FBC Melgar vs. Alianza Universidad Prediction, Match Preview, and Betting Tips, 15 October 2025

The much-anticipated clash between FBC Melgar and Alianza Universidad in the Primera Division is set for 15 October 2025. FBC Melgar, currently sitting 5th in the league with 18 points, comes into this fixture as the bookmaker’s favourite. Alianza Universidad, on the other hand, is positioned 14th with 13 points and needs a win to avoid further slipping down the standings.

FBC Melgar, led by coach Juan Reynoso, has been in solid form with a DWDWD record (Draw, Win, Draw, Win, Draw) in their last five games. Their primary striker, Jhonny Vidales, has netted 5 goals this season, contributing significantly to their robust attacking setup. Their expected lineup suggests a strong midfield presence with Horacio Orzan orchestrating play, which could dominate proceedings.

Alianza Universidad, under Roberto Mosquera, have had a tougher run with a LLLLW form line (Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win) but did secure an impressive win against Alianza Lima in their last outing. Yorleys Mena Palacios, scoring 7 goals so far, continues to be their star player and will spearhead their attack. However, their defence has been leaky, conceding 1.9 goals on average per match.

Given their recent form and previous head-to-head results, our match tips recommend betting on under 3.5 goals. Historical encounters have been low-scoring affairs, suggesting a tightly contested match with few goals likely.

This match promises excitement, with FBC Melgar aiming to strengthen their position in the league while Alianza Universidad seeks to climb out of the lower reaches of the standings.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction & Betting tip

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Prediction
Betting tip
Under 3.5 goals

Given the tight encounters between FBC Melgar and Alianza Universidad in recent times, our recommended betting tip is to go for under 3.5 goals. The last five head-to-head matches have all seen fewer than four goals, with their most recent match ending in a 1-1 draw. This trend suggests a low-scoring affair is likely once again.

Additionally, considering Melgar’s solid defense with two clean sheets in their last five games and Alianza Universidad’s tendency to concede, a goal fest seems improbable. Here are the main reasons to support this tip:

• 5 out of the last 5 encounters saw fewer than four goals.
• Alianza Universidad has struggled defensively, yet they need to be cautious facing a stronger Melgar side.
• Odds of 1.64 provide good value for this expected low-scoring matchup.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Odds

Let’s take a look at the betting odds for the upcoming clash between FBC Melgar and Alianza Universidad. FBC Melgar, currently in strong form and positioned 5th in the league, are the clear favourites for this encounter. Alianza Universidad, who find themselves 14th on the table, have a tougher challenge ahead.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Betting Odds
Bet
FBC Melgar
Draw
Alianza Universidad

These odds reflect FBC Melgar’s solid performance this season and their home advantage. A draw offers higher risk and reward, while an away win for Alianza Universidad presents the longest odds, indicating their recent form struggles and inferior league position.

The odds of 1.30 for FBC Melgar to win underline their favourite status, while Alianza Universidad’s odds of 7.99 highlight them as underdogs. For those considering a less risky bet, backing a draw or placing a bet on under 3.5 goals could offer a balance of value and likelihood of payoff.

FBC Melgar Team Analysis

FBC Melgar Recent Performance

FBC Melgar has been in solid form recently, with a record of DWDWD (Draw, Win, Draw, Win, Draw) in their last five matches. They have shown a balanced approach in both attack and defense, scoring an average of 2.00 goals per game and managing 2 clean sheets in their recent outings.

Their recent performances include a dominant 6-1 victory over Los Chankas and a confident 2-0 win against Cienciano. However, they have also experienced tightly contested encounters, such as the goalless draw against Atletico Grau and 1-1 stalemates with Comerciantes Unidos and Deportivo Garcilaso.

Under the guidance of Juan Reynoso, Melgar has effectively utilized a 4-1-4-1 formation, providing a solid midfield foundation that supports both defensive stability and attacking flexibility. With star striker Jhonny Vidales contributing 5 goals so far this season, Melgar looks poised to continue their push in the league.

FBC Melgar Key Players

FBC Melgar, under Juan Reynoso, boasts a roster of strong performers led by Jhonny Vidales, their top scorer with 5 goals this season. Vidales’ finishing prowess will be crucial as they aim to secure all three points.

In the midfield, Horacio Orzan stands out as a pivotal figure, orchestrating play and ensuring the transition between defense and attack runs smoothly. His partnership with Walter Tandazo and Cristian Bordacahar provides a solid and dynamic midfield presence that could prove vital against Alianza Universidad.

Defensively, Pier Barrios and Leonel Gonzalez have been reliable, contributing to the team’s two clean sheets in their last five matches. Their ability to shut down opposition strikers will be tested against Yorleys Mena Palacios, Alianza Universidad’s top scorer.

Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Enrique Caceda
• Defenders: Alejandro Ramos, Pier Barrios, Leonel Gonzalez, Mathias Llontop
• Midfielders: Horacio Orzan, Cristian Bordacahar, Walter Tandazo, Johnny Vidales, Gregorio Rodriguez
• Forward: Tomas Martinez

FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries

FBC Melgar will have to navigate this match without a couple of key players due to injuries and suspensions. Juan Munoz and Diego Rodriguez are both sidelined with thigh injuries. Their absence might slightly weaken Melgar’s depth, particularly in rotational options, and could impact their overall squad flexibility.

Additionally, Bernardo Cuesta will miss this game due to suspension following a red card. Cuesta’s ban leaves a gap in the attack, placing extra pressure on Jhonny Vidales to lead the line effectively.

