Alianza Lima vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction, Match Preview, August 16th

In the upcoming Primera Division clash, Alianza Lima will face off against CD UT Cajamarca on Sunday, August 16th. This match is set to be an intriguing encounter as both teams vie for crucial points in the league standings. Alianza Lima, a well-established team in Peru, will be looking to leverage their experience and home advantage, although the exact venue details remain unspecified.

CD UT Cajamarca, on the other hand, will aim to challenge their hosts with a spirited performance. As the match unfolds, both teams will be eager to showcase their strengths and secure a favourable result. This fixture promises to be a competitive affair, with both sides having much at stake in the Primera Division. Fans and bettors alike will be keenly watching to see how this matchup influences the league dynamics.

Alianza Lima vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction & Betting tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Alianza Lima to Win	1.2

Given Alianza Lima’s strong form and head-to-head dominance over CD UT Cajamarca, our recommended betting tip is to back Alianza Lima to win. They have been consistent at home, scoring in every match this season, and their tactical discipline should see them through despite some injuries.

• Alianza Lima have scored in 100% of their home matches this season, showcasing their attacking prowess.
• CD UT Cajamarca’s inconsistency and average of 1.7 goals conceded per game make them vulnerable.
• Alianza Lima’s unbeaten streak of 12 matches in the tournament indicates their reliability.

Odds on the Match

Alianza Lima are the clear favourites in this match-up, with betting odds heavily in their favour at 1.2. Their strong home record in the Primera Division makes them a popular choice for punters. On the other hand, CD UT Cajamarca are the underdogs with odds of 11.5, suggesting a tough challenge ahead for the visitors.

Betting Suggestion	Odds
Back Alianza Lima	1.2
Bet on Draw	5.64
Back CD UT Cajamarca	11.5

The draw is priced at 5.64, which could be tempting for those who believe in an upset or a tightly contested affair. For those looking at alternative markets, consider the over 2.5 goals option, given Alianza Lima’s attacking prowess.

Alianza Lima Analysis & Past Performance

Alianza Lima has been demonstrating a robust performance in recent fixtures, maintaining an unbeaten streak in their last five matches with a record of two wins and three draws. Their recent encounters include a 1-1 draw against Sport Boys and a 3-1 victory over Alianza Atlético, showcasing their ability to secure points consistently.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Sport Boys	Alianza Lima	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primera Division Clausura	9 Aug 2026
Alianza Lima	Alianza Atlético	3 – 1 (Win)	Primera Division Clausura	2 Aug 2026
Comerciantes Unidos	Alianza Lima	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primera Division Clausura	26 Jul 2026
Alianza Lima	Sport Huancayo	2 – 1 (Win)	Primera Division Clausura	20 Jul 2026
FC Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primera Division Apertura	31 May 2026

Recent Form:
Alianza Lima’s offence has been effective, averaging 1.80 goals per match in the last five games, while defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.20 goals per game. Despite not achieving any clean sheets recently, their attack has compensated by scoring in every match, with Eryc Castillo leading the charge as their top scorer with 5 goals this season.

Home Advantage:

• DWDWD

At home, Alianza Lima has been particularly dominant, winning four out of their last five home games with a win ratio of 0.80. This solid home form has contributed significantly to their second-place standing in the league, with 8 points accrued in the current season. Their ability to capitalise on home advantage and maintain an undefeated streak at home highlights their tactical strength and team cohesion.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima faces some challenges ahead of their match against CD UT Cajamarca, with injuries impacting their squad depth. Cristian Carbajal is sidelined with a muscle injury and is expected to return in late August 2026. His absence may not significantly alter their defensive setup as he is not a regular starter, but it does limit options for rotation. Marco Huamán, listed as doubtful due to an ankle injury, is a more pressing concern given his previous appearances in the defensive line. The uncertainty surrounding his fitness could force a reshuffle at the back, potentially affecting the team’s defensive solidity.

