Tondela vs Alverca Prediction & Match Preview – 13 February

Tondela vs Alverca Prediction & Match Preview for 13 February. This Friday, 13 February, Tondela host Alverca in an intriguing Liga Portugal clash at Estádio João Cardoso. Both sides are eager to make their mark in the league, and this fixture presents a significant opportunity to secure valuable points. Tondela, playing on home turf, will look to capitalise on familiar surroundings to claim a much-needed win.

Alverca, meanwhile, will be aiming to upset the hosts and climb the league table. Estádio João Cardoso will set the stage for what promises to be a competitive encounter between these two Portuguese teams. As both sides prepare for battle, fans and punters alike will be keen to see how this match unfolds in the context of the Liga Portugal standings.

Tondela vs Alverca: Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Alverca Double Chance (Win or Draw)	1.6

Taking into account the market odds and current form, our recommended betting tip is Alverca Double Chance (Win or Draw) at 1.60. With Tondela struggling for form and Alverca showing consistency, this bet offers both value and security.

• Tondela have managed only one win in their last five matches, indicating poor current form.
• Alverca have demonstrated their capability on the road with recent away wins against Moreirense and Famalicão.
• The previous head-to-head saw Alverca win 1-0, giving them a psychological advantage.

Betting Odds

In this Liga Portugal fixture, Tondela are slight favourites at odds of 2.59, but Alverca are close behind at 2.78. The draw is also a tempting option at 3.05, suggesting bookmakers expect a closely contested affair.

Betting Tip	Odds
Tondela to win	2.59
Draw	3.05
Alverca to win	2.78

With both teams showing mixed form, punters may find value in the over 2.5 goals market, particularly given the attacking potential on display. Keep an eye on the in-play odds as the match progresses for potential opportunities.

Tondela: Analysis & Recent Performance

Tondela’s recent form in Liga Portugal has been concerning, with the team sitting 17th in the table and struggling for consistency. Over their last five matches, Tondela have failed to secure a victory, recording three losses and two draws, most recently a 2-2 draw against Estoril. This run highlights their inability to convert performances into wins, having scored only two goals while conceding seven during this period.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Estoril	Tondela	2 – 2 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	Feb 7, 2026
Tondela	Benfica	0 – 0 (Draw)	Primeira Liga	Feb 1, 2026
Famalicão	Tondela	3 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	Jan 25, 2026
Tondela	Braga	0 – 1 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	Jan 18, 2026
Moreirense	Tondela	1 – 0 (Loss)	Primeira Liga	Jan 11, 2026

Recent Form:
Tondela’s attacking output has been limited, averaging just 0.40 goals per game over their last five matches. Their defensive frailties are clear, conceding an average of 1.40 goals per match, with only one clean sheet in this sequence. At home, they have shown slightly better form, with a win ratio of 0.20, but their inability to fully capitalise on home advantage remains a concern.

Tactically, Tondela have struggled to maintain possession and create meaningful chances, as shown by a low average possession rate of 32% in their last outing against Estoril. Pedro Henrique, their top scorer, has contributed a significant share of their goals this season, but the reliance on individual brilliance rather than cohesive team play is evident. With just 14 points from 21 matches, their overall performance highlights the urgent need for tactical adjustments to improve their win ratio and climb the table.

• DDLLL

Tondela: Suspensions & Injuries

Tondela approach the match against Alverca with a clean bill of health, as there are no injuries or suspensions affecting the squad. This full availability gives head coach Cristiano Bacci a wealth of options, allowing him to deploy his preferred tactics without any forced changes.

With a complete squad at his disposal, Bacci can stick to his strategic game plan or even experiment with different formations to exploit any weaknesses in Alverca’s line-up. This flexibility could prove advantageous, especially for maintaining high energy levels throughout the match by rotating players or making tactical substitutions.

