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Bayern Munich vs Benfica Prediction - Champions League

Bayern Munich-Benfica
Bayern Munich
Benfica
Recent form:
FCB
BEN

Bayern Munich face Benfica on 6 November 2024 in a pivotal Champions League clash at the Allianz Arena. Bayern, currently 23rd in the standings, desperately need a win to stay in contention for the Round of 16. Their recent Bundesliga form has been b, with a dominant win over Union Berlin, but they face pressure after suffering two consecutive European defeats. The bookmakers favor Bayern Munich to secure a convincing victory, with Harry Kane, their top scorer, in scintillating form.

However, Benfica, who sit higher at 13th, have been consistent in front of goal too, scoring in six consecutive Champions League matches. Despite the clear sky forecast and mild temperatures, Bayern will need to be wary of Kerem Akturkoglu’s threat. Predicted to maintain their high tempo and intensive possession, Bayern Munich are tipped to win with an Asian Handicap of -1.50. Prepare for an exciting showdown.

Bayern Munich vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tip

The recommended betting tip for this match is Bayern Munich -1.50 (Asian Handicap). This selection is based on several factors favoring the home team.

Bayern Munich vs. Benfica Prediction
Betting tip Odds
Bayern Munich -1.50 (Asian Handicap) 1.74
  • Bayern Munich are unbeaten in 17 consecutive home matches in this tournament.
  • Harry Kane, their top scorer, is in excellent form with 5 goals in 3 matches.
  • Superior individual player quality and home advantage give Bayern Munich a significant edge. With these points considered, Bayern Munich is expected to secure a convincing victory and maintain their home record.

Bayern Munich vs Benfica Odds

The odds clearly favor Bayern Munich for the upcoming Champions League clash. With home advantage and a squad led by top scorer Harry Kane, Bayern Munich is expected to dominate this encounter. Here’s a quick look at the odds:

Bayern Munich vs. Benfica Betting Odds
Bet Odds
Bayern Munich 1.28
Draw 6.18
Benfica 8.75

Bayern Munich Team Analysis

Bayern Munich has been on a run in the Bundesliga, racking up significant wins and maintaining a solid defensive record.

Home team Away team Result
Bayern Munich Union Berlin 3-0 (Win)
Mainz 05 Bayern Munich 0-4 (Win)
Bochum Bayern Munich 0-5 (Win)
Barcelona Bayern Munich 4-1 (Loss)
Bayern Munich VfB Stuttgart 4-0 (Win)

Bayern has scored an average of 3.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets. Despite a setback against Barcelona, their offensive output has been remarkable, led by Harry Kane who tops the scoring charts with 5 goals in the tournament.

Defensively, they’ve been robust, which is evident from their high number of clean sheets and the team’s long-standing home unbeaten streak in the Champions League, cementing their reputation as formidable hosts. Overall, Bayern Munich is demonstrating why they are considered one of the dominant teams in European football.

Bayern Munich Key Players

Leading the charge for Bayern Munich is none other than Harry Kane, who has netted five goals in the tournament already, showcasing his lethal finishing ability.

Expected lineup for Bayern Munich:

  • Goalkeeper: Manuel Neuer
  • Defenders: Raphaël Guerreiro, Dayot Upamecano, Min-jae Kim, Alphonso Davies
  • Midfielders: Joshua Kimmich, João Palhinha, Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala, Kingsley Coman
  • Forward: Harry Kane

Kane’s forward play, combined with Jamal Musiala’s creativity and Kingsley Coman’s pace on the flanks, will be essential for breaking down Benfica’s robust defence.

In addition, Alphonso Davies’ marauding runs from the left-back position will be crucial in creating overloads on the wings and stretching Benfica’s backline.

Keep an eye on the midfield battle where Joshua Kimmich’s intelligent positioning and passing could dominate against Benfica’s Florentino Luís. This clash promises plenty of individual duels that could tip the balance of the match.

Bayern Munich Suspensions & Injuries

Bayern Munich have a few injury concerns coming into this match, which could affect their squad depth:

Player Injury Expected return
Hiroki Ito Metatarsal fracture Late November 2024
Josip Stanišić Knee injury Mid December 2024
Sacha Boey Meniscus injury Mid November 2024
Aleksandar Pavlović Broken collarbone Mid December 2024

Bayern Munich Tactics and Formation

Bayern Munich Tactical Breakdown:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Harry Kane
  • Midfield Trio: Joshua Kimmich, Joao Palhinha, Jamal Musiala
  • Defensive Strength: Four clean sheets in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: High possession and swift counter-attacks.

