Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, March 14th

Borussia Dortmund will face Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash at Signal Iduna Park on Saturday, March 14th. This match is significant as Borussia Dortmund look to strengthen their position in the league standings, while Augsburg aim to climb out of the lower half. Both teams are eager to secure crucial points, making this encounter one to watch for fans and bettors alike.

Playing at their home ground, Signal Iduna Park, Borussia Dortmund will be keen to capitalise on their home advantage. Meanwhile, Augsburg will be determined to upset the hosts and gain momentum in the Bundesliga. With both teams having much at stake, this match promises to offer intriguing dynamics and potential betting opportunities.

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting tip

Betting Tip	Odds
More than 2.5 goals in the first half	5.4

Given Borussia Dortmund’s aggressive start in home matches and Augsburg’s tendency to respond with quick counterattacks, the first half is likely to see an exciting, high-tempo game. Our recommended betting tip is to back over 2.5 goals in the first half, as both teams are expected to come out strong and create plenty of scoring opportunities early on.

• Borussia Dortmund have scored in 100% of their matches this season, showing their consistent attacking prowess.
• Augsburg have scored in 76% of their matches, indicating they are capable of finding the net even against tougher opponents.
• Dortmund’s home matches often start with aggressive pressing and quick attacks, increasing the likelihood of early goals.

Betting Odds

Borussia Dortmund are the clear favourites in this Bundesliga clash, with betting odds reflecting their strong home advantage at Signal Iduna Park. Augsburg, on the other hand, are seen as the underdogs, with odds suggesting a challenging outing for the visitors.

Betting Tip	Odds
Back Borussia Dortmund to Win	1.41
Back a Draw	4.94
Back Augsburg to Win	6.96

For those looking to bet, the odds on a Dortmund win are quite short, so exploring the over 2.5 goals market or a handicap bet might offer better value. Given Dortmund’s attacking prowess, punters might also consider backing both teams to score.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis & Past Performance

Borussia Dortmund’s recent form has shown a mix of resilience and vulnerability. In their last five matches, Dortmund have secured two victories, suffered two losses, and drawn once. Notably, they managed a crucial 2-1 win away against FC Köln, demonstrating their capacity to win under pressure. However, defeats against Bayern Munich and Atalanta have exposed some defensive frailties, with 10 goals conceded in these fixtures.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
FC Cologne	Borussia Dortmund	1 – 2 (Win)	Bundesliga	7 Mar 2026
Borussia Dortmund	Bayern Munich	2 – 3 (Loss)	Bundesliga	28 Feb 2026
Atalanta	Borussia Dortmund	4 – 1 (Loss)	Champions League Knockout Stage	25 Feb 2026
RB Leipzig	Borussia Dortmund	2 – 2 (Draw)	Bundesliga	21 Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund	Atalanta	2 – 0 (Win)	Champions League Knockout Stage	17 Feb 2026

Recent Form:
Dortmund have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.80 goals per game over the last five matches. Their attack, spearheaded by top scorer Serhou Guirassy, has been consistent, scoring in all five recent outings. Nonetheless, defensive lapses have been evident, with an average of 2.00 goals conceded per match. Despite these challenges, they have maintained a solid home performance, winning three of their last five home fixtures, reflecting a win ratio of 60% at Signal Iduna Park.

Currently sitting second in the Bundesliga with 55 points, Dortmund’s league campaign has been characterised by strong home displays, with a 75% win ratio at home. Their tactical approach focuses on possession-based football, with a notable 62% possession in their latest match against FC Köln, highlighting their ability to control the game. Despite only one clean sheet in their last five games, Dortmund’s attacking prowess continues to pose significant threats to any opposition.

• WLLDW

Borussia Dortmund Suspensions & Injuries

Borussia Dortmund will face Augsburg without Ramy Bensebaini, who is suspended due to an accumulation of yellow cards. His absence will likely see a reshuffle in the defensive lineup, with Niklas Süle expected to fill the void left by Bensebaini. This adjustment might affect Dortmund’s defensive solidity, as Bensebaini’s experience and versatility have been integral to their backline.

