Alianza Universidad vs. Los Chankas Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 30 August 2025

As we head into the sixth round of Primera Division, Alianza Universidad takes on Los Chankas in what promises to be an intriguing battle. Even though they are currently the bookmakers’ favorites, Alianza Universidad is sitting at 15th in the table with 4 points, while Los Chankas hold the 9th spot with 6 points.

With both teams having similar recent form and defensive vulnerabilities – Alianza with a record of LLWLD and Los Chankas at DLWLW – it’s a match that could swing either way. Both teams have also shown a tendency to score and concede, making the bet for both teams to score a compelling option. Alianza has conceded the most goals between the 76-90 minute mark, a critical window that Los Chankas might exploit.

Furthermore, Alianza Universidad averages 1.9 yellow cards per match, while Los Chankas aren’t far behind with an average of 2.2, setting the stage for a potentially scrappy affair. With top scorer Yorleys Mena Palacios leading for Alianza and Pablo Bueno for Los Chankas, the contest is set up to be exciting from start to finish.

Alianza Universidad vs Los Chankas Prediction & Betting Tip

Alianza Universidad vs Los Chankas Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Both Teams to Score (Yes)	1.73

Best Bet Recommendation: Both Teams to Score (Yes)

Reasoning:

1. High Scoring Tendency: Los Chankas have a 73% rate of matches where both teams scored, indicating a strong likelihood of them both scoring and conceding. Alianza Universidad also has a 48% rate, supporting this trend.
2. Defensive Vulnerabilities: Alianza Universidad concedes an average of 1.78 goals per match, while Los Chankas concede 1.59. This defensive frailty increases the probability of both teams finding the net.
3. Recent Form: Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, with Alianza Universidad conceding 8 goals and Los Chankas scoring 6 in their last 5 matches.

Given these statistics, the "Both Teams to Score (Yes)" bet is supported by the teams’ scoring and conceding patterns, making it a strong recommendation.

Alianza Universidad vs Los Chankas Odds

When Alianza Universidad and Los Chankas clash on 30 August 2025, the bookmakers have placed their odds, favoring Alianza Universidad.

Alianza Universidad vs Los Chankas Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Alianza Universidad	1.73
Draw	3.67
Los Chankas	4.18

As evident from the odds, Alianza Universidad is considered stronger at 1.73, likely driven by their home advantage and recent improvements in performance, despite lingering defensive issues.

Meanwhile, the odds for a draw stand at 3.67, suggesting the match could be closely contested. Los Chankas, with 4.18 odds, represent the underdog, but their recent form and scoring capabilities make them a potential threat.

Given these dynamics, it’s safe to say that while Alianza Universidad is slightly favored, the game could swing either way, reflecting the unpredictable nature of football.

Alianza Universidad Team Analysis

Alianza Universidad Recent Performance

Alianza Universidad’s recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches recording a draw, three losses, and a single win. Recent Form: LLWLD. Despite their struggles, they have managed to find the net, averaging 1.00 goal per match in their last five outings.

However, defensive vulnerabilities have plagued the team, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game. Their most recent clean sheet was a 3-0 victory against Asociación Deportiva Tarma, showing they have the potential to bounce back when it matters.

With Yorleys Mena Palacios leading the line and scoring 3 goals so far, Alianza Universidad will look to improve their standing from 15th and build on any positive momentum from their home advantage.

Alianza Universidad Key Players

As Alianza Universidad gears up for their match against Los Chankas, certain players are expected to make a significant impact. Yorleys Mena Palacios stands out as the key man, netting 3 goals so far and leading the line. His role will be crucial in breaking through Los Chankas’ defense.

Aldair Perleche and Benjamín Ampuero in defense will face the challenging task of containing Los Chankas’ attack, particularly their top scorer, Pablo Bueno. Midfielder Marcos Lliuya will be pivotal in linking the play between defense and attack, while goalkeeper Italo Espinoza will be keen to improve his clean sheet record.

Expected lineup for Alianza Universidad:

• Goalkeeper: Italo Espinoza
• Defenders: Aldair Perleche, Carlos Ascues, Benjamín Ampuero, Otavio Gut
• Midfielders: Marcos Lliuya, Jeremy Canela, Jack Durán, Ray Gomez, Omar Vásquez
• Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios

These key players and their performances will be critical as Alianza Universidad aims to climb up the league table.

Alianza Universidad Suspensions & Injuries

Alianza Universidad is entering this crucial matchup without any suspensions or injuries, which should give them a full squad to choose from.

This clean bill of health could be a significant advantage, allowing head coach Roberto Mosquera to field his strongest lineup and deploy his preferred tactics without any limitations. With all key players available, Alianza Universidad will look to capitalize on their home advantage and address their recent defensive struggles.

A healthy squad might also provide the psychological boost the team needs to improve their position in the league table and secure a much-needed victory.

