Atletico MG vs. Juventude Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 1 October 2025

In the upcoming Serie A clash on October 1, 2025, Atletico MG will host Juventude, with the match kicking off at 01:30. Atletico MG, currently 14th in the table with 28 points, has shown improvement lately, securing two consecutive victories. However, they remain just above the relegation zone. Juventude, struggling in 17th place with 22 points, faces a significant challenge to avoid dropping further into the danger zone.

Despite their position, Atletico MG are the bookmakers’ favourites with odds of 1.55 to win. They have the upper hand, especially considering their home advantage and recent form. The recommended bet is a win for Atletico MG.

Unfortunately for Atletico MG, they will be without key players like Hulk and Júnior Alonso due to suspensions. Additionally, recent injuries have sidelined other crucial squad members. Conversely, Juventude’s defensive woes and poor recent form make it an uphill battle for them.

Overall, expect a tight but compelling game as both teams fight for crucial points.

Atletico MG vs Juventude Prediction & Betting Tip

To make the most informed decision for this Serie A tilt, we recommend backing Atletico MG for the home win. The reasoning is straightforward based on several key factors.

Atletico MG vs Juventude Prediction
Betting tip	Odds
Home Win for Atletico MG	1.55

Reasons:

• Recent Form Improvement: Atletico MG has secured two back-to-back victories, showcasing a significant upswing in performance, even managing a win over Mirassol despite being a man down.
• Head-to-Head Advantage: History favours Atletico MG, as they have clinched 3 wins in their past 5 encounters against Juventude. Such stats hint at strategic and psychological benefits.
• Juventude’s Struggles: Currently languishing in 17th position, Juventude has endured 3 losses in their last 5 matches and has considerable defensive frailties, having conceded 46 goals this season.

A combination of Atletico MG’s home advantage and Juventude’s recent form struggles makes this a compelling bet.

Atletico MG vs Juventude Odds

Let’s break down the betting odds for the upcoming Serie A clash between Atletico MG and Juventude. Atletico MG is the clear favourite, thanks to their recent form and home advantage.

Atletico MG vs Juventude Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Atletico MG	1.55
Draw	3.91
Juventude	5.96

Atletico MG, with odds of 1.55, is heavily backed to secure the win. A draw, less likely but still plausible given both teams’ low-scoring trends, stands at 3.91. Juventude, the long shot in this tie, has odds of 5.96, reflecting their struggling form and lower league position.

• Atletico MG has shown an improvement with two consecutive wins.
• Juventude is in poor form, with three losses in their last five games.
• Given the home advantage and recent performances, backing Atletico MG seems a safe bet.

Atletico MG Team Analysis

Atletico MG Recent Performance:

Atletico MG have had a rollercoaster ride in their recent matches with a mix of draws, losses, and wins. Their record over the last five games reads as Draw, Draw, Loss, Win, Win.

Despite an inconsistent run, they’ve shown signs of a comeback. Their latest form includes a notable 1-0 victory over Mirassol and a similar win against Bolivar in the Copa Sudamericana, indicating solid defensive performances with 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games.

Offensively, Atletico MG have struggled slightly, averaging just 1 goal per game lately. Facing Juventude at home, they will be looking to capitalize on their recent form and home advantage to secure another crucial win.

Atletico MG Key Players

Atletico MG will rely heavily on their key players to ensure maximum points from this home game. Although they will miss the influential Hulk due to suspension, other players are expected to step up.

Top Scorer: Hulk, with 4 goals, is a significant loss for Atletico MG. His absence will challenge the team to find alternative goal-scoring solutions.

Expected Impact Player: Vitor Hugo, who scored the decisive goal in their last match against Mirassol, can be crucial again. Another player to watch is Bernard, providing creativity in the midfield.

Defensive Stalwarts: Junior Alonso, despite being suspended, contributed to their defensive solidity. Lyanco and Vitor Hugo will need to fill this gap effectively.

Potential Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Everson
• Defenders: Lyanco, Vitor Hugo, Junior Alonso
• Midfielders: Natanael, Alan Franco, Igor Gomes, Caio Paulista, Bernard
• Forwards: Rony, Biel

Look out for the effectiveness of their midfield, with Bernard and Alan Franco likely determining the pace and direction of the game.

Atletico MG Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico MG will be missing several key players due to suspensions and injuries for the match against Juventude. Hulk, Júnior Alonso, and Everson are all suspended after accumulating yellow cards, with Júnior Alonso also serving a suspension for a red card. These absences will certainly test the team’s depth and tactical flexibility.

In the injury department, significant players like Caio Maia (Cruciate ligament injury), Patrick Silva (Back injury), Renzo Saravia (Muscle injury), Tomás Cuello (Broken ankle), and Alexsander (Knee injury) are also sidelined. These injuries affect various areas of the pitch, from defence to attack, complicating Coach Sampaoli’s team selection and strategy.

The absences of these experienced players will undoubtedly impact Atletico MG’s game, requiring younger and less experienced players to step up. How well these replacements perform could be decisive in the outcome of this important clash.