Player	Reason for Suspension	Matches Left	Anticipated Return
Ramy Bensebaini	Accumulation of yellow cards	1	To be confirmed

In terms of injuries, Borussia Dortmund will miss the services of Emre Can for the rest of the season due to a cruciate ligament injury. This long-term absence continues to limit their options in midfield, although Marcel Sabitzer and Felix Nmecha have been filling in effectively. Carney Chukwuemeka’s muscle injury adds to their woes, but he is expected back within 1-2 weeks, which might offer some relief soon. Filippo Mane’s thigh injury means he will also be unavailable until late March, further impacting squad depth.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Filippo Mane	Thigh injury	Late March 2026
Carney Chukwuemeka	Muscle injury	About 1-2 weeks
Emre Can	Cruciate ligament injury	Out for season

With these absences, Borussia Dortmund might opt for a more compact formation to maintain stability. The tactical impact could see them focusing on a solid midfield presence to compensate for the missing defensive and midfield personnel. These unavailability issues could influence betting markets, potentially affecting odds given the adjustments Dortmund will need to make.

Borussia Dortmund Key Players

Serhou Guirassy stands out as Borussia Dortmund’s top scorer, having netted 12 goals this season. His clinical finishing and intelligent movement make him a constant threat to Augsburg’s defence. Guirassy’s ability to find space and convert chances will be pivotal in breaking down the opposition’s backline. Complementing him in attack is Julian Brandt, whose creativity and vision in midfield play a crucial role in orchestrating Dortmund’s offensive plays.

In defence, the combination of Niklas Süle and Nico Schlotterbeck provides solidity and strength, crucial for shutting down Augsburg’s attacking threats. The midfield presence of Marcel Sabitzer offers both defensive cover and the ability to transition play swiftly from defence to attack, making him indispensable in controlling the game’s tempo. These players are expected to shape Borussia Dortmund’s tactical approach, emphasising a balance between solid defence and potent attack.

Expected lineup for Borussia Dortmund:

• Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel
• Defence: Niklas Süle, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck
• Midfield: Julian Ryerson, Marcel Sabitzer, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Maximilian Beier, Julian Brandt
• Forward: Serhou Guirassy

Borussia Dortmund Tactics and Formation

Borussia Dortmund Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Serhou Guirassy
• Midfield Engine: Marcel Sabitzer and Felix Nmecha
• Defensive Setup: Three-man defence with Niklas Süle anchoring
• Notable Strategy: High possession and dynamic wing play.

Dortmund’s 3-4-2-1 formation allows them to dominate possession, as evidenced by their 62% possession in the recent win against FC Köln. The midfield, orchestrated by Marcel Sabitzer and Felix Nmecha, provides both defensive cover and creative support, crucial for transitioning into attack.

Niklas Süle, Waldemar Anton, and Nico Schlotterbeck form a solid three-man defence, offering stability while allowing wing-backs Julian Ryerson and Daniel Svensson to push forward, creating width and attacking opportunities. This setup has been key to Dortmund’s ability to control games, although it can leave them vulnerable to counterattacks, as seen by the 10 goals conceded in the last five matches.

Offensively, Dortmund rely on the prowess of Serhou Guirassy, their top scorer with 12 goals. Supported by Julian Brandt and Maximilian Beier, Dortmund’s attack is versatile and capable of breaking down defences with quick interplays and wing overloads, making them a formidable force.

Augsburg Analysis & Past Performance

Augsburg’s recent form has been mixed, with the team recording three wins and two losses in their last five Bundesliga matches. Their victories include an emphatic 3-2 away win against Wolfsburg and a solid 2-0 home triumph over FC Köln. However, they suffered defeats against RB Leipzig (1-2) and Mainz 05 (0-2), which highlight some inconsistencies.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	League	Date
RB Leipzig	Augsburg	2 – 1 (Loss)	Bundesliga	7 Mar 2026
Augsburg	FC Koln	2 – 0 (Win)	Bundesliga	27 Feb 2026
Wolfsburg	Augsburg	2 – 3 (Win)	Bundesliga	21 Feb 2026
Augsburg	FC Heidenheim	1 – 0 (Win)	Bundesliga	15 Feb 2026
Mainz 05	Augsburg	2 – 0 (Loss)	Bundesliga	7 Feb 2026

Recent Form:
On average, Augsburg have scored 1.40 goals per match in their last five fixtures, while conceding 1.20 goals per game, indicating a somewhat balanced but fragile defensive setup. Despite securing two clean sheets in these encounters, their defence has been breached in three matches. Notably, Alexis Claude-Maurice stands out as a key attacking threat, having netted four goals this season.

Augsburg’s away performance has been less convincing, with only two wins out of their last five away fixtures. Their away win ratio stands at 40%, and they have struggled to maintain defensive resilience, conceding goals in all but one away match recently. Sitting at 9th place in the Bundesliga with 31 points, Augsburg’s mid-table position reflects their fluctuating performances this season.

