Alianza Universidad vs ADC Juan Pablo II Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Sunday, 23 November

In the upcoming Primera División clash, Alianza Universidad will face ADC Juan Pablo II on Sunday, 23 November. This match promises to be an intriguing encounter as both teams are eager to make their mark in the league. Although the venue details are not specified, anticipation for this fixture remains high among fans and bettors alike. The phrase ‘Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips’ encapsulates what to expect from this encounter.

Alianza Universidad, playing on home soil, will look to capitalise on their familiarity with the conditions, while ADC Juan Pablo II aim to challenge their hosts with a strong performance. Both teams have shown potential in previous fixtures, making this an exciting prospect for those following the Primera División. With league standings in mind, this game could have significant implications for both teams’ positions, adding an extra layer of excitement for spectators and bettors.

Alianza Universidad vs ADC Juan Pablo II Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Fewer than 2.5 goals	2.19

This match between Alianza Universidad and ADC Juan Pablo II is expected to be a closely contested affair, with both teams demonstrating a tendency to concede goals, but not excessively. Considering the odds and each side’s defensive records, our recommended betting tip is to back under 2.5 goals in this match.

• Alianza Universidad concede an average of 1.9 goals per match, while ADC Juan Pablo II concede 1.4 goals on average, indicating a close game with limited scoring opportunities.
• The odds for under 2.5 goals are attractive and offer good value given the defensive statistics of both teams.
• Alianza Universidad’s scoring pattern, with most goals coming in a specific interval, supports the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

Betting Odds

Alianza Universidad enter the match as favourites with odds of 2.00, but ADC Juan Pablo II should not be underestimated, priced at 3.38. The draw is also an interesting option at 3.34, suggesting a closely contested match.

Betting Tip	Odds
Alianza Universidad to win	2
Draw	3.34
ADC Juan Pablo II to win	3.38

For those looking to place a bet, the match odds indicate potential value in backing the home side, yet the draw could also be a shrewd choice given the competitive nature of the Primera División.

Alianza Universidad Analysis & Past Performance

Alianza Universidad’s recent form has been less than ideal, with the team managing only one win in their last five matches. Their recent performances have included a 2-1 victory over Alianza Lima and a 2-2 draw against Cusco FC, but they have suffered defeats to Alianza Atlético, CD UT Cajamarca, and FBC Melgar.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Alianza Atlético	Alianza Universidad	2 – 1 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	9 Nov 2025
Alianza Universidad	Cusco FC	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primera División Clausura	2 Nov 2025
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Universidad	3 – 2 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	26 Oct 2025
FBC Melgar	Alianza Universidad	2 – 1 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	14 Oct 2025
Alianza Universidad	Alianza Lima	2 – 1 (Win)	Primera División Clausura	5 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
Alianza Universidad have struggled both defensively and offensively, as shown by their average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per game over their last five matches. They have failed to keep a clean sheet during this period, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Their home form reflects these struggles, with a win ratio of 40% in their last five home games, where they have won two, drawn one, and lost two. This inconsistency has left them languishing in 17th position in the league, with only 14 points to their name.

Yorleys Mena Palacios stands out as a key player, contributing significantly to their attacking efforts with nine goals this season, accounting for 25% of the team’s total goals. However, the team’s overall defensive fragility and inability to secure clean sheets remain areas of concern as they look to improve their standing.

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Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Universidad face a crucial match against ADC Juan Pablo II with the significant concern of Ray Gomez’s hamstring injury. His absence from the line-up could force a tactical reshuffle in midfield. Gomez’s presence often provides a creative spark and stability in the centre, and his potential unavailability might compel coach Roberto Mosquera to rely more heavily on Edson Aubert and Marcos Lliuya to fill the creative void.

With no suspensions, the rest of the squad remains intact, which could mitigate some of the impact of Gomez’s absence. This stability might allow Alianza Universidad to maintain their typical formation, focusing on their strengths in attack with Yorleys Mena Palacios and Joffré Escobar leading the line.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Ray Gomez	Hamstring Injury	Doubtful

The potential absence of Ray Gomez could slightly shift betting odds, as his creativity is often pivotal against well-organised defences. However, Alianza Universidad’s depth in midfield, with players like Jeremy Canela and Omar Vásquez, provides reasonable assurance that they can adjust adequately.

