Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, Saturday, 7 February

Mainz 05 will host Augsburg in a Bundesliga clash at the MEWA Arena on Saturday, 7 February. This fixture is significant as both sides aim to climb the league table, with Mainz 05 hoping to make the most of their home advantage. Augsburg, meanwhile, will be determined to secure valuable points on the road to improve their league position.

The MEWA Arena will provide the backdrop for this intriguing encounter between Mainz 05 and Augsburg. Both teams have shown inconsistent form this season, so this match could prove pivotal in shaping their respective campaigns. With the Bundesliga’s competitive nature, every point is crucial, making this a must-watch for supporters and bettors alike.

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Prediction & Betting Tip

Betting Tip	Odds
Mainz 05 to win	2.04

Considering the odds and the current form of both teams, backing Mainz 05 to win appears to be the best bet. Mainz have been strong at home, winning three of their last four matches, while Augsburg have struggled away, losing four of their last five away fixtures.

• Mainz 05 have scored in their last five consecutive matches, demonstrating consistent attacking prowess.
• Augsburg concede an average of 1.8 goals per game, highlighting a vulnerable defence, particularly away from home.
• Mainz’s home intensity and pressing style often tip close matches in their favour, making them likely winners in a tight contest.

Betting Odds

Mainz 05 enter their home fixture as favourites with odds of 2.04, but Augsburg are not to be overlooked, offering a tempting 3.49 for an away victory. The draw is also a possibility at 3.53, suggesting a closely contested Bundesliga encounter.

Betting Tip	Odds
Back Mainz 05 to Win	2.04
Back a Draw	3.53
Back Augsburg to Win	3.49

For those interested in goal markets, both teams have shown an ability to find the net, making the over 2.5 goals market an intriguing option. With Mainz’s home advantage and Augsburg’s potential to spring a surprise, punters have plenty to consider.

Mainz 05 Analysis & Past Performance

Mainz 05 have shown a resurgence in recent weeks, securing three wins, one draw, and just one defeat in their last five matches. Notable results include a 2-1 victory over RB Leipzig and a 3-1 win against Wolfsburg, highlighting their capacity to compete with high-calibre opponents.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	League	Date
RB Leipzig	Mainz 05	1 – 2 (Win)	Bundesliga	31 Jan 2026
Mainz 05	Wolfsburg	3 – 1 (Win)	Bundesliga	24 Jan 2026
FC Köln	Mainz 05	2 – 1 (Loss)	Bundesliga	17 Jan 2026
Mainz 05	FC Heidenheim	2 – 1 (Win)	Bundesliga	13 Jan 2026
Union Berlin	Mainz 05	2 – 2 (Draw)	Bundesliga	10 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• WWLWD

Mainz 05’s attack has been effective, averaging 2.00 goals per match over their last five fixtures. However, defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.40 goals per game, with no clean sheets in this period, indicating room for improvement at the back. At home, Mainz have maintained a solid record, with a win ratio of 60% in their last five home matches, reflecting stronger performances on familiar ground.

Mainz 05 Suspensions & Injuries

Mainz 05 will be without several key players due to injury. Maxim Dal, Anthony Caci, and Robin Zentner are sidelined and are expected to return by mid-February 2026. Their absence forces coach Urs Fischer to turn to alternative options, which may affect tactical setups, especially in defence and midfield. The defensive stability may be compromised without Caci, and Zentner’s absence in goal means Daniel Batz will continue as the starting goalkeeper.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Maxim Dal	Cruciate ligament injury	Mid February 2026
Anthony Caci	Tendon injury	Mid February 2026
Robin Zentner	Groin injury	Mid February 2026
Sota Kawasaki	Muscle injury	Mid February 2026
Benedict Hollerbach	Achilles tendon injury	Out for season
Armindo Sieb	Illness	Few days

With a number of midfielders and defenders unavailable, Mainz 05 may need to adjust their usual 3-5-2 formation to maintain balance and solidity. The inclusion of Kaishu Sano and Nadiem Amiri in midfield will be vital to cover the gaps left by the injured players. Tactically, Mainz 05 could adopt a more conservative approach to compensate for the lack of depth.

