CD UT Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau Prediction, Match Preview, 30 January

CD UT Cajamarca will face Atlético Grau in the Primera División on Friday, 30 January. The match will take place in Peru, although the exact venue has not been specified. Both teams are aiming to make an impact in the league, and this encounter could be crucial for their positions in the standings.

Playing at home, CD UT Cajamarca will look to take advantage of their familiarity with local conditions against Atlético Grau. Conversely, Atlético Grau will be keen to secure points on their travels. With both sides striving for an important victory, this match promises to be an intriguing contest in the Peruvian Primera División.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Atlético Grau Draw No Bet	1.9

Taking into account recent form and historical context, our recommended betting tip is to back Atlético Grau in the ‘Draw No Bet’ market. This option offers a safety net in the event of a draw, reducing risk while capitalising on Grau’s recent dominance and the injury concerns facing CD UT Cajamarca.

• Atlético Grau secured a 2-0 victory in their most recent head-to-head meeting, underlining their ability to perform well against CD UT Cajamarca.
• CD UT Cajamarca will be without Roberto Aparicio due to a cruciate ligament injury, which may weaken their defence and overall team stability.
• With no significant injuries, Atlético Grau are expected to field a full-strength squad, boosting their chances of achieving a positive result.

Betting Odds

CD UT Cajamarca are the favourites for this fixture, with odds of 2.24. Atlético Grau are priced at 3.03, indicating a tougher challenge for the visitors. The draw is also a tempting option at 3.1, suggesting a closely contested match.

Betting Tip	Odds
CD UT Cajamarca to win	2.24
Draw	3.1
Atlético Grau to win	3.03

Given the odds, there may be value in backing Cajamarca at home, but punters might also consider the draw given the competitive nature of these teams. The odds for over 2.5 goals could also be worth considering, given both sides’ attacking capabilities.

CD UT Cajamarca Analysis & Recent Performance

CD UT Cajamarca’s recent form has been mixed, with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Notably, they claimed a 2-0 victory over Atlético Grau and a 3-2 win against Alianza Universidad, demonstrating their ability to perform against strong opposition.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Alianza Lima	CD UT Cajamarca	3 – 0 (Loss)	First Division Clausura	23 Nov 2025
CD UT Cajamarca	Sport Huancayo	0 – 3 (Loss)	First Division Clausura	9 Nov 2025
Sport Boys	CD UT Cajamarca	2 – 2 (Draw)	First Division Clausura	2 Nov 2025
CD UT Cajamarca	Alianza Universidad	3 – 2 (Win)	First Division Clausura	26 Oct 2025
Atlético Grau	CD UT Cajamarca	0 – 2 (Win)	First Division Clausura	19 Oct 2025

Recent Form:

• LLDWW

In their last five games, CD UT Cajamarca have averaged 1.40 goals per match while conceding 2.00 on average, signalling some defensive frailties. The team has managed only one clean sheet, highlighting an area for improvement. At home, their record has been inconsistent, with a win ratio of 40% across their last five home fixtures.

CD UT Cajamarca Suspensions & Injuries

CD UT Cajamarca approach the upcoming match against Atlético Grau with a clean bill of health. The absence of injuries or suspensions means manager Carlos Bustos can select from a full squad, a rare luxury in the demanding Primera División schedule.

Having every player available allows CD UT Cajamarca to maintain their preferred tactical setup without enforced changes. This could be advantageous, providing consistency and stability, particularly in defence and midfield where cohesion is vital.

With key players such as goalkeeper Diego Campos and defenders Luis Garro and Leonardo Rugel all available, CD UT Cajamarca’s defensive line remains solid. This continuity should enhance their defensive resilience, which could be crucial in their bid for a positive result.

The midfield trio of Luis Álvarez, Juan Cruz Vega, and Cristian Mejía are all fit, enabling CD UT Cajamarca to play their dynamic style. This full-strength squad could give them an edge in controlling the tempo and dictating play, increasing their chances against Atlético Grau.