To cover for Huamán, Alianza Lima might rely on players like Renzo Garcés, who has shown versatility in the defensive unit. His inclusion could maintain the team’s structural integrity, but it may not fully replicate Huamán’s contributions. The tactical impact of these injuries means Alianza Lima might opt for a more cautious approach, prioritising defensive stability over expansive play.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Cristian Carbajal	muscle injury	Late August 2026
Marco Huamán	ankle injury	Doubtful

With no suspensions affecting Alianza Lima, the team can focus on tweaking their tactics to mitigate the impact of injuries. The absence of suspensions allows coach Pablo Guede to potentially experiment with his lineup, ensuring that the team’s core structure remains intact while accommodating the current injuries. This flexibility should provide a slight edge in maintaining competitive balance against CD UT Cajamarca.

The betting implications of these injuries could see a slight shift in favour of CD UT Cajamarca, especially if Huamán is unable to feature. However, Alianza Lima’s resilience and depth in the squad might counterbalance these absences, making for an intriguing matchup.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Eryc Castillo is the top scorer for Alianza Lima, having found the net 5 times this season. His remarkable pace and clinical finishing make him a constant threat to any defence. Castillo’s ability to exploit spaces behind the backline will be crucial against CD UT Cajamarca. Partnering him in attack is Federico Girotti, whose physical presence and aerial ability complement Castillo’s speed, providing a well-rounded attacking duo.

In midfield, the veteran Paolo Guerrero adds experience and composure. His playmaking skills and vision allow him to dictate the tempo and create goal-scoring opportunities. Alongside him, Esteban Pavez offers solidity and defensive cover, ensuring a balanced midfield approach. In defence, Luis Advíncula stands out with his versatility and defensive acumen, contributing both in defence and attack.

Expected lineup for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Alejandro Duarte
• Defenders: Luis Advíncula, Mateo Antoni, Renzo Garcés, Nicolás Díaz
• Midfielders: Esteban Pavez, Fernando Gaibor, Paolo Guerrero, Jairo Vélez
• Forwards: Federico Girotti, Eryc Castillo

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: José Paolo Guerrero
• Midfield Engine: Fernando Gaibor and Esteban Pavez
• Defensive Record: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and aerial strength.

Alianza Lima’s 4-4-2 formation is designed to maximise their attacking threats while maintaining a balanced defensive structure. Key forward José Paolo Guerrero spearheads the attack, leveraging his experience and physical presence to disrupt opposing defences. Alongside him, Federico Girotti adds dynamism and goal-scoring ability, forming a potent partnership.

In midfield, Fernando Gaibor and Esteban Pavez provide the engine room, combining defensive resilience with creative passing. Their ability to control the tempo and initiate attacks is crucial to Alianza’s strategy, particularly when transitioning from defence to offence.

Defensively, Alianza Lima has struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in each of their last five matches. The backline, featuring Luis Advíncula and Renzo Garcés, must tighten their coordination to improve defensive solidity. Offensively, the team often focuses on wide play, utilising the pace and crossing ability of wingers Eryc Castillo and Jairo Vélez to create chances from the flanks.

CD UT Cajamarca Analysis & Past Performance

CD UT Cajamarca is currently struggling in the Primera Division, sitting at 17th position with only 2 points from their recent matches. Their recent form has been less than ideal, with the team managing only 3 draws in their last five games, alongside 2 losses. This pattern of performance highlights their inability to secure victories and maintain defensive solidity.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
CD UT Cajamarca	Asociación Deportiva Tarma	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primera Division Clausura	8 Aug 2026
Cusco FC	CD UT Cajamarca	4 – 1 (Loss)	Primera Division Clausura	1 Aug 2026
CD UT Cajamarca	Club Deportivo Moquegua	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primera Division Clausura	26 Jul 2026
Atlético Grau	CD UT Cajamarca	3 – 1 (Loss)	Primera Division Clausura	18 Jul 2026
Los Chankas	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primera Division Apertura	31 May 2026

Recent Form:

