Atletico Tucuman vs. San Lorenzo Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 21 October 2025

As we approach Round 13 of the Liga Profesional, 19th placed Atletico Tucuman face off against 17th placed San Lorenzo. With just a point separating the two in the standings, this match is set to be crucial for both teams. Atletico Tucuman, coming off a mixed bag of results, hold the edge with a strong home record, defeating heavyweights like River Plate recently.

San Lorenzo, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, making them underdogs. The absence of key players due to injuries and suspensions further complicates their task.

Given the past encounters and current form, expect a close game likely decided by a single goal. Our recommended bet is for Atletico Tucuman to win by a 1-goal margin.

With both teams jostling for a higher spot in the league, this match could provide pivotal moments in their season narratives.

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Betting tip

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Prediction
Betting tip
Draw – Atletico Tucuman (-1) (EH)

Our betting tip recommends a draw with Atletico Tucuman winning by a 1-goal margin due to several pivotal match facts.

• Atletico Tucuman have shown strong home form, winning four of their last six home games, making them favorites.
• San Lorenzo have struggled on the road, with just one win in their last six away games.
• The last encounters suggest tightly contested matches, often decided by narrow margins.

Choosing this bet is based on the likelihood of a close match, given San Lorenzo’s tendency to lose by a single goal and Atletico Tucuman’s solid home record. Expect a critical, hard-fought match with minimal separation between the two sides on the scoreboard.

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Odds

The odds for the upcoming Liga Profesional clash between Atletico Tucuman and San Lorenzo are quite close, reflecting the tight contest expected. With Atletico Tucuman slightly favored by the bookmakers, the match holds plenty of intrigue.

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Betting Odds	Odds
Bet	Odds
Atletico Tucuman	2.63
Draw	2.79
San Lorenzo	2.95

Given these odds, Atletico Tucuman’s strong home form makes them slight favorites. The lower odds for a draw suggest a closely fought match, while San Lorenzo’s higher odds reflect their struggles away from home.

Expect a competitive game, with the odds indicating that it could go either way, but with Atletico Tucuman holding a slight edge owing to their superior recent home performances.

Atletico Tucuman Team Analysis

Atletico Tucuman Recent Performance

Atletico Tucuman’s recent form has been a rollercoaster ride, registering two wins and three losses in their last five matches.

Recent Matches:

• Instituto 2 – 0 Atletico Tucuman
• Atletico Tucuman 2 – 0 Club Atletico Platense
• Velez Sarsfield 3 – 1 Atletico Tucuman
• Atletico Tucuman 2 – 0 River Plate
• Newell’s Old Boys 2 – 0 Atletico Tucuman

The team averages 1 goal per game and has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five outings. Despite some defensive lapses, their home form has been impressive, highlighted by a significant win over River Plate.

Atletico Tucuman will aim to leverage their home advantage and iron out inconsistencies to climb up the league standings.

Atletico Tucuman Key Players

Atletico Tucuman will look to key players like Leandro Diaz, their top scorer with 3 goals, to spearhead their attack against San Lorenzo. Diaz, alongside forward Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez, will aim to take advantage of San Lorenzo’s defensive frailties, particularly in the late stages of the match where San Lorenzo has been most vulnerable.

In midfield, Kevin Ortiz and Kevin Lopez are expected to provide stability and creativity. Their battle against San Lorenzo’s midfield will be crucial in dictating the game’s rhythm.

Expected lineup for Atletico Tucuman:

• Goalkeeper: Matias Mansilla
• Defenders: Damian Martinez, Marcelo Ortiz, Clever Ferreira, Miguel Brizuela
• Midfielders: Adrian Sanchez, Kevin Ortiz, Kevin Lopez
• Forwards: Nicolas Lamendola, Leandro Diaz, Ramiro Ruiz Rodriguez

The key individual battle to watch will be Diaz against San Lorenzo’s centre-backs Romana and Hernandez. Diaz’s ability to find space and capitalize on defensive errors could be the deciding factor in this tightly contested match.

Atletico Tucuman Suspensions & Injuries

Atletico Tucuman will be without several key players due to injuries, which could pose a challenge in their upcoming clash against San Lorenzo.

Injuries:

• Renzo Tesuri: Out with a cruciate ligament injury, potentially returning in late October 2025.
• Juan Infante: Sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury, expected to return in early December 2025.
• Moises Brandan: Suffering from a calf injury, potentially back by late October 2025.

Suspensions:

• No suspensions for Atletico Tucuman.

The absence of Tesuri and Infante, especially, will test the squad’s depth. The midfield and defensive units need to step up to compensate for these missing players, particularly against a San Lorenzo side looking for road points.

Atletico Tucuman Tactics and Formation

Atletico Tucuman’s tactical setup typically revolves around a solid 4-4-2 formation, focusing on balanced play across the pitch with a mix of defensive solidity and attacking intent. Under coach Lucas Pusineri, the team emphasizes a structured defense and quick transitions into attack.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Leandro Diaz
• Midfield Engine: Kevin Ortiz and Kevin Lopez, driving the team’s creativity and stability
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games, highlighting their ability to keep it tight at the back.
• Attack Strategy: Poses a significant goal threat in the closing stages, particularly in the 76-90-minute period, where they have scored most of their goals this season.

