Como vs Lecce Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 28 February

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Como will host Lecce at Stadio G. Sinigaglia on Saturday, 28 February. This encounter promises to be intriguing as both sides seek crucial points to improve their league positions. Como, playing at home, will hope to capitalise on their familiarity with Stadio G. Sinigaglia to gain an edge over Lecce. Meanwhile, Lecce will be determined to prove their mettle on the road and challenge Como’s home advantage.

This Serie A fixture carries significant weight for both Como and Lecce as they navigate the competitive landscape of the league. With each team striving to climb the table, fans can expect a closely contested and engaging match. The result could have a notable impact on their respective standings, making it a must-watch for supporters and bettors alike. As we explore the prediction, match preview, and betting tips, the dynamics of this contest will be key to consider.

Como vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Lecce to Win – Draw No Bet	6.5

Although Como are the favourites, the statistics suggest Lecce could pull off an upset. Our recommended betting tip is to back Lecce to win. Lecce, currently sitting 17th, have shown promise with their top scorer Lameck Banda netting 3 goals this season.

• Como’s average of conceding 0.8 goals per game highlights their defensive solidity, but Lecce’s Lameck Banda could exploit any lapses.
• Lecce’s average of 1.8 yellow cards per game demonstrates a disciplined side capable of maintaining composure in tight situations.
• With Lecce conceding 1.2 goals on average, they possess a tighter defence than many teams, making an upset plausible.

Betting Odds

In this Serie A fixture, Como are clear favourites with odds of 1.37, reflecting their strong home advantage at Stadio G. Sinigaglia. Lecce, meanwhile, are considered underdogs at 8.9, but could spring a surprise with a spirited performance.

Betting Tip	Odds
Como to win	1.37
Draw	4.61
Lecce to win	8.9

A draw is priced at 4.61, indicating that while Como are expected to dominate, a stalemate remains a possibility. For those interested in alternative markets, consider the likelihood of a low-scoring match given both teams’ recent defensive displays.

Como Analysis & Recent Performance

Como have produced mixed results in their recent fixtures, recording two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches across all competitions. Their latest victory over Juventus (2-0) showcased their defensive strength, as they kept a clean sheet while maintaining 48% possession.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Juventus	Como	0 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	21 Feb, 2026
AC Milan	Como	1 – 1 (Draw)	Serie A	18 Feb, 2026
Como	Fiorentina	1 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	14 Feb, 2026
SSC Napoli	Como	N/A	Coppa Italia	10 Feb, 2026
Como	Atalanta	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	1 Feb, 2026

Recent Form:

• WDLWD

Como’s attack has been relatively effective, averaging 2.40 goals per match over the last five games, while conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. Despite this, they have managed two clean sheets, demonstrating their potential to shut out opponents. Their home form, however, has been less convincing, with just one win in their last five home matches, suggesting possible vulnerabilities at Stadio G. Sinigaglia.

Como Suspensions & Injuries

Como are contending with several key injuries. Edoardo Goldaniga is doubtful with a heel injury, which could impact the team’s defensive solidity. His absence may require a reshuffle at the back, with Ivan Smolčić or Marc-Oliver Kempf likely to shoulder more responsibility. Additionally, Assane Diao’s muscle injury leaves a gap in midfield, potentially affecting Como’s ability to control possession. Martin Baturina, sidelined with an ankle injury, is expected to return by mid-March, so Como must find creative solutions in his absence.

The absence of these players may force coach Cesc Fàbregas to make tactical adjustments. Using a 4-2-3-1 formation, Como may need to rely more on available midfielders such as Máximo Perrone and Lucas Da Cunha to cover the gaps. Jesús Rodríguez could also be deployed in a more versatile role to provide fluidity in both attack and defence.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Edoardo Goldaniga	Heel injury	Doubtful
Assane Diao	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Martin Baturina	Ankle injury	Mid March 2026

With no suspensions currently, Como can focus on optimising their available squad. However, injuries do pose a challenge, potentially affecting depth and options against Lecce. This may influence betting markets, as Como’s tactical flexibility will be tested, making them a less predictable opponent.

Como Key Players

Como will rely heavily on their top scorer, Nico Paz, who has scored 9 goals this season. As a forward, Paz’s clinical finishing and movement in the box make him a constant threat. His partnership with Anastasios Douvikas, expected to lead the line, will be vital as Como aim to exploit Lecce’s defensive vulnerabilities.

In midfield, Maxence Caqueret stands out as the playmaker, orchestrating play and providing the creative spark for Como’s attacks. His vision and passing are crucial for transitioning from defence to attack. In defence, Marc-Oliver Kempf’s leadership and aerial ability will be key to maintaining a solid backline.

Expected lineup for Como:

• Goalkeeper: Jean Butez
• Defenders: Ivan Smolčić, Jacobo Ramón, Marc-Oliver Kempf, Álex Valle
• Midfielders: Máximo Perrone, Lucas Da Cunha, Mërgim Vojvoda, Maxence Caqueret, Jesús Rodríguez
• Forward: Anastasios Douvikas

Como Tactics and Formation

Como Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Anastasios Douvikas
• Midfield Pivot: Máximo Perrone and Maxence Caqueret
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on a solid defensive structure and quick transitions.

Como’s 4-2-3-1 formation under Cesc Fàbregas strikes a balance between defensive stability and attacking intent. The midfield pivot of Máximo Perrone and Maxence Caqueret is essential for maintaining possession and dictating the tempo. With Lucas Da Cunha and Jesús Rodríguez out wide, Como look to stretch the opposition and create space for Anastasios Douvikas up front.