CD UT Cajamarca Key Players

CD UT Cajamarca’s attack will be led by Marlon De Jesús. As the primary striker, De Jesús is expected to provide the cutting edge in attack with his movement and finishing ability. His role will be crucial, especially against Atlético Grau’s defence, where his physical presence and hold-up play will be vital.

In midfield, Marcos Lliuya is the creative force, with the vision to unlock defences. His creativity and passing range will be key in linking up with De Jesús and orchestrating attacking moves. Alongside him, David Dioses brings a robust presence, offering defensive cover and driving the team forward with his energy and ball-winning skills.

Expected lineup for CD UT Cajamarca

• Goalkeeper: Angelo Campos
• Defenders: Luis Garro, Piero Serra, Bruno Duarte, Manuel Ganoza
• Midfielders: Joshua Cantt, Jhosep Núñez, David Dioses, Marcos Lliuya, Michel Rasmussen
• Forward: Marlon De Jesús

In defence, the experienced Bruno Duarte will marshal the backline. His leadership and aerial ability could prove vital in defensive situations and set pieces. Angelo Campos, the goalkeeper, will need to be at his best to maintain a solid defensive record, using his shot-stopping skills to keep Atlético Grau at bay. The interplay between these key players will define CD UT Cajamarca’s tactical approach, focusing on a balanced attack and solid defence.

CD UT Cajamarca Tactics and Formation

CD UT Cajamarca Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Jarlin Quintero
• Midfield Creativity: Brandon Palacios and Cristian Mejía
• Defensive Concerns: Conceded 10 goals in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Emphasis on wide play and counter-pressing.

CD UT Cajamarca typically set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, offering a balance between defensive solidity and attacking threat. The midfield is anchored by Luis Álvarez and Juan Cruz Vega, who are responsible for breaking up opposition play and launching attacks.

In attack, Jarlin Quintero leads the line, supported by the creativity of Brandon Palacios and Cristian Mejía in advanced midfield roles. The team focuses on creating opportunities through wide play, exploiting the flanks with quick passing combinations.

Defensively, the side has struggled, conceding 10 goals in their last five matches. The backline, with players like Luis Garro and Leonardo Rugel, will need to tighten up to avoid leaving gaps. Offensively, they often use counter-pressing to win the ball back quickly and launch immediate counterattacks.

Atlético Grau Analysis & Recent Performance

Atlético Grau have had a difficult run recently, with four losses and one draw in their last five matches. Their most recent outing was a 1-2 defeat to Sporting Cristal, marking another setback in the league.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Atlético Grau	Sporting Cristal	1 – 2 (Loss)	Primera Division Clausura	19 Nov 2025
ADC Juan Pablo II	Atlético Grau	3 – 1 (Loss)	Primera Division Clausura	8 Nov 2025
Atlético Grau	Alianza Atlético	1 – 1 (Draw)	Primera Division Clausura	2 Nov 2025
Cusco FC	Atlético Grau	1 – 0 (Loss)	Primera Division Clausura	25 Oct 2025
Atlético Grau	CD UT Cajamarca	0 – 2 (Loss)	Primera Division Clausura	19 Oct 2025

Recent Form:
Over these five games, Atlético Grau have struggled at both ends of the pitch, scoring an average of just 0.60 goals per match while conceding 1.80. They have failed to keep a clean sheet, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. Their attacking output has also been limited, with only three goals in their last five games.

Away Performance:
On the road, Atlético Grau’s struggles are even more evident. They have played five away matches, losing four and drawing one. This away form is a concern, as they have yet to secure a win, with an away win ratio of 0.00, highlighting their difficulties when playing away from home.

Overall Season Insights:

• LLDLL

Currently sitting 5th in the league, Atlético Grau’s inconsistent performances have affected their position. With a win ratio of 0.00 in recent matches, it is clear the team needs tactical adjustments and improved player form to compete more effectively in the Primera División.

