Arsenal vs Olympiakos Prediction
Arsenal took a narrow 1-0 lead into the second leg against Olympiakos. Will Alexandre Lacazette’s late winner be enough to see the Gunners into the next round? Let’s take a look at what the stats are saying.
As the scoreline from the first leg suggests, the game was tight and, if truth be told, an unremarkable game. The Gunners did just enough for the victory in the end, but Olympiakos should have found themselves on the scoresheet, too.
Arsenal’s defensive display, particularly in the first half, was poor. That being said, the Gunners would have scored more than their solitary goal, too. Will one be enough to see them through to the last 16?
Arsenal’s recent form has been much better than when Mikel Arteta first took the reins. The win in Greece saw the Gunners extend their unbeaten run to nine games in all competitions, winning five of those matches.
Olympiakos had been in terrific form before their first leg defeat. Prior to that game, they had enjoyed an 18-game unbeaten run, a run stretching back to November 26th. It was another North London side who inflicted defeat on Olympiakos that day, with Tottenham beating the Greek side 4-2 in the Champions League Group stage.
This fixture had been somewhat of a regular meeting in Europe in recent years. The sides have faced each other nine times in the last ten years. Of those nine fixtures, Arsenal have won five of them, with Olympiakos picking up four victories.
Olympiakos have won at the Emirates before. In fact, the last time these two sides met in London, Olympiakos proved victorious in a 3-2 win.
Arsenal v Olympiakos Stats & Analysis
Olympiakos’ recent record in the knockout stages of European competitions is poor. They’ve won only once in their last 12 knockout games, losing seven of those fixtures.
Lacazette may have scored the winner, but it’s interesting to see the stats of Bukayo Saka. The 18 year old has nine assists to his name already, including one for Lacazette’s winner in the first leg. No other Arsenal player has more assists this season.
Arsenal are also the only English side still unbeaten in all competitions in 2020.
Arsenal v Olympiakos Bets
Arsenal are huge favourites to win the second leg. Priced at 1.50, Olympiakos are well out at 6.50, with the draw at 4.20.
The odds on Arsenal to qualify are also extremely short. Expect odds of around 1.10 for the Gunners to reach the last 16.
To stand any chance of progressing Olympiakos, of course, need to do what they failed to do in the first leg, score a goal. However, it’s difficult to see the Gunners not scoring. Both teams to score is priced at around 1.90.
A narrow Gunners win seems the most likely result. For Arsenal to win and both teams to score, expect odds of around 3.25.