Universitario de Deportes vs. Alianza Lima Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 24 August 2025

The highly anticipated clash between Universitario de Deportes and Alianza Lima is set for 24 August 2025. Both teams are performing well in the Primera Division, with Universitario standing third and Alianza Lima in fifth. Universitario, coached by Jorge Fossati, boasts 14 points and is the bookmakers’ favourite to win with odds at 2.05.

Despite Alianza Lima’s unbeaten streak in their last five matches, they are plagued by several key injuries. The absences could hinder their performance against a strong Universitario side that has shown resilience and a solid defence, with three clean sheets in their last five games.

Expect a close, intense encounter, but Universitario’s past head-to-head success and home advantage slightly tilt the prediction in their favour. Therefore, the recommended bet is a home win for Universitario de Deportes.

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Betting tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Home Win for Universitario de Deportes

Reasoning:

• Recent Form and Standing: Universitario de Deportes is exhibiting strong form with a record of WWLDD, standing third in the league. This consistency makes them a solid choice.
• Head-to-Head Advantage: Universitario has won 3 out of the last 5 meetings against Alianza Lima, highlighting their psychological and tactical edge.
• Alianza Lima’s Injury Concerns: Injuries to key players like Paolo Guerrero and Carlos Zambrano could significantly impact Alianza Lima’s performance and strategy.

With these key factors in mind, a bet on Universitario de Deportes to secure a win appears to be the most promising option.

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima Odds

This match between Universitario de Deportes and Alianza Lima offers some intriguing betting opportunities. Universitario de Deportes enters the game as the favourite, thanks to their strong league position and recent form, whereas Alianza Lima, struggling with key injuries, presents as the underdog.

Given Universitario’s solid form, strong defensive record, and past head-to-head successes against Alianza Lima, a bet on Universitario to win seems notably attractive. Additionally, the potential for a draw remains a considerable option, considering both teams’ abilities to hold their own in tight situations. However, Alianza Lima’s injuries could heavily influence the outcome, tilting it in favour of the home side.

Universitario de Deportes Team Analysis

Universitario de Deportes Recent Performance

Universitario de Deportes have shown commendable form heading into this clash, with a recent performance record of WWLDD in their last five matches. During this run, they managed to secure clean sheets in three games, demonstrating their defensive solidity. However, their scoring has been a bit inconsistent, averaging just 0.80 goals per match over the same period.

Their last five results were a 0-0 draw against Palmeiras, a 1-1 draw versus Sport Huancayo, a 0-4 loss to Palmeiras, a 1-0 victory over Sport Boys, and a solid 2-0 triumph against Alianza Universidad. Coached by Jorge Fossati, the team currently sits 3rd in the league standings with 14 points.

This solid defensive display coupled with their head-to-head advantage makes them a formidable opponent, particularly given their home ground advantage in this matchup.

Universitario de Deportes Key Players

Universitario de Deportes will look to their key players to make a significant impact in this match. Alex Valera, the team’s top scorer with 3 goals, will be crucial upfront. His goal-scoring abilities will need to break down Alianza Lima’s defensive line, especially considering his form and potential to capitalise on any defensive lapses.

In midfield, Jairo Concha will play a pivotal role, providing both defensive cover and creative spark. His ability to link play and support attacks is essential for Universitario’s strategy.

Defensively, Anderson Santamaria is expected to be a key figure, ensuring stability and using his experience to neutralise Alianza Lima’s forwards.

Expected line-up for Universitario de Deportes:

• Goalkeeper: Sebastian Britos
• Defenders: Aldo Corzo, Anderson Santamaria, Williams Riveros, José Joel Carabalí, Hugo Ancajima
• Midfielders: Jorge Murrugarra, Martin Perez Guedes, Jairo Concha
• Forwards: Alex Valera, Edison Flores

These players’ performance and coordination will be vital for the home team to secure a victory.

Universitario de Deportes Suspensions & Injuries

Universitario de Deportes are relatively fortunate in terms of injuries and suspensions going into this match. Their main concern is midfielder Rodrigo Ureña, who is sidelined with a calf injury and isn’t expected to return until mid-September 2025.

Ureña’s absence might affect the team’s midfield depth, but Coach Jorge Fossati has other strong options to fill this gap. The team’s overall defensive and offensive setups remain largely intact, as there’s no significant disruption to their key first-team players.

This relative health provides Universitario a solid platform to execute their game plan effectively against Alianza Lima.

Universitario de Deportes Tactics and Formation

Universitario de Deportes will likely stick to a defensive and balanced approach, focusing on maintaining their strong record at the back while looking for opportunities to counterattack and score.

Universitario Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Alex Valera
• Midfield Trio: Jorge Murrugarra, Martin Perez Guedes, Jairo Concha
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Solid defensive play, combined with quick transitions to attack, particularly leveraging the pace and creativity of their midfield and forwards.