Despite these challenges, the betting markets may see Mainz 05’s injuries as a potential advantage for Augsburg, possibly influencing the odds. However, Mainz 05’s resilience and adaptability in previous matches could still provide them with a competitive edge, especially with the attacking duo of Phillip Tietz and Arnaud Nordin available to lead the line.

Mainz 05 Key Players

Nadiem Amiri, Mainz 05’s top scorer with 7 goals this season, will be crucial in the upcoming clash against Augsburg. His ability to both score and create chances makes him a dual threat in midfield. Amiri’s vision and precise passing often link the midfield to the attack, enhancing Mainz’s offensive play.

In the forward line, Phillip Tietz and Arnaud Nordin are expected to provide the cutting edge. Tietz’s physical presence and Nordin’s pace and dribbling can stretch opposition defences, creating space for Amiri to exploit. Meanwhile, at the back, Stefan Bell’s experience and leadership will be vital in organising the defence and keeping Augsburg at bay.

Expected lineup for Mainz 05

• Goalkeeper: Daniel Batz
• Defence: Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Kacper Potulski
• Midfield: Danny da Costa, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Silvan Widmer
• Forward: Phillip Tietz, Arnaud Nordin

Mainz 05 Tactics and Formation

Mainz 05 Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-5-2
• Key Forward: Phillip Tietz
• Midfield Engine: Jae-Sung Lee and Nadiem Amiri
• Defensive Concerns: No clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Focused on wing play and midfield control.

Mainz 05’s 3-5-2 formation is designed to maximise their midfield presence and wing play, with Danny da Costa and Silvan Widmer operating as wing-backs. This setup allows them to control the game through the central areas, with Jae-Sung Lee and Nadiem Amiri expected to dictate the tempo and support both defence and attack.

Defensively, the trio of Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, and Kacper Potulski must improve their coordination, as Mainz have struggled to keep clean sheets, conceding in each of their last five games. Daniel Batz remains key between the posts, tasked with organising the backline.

Offensively, Mainz rely on the striking partnership of Phillip Tietz and Arnaud Nordin to convert chances. Nadiem Amiri, as the top scorer, plays a pivotal role in linking up play and providing goal-scoring opportunities. Their lack of clean sheets suggests a high-risk, high-reward approach, often resulting in open, end-to-end matches.

Augsburg Analysis & Past Performance

Augsburg have displayed mixed form recently, recording two wins, two draws, and one defeat in their last five Bundesliga matches. This run includes notable results such as a 2-1 victory over St. Pauli and an impressive 2-1 win against Bayern Munich, demonstrating their ability to challenge top teams.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Augsburg	St. Pauli	2 – 1 (Win)	Bundesliga	31 Jan 2026
Bayern Munich	Augsburg	1 – 2 (Win)	Bundesliga	24 Jan 2026
Augsburg	Freiburg	2 – 2 (Draw)	Bundesliga	18 Jan 2026
Augsburg	Union Berlin	1 – 1 (Draw)	Bundesliga	15 Jan 2026
Borussia Moenchengladbach	Augsburg	4 – 0 (Loss)	Bundesliga	11 Jan 2026

Recent Form:

• WWDDL

Augsburg’s attack has been reasonably productive, averaging 1.40 goals per match in their last five fixtures, but their defence has been less convincing, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per game and failing to secure any clean sheets in this period. Away from home, Augsburg’s form has been less favourable, with just one win in their last five away games, resulting in a win ratio of 0.20. Despite these challenges, they currently sit 11th in the Bundesliga with 22 points, reflecting a mid-table position.

Augsburg Suspensions & Injuries

Augsburg face several challenges ahead of their match with Mainz 05 due to key injuries. Jeffrey Gouweleeuw’s absence with a medial collateral ligament injury until mid-April significantly affects the team’s defensive stability. As a vital figure in Augsburg’s backline, his unavailability forces the coach to rely on Arthur Chaves and Keven Schlotterbeck, who must step up. Additionally, Chrislain Matsima’s tendon injury keeps him out until early March, further reducing defensive options.

