draw at Casa Pia AC’s home ground in Liga Portugal.

The last time Estoril hosted Casa Pia AC at the António Coimbra da Mota, they suffered a surprising 0-2 defeat in December 2024. However, Estoril’s overall home form against Casa Pia AC has been strong, including a commanding 4-0 victory back in November 2023.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	League	Date
Casa Pia AC	Estoril	2 – 2	Liga Portugal	2025-10-03
Casa Pia AC	Estoril	1 – 3	Liga Portugal	2025-04-29
Estoril	Casa Pia AC	0 – 2	Liga Portugal	2024-12-15
Casa Pia AC	Estoril	0 – 0	Liga Portugal	2024-04-08
Estoril	Casa Pia AC	4 – 0	Liga Portugal	2023-11-10