Deportivo Garcilaso vs. Alianza Atletico Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 5 October 2025

As Deportivo Garcilaso welcomes Alianza Atletico on 5 October 2025 for this Primera Division clash, the stakes could not be higher for both sides. Deportivo Garcilaso, currently sitting in 5th place, will look to secure vital points to consolidate their top-half position. Their recent form is a mixed bag (Draw, Win, Draw, Draw, Loss – DWDDL), and they’ll need to bounce back after a heavy 4-0 loss to Cusco FC.

Meanwhile, Alianza Atletico, stationed in 14th place, hopes to climb out of the lower rungs of the table. With a challenging (Loss, Draw, Win, Loss, Loss – LDWLL) recent record, consistency has been elusive for Gerardo Ameli’s squad.

Deportivo Garcilaso has Kevin Sandoval as their top goal threat, but they will be without Nicolás Gómez, who’s suspended. Alianza Atletico has struggled to find the back of the net lately, averaging just 0.60 goals per match in recent outings.

Expect a tight, defensively oriented game with a likely outcome being a draw. Both teams are known for their occasional struggle to score, and a 0-0 or 1-1 result seems probable based on current form and historical encounters.

Bookmakers favor Deportivo Garcilaso with odds at 1.60 for a win, but a draw at 3.40 remains a solid, realistic bet.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Betting Tip

The smart bet for this match is to go with a draw. Deportivo Garcilaso has drawn three of their last five matches and statistically, they are prone to sharing points, especially considering their recent form. Alianza Atletico, though struggling, has managed to secure draws in tighter encounters. Both teams have shown a lack of goal-scoring prowess in recent games, making a low-scoring draw very likely.

• Three out of Deportivo Garcilaso’s last five matches have ended in a draw.
• Alianza Atletico has also seen a low number of goals in recent matches, averaging just 0.60 goals scored.
• Both teams have struggled to secure clean sheets, suggesting a tight, evenly-matched game.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Odds

If you’re looking to place a bet on the upcoming match between Deportivo Garcilaso and Alianza Atletico, here’s a quick rundown of the odds. Deportivo Garcilaso is the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 1.60 for a win. A draw is considered a solid option, priced at 3.40, especially given Deportivo Garcilaso’s tendency to draw matches. Alianza Atletico, the underdog, has odds of 5.72 for a win, reflecting their recent struggles.

Deportivo Garcilaso’s status as favorites is attributed to their better league position and home advantage. However, a draw remains a good betting option, given both teams’ recent performances and head-to-head history.

Deportivo Garcilaso Team Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso Recent Performance

Recent Form: DWDDL

Deportivo Garcilaso’s form has been somewhat inconsistent in their last five matches. They managed one win, three draws, and suffered one heavy defeat:

• Cusco FC 4 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
• Deportivo Garcilaso 0 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca
• Deportivo Garcilaso 1 – 1 FBC Melgar
• Alianza Lima 3 – 4 Deportivo Garcilaso
• Deportivo Garcilaso 1 – 1 Sport Huancayo

Despite averaging 1.20 goals per game, they have struggled to find the back of the net consistently. Defensively, they’ve only kept one clean sheet in their last five matchups, highlighting the need for a stronger defensive approach. With key player Nicolás Gómez suspended, it will be interesting to see if the team can hold their ground against Alianza Atletico.

Deportivo Garcilaso Key Players

Deportivo Garcilaso will field a strong lineup aimed at capitalizing on their home advantage. Their top scorer Kevin Sandoval, who has netted five goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Alianza Atletico’s defense. Missing Nicolás Gómez due to suspension is a blow, but Carlos Beltran will step up as a key player in the midfield.

Other significant contributors include Ezequiel Naya, who will lead the attack, and goalkeeper Patrick Zubczuk, who aims to improve Garcilaso’s defensive record.

Expected lineup for Deportivo Garcilaso:

• Goalkeeper: Patrick Zubczuk
• Defenders: Erick Canales, Aldair Salazar, Juan Lojas, Orlando Nunez
• Midfielders: Carlos Beltran, Jorge Bazan, Inti Garrafa, Enmanuel Paucar, Pablo Erustes
• Forwards: Ezequiel Naya

Key battles to watch include Sandoval against Alianza Atletico’s central defenders and Beltran’s midfield duels.

Deportivo Garcilaso Suspensions & Injuries

Deportivo Garcilaso will have to navigate this match without two crucial players. Nicolás Gómez is suspended due to accumulated yellow cards and will miss this vital clash. His absence is a significant blow to the midfield’s creative and defensive balance, which might force coach Carlos Bustos to rethink his strategy.

Additionally, Francisco Arancibia is out with a broken collarbone and is not expected to return until late December 2025. His pace and attacking skills will be missed, potentially limiting their options on the wing.

These absences could impact Garcilaso’s overall gameplay, making it more challenging to break down Alianza Atletico’s defense and maintain control in the midfield. The team will need to compensate for these losses through a collective, disciplined effort.