• DLDLD

In their last five outings, CD UT Cajamarca has scored an average of 1.00 goals per game while conceding an average of 2.00. Despite finding the back of the net in 4 out of these 5 matches, they’ve only managed 1 clean sheet, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Away from home, their form has been even more concerning, with 4 losses and just 1 draw out of the last 5 away fixtures, showing a clear struggle in adapting to playing away from their home ground.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca faces a challenging situation with the suspension of goalkeeper Ignacio Barrios, who received a red card in their previous match. His absence means that Cristian Paulucci will need to rely on a less experienced goalkeeper, which could impact the team’s defensive stability against Alianza Lima. This forced change might require a more conservative defensive approach, potentially affecting their usual playing style.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Ignacio Barrios	red card	1	Unknown

The injury to Francesco Cavagna, who is suffering from a muscle injury and remains doubtful for the match, further complicates matters. Cavagna’s presence in the defence was crucial, and without him, the team might struggle to maintain their defensive coherence. The coach may have to look towards the bench for a suitable replacement, but the options could be limited, potentially affecting the overall strength of the backline.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Francesco Cavagna	muscle injury	Doubtful

With these key players unavailable, CD UT Cajamarca’s depth will be tested. The tactical adjustments necessitated by these absences could influence the match’s outcome, making Alianza Lima potential favourites in the betting markets. The team will need to adapt quickly to mitigate the impact of these losses.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca’s attacking prowess will be spearheaded by their top scorer Marcos Lliuya, who has netted 2 goals this season. Lliuya, playing a crucial role in the forward line, combines speed with technical skill, making him a constant threat to Alianza Lima’s defence. His ability to find space and finish clinically will be vital for Cajamarca’s offensive strategy.

Arquímedes Figuera in midfield is another key player, known for his robust tackling and distribution skills. He orchestrates the play from the centre, ensuring fluid transitions between defence and attack. In defence, Junior Huerto’s leadership and ability to read the game are essential for maintaining stability at the back, particularly against Alianza Lima’s potent attack.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Angelo Campos
• Defence: Luis Garro, Manuel Ganoza, Junior Huerto, Dylan Caro
• Midfield: David Dioses, Arquímedes Figuera, Gilmar Paredes
• Forward: David Camacho, Adolfo Muñoz, Marcos Lliuya

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Predominantly 4-5-1
• Key Forward: Marcos Lliuya
• Midfield Pivot: Arquímedes Figuera and David Camacho
• Defensive Concerns: Struggled to maintain clean sheets, only one in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focus on midfield control and counter-attacks.

CD UT Cajamarca’s tactical approach often revolves around a 4-5-1 formation, which provides a robust midfield presence aimed at controlling the game’s tempo. Arquímedes Figuera and David Camacho are pivotal in this setup, tasked with breaking opposition play and initiating counter-attacks.

Offensively, the team relies heavily on Marcos Lliuya as the lone forward. His ability to hold up play and bring midfielders into attack is crucial, especially given their tendency to play on the counter. With two goals to his name this season, Lliuya remains a key offensive asset.

Defensively, CD UT Cajamarca has struggled to keep clean sheets, a concern highlighted by their average of two goals conceded per game in recent matches. Coach Cristian Paulucci might consider reinforcing the backline to improve defensive solidity, particularly against high-pressing teams.

Alianza Lima vs CD UT Cajamarca H2H Record

Alianza Lima have a strong head-to-head record against CD UT Cajamarca, winning 17 out of their 31 encounters, with Cajamarca managing 7 wins and the same number of draws. The last meeting saw Alianza Lima snatch a 1-0 victory away in the Liga 1 Apertura earlier this year.

The last time these two met in the Primera Division at Alianza Lima’s home ground, it ended in a convincing 3-0 win for the hosts. Alianza have been dominant at home, consistently keeping Cajamarca at bay.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	0 – 1	Liga 1 Apertura	2026-02-28
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	3 – 0	Liga 1 Clausura	2025-11-23
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	0 – 0	Liga 1 Apertura	2025-07-12
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Lima	0 – 1	Liga 1 Clausura	2024-10-18
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	1 – 0	Liga 1 Apertura	2024-05-04