Asociación Deportiva Tarma vs. CD UT Cajamarca Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 16 September 2025

Asociación Deportiva Tarma will face CD UT Cajamarca on 16 September 2025 in the Primera Division. Despite this not being a top-of-the-table clash, it’s a game that can significantly impact both teams’ seasons. Tarma, currently 15th with 7 points, look to inch up the standings, while Cajamarca, sitting at the bottom with just 2 points, desperately need a positive result to uplift their season.

Tarma are the bookmakers’ favourites owing to their better position in the league and recent head-to-head results. Their star player, Nazareno Daniel Bazan, has been consistent, netting 2 goals so far. On the other hand, Cajamarca will miss Joaquin Aguirre due to a red card suspension but will rely on their top scorer, Jarlin Quintero, who has 3 goals.

Both teams have been similar in recent form, with Tarma managing a single win in their last five matches and Cajamarca drawing two. Given the circumstances, it’s recommended to bet on a home win for Asociación Deportiva Tarma.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma vs CD UT Cajamarca Prediction & Betting Tip

Our recommended betting tip is a Home Win for Asociación Deportiva Tarma. Here’s why:

• Head-to-Head Advantage: Tarma has a positive record against Cajamarca, winning 2 of their last 5 encounters, including a recent 1-0 victory.
• Current Form: Although both teams have struggled, Tarma has managed a win and a draw in their last 5 matches, which puts them slightly ahead in terms of performance.
• Home Advantage: Playing at home gives Tarma a crucial edge, as they have historically performed better in this setting.

Given these factors, betting on a home win for Asociación Deportiva Tarma seems the most logical and likely outcome.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma vs CD UT Cajamarca Odds

This upcoming clash in the Primera Division between Asociación Deportiva Tarma and CD UT Cajamarca features intriguing betting opportunities. Asociación Deportiva Tarma are the bookmakers’ favourites and for good reason. Their higher league standing and recent head-to-head success against CD UT Cajamarca provide a compelling case for punters. Let’s take a look at the betting odds.

Given the circumstances, a home win for Asociación Deportiva Tarma seems the most likely outcome. The odds reflect their superior position in the standings and recent form against CD UT Cajamarca. These odds illustrate the betting market’s confidence in Tarma, further supported by their head-to-head advantage and home ground familiarity.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma Team Analysis

Asociación Deportiva Tarma Recent Performance

In recent matches, Asociación Deportiva Tarma’s form has been mixed, reflected in their last five results: two losses, two draws, and one win. Their form line reads WLWDL, underscoring an inconsistent run.

• Recent Results:
  • Atletico Grau 2 – 0 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Loss)
  • Asociación Deportiva Tarma 2 – 2 FBC Melgar (Draw)
  • Alianza Lima 3 – 1 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Loss)
  • Asociación Deportiva Tarma 1 – 0 Sport Huancayo (Win)
  • Sport Boys 1 – 0 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Loss)
• Goals and Defence:
  • Average Goals Scored: 0.8 in the last 5 games.
  • Clean Sheets: 1 in the last 5 games.

Their attack has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging less than a goal per game. Defensively, they’ve managed just one clean sheet in their recent outings. As they prepare to host CD UT Cajamarca, their home advantage and slight edge in form could prove pivotal in their quest for a much-needed victory.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma Key Players

Asociación Deportiva Tarma will rely heavily on their top scorer Nazareno Daniel Bazan, who has netted 2 goals this season, to drive their attacking efforts. He will be crucial in breaking down CD UT Cajamarca’s defence, particularly in the absence of Roberto Koichi Aparicio.

Another key figure for Tarma is goalkeeper Carlos Grados, who will be aiming to secure a clean sheet. In defence, Gustavo Dulanto and Jhair Soto will have the task of keeping CD UT Cajamarca’s top scorer Jarlin Quintero at bay.

Expected Lineup for Asociación Deportiva Tarma:

• Goalkeeper: Carlos Grados
• Defenders: Angel Perez, Gu Choi, Jhair Soto, Gustavo Dulanto, Josue Alvino
• Midfielders: Axel Moyano, Ademar Robles, Joao Rojas
• Forwards: Hernan Rengifo, Nazareno Daniel Bazan

These players will play pivotal roles in determining the outcome of the match.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma Suspensions & Injuries

For this crucial encounter against CD UT Cajamarca, Asociación Deportiva Tarma will be missing Victor Cedron due to a meniscus injury. This injury will keep him sidelined until late December 2025, which is a significant blow to the team’s midfield creativity and depth. Cedron’s absence puts more responsibility on the shoulders of players like Axel Moyano and Ademar Robles to control the midfield and facilitate attacks. This disruption may affect Tarma’s ability to maintain possession and transition smoothly, but their home advantage might help mitigate this loss.