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactics and Formation

Deportivo Garcilaso Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Ezequiel Naya
• Midfield Quartet: Carlos Beltran, Jorge Bazan, Inti Garrafa, Enmanuel Paucar
• Defensive Note: One clean sheet in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and counter-attacks

Under Carlos Bustos, Deportivo Garcilaso is expected to line up in a traditional 4-4-2 formation. Ezequiel Naya will likely spearhead the attack, aided by Kevin Sandoval on the flank, who is the team’s top scorer with five goals. The midfield will play a crucial role, with Carlos Beltran stepping in to fill the creative void left by the suspended Nicolás Gómez.

Defensively, Garcilaso has been inconsistent, managing only one clean sheet in their last five matches. However, a disciplined and collective approach will be key to their strategy against Alianza Atletico. The team will aim to leverage quick counter-attacks and set pieces to break down the opposition.

Alianza Atletico Team Analysis

Alianza Atletico Recent Performance

Recent Form: LDWLL

Alianza Atletico has experienced a mixed bag of results in their last five matches, showcasing a form of inconsistency that has landed them in 14th place. Here’s a closer look at their recent performances:

• Alianza Atletico 0 – 2 Universitario de Deportes
• Asociación Deportiva Tarma 1 – 0 Alianza Atletico
• Alianza Atletico 3 – 0 Ayacucho FC
• Sporting Cristal 0 – 0 Alianza Atletico
• Alianza Atletico 0 – 1 ADC Juan Pablo II

They’ve averaged 0.60 goals per game while managing two clean sheets in their last five outings. Despite solid defensive displays in a couple of games, scoring remains a persistent issue for Gerardo Ameli’s side. This lack of goal-scoring will be a hurdle they need to overcome when facing Deportivo Garcilaso, as they’ll aim to convert their defensive strengths into points.

Alianza Atletico Key Players

Alianza Atletico will rely heavily on their key players to improve their recent form. The team’s top scorer, Agustín Graneros, who has netted three goals this season, will be essential in their attacking efforts. His partnership with Guillermo Larios up front could be pivotal in breaking down the Deportivo Garcilaso defense.

In the midfield, Jimmy Perez and Hernan Lupu will play crucial roles in both defensive duties and initiating counter-attacks. Defensively, the experienced Horacio Benincasa will aim to marshal the backline and keep Garcilaso’s forwards at bay.

Expected lineup for Alianza Atletico:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Melián
• Defenders: José Villegas, Federico Illanes, Piero Guzman, Erick Perleche, Anthony Gordillo
• Midfielders: Hernan Lupu, Jimmy Perez, Horacio Benincasa
• Forwards: Guillermo Larios, Agustín Graneros

Key battles to watch include Agustín Graneros against Garcilaso’s center-backs and Jimmy Perez’s midfield duels.

Alianza Atletico Suspensions & Injuries

As Alianza Atletico prepares for their upcoming clash against Deportivo Garcilaso, they are fortunate to have no players listed as suspended or injured. This clean bill of health means that coach Gerardo Ameli has the luxury of selecting his strongest possible lineup for this vital encounter.

With all players available, Alianza Atletico can focus entirely on their game plan and tactics, which will be essential to overcoming a difficult opponent like Deportivo Garcilaso. Having a full squad gives them a better chance to address their recent goal-scoring challenges and capitalize on any weaknesses in Garcilaso’s lineup. This could be the key to securing a valuable result in the match.

Alianza Atletico Tactics and Formation

Alianza Atletico Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Agustín Graneros
• Midfield Trio: Hernan Lupu, Jimmy Perez, Horacio Benincasa
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on defensive solidity and counter-attacks

Under coach Gerardo Ameli, Alianza Atletico will likely stick with a 5-3-2 formation designed to provide defensive solidity and play on the counter-attack. Agustín Graneros will be the key attacking threat, partnering with Guillermo Larios up front. The midfield trio of Hernan Lupu, Jimmy Perez, and Horacio Benincasa will be crucial in breaking up opposition play and initiating counters.

Having kept two clean sheets in their last five outings, their strength lies in their defensive setup. Alianza Atletico will aim to absorb pressure and make the most of counter-attacking opportunities to catch Deportivo Garcilaso off-guard.

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Alianza Atletico Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at their recent head-to-head record, Alianza Atletico seems to have had the upper hand:

• 16 May 2025: Alianza Atletico 1 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 10 August 2024: Deportivo Garcilaso 0 – 1 Alianza Atletico (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 29 February 2024: Alianza Atletico 3 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 1 October 2023: Alianza Atletico 2 – 0 Deportivo Garcilaso (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 20 May 2023: Deportivo Garcilaso 3 – 2 Alianza Atletico (Liga 1 Apertura)

In the last five encounters, Alianza Atletico has won four times, while Deportivo Garcilaso secured a single victory. This trend signifies a psychological edge for Alianza Atletico.

However, Deportivo Garcilaso, currently in better league form, will be eager to overturn their recent poor record against their opponents. Based on these statistics, fans can expect another tight match.

Odds accurate as of 03/10/2025 23:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.