RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich Recent Form
The 1-0 win against Arminia Bielefeld before the international break was the seventh in eight league matches for RB Leipzig. They’ve lost just three matches this campaign. Bayern have lost just as many during the season but have won their last four straight games.
RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich Recent Matchups
The score was 3-3 when these two sides met at the Allianz Arena back in December. That continued an ongoing trend in this fixture. Each of the last four Bundesliga meetings between RB Leipzig and Bayern Munich finished all square.
RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich Stats & Analysis
This is a test for Bayern Munich. Hansi Flick’s men come into this fixture with an incredible track record of scoring goals. They’ve found the net at least once in each of their last 61 competitive matches in all competitions. The last team to shut them out was RB Leipzig back in February 2020.
But they face the best defence in the Bundesliga. No side in Germany’s top flight has conceded fewer goals than RB Leipzig. Julian Nagelsmann’s men have let in just 21 goals in 26 league games this campaign. They’ve kept clean sheets in 13 of them, that’s more than twice as many as Bayern Munich.
Hansi Flick’s men have instead had to out score their opponents. The result is that they have set a Bundesliga record for the most goals after 26 matchdays. The four they scored against Stuttgart last time out made it 78 goals for them this campaign. That’s the most of any side at this stage of the season.
RB Leipzig v Bayern Munich Bets
Bayern are the slight favourites to win this one. They are available at 2.31 to secure three vital points in their push for yet another Bundesliga title. RB Leipzig are just behind at 3.05 to win and the draw is out at 4.15. That seems like a high-value bet. The bookies have an implied probability of a draw at just 24.1%. That seems low considering that each of the last four Bundesliga meetings between the two clubs have finished all square.
We may well see some goals here. Both sides to score is just 1.47 so the bookies clearly expect as much. On the inverse, both teams to not score is out at 3.00. That represents good value considering that Leipzig were the last side to shut Bayern out.
Robert Lewandowski is enjoying an excellent season. He’s already set a personal best for a domestic campaign with 35 goals to his name but could set a league record here. A goal in this match would make him the first player in Bundesliga history to score against all 17 opposition sides in the same season. He’s just 1.77 to score at any time.