• LWWWL

Augsburg Suspensions & Injuries

Augsburg face this fixture with several key players sidelined due to injuries. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw’s medial collateral ligament injury means the team will miss his leadership in defence until mid-April. Additionally, Chrislain Matsima’s hamstring issue keeps him out until early April, further depleting defensive options. With Yannik Keitel and Uchenna Ogundu also unavailable due to knee and ankle injuries respectively, Augsburg’s depth is notably impacted, particularly in their defensive and midfield lines.

The absence of such pivotal figures necessitates tactical adjustments. Augsburg are likely to rely on the available defenders like Noahkai Banks and Keven Schlotterbeck to fill the void left by Gouweleeuw and Matsima. In midfield, Han-Noah Massengo and Kristijan Jakic will be crucial in compensating for Keitel’s absence. This reshuffling could influence Augsburg’s defensive solidity and overall balance on the field.

With these injuries, Augsburg may need to adopt a more conservative approach against Borussia Dortmund, potentially impacting their ability to maintain possession and press high up the pitch. The reliance on less experienced players might also affect their performance under pressure, especially in a high-stakes Bundesliga match.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw	Medial Collateral Ligament injury	Mid April 2026
Chrislain Matsima	Hamstring injury	Early April 2026
Yannik Keitel	Knee injury	Late March 2026
Uchenna Ogundu	Ankle injury	Late March 2026

Augsburg Key Players

Augsburg’s attacking hopes are pinned on Alexis Claude-Maurice, the team’s top scorer with 4 goals this season. His playing style, characterised by agility and clinical finishing, makes him a constant threat in the final third. Alongside him, Rodrigo Ribeiro, expected to lead the line, will be crucial in breaking down Borussia Dortmund’s defence with his pace and direct approach.

In midfield, Han-Noah Massengo and Fabian Rieder are expected to play pivotal roles. Massengo’s ability to intercept and distribute the ball effectively will be vital in controlling the pace of the game, while Rieder’s creativity and vision could unlock Dortmund’s defensive lines. Defensively, Keven Schlotterbeck is tasked with organising the backline and his aerial strength will be key in set-piece situations.

Expected lineup for Augsburg:

• Goalkeeper: Finn Dahmen
• Defenders: Noahkai Banks, Keven Schlotterbeck, Arthur Chaves
• Midfielders: Robin Fellhauer, Han-Noah Massengo, Kristijan Jakic, Dimitrios Giannoulis, Mert Komur, Fabian Rieder
• Forward: Rodrigo Ribeiro

Augsburg Tactics and Formation

Augsburg Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Rodrigo Ribeiro
• Midfield Engine: Han-Noah Massengo and Kristijan Jakic
• Defensive Structure: Three-man defence led by Keven Schlotterbeck
• Notable Strategy: Compact defensive shape and counter-attacking play.

Augsburg’s 3-4-2-1 formation emphasises a strong defensive structure with Keven Schlotterbeck marshalling the back line. This setup allows them to crowd the midfield, with Han-Noah Massengo and Kristijan Jakic facilitating transitions from defence to attack. Dimitrios Giannoulis and Robin Fellhauer on the flanks provide width and support both offensively and defensively.

Defensively, Augsburg’s three-man backline aims to maintain a compact shape, limiting space for opponents. This has been crucial, especially away from home, where they have kept two clean sheets in their last five encounters. Finn Dahmen in goal provides additional security with his shot-stopping abilities.

Offensively, Augsburg rely heavily on counter-attacks, utilising the pace and creativity of Rodrigo Ribeiro. The forward’s movement and finishing are vital to Augsburg’s scoring opportunities, as seen in their average of 1.4 goals per game, despite recent challenges against top-tier teams.

Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg H2H Record

Borussia Dortmund have a strong head-to-head record against Augsburg, with 18 wins out of 30 encounters, while Augsburg have managed just 5 victories, and there have been 7 draws. The last meeting saw Dortmund snatch a 1-0 away win in the Bundesliga, showcasing their dominance in recent clashes.

The last time these two met at Signal Iduna Park, Augsburg pulled off a surprise 1-0 win back in March 2025. Despite this upset, Dortmund have generally been formidable at home against Augsburg, often scoring freely.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Augsburg	Borussia Dortmund	0 – 1	Bundesliga	2025-10-31
Borussia Dortmund	Augsburg	0 – 1	Bundesliga	2025-03-08
Augsburg	Borussia Dortmund	2 – 1	Bundesliga	2024-10-26
Borussia Dortmund	Augsburg	5 – 1	Bundesliga	2024-05-04
Augsburg	Borussia Dortmund	1 – 1	Bundesliga	2023-12-16