Bayern Munich, under Vincent Kompany, have favored a dynamic 4-2-3-1 formation. With Harry Kane as the primary goal threat, supported by Jamal Musiala’s creativity, opponents often struggle to contain their fluid attacks.

Kimmich and Palhinha act as the defensive pivot, shielding a solid backline led by Upamecano and Min-Jae Kim. The full-backs, Raphael Guerreiro and Alphonso Davies, add width and speed, offering additional outlets for their potent forward line.

Benfica Team Analysis

Benfica have been in excellent form of late, securing wins in four of their last five matches. Their only hiccup came against Feyenoord in a 1-3 defeat, but they bounced back bly with consecutive wins. Their scoring ability has been a standout feature, with an average of 2.60 goals scored per game in their recent matches. Additionally, they have also managed to keep three clean sheets, showcasing a solid defensive unit.

Home team Away team Result
Farense Benfica 1-2 (Win)
Benfica Santa Clara 3-0 (Win)
Benfica Rio Ave 5-0 (Win)
Benfica Feyenoord 1-3 (Loss)
Pevidem SC Benfica 0-2 (Win)

Benfica Key Players

Benfica’s squad boasts some exciting talent, with key players expected to make an impact against Bayern Munich. Leading the forward line is Vangelis Pavlidis, known for his sharp instincts in front of goal. Supporting him, Kerem Akturkoglu has been prolific, netting 3 goals in the tournament so far. The midfield trio of Angel Di Maria, Orkun Kökcü, and Florentino Luís are vital cogs in Benfica’s engine room. Di Maria’s experience and creativity will be crucial in unlocking Bayern’s defence. The defensive line, marshalled by Nicolas Otamendi, aims to curb Bayern’s attacking prowess.

Expected lineup for Benfica:

  • Goalkeeper: Anatolii Trubin
  • Defenders: Alexander Bah, Tomas Araujo, Nicolas Otamendi, Alvaro Fernández Carreras
  • Midfielders: Fredrik Aursnes, Florentino Luís, Angel Di Maria, Orkun Kökcü, Kerem Akturkoglu
  • Forward: Vangelis Pavlidis

Benfica Suspensions & Injuries

Benfica heads into their match against Bayern Munich with a few concerns on the injury front, which could impact their ability to field their best lineup. Notably, there are no suspensions, allowing them to select from their full quota in that regard.

Injuries will pose a challenge for Bruno Lage’s side:

Player Injury Expected return
Tiago Gouveia Shoulder injury Doubtful
Gianluca Prestianni Ankle injury Late November 2024
Leandro Barreiro Thigh injury Mid November 2024

These absences could force Benfica to adjust their game plan, especially in midfield where Barreiro’s absence might be felt the most. The defensive unit will have to be particularly vigilant without Gouveia, adding to the challenge of containing Bayern’s potent attack led by Harry Kane.

Benfica Tactics and Formation

Benfica Tactics and Formation:

  • Formation: 4-2-3-1
  • Key Forward: Vangelis Pavlidis
  • Midfield Trio: Fredrik Aursnes, Florentino Luís, and Orkun Kökcü
  • Defensive Strength: Three clean sheets in the last five games.
  • Notable Strategy: Utilize pace on the wings with Ángel Di María and Kerem Aktürkoğlu to stretch Bayern’s defense.

Benfica under Bruno Lage has shown a preference for a balanced 4-2-3-1 formation. Florentino Luís and Fredrik Aursnes provide stability in defensive midfield roles, protecting a backline marshaled by Nicolas Otamendi. Their wingers, Di María and Aktürkoğlu, are vital in creating chances, particularly given Pavlidis’s ability to find space in the box. To counter Bayern’s intense pressing, Benfica aims to exploit quick counters and wing play.

Bayern Munich vs Benfica Head-to-Head Statistics

The last five meetings between Bayern Munich and Benfica have been dominated by the German club. Bayern Munich has an impressive winning record, showcasing their superiority in previous encounters.

Home Away Result
Bayern Munich Benfica 5-2
Benfica Bayern Munich 0-4
Bayern Munich Benfica 5-1
Benfica Bayern Munich 0-2
Benfica Bayern Munich 2-2

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