Defensively, Como have shown resilience, keeping two clean sheets in their last five matches. The backline of Ivan Smolčić, Jacobo Ramón, Marc-Oliver Kempf, and Álex Valle has been crucial in maintaining a solid shape. Goalkeeper Jean Butez has also played a pivotal role in thwarting opposition attacks.

Going forward, Como aim to exploit quick transitions, using the pace and creativity of their wingers to support Douvikas. The absence of Martin Baturina may affect their creative output, but the team’s structure and tactical discipline remain their strengths.

Lecce Analysis & Recent Performance

Lecce’s recent form has been inconsistent, with their last five matches resulting in two wins, two losses, and a draw. Notably, they secured a 2-0 victory over Cagliari and a 2-1 win against Udinese, demonstrating their ability to compete with mid-table teams. However, defeats to Inter (0-2) and Torino (0-1) highlight their struggles against stronger opposition.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Lecce	Inter	0 – 2 (Loss)	Serie A	21 Feb 2026
Cagliari	Lecce	0 – 2 (Win)	Serie A	16 Feb 2026
Lecce	Udinese	2 – 1 (Win)	Serie A	8 Feb 2026
Torino	Lecce	1 – 0 (Loss)	Serie A	1 Feb 2026
Lecce	Lazio	0 – 0 (Draw)	Serie A	24 Jan 2026

Performance Analysis:
Lecce’s attack has been modest, averaging 0.80 goals per game over their last five matches. Defensively, they have been resilient, conceding just 0.80 goals per match and keeping two clean sheets in this period, indicating a degree of defensive solidity. However, their season as a whole has been challenging, with only 17 goals scored and 33 conceded in 26 matches.

Team Statistics:
Currently 18th in Serie A with 24 points, Lecce are battling to escape the relegation zone. Their away form is a particular concern, with just one win, three losses, and a draw in their last five away games—a 20% win rate.

Strengths & Weaknesses:

• LWWLD

Lecce’s main strength is their ability to maintain defensive structure in low-scoring games, as seen in their clean sheet against Lazio (0-0). However, their lack of attacking threat remains a weakness, with top scorer Lameck Banda contributing just three goals this season. Improving their goal-scoring efficiency will be vital going forward.

Lecce Suspensions & Injuries

Lecce are dealing with several injury concerns ahead of their match against Como. Medon Berisha is doubtful with a knee injury, reducing defensive depth. Francesco Camarda is sidelined with a shoulder injury and is expected to return in early March, slightly limiting Lecce’s attacking options. Kialonda Gaspar’s knee injury has no set return date, which could impact defensive rotations.

Omri Gandelman is also doubtful due to a knee injury, posing a challenge for Lecce’s midfield structure. His absence may require Ylber Ramadani and Lassana Coulibaly to take on greater responsibility in maintaining balance in the middle of the park.

Without these key players, coach Eusebio Di Francesco may need to make tactical adjustments to keep the team competitive. The lack of depth could force Lecce to adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on defensive solidity and counter-attacks.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Medon Berisha	Knee injury	Doubtful
Francesco Camarda	Shoulder injury	Early March 2026
Kialonda Gaspar	Knee injury	Unknown
Omri Gandelman	Knee injury	Doubtful

Lecce Key Players

Lecce’s attacking threat is led by Lameck Banda, their top scorer with three goals. Banda’s dynamic wing play and ability to cut inside make him a constant danger to opposing defences. His agility and sharp finishing will be crucial as Lecce look to break down Como’s backline. In midfield, Ylber Ramadani is the key playmaker, linking defence and attack with his vision and passing range. Lassana Coulibaly’s defensive work adds balance in the centre of the pitch.

In defence, Jamil Siebert leads the backline with his aerial strength and tackling, playing a key role in neutralising Como’s forwards. Antonino Gallo’s overlapping runs from full-back provide additional width and attacking options.

Expected lineup for Lecce:

• Goalkeeper: Wladimiro Falcone
• Defenders: Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo
• Midfielders: Oumar Ngom, Ylber Ramadani, Lassana Coulibaly
• Forwards: Santiago Pierotti, Walid Cheddira, Riccardo Sottil

Lecce Tactics and Formation

Lecce Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Walid Cheddira
• Midfield Engine: Ylber Ramadani and Lassana Coulibaly
• Defensive Structure: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities.

Lecce’s 4-3-3 formation aims for balance across the pitch, with an emphasis on defensive solidity and swift transitions. Ylber Ramadani and Lassana Coulibaly play pivotal roles in midfield, providing both defensive cover and ball progression. The absence of Omri Gandelman due to injury means Oumar Ngom steps in, which may affect midfield dynamics.

Defensively, Lecce rely on the back four of Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, and Antonino Gallo, with Wladimiro Falcone in goal. Their recent record includes two clean sheets in five matches, highlighting their ability to maintain discipline at the back.

In attack, Walid Cheddira leads the line with support from Santiago Pierotti and Riccardo Sottil on the wings. Lecce’s strategy often involves soaking up pressure and exploiting counter-attacks, a tactic that will be vital against Como’s potential high press.

Como vs Lecce Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head history, Como and Lecce have met 8 times, with Como holding a slight edge with 3 wins compared to Lecce’s 2, and 3 draws. Their most recent meeting saw Como triumph 3-0 away at Lecce in a Serie A match last December.

The last time these sides met at Stadio G. Sinigaglia, Como recorded a 2-0 victory in December 2024. Como’s home form against Lecce has been strong, with no defeats in their last two home Serie A encounters.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	Competition	Date
Lecce	Como	0 – 3	Serie A	2025-12-27
Lecce	Como	0 – 3	Serie A	2025-04-19
Como	Lecce	2 – 0	Serie A	2024-12-30
Lecce	Como	1 – 0	Italian Cup	2023-08-13
Como	Lecce	1 – 1	Serie B	2022-02-05