CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 28 February

CD UT Cajamarca will face Alianza Lima in an intriguing clash in the Primera División on Saturday, 28 February. This match promises to be a significant encounter as both teams are vying for crucial points in the league standings. While the venue details remain unspecified, anticipation is high for this fixture, with Alianza Lima seeking to assert their dominance against a resilient CD UT Cajamarca side.

Alianza Lima, a powerhouse in Peruvian football, will aim to capitalise on their experience and form. Meanwhile, CD UT Cajamarca will be eager to leverage their home advantage, despite the venue being unspecified, to challenge the visitors. This match is not just about points but also about setting the tone for the remainder of the season in the Primera División. With both teams having much at stake, the betting tips for this encounter will focus on potential strategies and key players to watch.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca to win or draw	2.2

Given CD UT Cajamarca’s competitive nature at home and their defensive solidity, a Double Chance on CD UT Cajamarca or Draw appears to be a prudent betting option. Alianza Lima have struggled in challenging away fixtures, making this tip a safer bet.

• CD UT Cajamarca have demonstrated resilience at home, making it hard for opponents to secure a win.
• Alianza Lima have shown vulnerability in demanding away games, occasionally dropping points.
• CD UT Cajamarca have scored in every match this season, boosting their chances of getting at least a draw.

Considering the tight nature of this matchup and Cajamarca’s strong home form, backing the Double Chance market provides a cushion against a narrow defeat.

Betting Odds

In this intriguing clash, Alianza Lima are tipped as favourites with odds of 2.01, reflecting their strong form in the Primera División. However, CD UT Cajamarca, with odds of 3.47, could offer value for those looking to back an underdog at home.

Betting Tip	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca to win	3.47
Draw	3.23
Alianza Lima to win	2.01

The draw, priced at 3.23, might attract punters expecting a closely fought contest. Given the competitive nature of these encounters, betting on both teams to score could also be a savvy move.

CD UT Cajamarca Analysis & Past Performance

CD UT Cajamarca have shown promising recent form in the Primera División, with a record of three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This sequence includes impressive victories against Cusco FC (1-0) and Atlético Grau (2-0), highlighting their defensive capabilities with two clean sheets.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Asociación Deportiva Tarma	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primera División Apertura	22 Feb 2026
CD UT Cajamarca	Cusco FC	1 – 0 (Win)	Primera División Apertura	13 Feb 2026
Club Deportivo Moquegua	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 3 (Win)	Primera División Apertura	6 Feb 2026
CD UT Cajamarca	Atlético Grau	2 – 0 (Win)	Primera División Apertura	30 Jan 2026
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	3 – 0 (Loss)	Primera División Clausura	23 Nov 2025

Recent Form:
The team average 1.60 goals scored per match while conceding 1.40 in the same period. Marlon De Jesús stands out as a key player, contributing significantly to their eight goals in the last five games. Despite scoring in four out of their last five matches, their defensive vulnerability is evident, having conceded in three of those games.

Their home form has been particularly strong, with a win ratio of 60% from five home games, reflecting their ability to capitalise on home advantage. However, maintaining consistency remains a challenge as their win ratio over the last ten matches drops to 50%. This blend of attacking potential and defensive lapses suggests a team still finding its optimal balance as they sit atop the standings with 10 points.

• DWWWL

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca approach their upcoming match against Alianza Lima with a fully fit squad, as there are no injuries or suspensions to report. This clean bill of health provides coach Carlos Bustos with the luxury of selecting his preferred line-up without any forced changes, which could prove advantageous in maintaining their tactical consistency and cohesion on the pitch.

The absence of any unavailable players ensures that CD UT Cajamarca can deploy their strongest possible formation, potentially allowing for a more aggressive approach against their opponents. With key players such as Ángelo Campos and Marlon De Jesús available, the team can focus on executing their game plan without having to adjust for missing personnel.

Having a full squad at his disposal, Bustos might opt for a balanced formation that leverages both defensive solidity and attacking prowess. The midfield, led by David Dioses and Luis Arce, could play a pivotal role in controlling the game’s tempo and supporting both the defensive and attacking lines.

