Athletic Club to win
I'm siding with the home team, Athletic Bilbao, in this Europa League semi-final first leg against Manchester United. In my view, the odds favoring Athletic Bilbao are justified, considering the recent trajectories of both clubs. The home side's current form strongly suggests they are rightly positioned as the favorites for this encounter.
Athletic Bilbao has demonstrated impressive defensive solidity, managing to keep a clean sheet in 60% of their recent matches. Furthermore, their home record is particularly noteworthy. In their last five games played at San Mamés, they have secured four victories and are currently riding a streak of three consecutive home wins. This strong form in front of their own supporters provides a significant advantage heading into this crucial first leg.
Conversely, Manchester United's away form has shown vulnerabilities. In their last five matches played away from Old Trafford, they have only managed to secure a single victory. Moreover, their recent away record includes a sequence of four defeats in their last four games on the road. This contrasting away form is a significant concern for the English side as they travel to the intimidating atmosphere of Bilbao.
The differing momentum of the two teams is further highlighted by their points accumulation in recent matches. Athletic Bilbao has been consistently picking up points, while Manchester United has only managed to secure five points in their last five outings. This disparity in current form, combined with the significant home advantage that Athletic Bilbao will enjoy, leads me to believe that the Spanish side has a strong opportunity to secure a victory in this first leg of the Europa League semi-final. The combination of Bilbao's strong home form and defensive record against Manchester United's away struggles makes a home win a compelling prospect.