There are no suspensions for Tarma, allowing the rest of their squad to be fully available for selection.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma Tactics and Formation

Given their recent performances, Asociación Deportiva Tarma might opt for a 3-4-1-2 formation, aiming to leverage their midfield strength and create opportunities up front.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forward: Nazareno Daniel Bazan
• Midfield Dynamics: Axel Moyano and Ademar Robles will be pivotal in controlling the midfield and creating chances.
• Defensive Setup: The back three, possibly featuring Jhair Soto and Gustavo Dulanto, will need to maintain tight control to avoid conceding early.
• Notable Strategy: Tarma often looks to exploit flanks with wing-backs, relying on quick overlaps and crosses into the penalty area.

This tactical setup aims to utilize both defensive stability and offensive prowess, setting the stage for a balanced yet aggressive approach.

CD UT Cajamarca Team Analysis

CD UT Cajamarca Recent Performance

CD UT Cajamarca’s recent form has been struggling, with no wins in their last five matches. Their recent form line reads LLDDL, indicating three losses and two draws.

• Recent Results:
  • CD UT Cajamarca 0 – 1 Ayacucho FC (Loss)
  • Sporting Cristal 2 – 2 CD UT Cajamarca (Draw)
  • CD UT Cajamarca 0 – 0 ADC Juan Pablo II (Draw)
  • Alianza Atletico 2 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca (Loss)
  • CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 2 Cusco FC (Loss)
• Goals and Defence:
  • Average Goals Scored: 0.6 in the last 5 games.
  • Clean Sheets: 1 in the last 5 games.

Their attack has been relatively non-threatening, averaging only 0.6 goals per game. Defensively, they have only managed one clean sheet. As they prepare to face Asociación Deportiva Tarma, their recent struggles highlight the challenge ahead in trying to secure much-needed points.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca will be counting on their top scorer Jarlin Quintero, who has netted 3 goals this season, to spearhead their attack. With Joaquín Aguirre suspended due to a red card, more responsibility falls on the midfielders like Freddy Oncoy and Cristian Mejia to step up and contribute both defensively and offensively.

Key individual battles on the pitch will include Tarma’s defender Gustavo Dulanto going up against Quintero, a matchup that could significantly influence the game’s outcome.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca:

• Goalkeeper: Diego Campos
• Defenders: Roberto Villamarin, Piero Serra, Joaquin Aguirre (suspended), Anthony Rosell
• Midfielders: Freddy Oncoy, Cristian Mejia, Juan Cruz Vega, Andre Vasquez, Erinson Ramirez
• Forwards: Jarlin Quintero

These players will have to rise to the occasion if CD UT Cajamarca hopes to snatch a crucial away result.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca faces a significant challenge due to the suspension of key defender Joaquín Aguirre, who is serving a one-match ban following a red card. This suspension not only weakens their defence but also forces the team to reshuffle their backline, possibly disrupting their usual formation and tactics.

Additionally, they are without Roberto Koichi Aparicio, who is out with a cruciate ligament injury until late December 2025. His absence further strains the squad’s depth, particularly in the defensive department.

These absences put extra pressure on the remaining players, especially the defenders and midfielders, to step up their game and provide stability against Asociación Deportiva Tarma.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

With their recent struggles and key absences, CD UT Cajamarca will need to be tactically astute against Asociación Deportiva Tarma. They are likely to go with a defensive-minded formation like a 4-2-3-1, aiming to soak up pressure and hit on the counter-attack.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero, tasked with leading the attack and capitalising on counter-attacking opportunities.
• Midfield Setup: Freddy Oncoy and Cristian Mejia will be essential in linking defence and attack while offering defensive stability.
• Defensive Setup: With Joaquín Aguirre suspended, the back four will have to be reconfigured, potentially with Anthony Rosell taking on additional responsibilities.
• Notable Strategy: Expect Cajamarca to be more cautious, looking to disrupt Tarma’s rhythm and exploit any defensive lapses.

This tactical setup aims to balance defensive resilience with quick transitions, although execution will be key given their current form and lineup disruptions.

Asociación Deportiva Tarma vs CD UT Cajamarca Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five meetings, Asociación Deportiva Tarma holds a slight edge over CD UT Cajamarca. The recent head-to-head results show:

• 20 April 2025: CD UT Cajamarca 0 – 1 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 20 August 2024: CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 1 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 16 March 2024: Asociación Deportiva Tarma 2 – 1 CD UT Cajamarca (Liga 1 Apertura)
• 28 August 2023: Asociación Deportiva Tarma 0 – 0 CD UT Cajamarca (Liga 1 Clausura)
• 08 April 2023: CD UT Cajamarca 1 – 0 Asociación Deportiva Tarma (Liga 1 Apertura)

Analysis:

• Wins: Asociación Deportiva Tarma has won 2 times, while CD UT Cajamarca has 1 win.
• Draws: There have been 2 draws in these encounters.
• Goals: Tarma has scored a total of 4 goals, whereas Cajamarca has netted 3.

These matches suggest a closely contested rivalry, but Tarma’s recent form and home advantage might give them the upper hand in the upcoming clash.

Odds accurate as of 14/09/2025 01:03, and are subject to change.
Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.