Lecce vs Como Prediction: Team News and Lineups Preview

At the Stadio Via del Mare two teams with the goal of securing safety face off, separated by ten points. Lecce, who started the season with the aim of achieving a calm mid-table finish, now find themselves in a battle to avoid the drop Newly-promoted Como, on the other hand, have only lost one of the previous five games and just a couple more points to guarantee their stay in Italy’s top flight. 

Our Italian football expert, Daniele Fisichella, has analysed the statistics to offer betting insights for Lecce vs Como.

Lecce vs Como Prediction: Back the visitors against relegation-bound Salentini

Serie A, Matchday 33, Saturday 19 April, 14:00 (UK)

As Serie A enters its final few rounds, the hunger for victory becomes a critical factor. With only six games to go, the hosts, winless in the last nine, are desperate for points to avoid relegation, while Como, a vibrant young team full of confidence, are unwilling to take anything for granted.

Currently sitting 17th in the table with 26 points, just two above the relegation zone, Lecce suffered a 2-1 defeat to Juventus in their last outing. But based on expected points the Salentini would be penultimate four points adrift from Verona. 

Following a disappointing start to the season that resulted in the dismissal of Gotti and the hiring of Marco Giampaolo, Lecce are facing the threat of relegation. BETSiE projects them to finish 18th with 30.7 points, as they are expected to average just 0.78 points per match for the remainder of the campaign.

The main problem for Lecce this season has been the lack of goals. Not only they have the worst Serie A’s attack (23 goals), but they also over rely on their centre-forward, Montenegrin Nikola Krstović, who has provided more than a third of their xG (11.22) and 3.13 expected assists.

Urge to win might leave Giampaolo’s side exposed

Como, fresh from a historic promotion to Serie A, have ambitious ownership with dreams of climbing higher. Currently 13th in the table with 36 points, they sit comfortably 12 points above the relegation zone. However, they are the fourth biggest underachievers concerning expected points, with a deficit of -7.17. 

Their inexperience has perhaps been a factor, as they rank second for most points dropped from winning positions, with 17 this season. The Lariani’s attacking prowess must be matched by defensive resilience, as they have conceded 48 goals so far.

Meanwhile, with Venezia and Empoli tied on 24 points and facing each other, a win for either could intensify the pressure on Lecce. Giampaolo’s side will need to focus on attack, as a draw might not suffice with only a few games remaining in the season.

BETSiE Projections		HGF	AGF	GT	Home Win %	Draw %	Away Win %
Lecce vs Como		0.86	1.53	2.39	21.3%	24.4%	54.2%

• Lecce vs Como Prediction: Como Asian Handicap -0.25
• Best Odds: 1.72
• Bookmaker: bet365
• Stake: 10/10 (TRACKED BET)

Lecce vs Como Prediction odds via bet365 as at 09:45, April 17th, 2025. Odds may now differ.

Lecce vs Como Injuries, Team News and Possible Lineups Prediction: Paz likely to play as ‘false 9’

In the Salentini’s camp, Jean is out, so Guilbert will be returning at right-back, while Gaspar is confirmed in the centre of defence. In the holding midfield role, Ramadani is favourite over Berisha and Pierret. Up front, Krstovic will be supported by wingers Pierotti and Tete Morente, with N’Dri and Karlsson poised to come off the bench. 

For the Lariani,  Fabregas is set to start Nico Paz, though it’s yet to be determined whether he’ll play as a false nine with Perrone in midfield or as an attacking midfielder with Douvikas leading the line. Diao and Ikoné are the attacking wide players, with the former Fiorentina winger likely to edge out Strefezza for a starting spot. On the left side of the defence, Alberto Moreno is seeking to retain his place. Dossena and Sergi Roberto are unavailable.

Lecce possible starting lineup:
Falcone; Guilbert, Baschirotto, Gaspar, Gallo; Coulibaly, Ramadani, Helgason; Pierotti, Krstovic, Tete Morente.

Como possible starting lineup:
Butez; Vojvoda, Goldaniga, Kempf, Moreno; Da Cunha, Caqueret; Strefezza, Nico Paz, Diao, Douvikas.

Match Stats: Lecce’s hopes hinge on their number 9

• Based on expected points Lecce would be penultimate four points adrift from Verona. 
• Como have conceded 48 goals so far, only four less than the hosts. 
• Lecce’s striker Nikola Krstovic has provided more than a third of their xG (11.22) and 3.13 expected assists.
• The visitors have never won back-to-back away games this season and have kept just one clean sheet (against Fiorentina) on the road. 

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