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This Primera Division clash on 13 October 2025 sees ADC Juan Pablo II (16th) hosting Deportivo Garcilaso (7th) in what is crucial for both teams albeit for different reasons.
ADC Juan Pablo II are struggling with only 11 points and sit perilously near the relegation zone. Despite recent challenges and only one win in their last five games (Win, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss), they hope to leverage their home advantage. Their coach, Santiago Acasiete, will need to instill more attacking prowess given their low scoring average of 0.60 goals per game.
Conversely, Deportivo Garcilaso, despite recent form dips (Win, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss), have a solid position in the league with 18 points. Key players like Kevin Sandoval, their top scorer with five goals, will be pivotal. Garcilaso have shown resilience, scoring in 73% of matches this season and securing two clean sheets in the last five games.
Given the current form and previous 4-0 victory over ADC Juan Pablo II earlier this year, Deportivo Garcilaso are favoured to win. Our recommended bet for this match is backing Deportivo Garcilaso for a victory.
| ADC Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction |
|---|
| Betting tip |
| Deportivo Garcilaso to Win – Odds: 1.70 |
Deportivo Garcilaso enter this fixture with a clear upper hand, having recently dismantled ADC Juan Pablo II 4-0 in their last head-to-head on 25 May 2025.
Over their previous five matches, Garcilaso have demonstrated greater consistency with two wins, two draws, and only one loss, while Juan Pablo II have managed just one win and suffered two heavy defeats, including a 3-0 loss against Universitario.
Historically, the head-to-head record also favours Garcilaso, having claimed victory in three of the last five meetings between these sides, further underlining their dominance.
Back Deportivo Garcilaso to win represents strong value at these odds considering the evident gulf in current form and recent results.
Considering recent form and standings, it’s no surprise that ADC Juan Pablo II is the underdog in this clash, despite playing at home. Their bookmaker odds of 2.02 for a win reflect their precarious league position and inconsistent performances. Conversely, Deportivo Garcilaso, currently 7th, are favoured with odds of 3.42, acknowledging their superior form and head-to-head record.
| ADC Juan Pablo II vs Deportivo Garcilaso Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| ADC Juan Pablo II | 2.02 |
| Draw | 3.25 |
| Deportivo Garcilaso | 3.42 |
Juan Pablo II will rely on home advantage, but a bet on Garcilaso presents strong value given their demonstration of attacking prowess, resilient defense, and a prior 4-0 victory over Juan Pablo II.
ADC Juan Pablo II have faced a challenging run of fixtures recently, as reflected in their last five match results:
Their form reads Win, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, showing just one win and two clean sheets in these games.
Their average goals scored in the last five matches stands at a paltry 0.60, indicating difficulties in attacking efficacy. Under Santiago Acasiete’s tutelage, they will be keen to turn their fortunes around and climb up from their current 16th position.
Despite home advantage, ADC Juan Pablo II will need to inject more consistency and offensive sharpness to secure better results in the upcoming fixtures.
ADC Juan Pablo II will rely heavily on their top scorer, Emiliano Villar, who has netted two goals this season, to provide some spark in attack. Given their struggle to find the net, Villar’s performance could be pivotal.
Supporting Villar upfront, we can expect to see players like Michel Rasmussen and Rely Fernández, who need to step up their game and contribute more effectively. In midfield, the experienced Cristian Ramírez and versatile Jhon Vega are central to their playmaking and could unlock Garcilaso’s defence.
Expected lineup for ADC Juan Pablo II:
If ADC Juan Pablo II are to turn around their fortunes, these players must deliver a cohesive and dynamic performance.
ADC Juan Pablo II are grappling with a few crucial absences ahead of their clash against Deportivo Garcilaso. Forward Flavio Fernández remains doubtful with an unknown injury. His potential absence could further impact their already struggling attack, which has averaged only 0.60 goals per game in the last five matches.
Additionally, defender Álvaro Rojas will miss the match due to national team commitments. Rojas’ absence leaves a gap in their defensive lineup, potentially making it harder for them to secure a clean sheet against Garcilaso’s dynamic attack.