Atletico Tucuman will aim to utilize their home advantage with disciplined defending and quick, incisive counter-attacks, leveraging the movements of Diaz and Rodriguez up front.

San Lorenzo Team Analysis

San Lorenzo Recent Performance

San Lorenzo’s recent performances have been less than stellar, with only one win in their last five outings.

Recent Matches:

• San Lorenzo 0 – 1 San Martin San Juan
• Lanus 2 – 1 San Lorenzo
• San Lorenzo 2 – 0 Godoy Cruz
• Independiente 1 – 1 San Lorenzo
• Racing Club 2 – 0 San Lorenzo

The team has struggled to find the back of the net, averaging only 0.8 goals per game. On the defensive end, they have only managed one clean sheet in their last five games, demonstrating some vulnerability that Atletico Tucuman will look to exploit.

San Lorenzo will need to tighten up their defense and find more consistency in front of goal if they are to reverse their recent fortunes and climb up the league table.

San Lorenzo Key Players

San Lorenzo will rely heavily on their top scorer, Alexis Cuello, who has netted 3 goals this season. Cuello’s ability to find the back of the net will be crucial if San Lorenzo aim to upset Atletico Tucuman at home.

Another critical player will be Ezequiel Cerutti on the right wing. Cerutti’s pace and dribbling can create opportunities and stretch Atletico Tucuman’s defense. The midfield battle will be key, with Ignacio Perruzzi and Nicolas Tripichio expected to stabilize the center of the park.

Expected lineup for San Lorenzo:

• Goalkeeper: Orlando Gill
• Defenders: Fabricio Lopez, Jhohan Romana, Gaston Hernandez, Elias Baez
• Midfielders: Ignacio Perruzzi, Nicolas Tripichio, Facundo Gulli
• Forwards: Ezequiel Cerutti, Matias Reali, Alexis Cuello

The key battle to watch will be between Cuello and Atletico Tucuman’s central defenders, Ferreira and Ortiz, with Cuello looking to exploit any defensive lapses.

San Lorenzo Suspensions & Injuries

San Lorenzo goes into the match against Atletico Tucuman with a few notable absences due to injuries and suspensions.

Injuries:

• Manuel Insaurralde: Out for the season with a broken arm.
• Nahuel Arias: Also sidelined for the season due to a cruciate ligament injury.

Suspensions:

• Teo Rodríguez Pagano: Currently banned for one more match due to national team duties.

The absence of Insaurralde and Arias significantly weakens San Lorenzo’s options in defense and midfield. Additionally, the suspension of Rodríguez Pagano further complicates the team’s selection. These absences might leave gaps in their play, making them more vulnerable, particularly in the midfield and backline. The injury woes could tilt the balance in favor of Atletico Tucuman, who will look to exploit these vulnerabilities to secure a crucial home victory.

San Lorenzo Tactics and Formation

San Lorenzo generally employs a flexible formation, adapting between 4-2-3-1 and 4-3-3, depending on the situation and opposition. Under coach Damián Ayude, the team aims for a balanced approach with a focus on maintaining a compact defensive structure and exploiting counter-attacks.

Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Alexis Cuello, their top scorer with 3 goals this season
• Midfield Stability: Ignacio Perruzzi and Nicolas Tripichio, who ensure defensive cover and transitional play
• Defensive Challenges: Only one clean sheet in the last five games, indicating potential frailties
• Attack Strategy: Utilizing wing play, particularly through Ezequiel Cerutti, to stretch the opponent’s defense and create goal-scoring opportunities

San Lorenzo will look to tighten their defense and use quick transitions to counter Atletico Tucuman, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses for scoring opportunities. This tactical discipline will be crucial if they hope to snatch points away from home against their in-form opponents.

Atletico Tucuman vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head Statistics

Analyzing the last five encounters between Atletico Tucuman and San Lorenzo, it’s clear that matches between these two sides are often tightly contested.

Recent Head-to-Head Results:

• San Lorenzo 1 – 0 Atletico Tucuman (2025-04-12)
• San Lorenzo 0 – 1 Atletico Tucuman (2024-08-10)
• Atletico Tucuman 1 – 3 San Lorenzo (2023-04-08)
• San Lorenzo 1 – 1 Atletico Tucuman (2022-09-10)
• San Lorenzo 1 – 1 Atletico Tucuman (2022-04-03)

These matches highlight a balanced rivalry, with both teams securing crucial wins, and two of the last five encounters ending in draws. Typically, few goals are scored, and the games often come down to individual moments of brilliance or defensive lapses.

Atletico Tucuman’s previous home defeat against San Lorenzo by a 1-3 margin will be fresh in their minds, motivating them to set the record straight in front of their home fans. Likewise, San Lorenzo will look to replicate their past successes and capitalize on their previous away win.

Odds accurate as of 19/10/2025 01:15, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.