Their solidity at the back, as evidenced by three clean sheets in the last five games, gives them a strong defensive platform to build on. The inclusion of experienced defenders like Anderson Santamaria and dependable goalkeeper Sebastian Britos helps fortify this strategy. Meanwhile, midfielders like Jairo Concha will be crucial in controlling the game’s tempo and linking up with forwards to create scoring chances.

Alianza Lima Team Analysis

Alianza Lima Recent Performance

Alianza Lima has displayed impressive form lately, securing four wins and one draw in their last five matches, with a recent form of DWWWW. This strong performance includes victories over Universidad Católica, Asociacion Deportiva Tarma, Ayacucho FC, and Sporting Cristal.

Significantly, they have managed three clean sheets in these matches, underlining their defensive resilience. Furthermore, they averaged 1.60 goals per game, highlighting their attacking prowess.

Despite these successes, they face a challenging game against Universitario de Deportes, particularly with several key players sidelined due to injury. Coach Néstor Gorosito will need to strategize carefully to maintain their winning momentum and navigate the absence of essential squad members.

Alianza Lima Key Players

Despite their injury concerns, Alianza Lima has several key players who can make a difference in this matchup. Hernan Barcos, their top scorer with one goal, remains a crucial figure in attack and will look to add to his tally. His experience and positioning can pose a significant threat to Universitario’s defence.

In midfield, Sergio Pena is expected to pull the strings. His playmaking abilities and vision will be vital in creating scoring opportunities. The midfield battle between Pena and Universitario’s Martin Perez Guedes could be a key aspect of the game.

Defensively, Renzo Garces will be essential in maintaining solidity at the back, especially given the key absences.

Expected lineup for Alianza Lima:

• Goalkeeper: Guillermo Viscarra
• Defenders: Josue Estrada, Gianfranco Chavez, Renzo Garces, Ricardo Lagos
• Midfielders: Pablo Ceppelini, Alessandro Burlamaqui, Sergio Pena
• Forwards: Alan Cantero, Hernan Barcos, Eryc Castillo

These players’ performances will be critical for Alianza Lima to overcome their injuries and secure a positive result.

Alianza Lima Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Lima faces several significant injury concerns heading into this matchup, which could impact their performance. Key players like Paolo Guerrero (ankle injury, potential return early September 2025) and Carlos Zambrano (physical discomfort) may miss the game, weakening their attacking and defensive options.

Pedro Aquino, with a tooth injury, and Piero Cari, suffering from a hamstring issue, are also doubtful, while Pablo Lavandeira is recovering from a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected back until late December 2025. Furthermore, Juan Delgado, dealing with a broken nose, is another uncertainty for the lineup.

These injuries could severely impact Alianza Lima’s strategic flexibility and overall performance, making it challenging for coach Néstor Gorosito to field his strongest squad. Consequently, this situation tilts the odds in favour of Universitario de Deportes, who have a relatively healthier squad.

Alianza Lima Tactics and Formation

Alianza Lima will likely adopt an attacking approach, leveraging their strong recent performances and overall team balance, despite having key players out due to injury.

Alianza Lima Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Hernan Barcos
• Midfield Trio: Pablo Ceppelini, Alessandro Burlamaqui, Sergio Pena
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Quick counter-attacks and utilising flanks to create scoring chances

Hernan Barcos will lead the line, aiming to capitalise on any defensive errors from Universitario. The midfield, orchestrated by Sergio Pena, will be vital in linking play and maintaining possession. Defensively, Renzo Garces and the backline must hold firm to keep Universitario at bay. Despite the injuries, Alianza Lima’s depth will be tested, and their ability to adapt tactically could determine their success in this crucial encounter.

Universitario de Deportes vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head Statistics

Historically, the recent head-to-head encounters between Universitario de Deportes and Alianza Lima paint an intriguing picture. Over the last five meetings, Universitario has triumphed three times, while two matches ended in a draw.

• 2025-04-06, Liga 1 Apertura: Alianza Lima 1 – 1 Universitario de Deportes
• 2024-07-27, Liga 1 Clausura: Universitario de Deportes 2 – 1 Alianza Lima
• 2024-02-11, Liga 1 Apertura: Alianza Lima 0 – 1 Universitario de Deportes
• 2023-11-09, Liga 1 Final Stage: Alianza Lima 0 – 2 Universitario de Deportes
• 2023-11-05, Liga 1 Final Stage: Universitario de Deportes 1 – 1 Alianza Lima

Universitario de Deportes’ recent superiority is evident, with three wins and two draws in these fixtures. The psychological edge and tactical advantage are evident, setting the stage for another potentially favourable outcome for Universitario in their upcoming clash.

Odds accurate as of 22.08.2025 23:32, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.