Alianza Lima vs. FBC Melgar Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 November 2025

Plenty to look forward to as Alianza Lima takes on FBC Melgar in a crucial Primera Division clash on 1 November 2025. With both teams standing on equal footing at 24 points each, this fixture holds significant implications for their league positions.

Alianza Lima, the bookmakers’ favourite, enter the match in strong form, having won their last two games. Manager Néstor Gorosito will rely on top scorer Jose Paolo Guerrero to lead the line, despite key suspensions and injuries. Meanwhile, FBC Melgar’s solid defensive form, with three clean sheets in their last five outings, and Jhonny Vidales’ knack for goals make them formidable opponents.

Expect a close contest with both teams likely to score, making an over 1.5 goals bet a sound choice. This fixture is not just a game but a vital chapter in the season’s narrative.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Betting Tip

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Prediction
Betting tip
Over 1.5 goals

We recommend betting on over 1.5 goals for this match. Here’s why:

• Scoring Prowess: Alianza Lima has scored in 78% of their matches this season, consistently finding the back of the net.
• Recent Form: Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, with Alianza Lima averaging 1.80 goals and FBC Melgar scoring in 82% of their matches this season.
• Defensive Gaps: Alianza Lima has struggled to keep clean sheets recently, which increases the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter.

With these factors in mind, an over 1.5 goals bet promises great value.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Odds

When it comes to placing bets on this high-stakes encounter, the bookmakers have tilted the odds in favour of Alianza Lima. Given their recent form and home ground advantage, Alianza Lima are seen as the front-runners.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Alianza Lima Win	1.80
Draw	3.39
FBC Melgar Win	4.14

The odds clearly reflect the home team’s favourites status. Alianza Lima are fresh off a two-game winning streak and are expected to capitalise on their momentum.

For punters, the odds for a draw or an away win offer the potential for higher returns, but bear in mind that FBC Melgar’s solid defensive form adds an extra layer of intrigue to this fixture.

Alianza Lima Team Analysis

Alianza Lima Recent Performance

Alianza Lima have been in decent form coming into this crucial fixture against FBC Melgar. Their recent performance shows a mix of victories and defeats, but they seem to be gaining momentum with two consecutive wins.

• Sport Huancayo 1-2 Alianza Lima
• Alianza Lima 3-1 Sport Boys
• Alianza Universidad 2-1 Alianza Lima
• Alianza Lima 2-1 Atletico Grau
• Cienciano 2-1 Alianza Lima

In their last five matches, Alianza Lima have:

• Scored an average of 1.80 goals per game.
• Conceded goals as they have failed to keep a clean sheet.

Leading the line is their top scorer, Jose Paolo Guerrero, who has netted three goals this season. Despite suspensions for key players like Josue Estrada and Pablo Ceppelini, the team has managed to maintain its offensive prowess, making them a formidable opponent, especially at home.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Alianza Lima’s attack will heavily rely on their top scorer, Jose Paolo Guerrero, who has consistently delivered, scoring three goals this season. His experience and leadership on the field will be crucial for Alianza Lima to break down FBC Melgar’s defence.

Another key player to watch is Gaspar Gentile, who will provide width and pace from the right wing, creating numerous opportunities for Guerrero. Defensively, Carlos Zambrano will be tasked with marshalling the backline, ensuring stability amidst recent suspensions.

These individual battles, particularly between Guerrero and FBC Melgar’s solid centre-back pairing, will be pivotal in determining the outcome.

Expected lineup for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Viscarra
• Defenders: Marco Huamán, Carlos Zambrano, Renzo Garcés, Miguel Trauco
• Midfielders: Alessandro Burlamaqui, Jesus Castillo, Fernando Gaibor
• Forwards: Gaspar Gentile, Paolo Guerrero, Eryc Castillo

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima will face FBC Melgar with a few key absences in their lineup. They will be without Josue Estrada and Pablo Cepellini, who are both suspended. Estrada is out due to an accumulation of yellow cards, while Cepellini will miss the game after receiving a red card in a previous match.

These suspensions could disrupt the team’s defensive setup and creative midfield play, areas where both players have been significant contributors. Additionally, they will miss the services of Juan Delgado, who is sidelined with a broken nose. His absence weakens their depth in defence, potentially leaving them vulnerable against a potent Melgar attack.

Despite these setbacks, Alianza Lima will seek to rely on their experienced players to fill the gaps and maintain their strong home form.

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Jose Paolo Guerrero
• Midfield Trio: Alessandro Burlamaqui, Jesus Castillo, Fernando Gaibor
• Defensive Line: Marco Huamán, Carlos Zambrano, Renzo Garcés, Miguel Trauco

Alianza Lima will continue with their 4-3-3 formation, balancing an aggressive attack with solid defensive cover. In recent games, this formation has allowed them to maintain a fluid midfield and consistent forward thrust, despite not keeping a clean sheet in their last five outings.