The absence of injuries and suspensions not only boosts Tondela’s morale but also strengthens their defensive and attacking setups. Key players such as Jordan Pefok in attack and Bebeto in defence are expected to play pivotal roles, ensuring Tondela can field their strongest eleven.

In the betting markets, Tondela’s full squad availability may tilt the odds slightly in their favour. Punters may view this as an opportunity to back a team that can maximise its potential without the hindrance of missing key personnel, potentially enhancing their chances for a positive result against Alverca.

Tondela: Key Players

Pedro Henrique stands out as Tondela’s top scorer with five goals this season, and his form will be crucial in their upcoming fixture against Alverca. Henrique, known for his clinical finishing and ability to exploit defensive gaps, will be the focal point of Tondela’s attack. His partnership with Pedro Maranhão and Jordan Siebatcheu up front is expected to pose significant challenges for the opposition’s defence.

In midfield, Joe Hodge and Sphephelo Sithole will be pivotal. Hodge’s vision and passing range can unlock defences, while Sithole’s physical presence and ball-winning abilities provide a strong backbone in midfield. Defensively, Christian Marques and Brayan Medina form a solid centre-back pairing, tasked with maintaining a tight back line. Marques’ aerial strength complements Medina’s tactical awareness, making them a formidable duo.

• Goalkeeper: Bernardo
• Defenders: Bebeto, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Rodrigo Conceição
• Midfielders: Joe Hodge, Sphephelo Sithole, Cícero Clébson Alves Santana
• Forwards: Pedro Maranhão, Makan Aiko, Jordan Siebatcheu

Tondela: Tactics & Formation

Tondela Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-1-4-1
• Key Forward: Jordan Pefok
• Midfield Pivot: Joe Hodge and Sphephelo Sithole
• Defensive Issues: Struggles with defensive solidity, conceding seven goals in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Reliance on midfield control and set-piece opportunities.

Tondela’s tactical setup in recent matches has centred around a 4-1-4-1 formation, providing a solid midfield presence while offering flexibility in transition. Joe Hodge and Sphephelo Sithole are pivotal in midfield, tasked with breaking up opposition play and initiating attacks.

Defensively, Tondela have faced challenges, conceding goals frequently. The back line, featuring players like Christian Marques and Bebeto, needs to improve coordination to avoid lapses that have led to conceding seven goals in their last five matches.

In attack, Jordan Pefok remains a key figure, supported by Pedro Henrique from midfield. The team often looks to capitalise on set-piece situations, where Henrique’s delivery can be particularly dangerous.

Alverca: Analysis & Recent Performance

Alverca’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. They secured victories against Moreirense (2-1) and Famalicão (1-0), demonstrating their ability to edge out close games at home.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Benfica	Alverca	2 – 1 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	8 Feb 2026
Alverca	Estrela da Amadora	1 – 1 (Draw)	Liga Portugal	31 Jan 2026
Braga	Alverca	5 – 0 (Loss)	Liga Portugal	25 Jan 2026
Alverca	Moreirense	2 – 1 (Win)	Liga Portugal	17 Jan 2026
Alverca	Famalicão	1 – 0 (Win)	Liga Portugal	4 Jan 2026

Recent Form:
Alverca have struggled away from home, losing four of their last five away matches. Their away win ratio stands at just 20%, underlining their difficulties in maintaining form on the road. Offensively, they average 1.00 goal per game across the last five fixtures, while defensively, they’ve been vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match. With only one clean sheet in this period, their defensive solidity has been in question.

Key Statistics:

• LDLWW

In their most recent outing against Benfica, Alverca managed a goal but ultimately lost 1-2. Despite having only 36% possession and being outshot 29 to 6, they showed resilience by keeping the scoreline respectable. Marko Milovanović remains a crucial player, having scored five goals this season, and his form will be vital if Alverca are to climb from their current 10th position in the league.

