Alianza Universidad vs. FBC Melgar Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 23 May 2025 - bettingexpert
On 23 May 2025, Alianza Universidad will host FBC Melgar in an intriguing Primera Division clash at 21:30. Despite the significant gap in the standings—Alianza Universidad languishes at the bottom in 19th place with just 6 points, while FBC Melgar holds second place on a solid 24 points—this matchup carries a lot of weight for both teams.
Alianza Universidad, guided by coach Mifflin Bermúdez, desperately needs a win to garner some momentum and escape the relegation zone. They have struggled recently but earned a hard-fought draw against Atletico Grau in their last home game, demonstrating their potential to challenge stronger teams. Their defensive frailties, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game, remain a concern. Rick Campodonico, their top scorer, will need to be at his best.
FBC Melgar, the bookmaker’s favorite with odds at 1.72, has been consistent. Although they drew against Atletico Grau recently, victories in other fixtures have kept them near the top. Walter Ribonetto’s squad boasts a strong attack led by Facundo Castro, who has 5 goals this season. However, they will miss the crucial leadership of Bernardo Cuesta due to a meniscus injury.
Given the odds and recent form, a closely contested match is expected, with Alianza Universidad having a chance to win if they capitalize on their opportunities.
Recommended bet: Alianza Universidad to win. The odds present a great opportunity for value betting.
The matchup promises drama and excitement, contributing another chapter to this season’s unfolding narrative.
Alianza Universidad vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Betting Tip
Alianza Universidad vs FBC Melgar Prediction
| Betting tip | Odds |
| Alianza Universidad to Win | 4.28 |
- Value in Odds: Alianza Universidad’s odds present a significant opportunity for value betting, making it a sensible option for risk-takers.
- Defensive Resilience: Despite recent struggles, Alianza Universidad has managed crucial clean sheets in two of their last five games, showing they can be defensively solid.
- Unpredictable Outcomes: The team has shown the potential to surprise stronger opponents, as evidenced by their hard-fought draw against Atletico Grau.
Alianza Universidad vs FBC Melgar Odds
| Alianza Universidad vs FBC Melgar Betting Odds | |
|---|---|
| Bet | Odds |
| Alianza Universidad | 4.28 |
| Draw | 3.62 |
| FBC Melgar | 1.72 |
FBC Melgar enters this match as the bookmaker’s favorite with odds of 1.72, reflecting their strong form and higher league position. Meanwhile, Alianza Universidad’s odds of 4.28 present a significant opportunity for value betting, making them an interesting pick for risk-takers. Given the team’s defensive resilience, as shown by their clean sheets in recent games, a draw at 3.62 also holds potential value.
Alianza Universidad Team Analysis
Alianza Universidad Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Lima | Alianza Universidad | 2025-05-20 | Primera Division | 2-0 (Loss) |
| Alianza Universidad | Sport Huancayo | 2025-05-12 | Primera Division | 0-1 (Loss) |
| Sport Boys | Alianza Universidad | 2025-05-04 | Primera Division | 4-2 (Loss) |
| Alianza Universidad | Atlético Grau | 2025-04-18 | Primera Division | 0-0 (Draw) |
| Cienciano | Alianza Universidad | 2025-04-13 | Primera Division | 0-1 (Win) |
Recent Form: LLLDW
Alianza Universidad has struggled in their past five matches, suffering three consecutive losses before stabilizing with a draw and a win. They have managed only one clean sheet in these games and have scored an average of 0.60 goals per match. With a low average goal tally and conceding an average of 1.9 goals this season, they have defensive frailties that need urgent attention.
Their recent form under coach Mifflin Bermúdez has been inconsistent, and they will need to improve on both ends of the pitch to climb up from their current bottom position.
Alianza Universidad Key Players
Rick Campodónico will be crucial for Alianza Universidad. As their top scorer with 2 goals, his partnership with Yorleys Mena Palacios and Joffré Escobar in the attack will be vital. Campodónico’s ability to link up play and create opportunities will be essential against FBC Melgar. Central midfielder Marcos Lliuya and defensive midfielder Otavio Gut will have the responsibility to control the midfield and break up opposition attacks.
Expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:
- Goalkeeper: Pedro Ynamine
- Defenders: Aldair Perleche, Jhon Ibargüen, Benjamín Ampuero, Jesus Mendieta
- Midfielders: Otavio Gut, Rick Campodónico, Marcos Lliuya, Omar Vásquez
- Forwards: Yorleys Mena Palacios, Joffré Escobar
Key individual battles include Campodónico vs Pier Barrios and Gut vs Horacio Orzan in the midfield.
Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries
Alianza Universidad have no reported injuries or suspensions ahead of the match against FBC Melgar.
This clean bill of health means head coach Mifflin Bermúdez has the luxury of selecting his optimal starting XI. With all players available, Alianza Universidad can focus on executing their game plan and addressing the weaknesses that have plagued their season so far, particularly their defensive lapses.