Guerrero will spearhead the attack, supported by wide wingers Gaspar Gentile and Eryc Castillo, who provide pace and creativity. The midfield, led by Jesus Castillo, will look to control possession and initiate attacks from deep.

Defensively, the team will rely on Zambrano’s experience to guide a backline that includes Garcés and Trauco, aiming to stay compact against FBC Melgar’s offensive threats.

FBC Melgar Team Analysis

FBC Melgar Recent Performance

FBC Melgar heads into this encounter with a decent run of form, marked by three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their recent performance includes:

• FBC Melgar 2-0 Sport Huancayo
• Sport Boys 1-0 FBC Melgar
• FBC Melgar 2-1 Alianza Universidad
• Atletico Grau 0-0 FBC Melgar
• FBC Melgar 2-0 Cienciano

In these five games, they have:

• Managed to achieve three clean sheets
• Scored an average of 1.20 goals per game
• Demonstrated a solid defensive organisation

FBC Melgar’s resilience at the back is a significant factor, with goalkeeper Carlos Caceda and the defensive unit playing a crucial role. This defensive stability, coupled with the scoring touch of their top scorer, Jhonny Vidales, who has netted six goals this season, makes them a formidable side to face.

FBC Melgar Key Players

FBC Melgar will look to leverage the talents of their key players as they take on Alianza Lima. The spotlight will be on Jhonny Vidales, their top scorer with six goals this season. His knack for finding the back of the net makes him a constant threat to any defence.

In midfield, the experience and composure of Horacio Orzan will be vital in breaking up Alianza Lima’s play and initiating counter-attacks. Defensively, Leonel Gonzalez and Alec Deneumostier will form a robust pairing at the heart of the defence, aiming to keep Jose Paolo Guerrero in check.

Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Enrique Caceda
• Defenders: Alejandro Ramos, Leonel Gonzalez, Alec Deneumostier, Nelson Cabanillas
• Midfielders: Horacio Orzan, Cristian Bordacahar, Walter Tandazo, Nicolás Quagliata, Johnny Vidales
• Forward: Bernardo Cuesta

Individual battles, such as Vidales against Carlos Zambrano and Guerrero taking on Melgar’s defence, will be key to determining the outcome of this match.

FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries

Heading into their match against Alianza Lima, FBC Melgar has a couple of injury concerns that could impact their lineup. Key players Juan Muñoz and Diego Rodriguez are both sidelined with thigh injuries, with their return dates currently unknown. These absences weaken Melgar’s depth, particularly in the midfield and defensive segments.

The injuries limit Juan Reynoso’s options, potentially causing a reshuffle in positions. However, Melgar’s solid recent form suggests that the team can adapt and cope with these challenges. Other squad members will need to step up to fill the void left by these absences, ensuring the team remains competitive against a strong Alianza Lima side.

FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation

FBC Melgar Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Bernardo Cuesta
• Defensive Midfield: Horacio Orzan and Walter Tandazo
• Attacking Trio: Cristian Bordacahar, Nicolás Quagliata, Johnny Vidales
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.

FBC Melgar will likely set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Bernardo Cuesta leading the attack. The defensive midfield pairing of Horacio Orzan and Walter Tandazo will be crucial in breaking up Alianza Lima’s attacks and providing a solid base for transitions.

In attack, the trio behind Cuesta will play a pivotal role. Nicolas Quagliata’s creativity combined with Vidales’ finishing abilities and Bordacahar’s support will aim to penetrate Alianza Lima’s defensive line. The defense, led by Leonel Gonzalez and Alec Deneumostier, aims to maintain their recent solidity, as evidenced by their three clean sheets in the last five encounters. This balanced approach will make Melgar tough to break down while offering threats on the counter.

Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the recent head-to-head statistics, matches between Alianza Lima and FBC Melgar have been closely contested. Here’s a quick breakdown of their last five meetings:

• 2025-06-28: FBC Melgar 0-1 Alianza Lima
• 2024-09-29: Alianza Lima 1-1 FBC Melgar
• 2024-04-28: FBC Melgar 1-0 Alianza Lima
• 2023-09-29: Alianza Lima 0-0 FBC Melgar
• 2023-05-19: FBC Melgar 2-1 Alianza Lima

FBC Melgar has had the upper hand in these encounters, securing two wins. However, the most recent meeting saw Alianza Lima clinch a vital away win.

Both teams have shown they can score and defend well, with matches often being tight affairs. Given this history, we can expect another competitive game where small margins could determine the outcome.

Odds accurate as of 30.10.2025 01:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.