Alianza Universidad Tactics and Formation

Alianza Universidad Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Yorleys Mena Palacios
• Midfield Trio: Jeremy Canela, Ray Gomez, Omar Vásquez
• Defensive Setup: Four at the back focusing on width and overlapping full-backs

Under the guidance of head coach Roberto Mosquera, Alianza Universidad is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Yorleys Mena Palacios stands as the focal point in attack, aiming to add to his scoring tally. The midfield is expected to be anchored by Marcos Lliuya and Jeremy Canela, providing both offensive support and defensive cover.

Defensively, the team has struggled, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game. However, with all key defenders available, they will look to tighten up at the back. Notable strategy includes focusing on spreading the play through the wings with wide players like Jack Durán and Omar Vásquez.

Los Chankas Team Analysis

Los Chankas Recent Performance

Los Chankas has had an inconsistent run recently, with their last five matches recording two wins, two losses, and a draw. Recent Form: DLWLW.

Despite the erratic form, they have managed to maintain an average of 1.20 goals scored per game, showing a steady offensive output. Defensively, Los Chankas have had one clean sheet in their last five matches. With key victories over teams like Atlético Grau and Comerciantes Unidos, scoring three goals in each of those fixtures, they have shown they can find the net consistently.

However, their defensive frailties are evident from the goals conceded in other fixtures. Heading into the match, they’ll aim to improve their defensive performance while leveraging their offensive strengths.

Los Chankas Key Players

Los Chankas will look to pivotal players to make a mark against Alianza Universidad. Their top scorer, Pablo Bueno, who has found the net 6 times this season, will be a key figure up front. His ability to exploit defensive gaps could be crucial.

Midfielders Jose Manzaneda and Jordan Guivin will be essential in controlling the game’s tempo and providing service to Bueno. In defense, Ayrthon Quintana and Jorge Palomino will have the tough task of containing Alianza Universidad’s attack led by Yorleys Mena Palacios.

Expected lineup for Los Chankas:

• Goalkeeper: Hairo Camacho
• Defenders: David Gonzáles, Ederson Mogollon, Héctor González, Jorge Palomino, Ayrthon Quintana
• Midfielders: Jordan Guivin, Adrián Quiroz, Jose Manzaneda
• Forwards: Oshiro Takeuchi, Pablo Bueno

The performances of these key players could determine Los Chankas’ success in this away fixture.

Los Chankas Suspensions & Injuries

Los Chankas will be without two key players due to long-term cruciate ligament injuries. Christian Velarde is not expected to return until early January 2026, while Franco Saravia is slated for a late February 2026 comeback.

These absences could impact Los Chankas’ defensive stability, especially considering Velarde’s experience and Saravia’s presence. Despite the injuries, head coach Walter Paolella will need to rely on his squad depth to fill these gaps.

The rest of the squad is fit and available, offering a ray of hope as they prepare to exploit Alianza Universidad’s defensive vulnerabilities. With these injuries in mind, Paolella will look to maximize the performance of his available key players.

Los Chankas Tactics and Formation

Los Chankas Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-3-2
• Key Forward: Pablo Bueno
• Midfield Trio: Adrian Quiroz, Jordan Guivin, Jose Manzaneda
• Defensive Setup: Five at the back focusing on a solid defensive unit

Under the strategic stewardship of head coach Walter Paolella, Los Chankas are likely to adopt a 5-3-2 formation, aiming for both defensive solidity and efficient counter-attacks. Pablo Bueno remains their main attacking threat, vital for exploiting gaps in Alianza Universidad’s defense.

The midfield trio of Adrian Quiroz, Jordan Guivin, and Jose Manzaneda will be essential for both maintaining possession and transitioning swiftly from defense to attack. In defense, they will line up with five defenders to curb the offensive threats from Alianza Universidad, particularly Yorleys Mena Palacios.

Paolella’s strategy will likely include compact defensive lines and rapid counter-attacks, aiming to strike when Alianza Universidad’s defense is least prepared.

Alianza Universidad vs Los Chankas Head-to-Head Statistics

In the past encounters between Alianza Universidad and Los Chankas, the matches have often been evenly contested and closely fought. Here’s a look at their last five meetings:

• 2025-03-30: Los Chankas 3 – 1 Alianza Universidad (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 2023-10-27: Los Chankas 3 – 1 Alianza Universidad (Penalty shoot-out: 3 – 2, Liga 2 Promotion Playoff)
• 2023-10-20: Alianza Universidad 3 – 1 Los Chankas (Liga 2 Promotion Playoff)
• 2023-09-07: Alianza Universidad 2 – 1 Los Chankas (Liga 2)
• 2023-06-11: Los Chankas 2 – 2 Alianza Universidad (Liga 2)

From these results, it’s clear that both teams have had their moments of dominance. Alianza Universidad has managed to secure two wins to Los Chankas’ two, with one match ending in a draw. Their most recent love teams scoring goals, indicating an attacking mindset from both sides.

As both teams prepare to face each other again, their historical performances suggest a competitive match with potential for goals on either side.

Odds accurate as of 14.08.2025 19:06, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.