In midfield, Kristijan Jakic’s calf injury leaves his participation in doubt, potentially affecting Augsburg’s midfield dynamism. Dimitrios Giannoulis, sidelined with a thigh injury until late February, also limits the team’s flexibility in defence. The absence of these players could prompt tactical adjustments, with Manuel Baum possibly opting for a more conservative approach to offset defensive vulnerabilities.

Player	Injury	Expected Return
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw	Medial Collateral Ligament injury	Mid April 2026
Chrislain Matsima	Tendon injury	Early March 2026
Kristijan Jakic	Calf Injury	Doubtful
Dimitrios Giannoulis	Thigh injury	Late February 2026

These injuries not only test Augsburg’s squad depth but also influence betting markets, as the weakened defensive core could tip the odds in Mainz 05’s favour. Augsburg’s ability to compensate for these absences will be crucial to their competitiveness in this fixture.

Augsburg Key Players

Augsburg’s main attacking threat comes from their top scorer, Fabian Rieder, who has netted 3 goals this season. Operating in midfield, Rieder’s ability to break forward and convert chances will be crucial against Mainz 05. His dynamic playmaking enables effective link-up with forward Michael Gregoritsch, who leads the line. Gregoritsch’s physical presence and aerial prowess make him a constant threat in the box.

In midfield, Han-Noah Massengo and Elvis Rexhbecaj are expected to play key roles. Massengo’s agility and defensive work rate provide balance, while Rexhbecaj’s vision and passing can unlock defences. At the back, Arthur Chaves, Keven Schlotterbeck, and Noahkai Banks form a solid defensive line tasked with containing Mainz’s attacking play. Schlotterbeck’s leadership and positioning will be vital in organising the defence.

Expected lineup for Augsburg

• Goalkeeper: Finn Dahmen
• Defenders: Arthur Chaves, Keven Schlotterbeck, Noahkai Banks
• Midfielders: Robin Fellhauer, Han-Noah Massengo, Elvis Rexhbecaj, Marius Wolf, Fabian Rieder, Alexis Claude
• Forward: Michael Gregoritsch

Augsburg Tactics and Formation

Augsburg Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Michael Gregoritsch
• Midfield Pivot: Han-Noah Massengo and Elvis Rexhbecaj
• Defensive Strength: Struggling for clean sheets, none in last five games
• Notable Strategy: Dynamic wing play and high pressing.

Augsburg’s 3-4-2-1 formation is designed to maximise wing play and maintain a compact defensive shape. With Robin Fellhauer and Marius Wolf as wing-backs, the team can exploit the flanks effectively, providing width and supporting the attack. The midfield pairing of Han-Noah Massengo and Elvis Rexhbecaj offers balance, with Massengo focusing on defensive duties while Rexhbecaj provides creative support.

Defensively, the back three of Arthur Chaves, Keven Schlotterbeck, and Noahkai Banks are responsible for maintaining a solid base. However, Augsburg have struggled defensively, as shown by their failure to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game.

In attack, Augsburg rely heavily on Michael Gregoritsch to lead the line, with Fabian Rieder and Alexis Claude providing creativity and support from midfield. The team’s strategy often features high pressing and quick transitions, aiming to capitalise on opponents’ mistakes and create scoring opportunities.

Mainz 05 vs Augsburg Head-to-Head Record

In their head-to-head record, Mainz 05 hold a slight advantage over Augsburg with 15 wins to Augsburg’s 14, and 6 matches ending in draws. The last time these two sides met, Mainz 05 claimed an impressive 4-1 victory away at Augsburg in the Bundesliga.

When Mainz 05 last hosted Augsburg, the match ended in a goalless draw in February 2025. Historically, Mainz have been strong at home against Augsburg, often managing to keep things tight defensively.

Home Team	Away Team	Result	Competition	Date
Augsburg	Mainz 05	1 – 4	Bundesliga	2025-09-20
Mainz 05	Augsburg	0 – 0	Bundesliga	2025-02-08
Augsburg	Mainz 05	2 – 3	Bundesliga	2024-09-20
Mainz 05	Augsburg	1 – 0	Bundesliga	2024-02-17
Augsburg	Mainz 05	2 – 1	Bundesliga	2023-09-23