Primeira Liga Predictions and Betting Tips
The Primeira Liga, also referred to as Liga Portugal is the league that does not only host the highest form of Portuguese football but it is also the league with the most amount of talent in recent years. Whether it’s homegrown talent or players from South America, the Portuguese Primeira Liga helped to shape some of the best football talents that are already playing in Europe’s top leagues.
Talent equals spectacular football, which is what we are here to talk about. Our page exists to help betting fans make a suitable Primeira Liga prediction for any of the games played this season. We provide you with expert and all-around coverage as well as betting tips for the majority of the games this season.
Primeira Liga Fixtures
The upcoming 2023/24 will be the record 90th iteration of the Primeira Liga. The action kicks off on 11 August 2023 and leads all the way to 19 May 2024, when the new champion of Portugal will be crowned. Benfice will be coming as the defending champions, having won its record 38th title, further establishing itself as the top club in Portugal.
The newest season will feature no changes when it comes to the number of teams. 18 clubs will still be featuring in the Primeira Liga, with the last two directly being relegated to Liga Portugal 2, while the 16th club will have another chance to stay up through a payoff decider.
Due to the league dropping down to seventh place in Europe, only the champion will get a direct spot for the Champions League next season. The second-seeded team in the league will have to play in the Champions League qualification stage. The third and fourth teams will compete in the qualification stages for the Europa League and the Conference League, respectively.
With 18 teams competing in a round-robin system where they play two games against their opponents, one at home and one away, this means 34 games for each team, accounting for a total of 306 matches for the season.
Primeira Liga Season Start and End Date
The upcoming 2023/24 Primeira Liga season is set to start on 11 August 2023. It will go all the way to 19 May 2024, when the last matches will be played and a new champion will be crowned.
At the same time, Taca da Liga will commence on 21 July 2023 and will conclude with the final game on 27 January 2024. The Portuguese Cup competition includes a total of 34, which are teams from the Primeira Liga and LigaPro competing against each other in a one-game contest.
Porto are the current Taca da Liga holders and will be trying to defend their trophy this season. So besides making a Primeira Liga prediction, you also have a chance to wager on these matches as well.
Primeira Liga Stats and Analytics
Even though having immense knowledge about the league is a good start to get your Primeira Liga prediction right, things go much better if you have some stats to consult as well. Having an analytical mindset is something that can bring success when betting on football.
Goal Statistics for Primeira Liga
Last season, during 306 league matches, a total of 763 goals were scored, which is 2.49 on average. The most efficient team was Sporting Braga, with 3.09 goals a match, Followed by Sporting CP, with 3.03 goals a game. Interestingly, Benfica, the league winner, scored 3.00 goals on average.
24.9% of goals, 190 of them, were scored between the 76th and the 90th minute of the match. Meaning that things got more interesting as the game came to a close. The second most efficient period was just before the close of the first half, between the 31st and the 45 minutes of the game, where 150 goals were scored, accounting for 19.7% of total goals.
The second half saw more action, with 55.8% of goals scored, totalling to 426. On the other hand, strikers managed 337 goals in the first period of the game, for a total of 44.2% of goals.
Primeira Liga H2H Statistics
When it comes to home fixtures, teams playing at home managed 49% of wins in the previous season, compared to only 33% of away teams winning. At the same time, only 18% of the matches finished without a winner, which is unusually low.
66% of the matches finished with Over 1.5 Goals scored. On the other hand, 48% of matches had Over 2.5 Goals scored, while 25% of games went Over 3.5 goals.
Home teams scored 1.42 goals a match while visiting teams only managed 1.08 goals a game. In 43% of matches, both teams were able to score, while only 6% of matches ended without any goals scored.
According to the statistics, 1-0 for the home team was the most popular score. It happened on 16% of occasions. On the other hand, the second most frequent score was 0-1 for the visiting team, which occurred 11% of the time.
Primeira Liga Player Stats
The Bola de Prata, translated to “Silver Ball” in Portuguese, is an award given annually to the top scorer of the Portuguese league. The award was introduced in 1934 when Sporting CP’s Manuel Soeiro became the first winner.
