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Fiorentina vs Udinese Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, 21 December

FiorentinaFiorentinaUdineseUdinese
Italy
Dec 21@18:00
Recent form:
FIO
UDI

Fiorentina will face Udinese in a Serie A clash at the Artemio Franchi Stadium in Florence on Sunday, 21 December. This match is crucial for both teams as they look to climb the league table. Fiorentina, playing at home, will aim to use their familiarity with the Artemio Franchi to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Udinese will be determined to upset the hosts and pick up valuable points on the road.

Both teams have experienced mixed results this season, making this encounter particularly intriguing for bettors. Fiorentina’s home advantage could be significant, but Udinese’s resilience away from home should not be underestimated. With both sides eager to improve their league positions, this match promises to be competitive, and our betting tips will provide insights into potential outcomes.

Fiorentina vs Udinese: Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip Odds
Fiorentina to win 2.19

Given Fiorentina’s urgent need for a win and Udinese’s inconsistent form, our recommended betting tip is for Fiorentina to win. Despite Fiorentina’s poor start, playing at home against Udinese could be the perfect opportunity to turn their fortunes around.

  • Fiorentina are desperate for a win to boost their position in the league, making them highly motivated.
  • Udinese’s form has been inconsistent, and they may struggle against a determined Fiorentina side.
  • Fiorentina have a strong home advantage, despite recent poor form, and are due for a victory.

Betting Odds

Fiorentina are considered favourites in this Serie A clash, with odds of 2.19 reflecting their home advantage at the Artemio Franchi. However, Udinese at 3.4 could be a tempting underdog bet, especially given their ability to spring surprises away from home.

Betting Tip Odds
Fiorentina to win 2.19
Draw 3.24
Udinese to win 3.4

A draw at 3.24 also offers decent value, particularly for those expecting a closely contested match. With both teams showing attacking intent in recent games, punters might also be interested in the over 2.5 goals market.

Fiorentina: Analysis & Recent Performance

Fiorentina’s recent form has been inconsistent, with just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. Their only victory came in a 2-1 win over Dynamo Kyiv in the Conference League, while defeats to FC Lausanne-Sport, Verona, Sassuolo, and Atalanta have highlighted their struggles. Fiorentina are currently at the bottom of the Serie A table with just six points.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
FC Lausanne-Sport Fiorentina 1 – 0 (Loss) Conference League 18 Dec 2025
Fiorentina Verona 1 – 2 (Loss) Serie A 14 Dec 2025
Fiorentina Dynamo Kyiv 2 – 1 (Win) Conference League 11 Dec 2025
Sassuolo Fiorentina 3 – 1 (Loss) Serie A 6 Dec 2025
Atalanta Fiorentina 2 – 0 (Loss) Serie A 30 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
Fiorentina’s attacking statistics underline their difficulties, averaging only 0.80 goals per game in their last five outings. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match. Notably, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten games, indicating a lack of defensive solidity. Their home performance reflects their overall struggles, with a win ratio of just 20% at the Artemio Franchi.

Strengths and Weaknesses:

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The team has shown some attacking potential, scoring in three of their last five matches, but their inability to maintain defensive discipline has been costly. Fiorentina’s reliance on Rolando Mandragora, their top scorer with four goals, highlights a lack of depth in attack. The team’s struggles to convert possession into goals and their defensive weaknesses are areas that urgently need improvement.

Fiorentina: Suspensions & Injuries

Fiorentina must adapt their tactics due to the potential absence of Tariq Lamptey and Robin Gosens, both of whom are doubtful for the match against Udinese. Lamptey’s knee injury and Gosens’ thigh problem could deprive Fiorentina of crucial width and defensive stability. Jacopo Fazzini is also a doubt due to physical discomfort, which may further limit Fiorentina’s midfield options.

Without these players, Fiorentina will likely depend heavily on their current starting eleven to maintain tactical balance. Dodo and Fabiano Parisi will need to step up, especially in wide areas, to compensate for the possible loss of Lamptey and Gosens. This could force Fiorentina to adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive solidity.