Having a full squad available is a significant advantage, and it could be crucial in their bid to pull off an upset against the high-flying FBC Melgar.
Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation
Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-1-4-1
- Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios
- Midfield Trio: Rick Campodónico, Marcos Lliuya, Omar Vásquez
- Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: Defensive resilience with a focus on avoiding goals in the final minutes of each half
Mifflin Bermúdez typically sets up his side in a 4-1-4-1 formation, aiming for a balance between defensive solidity and midfield control. Otavio Gut anchors the midfield, providing essential cover for the backline. Despite struggling offensively with an average of 0.60 goals scored in the last five games, the team’s focus will likely be on maintaining a compact shape and capitalizing on counter-attacks through their forward, Yorleys Mena Palacios.
Alianza Universidad must be wary of conceding goals late in each half, particularly in the 76-90 and 0-15 minute periods.
FBC Melgar Team Analysis
Recent Performance
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | Atletico Grau | 2025-05-18 | Primera Division Apertura | 1-1 (Draw) |
| Academia Puerto Cabello | FBC Melgar | 2025-05-14 | Copa Sudamericana Grp. G | 0-1 (Win) |
| Cienciano | FBC Melgar | 2025-05-11 | Primera Division Apertura | 1-2 (Win) |
| FBC Melgar | Lanus | 2025-05-07 | Copa Sudamericana Grp. G | 0-1 (Loss) |
| FBC Melgar | Comerciantes Unidos | 2025-05-02 | Primera Division Apertura | 1-1 (Draw) |
Recent Form: DWWLD
FBC Melgar have been in solid form recently, with their last five matches including two wins, two draws, and one loss. They have maintained an average of 1.00 goals scored per game over this period. Despite this, they’ve only managed one clean sheet in the last five fixtures, highlighting some defensive vulnerabilities.
Their attacking prowess combined with their higher league standing (2nd place with 24 points) positions them as strong contenders going into this match against Alianza Universidad.
FBC Melgar Key Players
Expected lineup for FBC Melgar:
- Goalkeeper: Jorge Cabezudo
- Defenders: Alejandro Ramos, Pier Barrios, Leonel Gonzalez, Mathias Llontop
- Midfielders: Horacio Orzan, Lautaro Guzmán, Walter Tandazo, Alexis Arias, Kenji Cabrera
- Attacker: Percy Liza
Key players to watch include top scorer Facundo Castro, who has netted five goals this season. Midfielder Walter Tandazo will play a crucial role in controlling the tempo, while Lautaro Guzmán, expected to feature on the right, is known for his creativity.
Keep an eye on the duel between Percy Liza and Alianza Universidad’s defenders. This could prove pivotal in determining the game’s outcome.
FBC Melgar Suspensions & Injuries
| Player | Injury | Expected return |
|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Cuesta | Meniscus injury | Unknown |
FBC Melgar is dealing with the absence of forward Bernardo Cuesta due to a meniscus injury, with an unknown return date. This is a significant loss for the team as Cuesta plays a pivotal role in their attacking lineup.
Although the squad has shown depth with replacements like Percy Liza stepping up, Cuesta’s presence and experience are missed. His injury might force coach Walter Ribonetto to adapt tactics and rely more on other forwards to maintain the team’s attacking threat against Alianza Universidad.
FBC Melgar Tactics and Formation
FBC Melgar’s Tactical Breakdown:
- Formation: 4-1-4-1
- Key Forward: Percy Liza
- Midfield Strength: Horacio Orzán (Defensive Midfielder), Lautaro Guzmán and Walter Tandazo (Central Midfielders), Alexis Arias and Kenji Cabrera (Wingers)
- Defensive Robustness: One clean sheet in the last five games
- Notable Strategy: FBC Melgar is adept at maintaining pressure and scoring throughout the match, having scored in 100% of their matches this season.
FBC Melgar will rely on a well-organized midfield to control the pace of the game and distribute the ball effectively. The team’s formation, with a solid defensive midfielder supporting the back line, aims to disrupt Alianza Universidad’s rhythm and create opportunities for Percy Liza to find the net.
Alianza Universidad vs FBC Melgar Head-to-Head Statistics
| Home team | Away team | Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBC Melgar | Alianza Universidad | 2021-08-09 | Liga 1 – Fase 2 | 3-0 (Loss) |
| FBC Melgar | Alianza Universidad | 2020-09-28 | Liga 1 – Apertura | 1-0 (Loss) |
| Alianza Universidad | FBC Melgar | 2019-10-06 | Liga 1 – Clausura | 2-1 (Win) |
| FBC Melgar | Alianza Universidad | 2019-04-21 | Liga 1 – Apertura | 2-0 (Loss) |
Alianza Universidad has had a tough record against FBC Melgar in their last five meetings, managing only one win. FBC Melgar clearly holds the upper hand historically. With Alianza Universidad currently struggling at the bottom of the league, they will need to put in a formidable performance to reverse this trend.
Odds accurate as of 21/05/2025 21:31, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.