Last season, Mehdi Taremi from Porto managed to score the most goals, as he bagged in 22 in 38 matches, winning his second-best scorer trophy in the last five years.
| Season | Top Scorer | Goals |
| 2022/23 | Mehdi Taremi (Porto) | 22 |
| 2021/22 | Darwin Nunez (Benfica) | 26 |
| 2020/21 | Pedro Goncalves (Sporting CP) | 23 |
| 2019/20 | Pizzi (Benfica)
Mehdi Taremi (Porto)
Carlos Vinícius (Benfica) | 18 |
| 2018/19 | Haris Seferovic (Benfica) | 23 |
Let’s not forget about the players that make the goals happen. The facilitators may not get the credit as those whose names appear on the score sheet. But they are equally important when it comes to goals scored.
| Season | Top Assist Makers | Assists |
| 2022/23 | Pedro Goncalves (Sporting CP) | 11 |
| 2021/22 | Rafa (Benfica) | 15 |
| 2020/21 | Mehdi Taremi (Porto) | 11 |
| 2019/20 | Pizzi (Benfica) | 14 |
| 2018/19 | Pizzi (Benfica) | 18 |
Starting with the 2005/06 season, the league introduced the title of the Primeira Liga Player of the Year. Primarily won by Ricardo Quaresma, the title has been given to the best player in the competition every year since then.
| Season | Player of the Year | Team |
| 2022/23 | Otávio | Porto |
| 2021/22 | Darwin Nunez | Benfica |
| 2020/21 | Sebastian Coates | Sporting CP |
| 2019/20 | Jesus Corona | Porto |
| 2018/19 | Bruno Fernandes | Sporting CP |
Primeira Liga Past Winners
Portuguese football is dominated by their very own Big Three – Sporting CP, Benfica, and Porto. Only two other clubs have managed to win the Portuguese league title other than those three. Both Boavista and Belenenses have a single title to their name.
Benfica is the absolute leader, having amassed 38 titles in total. They are in front of Porto, which have 30 trophies, while Sporting CP have 19.
| Season | Champion |
| 2022/23 | Benfica |
| 2021/22 | Porto |
| 2020/21 | Sporting CP |
| 2018/19 | Porto |
| 2017/18 | Benfica |
Benfica won their latest title during the 2022/23 season with only a two-point margin opposed the second-placed Porto. The Eagles secured their title in the very last game of Matchday 34 by defeating Santa Clara by 3:0 at home. Both Porto and Benfica will be playing in the Champions League group stage next season.
Finishing third in the league, Sporting Braga will play in the qualifications for the Champions League. Sporting CP had a disappointing season, and as the fourth team in the league, will appear in the Europa League group stage next season.
Finally, Arouca and Vitória de Guimaraes both earned spots in the Conference League qualification stage. Meanwhile, Santa Clara and Pacos de Ferreira were directly demoted to Liga Portugal 2. On the other hand, Maritimo also went down after facing and losing to Estrela da Amadora in the relegation playoffs. Besides Amadora, Moreirense and Farense are the two other promoted clubs.
Primeira Liga Tips for Today
You can make your very own Primeira Liga prediction by consulting our betting tips for today. There you will find a detailed analysis of all the available matchups, along with expert tips provided by our community members.
Our community comprises of ingenious tipsters who are familiar with everything that is happening in the league. They make it their priority to read all the stories and news as they happen. It allows them to post their own tips and be good at it.
You can check every tipster’s profile before placing a bet so you are completely sure whether they are really good or not. Also, check out other leagues and competitions, as we do cover a lot.
How to Bet on the Primeira Liga?
Creating your Primeira Liga prediction requires a lot of research and knowledge of the league. Following the results and stats is not going to cut it every time. You have to work for it and do your research.
Reading all the news and the latest stories helps. But it is also good to follow the latest transfers and injury reports as well. Not to mention learning about what is happening in the locker room as well.
Finally, you can consult our page and see what our expert tipsters have to say. Combining everything that you have will help you create the most appropriate bet possible.
Where To Bet On Primeira Liga
There are many bookmakers who offer a wide variety of Portugal Primeira Liga betting odds. Below are our top three bookmaker choices when betting on this league:
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