Alverca: Suspensions & Injuries

Alverca face a challenging situation with several key players unavailable due to injuries and suspensions, which could significantly impact their tactical setup against Tondela. The absence of Lincoln, suspended due to accumulated yellow cards, is a notable blow to their midfield creativity and stability. His role will likely be filled by Nabil Touaizi, who will need to step up to maintain the team’s midfield dynamics.

Player	Suspension	Matches Remaining	Expected Return
Lincoln	Yellow cards	1	Unknown

Injuries further compound Alverca’s problems, with players such as Stéphane Diarra, Léo Chu, and Tomás Mendes all doubtful due to muscle issues, while Sabit Abdulai is expected to return only by late February 2026. These absences leave Alverca’s squad depth thin, potentially prompting coach Custódio to adopt a more defensive formation or rely on less experienced players.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Léo Chu	Unknown	Doubtful
Stéphane Diarra	Muscle injury	Doubtful
Tomás Mendes	Muscle injury	Doubtful
André Paulo	Unknown	Doubtful
Sabit Abdulai	Unknown	Late February 2026

The unavailability of these players could influence betting markets, as Alverca may struggle to perform at their best without key contributors. The tactical impact of these absences will be crucial in determining Alverca’s performance, and they will need to rely on their remaining squad to fill the gaps and challenge Tondela effectively.

Alverca: Key Players

Alverca’s attacking threat will be led by Marko Milovanović, the team’s top scorer with five goals this season. His clinical finishing and ability to find space in the box make him a constant danger to Tondela’s defence. Milovanović’s partnership with Lucas Figueiredo and Chiquinho in the forward line is expected to be pivotal, as their combined skills can unlock defences and create scoring opportunities.

Nabil Touaizi in midfield is another key player to watch. His ability to control the tempo and deliver precise passes can set the tone for Alverca’s attacking plays. Rhaldney’s dynamic presence in midfield adds both defensive stability and attacking impetus, making him an indispensable asset.

Expected line-up for Alverca:

• Goalkeeper: Mateus
• Defenders: Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gómez, Bastien Meupiyou
• Midfielders: Nabil Touaizi, Vasco Moreira, Rhaldney, Francisco Chissumba
• Forwards: Lucas Figueiredo, Marko Milovanović, Chiquinho

Alverca: Tactics & Formation

Alverca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 4-3-3
• Key Forward: Marko Milovanović
• Midfield Engine: Lincoln and Francisco Chissumba
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in recent away games
• Notable Strategy: Counter-attacking play with emphasis on wide areas.

Alverca are expected to line up in a 4-3-3 formation, emphasising a balanced approach between attack and defence. The midfield trio, likely featuring Lincoln and Francisco Chissumba, plays a crucial role in transitioning from defence to attack, offering both creativity and ball-winning abilities.

In attack, Marko Milovanović stands out as the main goal threat, supported by wingers Lucas Figueiredo and Chiquinho. This forward line is adept at exploiting spaces on the flanks, making Alverca dangerous on the counter.

Defensively, Alverca’s recent performances have revealed vulnerabilities, particularly away from home where they have struggled to keep clean sheets. The central defensive pairing of Kaiky Naves and Sergi Gómez will need to be at their best to contain Tondela’s attacking threats, especially given Alverca’s tendency to concede goals.

Tondela vs Alverca: Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head record between Tondela and Alverca, Alverca have the upper hand with two wins, while Tondela are yet to secure a victory, and there has been one draw. Their most recent meeting saw Alverca clinch a 1-0 win at home in Liga Portugal, underlining their dominance in this fixture.

The last time Tondela hosted Alverca, it ended in a 2-1 win for the visitors. This match was part of Liga Portugal 2, highlighting Alverca’s ability to perform on the road. Tondela will be eager to change this trend as they seek their first win in this head-to-head.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	League	Date
Alverca	Tondela	1 – 0	Primeira Liga	2025-09-12
Tondela	Alverca	1 – 2	Segunda Liga	2025-05-11
Alverca	Tondela	1 – 1	Segunda Liga	2025-01-12