Player Injury Expected Return
Tariq Lamptey Knee injury Doubtful
Robin Gosens Thigh injury Doubtful
Jacopo Fazzini Physical discomfort Doubtful

The absence of these players may influence betting markets, as their unavailability could affect the team’s consistency. Bettors might anticipate a tighter contest, with Fiorentina potentially prioritising a cautious strategy to mitigate the impact of these injuries. The team’s depth will be tested, and coach Paolo Vanoli must navigate these challenges to secure a positive result.

Fiorentina: Key Players

Rolando Mandragora stands out as Fiorentina’s top scorer, having netted four goals this season. His contributions from midfield provide a consistent goal threat and drive the team’s attacking play. Mandragora’s ability to control the tempo and link defence with attack will be crucial against Udinese.

Albert Guðmundsson, playing up front alongside Moise Kean, is expected to be a key player with his creative playmaking abilities. His knack for unlocking defences and providing important assists could be decisive in breaking down Udinese’s backline. In defence, Marin Pongračić’s presence brings stability and aerial strength, vital for Fiorentina’s defensive resilience.

Expected lineup for Fiorentina

  • Goalkeeper: David de Gea
  • Defence: Marin Pongračić, Pietro Comuzzo, Luca Ranieri
  • Midfield: Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Fabiano Parisi, Simon Sohm, Nicolò Fagioli
  • Forward: Albert Guðmundsson, Moise Kean

Fiorentina: Tactics and Formation

Fiorentina Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-5-2
  • Key Forward: Moise Kean
  • Midfield Engine: Rolando Mandragora
  • Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in recent matches
  • Notable Strategy: High pressing and wing play.

Fiorentina’s 3-5-2 formation under coach Paolo Vanoli aims to maximise attacking pressure while providing defensive coverage with a three-man backline. The central defence, made up of Marin Pongračić, Pietro Comuzzo, and Luca Ranieri, faces the challenge of maintaining stability, especially given recent struggles to keep clean sheets.

In midfield, Rolando Mandragora provides vital balance between attack and defence, supported by Simon Sohm and Nicolò Fagioli. The wing-backs, Dodo and Fabiano Parisi, are expected to play key roles in stretching the play and delivering crosses into the forwards.

Offensively, the partnership of Albert Guðmundsson and Moise Kean will be crucial in breaking down Udinese’s defence. Fiorentina’s high pressing and wing play are central strategies, though they must be wary of leaving space for counterattacks, as seen in recent defeats.

Udinese: Analysis & Recent Performance

Udinese have shown mixed form recently, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a narrow 1-0 victory over SSC Napoli, demonstrating their ability to grind out results against strong opponents.

Home Team Away Team Result Competition Date
Udinese SSC Napoli 1 – 0 (Win) Serie A 14 Dec 2025
Udinese Genoa 1 – 2 (Loss) Serie A 8 Dec 2025
Juventus Udinese 2 – 0 (Loss) Coppa Italia 2 Dec 2025
Parma Calcio 1913 Udinese 0 – 2 (Win) Serie A 29 Nov 2025
Udinese Bologna 0 – 3 (Loss) Serie A 22 Nov 2025

Recent Form:

  • WLLWL

Examining their recent form, Udinese’s attack has been less prolific, averaging 0.80 goals per game in the last five fixtures. Defensively, they have been somewhat unstable, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per match. They have managed two clean sheets, showing some defensive resilience. Away from home, their form dips, with only one win in their last five away matches, highlighting potential vulnerabilities on the road.

Udinese: Suspensions & Injuries

Udinese face a challenging situation with several key players missing due to injuries and suspensions. The absence of Vakoun Issouf Bayo and Rui Modesto, both away on international duty, could significantly impact Udinese’s attacking options. This may force coach Kosta Runjaić to rely heavily on Nicolò Zaniolo and Keinan Davis, who lead the line in their 3-5-2 formation.