With Gomez’s status listed as doubtful, the tactical approach might see a cautious start to assess ADC Juan Pablo II’s defensive strategy. Ensuring defensive solidity with Aldair Perleche and Brayan Guevara will be crucial to support the team’s attacking endeavours.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

Yorleys Mena Palacios stands out as Alianza Universidad’s top scorer, having netted 9 goals this season. His knack for finding the back of the net and his ability to position himself advantageously make him a constant threat to any opposition. Mena’s partnership with Joffré Escobar up front is pivotal, with Escobar’s support play creating opportunities and space for Mena to exploit. In midfield, Marcos Lliuya and Omar Vásquez are crucial in controlling the tempo and providing the creative spark needed to unlock defences.

Defensively, Aldair Perleche and Otavio Gut are expected to be key figures, with their ability to read the game and break down opposition attacks proving vital. Their contributions will be essential in maintaining a solid defensive line. Alianza Universidad’s tactical setup heavily relies on these key players to execute a balanced approach, combining defensive resilience with attacking flair.

Expected line-up for Alianza Universidad:

• Goalkeeper: Italo Espinoza
• Defence: Aldair Perleche, Jesus Mendieta, Otavio Gut, Brayan Guevara
• Midfield: Jeremy Canela, Edson Diego Aubert, Marcos Lliuya, Omar Vásquez
• Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios, Joffré Escobar

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios
• Midfield Creativity: Edson Aubert and Marcos Lliuya
• Defensive Fragility: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Direct play and reliance on forward pairings.

Alianza Universidad typically line up in a 4-4-2 formation, which allows them to maintain a balanced approach between attack and defence. Yorleys Mena Palacios, the team’s top scorer with 9 goals, is pivotal in their offensive strategy, often linking up with Joffré Escobar to form a dynamic duo up front.

Despite their attacking prowess, defensively, Alianza Universidad have struggled, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. This defensive frailty has been a significant concern, as they often concede goals due to lapses in concentration or poor organisation at the back.

Offensively, Alianza Universidad rely heavily on direct play, utilising the creativity of midfielders Edson Aubert and Marcos Lliuya to feed the forwards. However, their tendency to push forward can sometimes leave them vulnerable to counterattacks, highlighting the need for greater defensive discipline.

ADC Juan Pablo II Analysis & Past Performance

ADC Juan Pablo II have struggled to find consistent form, registering just one win in their last five matches. Their recent performances include a 3-1 victory against Atlético Grau, which stands as a rare highlight in a sequence of four consecutive defeats against Cienciano (1-2), Comerciantes Unidos (0-1), Los Chankas (0-1), and Deportivo Garcilaso (0-1).

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
ADC Juan Pablo II	Atlético Grau	3 – 1 (Win)	Primera División Clausura	8 Nov 2025
Cienciano	ADC Juan Pablo II	2 – 1 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	2 Nov 2025
ADC Juan Pablo II	Comerciantes Unidos	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	24 Oct 2025
Los Chankas	ADC Juan Pablo II	1 – 0 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	18 Oct 2025
ADC Juan Pablo II	Deportivo Garcilaso	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	13 Oct 2025

Recent Form:

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Averaging just 0.80 goals per game in their last five outings, ADC Juan Pablo II’s attack has been unconvincing, scoring in only two of those matches. Defensively, they concede 1.20 goals on average per game, highlighting vulnerabilities at the back. They have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of these fixtures, underlining a need for defensive reinforcement. Away from home, their record is equally concerning, with a solitary win out of the last five trips, reflecting a win ratio of just 20%. With the team currently positioned 15th in the league, accumulating only 14 points, ADC Juan Pablo II face a challenging task as they strive to improve both their offensive and defensive records.

ADC Juan Pablo II Suspensions & Injuries

ADC Juan Pablo II face a crucial match against Alianza Universidad with the challenge of dealing with the injury to Flavio Fernández. His status is currently doubtful, which raises concerns about the team’s depth, particularly in midfield. Fernández’s absence could potentially disrupt the balance and creativity in the middle of the park, an area crucial for both defensive solidity and attacking transitions. His role has often been pivotal in linking play, and without him, ADC Juan Pablo II might struggle to maintain their usual tempo.