Atlético Grau Suspensions & Injuries

Atlético Grau approach their upcoming match against CD UT Cajamarca with a full squad, as there are no reported injuries or suspensions. This allows manager Ángel Comizzo to select his strongest line-up, maintaining tactical consistency and depth across the pitch.

With key players such as Patricio Álvarez in goal and Neri Ricardo Bandiera leading the attack available, Atlético Grau can play with their preferred formation and style. This should help maintain defensive solidity and attacking threat.

With no player absences, Atlético Grau can focus on executing their game plan without enforced changes. This stability should enhance their performance and provide the best chance of a positive result.

The absence of injuries and suspensions may also influence betting markets, making Atlético Grau a more reliable option for punters. The team’s full strength could be a decisive factor if they capitalise on this advantage during the match.

Atlético Grau Key Players

Atlético Grau’s line-up is set to feature a blend of experience and tactical awareness, especially in defence and midfield. Lucas Acevedo and Rodrigo Tapia form a strong central defensive partnership, renowned for their aerial prowess and ability to repel opposition attacks—qualities that will be crucial against CD UT Cajamarca. In midfield, Adrián de la Cruz and Rafael Guarderas are expected to dictate play, combining defensive duties with creative responsibilities to maintain the team’s balance and transitions.

In attack, the Ruidíaz duo, Raúl and Yamir, will be key. Raúl Ruidíaz, though not the top scorer, is known for his clinical finishing and ability to exploit defensive lapses, while Yamir Ruidíaz provides pace and agility, creating chances for his teammates. Their interplay could be vital in breaking down the opposition defence.

Expected lineup for Atlético Grau:

• Goalkeeper: Patricio Álvarez
• Defenders: Lucas Acevedo, Rodrigo Tapia, Arnold Flores, Elsar Rodas
• Midfielders: Adrián de la Cruz, Rafael Guarderas, Paulo de la Cruz
• Forwards: Aldair Vásquez, Yamir Ruidíaz, Raúl Ruidíaz

Atlético Grau Tactics and Formation

Atlético Grau Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: Likely 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Neri Ricardo Bandiera
• Midfield Pivot: Diego Soto and Rafael Guarderas
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in recent matches
• Notable Strategy: Struggles with maintaining possession and defensive solidity.

Atlético Grau have recently favoured a 4-2-3-1 formation, providing balance between defence and attack. The midfield pivot of Diego Soto and Rafael Guarderas is expected to play a key role in breaking up opposition play and initiating attacks. However, their ability to maintain possession has been a concern, as reflected in recent games.

Defensively, Atlético Grau have struggled, failing to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches. The backline, anchored by Rodrigo Tapia and Francesco Cavagna, has shown vulnerability, particularly against teams with pace and incisive attacks. This defensive weakness has contributed to their recent defeats.

In attack, the team relies on Neri Ricardo Bandiera to lead the line, supported by the creativity of Paulo de la Cruz and Christopher Olivares. Despite their attacking potential, inconsistency in converting chances has hampered their results.

CD UT Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau Head-to-Head Record

In their last 11 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Grau have the advantage with 5 wins compared to CD UT Cajamarca’s 2, with 5 draws. The most recent clash saw Cajamarca achieve a 2-0 away win in the Liga 1 Clausura, a rare result given the overall record.

The last time CD UT Cajamarca hosted Atlético Grau in the Liga 1 Apertura, they suffered a 0-2 defeat, underlining their struggles at home against this opponent. However, Cajamarca did record an exciting 3-2 home win in 2024, showing they are capable of springing a surprise.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Atlético Grau	CD UT Cajamarca	0 – 2	Liga 1 Second Stage	2025-10-19
CD UT Cajamarca	Atlético Grau	0 – 2	Liga 1 Opening Stage	2025-06-13
Atlético Grau	CD UT Cajamarca	4 – 0	Liga 1 Second Stage	2024-09-30
CD UT Cajamarca	Atlético Grau	3 – 2	Liga 1 Opening Stage	2024-04-27
Atlético Grau	CD UT Cajamarca	4 – 2	Liga 1 Second Stage	2023-09-15