Player Suspension Matches Left Expected Return
Vakoun Issouf Bayo International duty 2 Unknown
Rui Modesto International duty 2 Unknown

Injury concerns further complicate Udinese’s preparations. The potential unavailability of Hassane Kamara and Arthur Atta, both doubtful with foot and thigh injuries respectively, adds to the team’s depth issues. Jordan Zemura’s leg injury has ruled him out until late December, leaving Udinese short of options in defence and midfield. These absences may require tactical adjustments, potentially resulting in a more conservative approach to compensate for the lack of squad depth.

Player Injury Expected Return
Hassane Kamara Foot injury Doubtful
Arthur Atta Thigh injury Doubtful
Jordan Zemura Leg injury Late December 2025

These absences could have a significant impact on betting markets, as Udinese’s depleted squad may struggle to match Fiorentina’s strength. The reliance on available starters to perform at their best is critical, with any further injuries likely to worsen their current situation.

Udinese: Key Players

Keinan Davis stands out as Udinese’s top scorer this season with four goals. His role as a forward is pivotal to Udinese’s attacking strategy, providing a physical presence and an eye for goal that can trouble Fiorentina’s defence. His ability to hold up play and link with midfielders like Jurgen Ekkelenkamp could be crucial in breaking down the opposition.

In midfield, Jesper Karlström and Jurgen Ekkelenkamp are expected to be the driving forces. Karlström’s tenacity in breaking up play and Ekkelenkamp’s vision in creating opportunities will be key to Udinese’s tactical approach. In defence, Christian Kabasele’s leadership and Oumar Solet’s athleticism will be vital in maintaining a solid backline against Fiorentina’s attacking threats.

Expected lineup for Udinese

  • Goalkeeper: Maduka Okoye
  • Defenders: Thomas Kristensen, Christian Kabasele, Oumar Solet
  • Midfielders: Alessandro Zanoli, Jakub Piotrowski, Jesper Karlström, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Nicolò Bertola
  • Forwards: Nicolò Zaniolo, Keinan Davis

The combination of these players’ strengths, such as Davis’s goal-scoring ability and Karlström’s midfield dynamism, will be instrumental in Udinese’s game plan. Their performances could well determine the tactical success of the team, emphasising both defensive solidity and offensive efficiency.

Udinese: Tactics and Formation

Udinese Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 3-5-2
  • Key Forward: Nicolò Zaniolo
  • Midfield Pivot: Jesper Karlström and Jakub Piotrowski
  • Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
  • Notable Strategy: Strong defensive structure with rapid wing play.

Udinese’s 3-5-2 formation allows them to maintain a compact defensive shape while offering flexibility in attack. The central defensive trio of Thomas Kristensen, Christian Kabasele, and Oumar Solet provides a solid base, crucial for their recent clean sheets. The wing-backs, Alessandro Zanoli and Nicolò Bertola, play pivotal roles in both attacking transitions and defensive coverage.

In midfield, Jesper Karlström and Jakub Piotrowski are tasked with controlling the tempo and breaking up opposition play. Their ability to distribute the ball quickly to players like Nicolò Zaniolo and Keinan Davis up front is essential for Udinese’s counter-attacking strategy.

Offensively, Udinese focus on exploiting the flanks, with rapid transitions from defence to attack. Nicolò Zaniolo’s creativity and Keinan Davis’s physical presence are key in converting chances into goals. Despite their defensive strengths, their current form shows they must improve their scoring efficiency to climb the Serie A table.

Fiorentina vs Udinese: Head-to-Head Record

Fiorentina hold the advantage in their head-to-head record against Udinese, with 27 wins compared to Udinese’s 14, and 10 matches ending in a draw. The last time these two sides met, Fiorentina secured a thrilling 3-2 victory away at Udinese in Serie A.

At the Artemio Franchi, Fiorentina have generally been dominant. However, in their last home meeting, they suffered a surprising 1-2 defeat to Udinese, which could provide the visitors with added confidence.

Home Side Away Side Score League Date
Udinese Fiorentina 2 – 3 Serie A 2025-05-25
Fiorentina Udinese 1 – 2 Serie A 2024-12-23
Fiorentina Udinese 2 – 2 Serie A 2024-01-14
Udinese Fiorentina 0 – 2 Serie A 2023-09-24
Fiorentina Udinese 2 – 0 Serie A 2023-05-14
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