In Flavio Fernández’s absence, coach Santiago Acasiete may need to rely on the likes of Mauricio Affonso or Cristhian Tizón to step up and cover the void in midfield. While both players have shown promise, neither possesses the same level of experience or playmaking ability as Fernández, which could necessitate a more conservative approach in midfield to ensure stability.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Flavio Fernández	Unknown	Doubtful

Tactically, ADC Juan Pablo II may be forced to adjust their formation or playing style to mitigate the impact of Fernández’s injury. A potential shift to a more defensive setup could be on the cards, focusing on solidifying the backline and midfield to prevent Alianza Universidad from capitalising on any potential weaknesses. This could also mean a greater emphasis on counter-attacking strategies, utilising the pace of Romario Gustavo Aliaga up front.

From a betting perspective, the absence of a key player like Fernández could tilt the odds slightly in favour of Alianza Universidad. Bettors might see this as an opportunity to back the home side, given the potential disruption in ADC Juan Pablo II’s usual game plan. However, with the resilience they’ve shown in past fixtures, ADC Juan Pablo II could still pose a significant threat if they can adapt effectively.

ADC Juan Pablo II Key Players

Mauricio Affonso stands out as ADC Juan Pablo II’s top scorer with 3 goals this season, making him a pivotal figure in their offensive line-up. His ability to find the back of the net, combined with his physical presence as a forward, makes him a constant threat to Alianza Universidad’s defence. Affonso’s partnership with Cristhian Tizón and Romario Gustavo Aliaga in the forward line is expected to be crucial, as they combine speed and technical skills to break down the opposition’s back line.

In midfield, Nilson Loyola and Christian Flores are key players who can influence the game’s tempo and provide the necessary support to both defence and attack. Loyola’s versatility allows him to transition effectively between roles, while Flores’s playmaking abilities could unlock the Alianza Universidad defence with incisive passes.

Expected line-up for ADC Juan Pablo II

• Goalkeeper: Matías Alejandro Vega
• Defence: Jorge Jair Toledo, Álvaro Rojas, Arón Sánchez, Renzo Alfani
• Midfield: Christian Flores, Jhon Vega, Nilson Loyola
• Forward: Mauricio Affonso, Cristhian Tizón, Romario Gustavo Aliaga

Defensively, the quartet of Jorge Jair Toledo, Álvaro Rojas, Arón Sánchez, and Renzo Alfani form a solid backline tasked with keeping Alianza Universidad’s forwards at bay. Alfani’s aerial prowess and Rojas’s tackling ability will be essential in maintaining defensive stability. Collectively, these key players provide ADC Juan Pablo II with a balanced tactical approach, leveraging their strengths in attack and defence to potentially dictate the outcome of the match.

ADC Juan Pablo II Tactics and Formation

ADC Juan Pablo II Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Romario Gustavo Aliaga
• Midfield Pivot: Jhon Vega and Mauricio Affonso
• Defensive Challenges: No clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Struggles with defensive organisation but shows potential in attacking transitions.

ADC Juan Pablo II typically employ a 4-5-1 formation, focusing on midfield density to disrupt the opposition’s play. Head coach Santiago Acasiete has relied on Jhon Vega and Mauricio Affonso to anchor the midfield, providing both defensive cover and transition support.

Offensively, Romario Gustavo Aliaga is the focal point, tasked with converting limited chances into goals, supported by creative midfielders Nilson Loyola and Christian Cordova. However, the team have struggled to maintain possession, often resulting in quick counterattacks as their primary strategy.

Defensively, ADC Juan Pablo II face challenges, having failed to secure a clean sheet in their recent outings. The backline, featuring Jorge Toledo and Renzo Alfani, has been vulnerable, particularly against teams with a high pressing game. Improving defensive organisation will be key to reversing their current form.

Alianza Universidad vs ADC Juan Pablo II Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Alianza Universidad have the upper hand with 2 wins, while ADC Juan Pablo II have managed 1 victory, and 1 match ended in a draw. The last encounter saw ADC Juan Pablo II snatch a 1-0 win in the Liga 1 Apertura, demonstrating they can compete at this level.

In the current Primera División competition, this will be their first meeting, adding an extra layer of intrigue as both teams look to assert dominance. Alianza Universidad have been strong at home, and they’ll aim to maintain that form.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
ADC Juan Pablo II	Alianza Universidad	1 – 0	Liga 1 Opening	2025-07-13
Alianza Universidad	ADC Juan Pablo II	1 – 0	Liga 2 Promotion Playoff	2024-10-20
Alianza Universidad	ADC Juan Pablo II	3 – 0	Liga 2 Group A	2024-06-23
ADC Juan Pablo II	Alianza Universidad	1 – 1	Liga 2 Group A	2024-04-28