With no injuries or suspensions affecting the team, CD UT Cajamarca might be seen as having a slight edge going into the match, especially if Alianza Lima face any unavailability issues. This could influence betting markets, as a fully available squad strengthens the home side’s chances of securing a positive result.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca’s attacking hopes rest heavily on Marlon De Jesús, their top scorer with two goals this season. De Jesús is known for his physical presence and ability to hold up play, making him a constant threat in the attacking third. His role as a forward will be pivotal in breaking down Alianza Lima’s defence. Alongside him, Adolfo Muñoz offers pace and creativity, likely playing a crucial role in providing assists and stretching the opposition defence.

Midfield dynamo Marcos Lliuya is another key player for Cajamarca, orchestrating play and linking defence to attack. His vision and passing accuracy are essential in controlling the tempo of the game. Defensively, Piero Serra and Bruno Duarte form a solid central partnership, tasked with maintaining defensive stability. Their ability to read the game and make crucial interceptions will be vital in thwarting Alianza Lima’s attacking threats.

Expected line-up for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Ángelo Campos
• Defenders: Luis Garro, Piero Serra, Bruno Duarte, Dylan Caro
• Midfielders: David Dioses, Luis Arce, Marcos Lliuya
• Forwards: David Camacho, Adolfo Muñoz, Marlon De Jesús

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Marlon De Jesús
• Midfield Pivot: David Dioses and Luis Arce
• Defensive Record: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on midfield control and disciplined defence.

CD UT Cajamarca’s potential 4-2-3-1 formation is designed to maximise their midfield control and provide defensive stability. David Dioses and Luis Arce are crucial in the central midfield, tasked with breaking up opposition plays while initiating attacks. Marcos Lliuya operates as the attacking midfielder, expected to create opportunities for Marlon De Jesús, who leads the line.

Defensively, the back four, including Luis Garro and Bruno Duarte, are essential for maintaining a compact structure. This setup has contributed to their ability to secure two clean sheets in their last five matches, showcasing their defensive discipline and resilience.

Offensively, CD UT Cajamarca’s strategy involves controlling the tempo through the midfield and exploiting the pace of Adolfo Muñoz on the wings. The team’s focus on midfield solidity and transition play has been effective, as evidenced by their consistent scoring in recent matches.

Alianza Lima Analysis & Past Performance

Alianza Lima have showcased resilient form in recent matches, particularly in domestic competitions. Over the last five games, they have secured two victories, two draws, and suffered one defeat. Their most recent win was a narrow 1-0 triumph over Sport Boys, demonstrating their capacity to grind out results even when not at their attacking best.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Alianza Lima	Sport Boys	1 – 0 (Win)	Primera División Apertura	21 Feb 2026
Alianza Atlético	Alianza Lima	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primera División Apertura	15 Feb 2026
Alianza Lima	2 de Mayo	1 – 1 (Draw)	Copa Libertadores Qualifiers	12 Feb 2026
Alianza Lima	Comerciantes Unidos	2 – 1 (Win)	Primera División Apertura	8 Feb 2026
2 de Mayo	Alianza Lima	1 – 0 (Loss)	Copa Libertadores Qualifiers	5 Feb 2026

Recent Form:

• WDDWL

Alianza Lima’s attacking unit has been moderately productive, averaging 0.80 goals per game in their last five fixtures, while their defence has been more impressive, conceding only 0.60 goals per game and achieving two clean sheets. Away from home, their form has been stable, with a win ratio of 40% over their past five away matches, indicating a reasonable level of consistency on the road. Their tactical discipline and defensive solidity are evident, making them a challenging opponent to break down.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima face significant challenges due to the absence of several key players through injuries. Jesús Castillo and Josué Estrada, both nursing knee injuries, are expected to return by mid-March 2026. Their absence in midfield could force coach Pablo Guede to reconsider his tactical approach, potentially relying more on less experienced players or shifting his formation to accommodate the missing depth.