Atletico MG Tactics and Formation

Atletico MG will line up in their familiar 3-4-1-2 formation for this crucial home match against Juventude.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forwards: With Hulk suspended, Rony and Biel will lead the attack. They will need to be clinical in front of goal given the suspension of their top scorer.
• Midfield Dynamics: The midfield trio of Natanael, Alan Franco, and Bernard will be tasked with controlling the play and providing creativity. Expect Alan Franco to break up play and initiate counter-attacks, while Bernard offers an attacking impetus.
• Defensive Resilience: Despite suspensions, the defense still boasts strength with Vitor Hugo and Lyanco. The team’s record of two clean sheets in their last five games indicates a solid defensive setup.
• Strategic Focus: Expect Atletico MG to focus on a strong start to set the pace early. They’ll also likely capitalize on set-pieces to overcome Juventude’s defensive frailties.

Overall, the tactical setup will aim to balance solid defence with quick transitions in attack.

Juventude Team Analysis

Juventude Recent Performance:

Juventude’s recent performances have been less than stellar, marked by inconsistency and defensive troubles. Their last five matches show a pattern of Loss, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, reflecting a struggle to maintain form. The recent 1-1 draw against Internacional shows a glimmer of resilience, but overall, their form remains poor.

Recent Form Issues:

• Average Goals Scored: Juventude has only managed an average of 0.6 goals per game in their last five outings, highlighting significant attacking inefficiencies.
• Clean Sheets: They’ve kept just one clean sheet in these matches, underscoring their defensive vulnerabilities.
• Defensive Concerns: They’ve conceded goals regularly, and their defensive record has contributed to their current position in the relegation zone.

Facing Atletico MG away from home will be a stern test for Juventude, who need to overcome significant hurdles both in attack and defence to secure valuable points.

Juventude Key Players

Juventude will rely on their key performers to turn the tide in this challenging match against Atletico MG. Despite their struggles, certain players can emerge as game-changers.

Top Scorer: Bill, who has netted 4 goals this season, will lead the attack and is expected to exploit any defensive lapses from Atletico MG.

Key Midfielder: Lucas Fernandes brings creativity and stability to the midfield. His role in breaking up play and initiating attacks will be crucial.

Defensive Line: Rodrigo Sam and Marcelo Hermes will anchor the defense and attempt to minimize the impact of Atletico MG’s forwards.

Expected Lineup:

• Goalkeeper: Jandrei
• Defenders: Ewerton, Luan Freitas, Rodrigo Sam, Marcelo Hermes
• Midfielders: Igor Marques, Caique, Lucas Fernandes, Mandaca
• Forwards: Nene, Bill

Keep an eye on Bill’s battle against Atletico MG’s defence, as his ability to find the net could be a turning point.

Juventude Suspensions & Injuries

Juventude is contending with a number of injuries heading into their away match against Atletico MG. Key players such as Nata (thigh injury), Emerson Galego (ankle injury), Abner (thigh injury), and Wilker Angel (thigh injury) are all potentially returning in early October, but their match fitness and readiness remain in question. Cipriano is also doubtful due to a foot injury.

These absences significantly weaken Juventude’s squad, both defensively and offensively. Missing these crucial players could affect their cohesion and overall performance, particularly in maintaining defensive solidity and breaking down Atletico MG’s defence.

Having to patch up these areas with replacements will test Juventude’s depth and resilience, which could be a critical factor in the outcome of this match. The team will need to dig deep to overcome these challenges and secure a positive result away from home.

Juventude Tactics and Formation

Juventude is expected to adopt a 4-4-2 formation for their challenging away match against Atletico MG.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Bill and Nene will spearhead the attack, tasked with converting their limited scoring opportunities given the team’s recent offensive struggles.
• Midfield Dynamics: The midfield, consisting of Igor Marques, Caique, Lucas Fernandes, and Mandaca, needs to strike a balance between defensive duties and supporting the forwards. Lucas Fernandes, in particular, will play a crucial role in orchestrating attacks.
• Defensive Cohesion: Ewerton, Luan Freitas, Rodrigo Sam, and Marcelo Hermes are expected to form the backline. Their primary objective will be to maintain a solid defensive barrier and neutralise the threats posed by Atletico MG’s forwards.
• Strategic Focus: Juventude will likely aim to remain compact and organised, focusing on counter-attacks and set-pieces to exploit any defensive weaknesses in Atletico MG.

Expect Juventude to prioritise a disciplined defensive effort while looking to capitalise on counter-attacks.

Atletico MG vs Juventude Head-to-Head Statistics

Analysing the last five encounters between Atletico MG and Juventude provides valuable insights into how these two teams match up against each other.

• Most Recent Meeting: Juventude 0 – 1 Atletico MG (5 May 2025) – This recent win for Atletico MG indicates their current upper hand.
• Previous Results:
  • Atletico MG 2 – 3 Juventude (27 Nov 2024) – An unexpected loss for Atletico MG at home.
  • Juventude 1 – 1 Atletico MG (16 Jul 2024) – A closely fought draw highlighting balanced competition.
  • Atletico MG 1 – 0 Juventude (27 Oct 2022) – Atletico MG secured a tight victory.
  • Juventude 1 – 2 Atletico MG (2 Jul 2022) – Another win for Atletico MG, underscoring their overall dominance.

Key Takeaways:

• Atletico MG’s Edge: With three wins in the last five meetings, Atletico MG holds a psychological and tactical advantage.
• Juventude’s Upset Potential: Despite their struggles, Juventude has managed a win and a draw in recent encounters.
• Low-Scoring Trends: The matches are generally low-scoring, reflecting cautious strategies from both sides.

Given this context, Atletico MG appears favoured to continue their dominant head-to-head performance.

Odds accurate as of 29/09/2025 01:34, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.