CD UT Cajamarca vs. Alianza Universidad Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 October 2025

As we head into Matchday 16 of the Primera Division, CD UT Cajamarca will host Alianza Universidad in what promises to be a significant fixture for both sides. Scheduled for 26 October 2025 at 18:15, the home side will look to build on their recent momentum and climb up from the 18th position, while the visitors hope to maintain a safe distance from the relegation zone.

CD UT Cajamarca, under the guidance of Hernán Lisi, have shown resilience lately, with three clean sheets in their last five games, signaling a sturdy defense. They are also the bookmaker’s favorite to win with odds of 2.05. The home team’s top scorer, Jarlin Quintero, will be crucial, aiming to add to his tally of 8 goals. Importantly, CD UT Cajamarca have won their last three head-to-head meetings against Alianza Universidad, providing them with a mental edge.

In contrast, Alianza Universidad have struggled defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in ten outings. Despite this, they have been effective in attack with Yorleys Mena Palacios scoring 7 goals this season. With Alianza Universidad standing 15th, coach Roberto Mosquera will focus on shoring up their defense to avoid dropping points.

Overall, the recommended bet is for CD UT Cajamarca to win, given their home advantage, superior head-to-head record, and recent form. Expect an intriguing clash with both sides eager to secure vital points.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Prediction & Betting tip

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Prediction
Betting tip
CD UT Cajamarca to Win – Odds: 2.05

CD UT Cajamarca to win is our recommended betting tip for this match, and here’s why:

• Head-to-Head Success: CD UT Cajamarca have emerged victorious in their last three meetings with Alianza Universidad, providing a psychological edge.
• Strong Home Form: With a robust defensive record, including three clean sheets in their last five games, CD UT Cajamarca have shown formidable home strength.
• Defensive Weakness of Alianza Universidad: The away team has failed to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive matches, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

This match-up is set to be a crucial fixture, with CD UT Cajamarca’s home advantage and form giving them the upper hand.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Odds

For those looking to place a wager on the upcoming Primera Division fixture between CD UT Cajamarca and Alianza Universidad, here are the current betting odds:

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca to Win	2.05
Draw	3.29
Alianza Universidad to Win	3.28

CD UT Cajamarca are priced as the favorites with odds of 2.05, reflecting their recent strong form and home advantage. A draw is seen as a slightly less likely outcome at 3.29, while an away win for Alianza Universidad is marginally higher at 3.28, indicating their recent struggles.

With CD UT Cajamarca winning their last three head-to-head encounters and maintaining solid defensive performances, they are heavily backed to secure the three points. Alianza Universidad, on the other hand, have had difficulties defensively, making the odds for a home win particularly appealing.

CD UT Cajamarca Team Analysis

Recent Performance:

CD UT Cajamarca’s recent run of form has been a mixed bag with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. They have managed to show defensive solidity, keeping three clean sheets during this period. However, they also suffered two losses, highlighting some inconsistency.

• Last 5 Matches:
  • Atletico Grau 0 – 2 CD UT Cajamarca
  • CD UT Cajamarca 0 – 2 Cienciano
  • Comerciantes Unidos 2 – 1 CD UT Cajamarca
  • CD UT Cajamarca 2 – 0 Los Chankas
  • Deportivo Garcilaso 0 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca

Despite sitting in the 18th position, they’ve averaged 1.00 goal per game over their last five matches. Their defensive performance stands out as a key strength, particularly at home where they have demonstrated notable resilience.

Heading into this match, CD UT Cajamarca will leverage their recent defensive form and home advantage to put in a strong performance against Alianza Universidad.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca’s squad boasts some pivotal players who could make a significant impact in this fixture. The standout performer is their top scorer, Jarlin Quintero, who has netted 8 goals this season. His ability to find the net will be crucial, especially against a defense that has shown vulnerabilities.

Cristian Mejía, who operates in the midfield, is another key player expected to control the tempo of the game and provide creative impetus.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Campos
• Defenders: Luis Garro, Piero Serra, Leonardo Rugel, Anthony Rosell
• Midfielders: Cristian Mejía, Freddy Oncoy, Roberto Villamarin, Erinson Ramírez, Juan Vega
• Forward: Leonardo de la Cruz

The defensive units, particularly Piero Serra and Leonardo Rugel, will play essential roles in maintaining their three clean sheets streak in recent matches. The battles between Quintero and Alianza Universidad’s backline, particularly Jesus Mendieta and Paolo Fuentes, will likely be a decisive factor in the match’s outcome.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca face this vital match with a relatively fit squad, though they will be missing Roberto Koichi Aparicio, who is sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is not expected to return until late December 2025. Aparicio’s absence takes away an element of their midfield depth and creativity, which has required coach Hernán Lisi to rely more heavily on players like Cristian Mejía and Freddy Oncoy to fill the void.

Fortunately, there are no current suspensions affecting CD UT Cajamarca, allowing Hernán Lisi to field a strong side that has exhibited good defensive form recently. The consistency in their lineup will be crucial as they aim to secure all three points in their battle to move up the league standings from the 18th position.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero (8 goals this season)
• Defensive Midfielders: Cristian Mejía, Freddy Oncoy
• Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on defensive solidity and quick transitions through the wings.