Despite these absences, Melgar’s squad depth and recent form suggest they are well-poised to handle these setbacks and continue their strong performances in the Primera Division. The remaining squad, led by coach Juan Reynoso, will aim to step up and secure a crucial victory at home.

FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation

FBC Melgar Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Jhonny Vidales
• Midfield Core: Horacio Orzan, Cristian Bordacahar, Walter Tandazo, Johnny Vidales, Gregorio Rodriguez
• Defensive Resilience: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Strategic Focus: Maintaining a solid midfield presence to control the pace of the game

FBC Melgar’s 4-1-4-1 formation highlights their emphasis on midfield control and a balanced approach between attack and defense. At the heart of their tactics is Horacio Orzan, who plays a pivotal role in bridging the defense and attack. The dynamic forward, Jhonny Vidales, will be critical in converting chances, supported by a strong midfield presence.

Defensively, the combination of Pier Barrios and Leonel Gonzalez has been effective, contributing to their clean sheets. Expect Melgar to employ a system that provides defensive stability while allowing their midfield to exploit attacking opportunities.

Alianza Universidad Team Analysis

Alianza Universidad Recent Performance

Alianza Universidad has faced a turbulent period recently, with their last five matches reflecting a LLLLW form (Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win). Their recent victory against Alianza Lima, though, could act as a morale booster given their otherwise struggling performances. On average, they have managed to score 1.00 goal per game but have failed to keep any clean sheets in their last five outings, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Their recent games have seen heavy losses, such as the 5-1 defeat to Sport Huancayo and a 3-0 thumping by Cienciano. However, they showed resilience in their latest match with a 2-1 win over Alianza Lima, highlighting potential for an upset.

Despite their struggles, Alianza Universidad, under Roberto Mosquera, will be looking to put up a strong fight against a formidable FBC Melgar side. Their key focus will be shoring up their defense to avoid conceding heavily and capitalizing on any offensive opportunities that arise.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

Alianza Universidad will be relying heavily on Yorleys Mena Palacios, their top scorer who has netted 7 goals this season. His ability to find the back of the net will be crucial if Alianza Universidad aims to cause an upset against FBC Melgar.

Another player to watch is Carlos Ascues, who provides vital stability in midfield with his defensive prowess and ability to break up opposition plays. His partnership with Jorginho Sernaqué in the midfield will be essential in controlling the tempo of the game.

Defensively, Jesus Mendieta and Otavio Gut need to step up their game to plug the gaps that have been evident in recent matches. The duo will face a significant challenge in containing Melgar’s dynamic forward, Jhonny Vidales.

Expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:

• Goalkeeper: Italo Espinoza
• Defenders: Paolo Fuentes, Jesus Mendieta, Otavio Gut, Alexi Gomez
• Midfielders: Jorginho Sernaqué, Carlos Ascues, Jeremy Canela, Marcos Lliuya, Rick Campodónico
• Forward: Edson Diego Aubert

Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Universidad will face challenges due to key absences in their squad. Ray Gomez is doubtful for the match, nursing a hamstring injury which severely limits their defensive options. His presence would have added much-needed stability to a backline that has struggled recently.

Additionally, Benjamín Ampuero is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Ampuero’s suspension removes an experienced option from Roberto Mosquera’s side, forcing a reshuffle in the defensive setup.

These setbacks could affect Alianza Universidad’s ability to contain a potent Melgar attack, putting extra pressure on their remaining defensive players to step up and deliver a solid performance to mitigate these losses.

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios
• Midfield Duo: Jorginho Sernaqué, Carlos Ascues
• Defensive Challenges: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Scored most goals during the 31-45-minute interval this season

Alianza Universidad under Roberto Mosquera tend to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation. Yorleys Mena Palacios, their top scorer, will lead the attack, posing a constant threat to the opposition’s defense. The midfield will rely on the partnership of Jorginho Sernaqué and Carlos Ascues to dictate the flow of the game and disrupt Melgar’s buildup play.

Defensively, they’ve struggled, conceding 1.9 goals on average per match this season. The absence of key players like Ray Gomez and Benjamín Ampuero adds to their defensive woes, making it crucial for the remaining defenders like Jesus Mendieta and Otavio Gut to step up. They also need to focus on shoring up their defense to avoid further heavy losses.

FBC Melgar vs Alianza Universidad Head-to-Head Statistics

FBC Melgar and Alianza Universidad have met several times in recent years, with FBC Melgar generally holding the upper hand. Diving into their last five encounters:

• 23 May 2025: Alianza Universidad 1 – 1 FBC Melgar (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 9 Aug 2021: FBC Melgar 3 – 0 Alianza Universidad (Liga 1 – Fase 2)
• 28 Sep 2020: FBC Melgar 1 – 0 Alianza Universidad (Liga 1 – Apertura)
• 6 Oct 2019: Alianza Universidad 2 – 1 FBC Melgar (Liga 1 – Clausura)
• 21 Apr 2019: FBC Melgar 2 – 0 Alianza Universidad (Liga 1 – Apertura)

These results highlight FBC Melgar’s dominance, having secured three wins and a draw in their last five matchups. The latest encounter saw a 1-1 draw, emphasizing a closely contested battle.

Alianza Universidad managed a solitary win, showing they can cause upsets. However, past head-to-head statistics favour FBC Melgar, considering their superior track record in these fixtures.

With FBC Melgar’s solid recent form, expect another hard-fought contest, potentially low-scoring as historical matches suggest.

Odds accurate as of 13/10/2025 00:00, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.