These absences could prove significant, placing additional pressure on the rest of the squad to step up and deliver an improved performance on the pitch. Expectation lies on the available key players to adapt and cover these critical gaps effectively.
ADC Juan Pablo II Tactical Breakdown:
Coach Santiago Acasiete is expected to deploy a 4-3-3 formation as he aims to bolster both defense and attack simultaneously. The squad’s main strategy revolves around patient build-up play, utilizing the width provided by midfielders like Nilson Loyola and forwards such as Michel Rasmussen. This approach is designed to stretch opponent defenses and create spaces for Emiliano Villar to exploit.
Despite their struggles in recent games, maintaining solid defensive organization and maximizing the strengths of their versatile midfielders could help ADC Juan Pablo II turn their fortunes around. The key will be to maintain high pressing during crucial periods, particularly during the 61-75-minute interval, to disrupt Garcilaso’s rhythm.
Deportivo Garcilaso’s recent run of form in the Primera Division has been somewhat inconsistent. Their last five matches have yielded the following results:
Their form reads Win, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss, which includes scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and managing just one clean sheet in these five fixtures. The team, managed by Carlos Bustos, has shown flashes of attacking brilliance but has also struggled defensively at times.
Currently holding 7th position with 18 points, Deportivo Garcilaso will aim to stabilize their defense and continue their scoring form to secure valuable points in the upcoming fixture.
Deportivo Garcilaso will heavily rely on key players to make a decisive impact against ADC Juan Pablo II. Kevin Sandoval, their top scorer with five goals, will be crucial in leading the attack. His form and creativity are essential in providing the cutting edge Garcilaso needs to break down defences.
Supporting him, Ezequiel Naya, who will likely start as the center forward, is expected to pose consistent threats with his ability to find the net and create opportunities. In midfield, the trio of Carlos Beltran, Jorge Bazan, and Enmanuel Paucar will play a pivotal role in controlling the game’s tempo and disrupting the opponent’s setup.
Expected lineup for Deportivo Garcilaso:
Each of these players provides a critical element to Carlos Bustos’ plans, and their performances will be key to securing a positive result.
Deportivo Garcilaso approach their match against ADC Juan Pablo II with minor injury concerns and no suspensions impacting their starting lineup.
Francisco Arancibia is the only player unavailable due to a broken collarbone, with a potential return slated for mid-December 2025. His absence will slightly limit their attacking options but shouldn’t drastically change their overall game plan.
The rest of Carlos Bustos’ squad is fit and ready for the clash. Without additional suspensions, Deportivo Garcilaso can field a strong and cohesive team, aiming to capitalize on their recent form and secure a crucial victory. Their adeptness at maintaining almost a full-strength squad puts them in a good position to take on the home side effectively.
Deportivo Garcilaso Tactical Breakdown:
Carlos Bustos is expected to deploy a 4-4-2 formation, leveraging a balanced approach that focuses on solidifying the midfield and striking quickly on the counter. Kevin Sandoval, their top scorer, will spearhead the attack, looking to exploit any defensive weaknesses in ADC Juan Pablo II.
Midfielders like Carlos Beltran and Jorge Bazan will be pivotal in controlling possession and dictating the pace of the game, while their full-backs, Erick Canales and Orlando Nunez, provide width and support to both defense and attack.
This tactical flexibility allows Deportivo Garcilaso to adapt their strategy based on how the match unfolds, making them a tough side to break down and consistently dangerous going forward.
The head-to-head statistics favour Deportivo Garcilaso considerably in recent encounters with ADC Juan Pablo II. Here’s a brief overview of their last five meetings:
Out of these last five matches, Deportivo Garcilaso have claimed victory in three games, while two ended in draws. No victories have been recorded for ADC Juan Pablo II.
This consistency in head-to-head matchups, along with Garcilaso’s recent form and their previous dominant 4-0 win, significantly tilts the balance in their favour for the upcoming clash. These results reflect a consistent performance edge and psychological advantage which Deportivo Garcilaso will look to capitalize on come matchday.
Odds accurate as of 11.10.2025 21:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.