The injuries to Guillermo Viscarra and Jean Pierre Archimbaud add to the defensive woes, with both players sidelined until early March 2026. Their absence could see Alejandro Duarte maintaining the goalkeeping duties, while the defence might have to rely on the likes of Luis Advíncula and Renzo Garcés to step up in leadership roles. Kevin Quevedo’s muscle injury further complicates the situation, as it reduces attacking options until his expected return in early March.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jesús Castillo	Knee injury	Mid March 2026
Josué Estrada	Knee injury	Mid March 2026
Guillermo Viscarra	Thigh injury	Early March 2026
Jean Pierre Archimbaud	Muscle injury	Early March 2026
Kevin Quevedo	Muscle injury	Early March 2026
Cristian Carbajal	Leg injury	Unknown

Cristian Carbajal’s leg injury, with an unknown return date, leaves Alianza Lima’s midfield stretched thin. The team might need to adopt a more conservative strategy to mitigate the impact of these injuries. The absence of these players could affect Alianza Lima’s odds in the betting markets, as their squad depth and tactical flexibility are significantly compromised.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Paolo Guerrero emerges as Alianza Lima’s top scorer with two goals, bringing his seasoned experience and clinical finishing to the forefront. Guerrero, playing as a forward, is expected to spearhead Alianza’s attack, leveraging his positioning and aerial prowess to unsettle CD UT Cajamarca’s defence. His ability to hold up the ball and bring others into play will be crucial in breaking down the opposition’s backline.

In midfield, Esteban Pavez and Fernando Gaibor are pivotal to Alianza’s tactical setup. Pavez’s defensive acumen and Gaibor’s playmaking abilities create a balanced midfield dynamic. Meanwhile, Luis Advíncula’s presence in defence offers both solidity and the potential for overlapping runs, providing width and support to the attack.

Expected line-up for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Alejandro Duarte
• Defenders: Luis Advíncula, Renzo Garcés, Mateo Antoni, Marco Huamán
• Midfielders: Eryc Castillo, Esteban Pavez, Fernando Gaibor, Jairo Vélez
• Forwards: Alan Cantero, Paolo Guerrero

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Expected 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Paolo Guerrero
• Midfield Engine: Esteban Pavez and Jairo Vélez
• Defensive Record: Two clean sheets in the last five matches
• Notable Strategy: Strong defensive organisation with counter-attacking prowess.

Alianza Lima are likely to employ a 4-2-3-1 formation, which has been effective in providing a balanced approach between defence and attack. The midfield pairing of Esteban Pavez and Jairo Vélez is crucial, offering both defensive coverage and the ability to transition quickly into attack. This formation allows for flexibility, with Eryc Castillo and Alan Cantero providing width and pace on the flanks.

Defensively, Alianza Lima have shown significant resilience, achieving two clean sheets in their last five outings. The defensive line, led by Luis Advíncula, Renzo Garcés, Mateo Antoni, and Marco Huamán, has demonstrated solid organisation and discipline, crucial for maintaining their defensive solidity.

Offensively, the team rely on the experience of Paolo Guerrero as the focal point in attack. His ability to hold up play and bring others into the game is vital. The team’s strategy often involves a strong defensive setup, quickly transitioning into counter-attacks, making use of the speed and creativity of their wingers.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between CD UT Cajamarca and Alianza Lima, the latter have a clear upper hand with 16 wins compared to Cajamarca’s seven, alongside seven draws. Their most recent encounter saw Alianza Lima secure a commanding 3-0 victory at home during the Liga 1 Clausura in November 2025.

The last time CD UT Cajamarca hosted Alianza Lima was in July 2025, and it ended in a goalless draw. Despite playing at home, Cajamarca have struggled to dominate, with Alianza Lima often proving to be a tough opponent on their turf.

Home Side	Away Side	Score	League	Date
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	3 – 0	Liga 1 Clausura	2025-11-23
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	0 – 0	Liga 1 Apertura	2025-07-12
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	0 – 1	Liga 1 Clausura	2024-10-18
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	1 – 0	Liga 1 Apertura	2024-05-04
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	1 – 0	Liga 1 Clausura	2023-08-06