CD UT Cajamarca have favored the 4-2-3-1 formation, which offers balanced coverage between defense and attack. Hernán Lisi has focused on a strong defensive setup, averaging 2.5 yellow cards across the season, indicating an aggressive and disciplined backline. The key for their offensive play will be feeding the ball to Jarlin Quintero through fast breaks, leveraging the pace and creativity of midfielders like Roberto Villamarin and Erinson Ramírez. This tactical setup has yielded positive results, particularly at home, and will be essential in exploiting Alianza Universidad’s defensive weaknesses.

Alianza Universidad Team Analysis

Recent Performance:

Alianza Universidad have found themselves in a tricky spot, with recent performances highlighting significant struggles. Their last five matches resulted in four losses and one win, demonstrating defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistencies:

• FBC Melgar 2 – 1 Alianza Universidad
• Alianza Universidad 2 – 1 Alianza Lima
• Sport Huancayo 5 – 1 Alianza Universidad
• Alianza Universidad 2 – 3 Sport Boys
• Atlético Grau 2 – 0 Alianza Universidad

They’ve averaged 1.20 goals per game over the last five matches but have failed to keep any clean sheets. Their defensive fragility, conceding an average of 1.9 goals this season, has been a glaring issue.

Despite these challenges, Yorleys Mena Palacios remains a bright spot, contributing 7 goals this season. As they sit in 15th place, coach Roberto Mosquera will need to address their defensive lapses to garner any points and improve their standing in the league.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

Alianza Universidad will be looking at key players to turn their fortunes around in this crucial match. One of the standout figures for them has been Yorleys Mena Palacios, their top scorer with 7 goals this season. His goal-scoring prowess will be essential against a sturdy CD UT Cajamarca defense.

Omar Vásquez, functioning as the attacking midfielder, will play a pivotal role in orchestrating play and providing the necessary creative spark. Additionally, Carlos Ascues and Otavio Gut in the midfield are expected to fortify the team’s defensive and offensive transitions.

Expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:

• Goalkeeper: Italo Espinoza
• Defenders: Gerson Iraola, Paolo Fuentes, Jesus Mendieta, Alexi Gomez
• Midfielders: Carlos Ascues, Otavio Gut, Joffré Escobar, Omar Vásquez, Marcos Lliuya
• Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios

The battle between Mena Palacios and CD UT Cajamarca’s central defenders, Piero Serra and Leonardo Rugel, will be one to watch, potentially deciding the match.

Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Universidad head into this fixture with a notable injury concern. Ray Gomez is currently struggling with a hamstring injury, making his participation in this crucial match doubtful. Gomez’s potential absence hampers the team’s defensive solidity and experience, which they desperately need to address given their recent poor form.

Fortunately, there are no suspensions reported for Alianza Universidad, allowing coach Roberto Mosquera to deploy his strongest possible lineup. Despite these challenges, the team will need to strategize effectively to cover for Gomez’s absence and remain competitive against CD UT Cajamarca. The guidance of key players like Yorleys Mena Palacios will be vital to compensate for any defensive frailties exposed in Gomez’s potential absence.

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios (7 goals this season)
• Defensive Midfielders: Carlos Ascues, Otavio Gut
• Defensive Weakness: No clean sheets in the last ten matches.
• Notable Strategy: Focus on quick counter-attacks and exploiting gaps in the opponent’s defense during the 31-45 minute interval.

Alianza Universidad have frequently adopted a 4-2-3-1 formation under coach Roberto Mosquera. This setup aims to balance their defensive responsibilities with offensive capabilities. With a solid duo in the defensive midfield, Carlos Ascues and Otavio Gut provide both defensive cover and the ability to launch quick transitions. However, the team has struggled to maintain defensive solidity, which has been a major area of concern in their recent matches.

Up front, Yorleys Mena Palacios will be the focal point of their attack, looking to capitalize on any defensive lapses from CD UT Cajamarca. The midfield trio of Escobar, Vásquez, and Lliuya are expected to support Palacios, providing creativity and pace on the flanks to break down the opposition’s defense.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head Statistics

Looking at the recent head-to-head encounters between CD UT Cajamarca and Alianza Universidad, the home side appears to have the upper hand. CD UT Cajamarca have won three out of their last five meetings against Alianza Universidad, creating a psychological advantage heading into this match.

• Most Recent Matches:
  • June 20, 2025 – Alianza Universidad 1 – 2 CD UT Cajamarca
  • August 28, 2021 – CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 0 Alianza Universidad
  • May 17, 2021 – Alianza Universidad 1 – 2 CD UT Cajamarca
  • November 13, 2020 – CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 2 Alianza Universidad
  • October 01, 2020 – Alianza Universidad 0 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca

In these encounters, CD UT Cajamarca have shown solid performance, especially away from home, winning twice on Alianza Universidad’s turf. This trend will boost Cajamarca’s confidence playing at home. Alianza Universidad’s last win against CD UT Cajamarca dates back to November 2020, indicating a shift in momentum in favor of the hosts.

Odds accurate as of 24.10.2025 19:16, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.