Boca Juniors vs. Belgrano Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 18 October 2025

Boca Juniors, currently sitting in 9th place with 17 points, will clash with the 16th-placed Belgrano, who have accumulated 15 points, in this Liga Profesional Round 13 encounter. Scheduled for the 18th of October 2025 at 22:00, this match promises excitement given both teams’ recent form.

Despite Boca Juniors being the bookmakers’ favorites with odds of 1.71, Belgrano’s solid form, unbeaten in their last five matches, should not be underestimated. Boca Juniors, despite their recent loss to Defensa y Justicia, have an impressive home record and have scored in their last eight matches.

The recommended bet is a double chance on Belgrano, reflecting their resilience in recent fixtures. Boca Juniors will need to be cautious, especially with key players like Alan Velasco injured. Meanwhile, Belgrano will rely on top scorer Franco Jara and a solid defensive setup to press an advantage.

Boca Juniors vs Belgrano Prediction & Betting Tip

Boca Juniors vs Belgrano Prediction
Betting tip
Belgrano (+1) (EH)

• Belgrano is in good form, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, showcasing resilience and consistency.
• Despite being the bookmakers’ favorites, Boca Juniors recently experienced a loss and have key players like Alan Velasco injured, which could impact their performance.
• Double chance value: Given Boca Juniors’ recent form and Belgrano’s solid defense (with two clean sheets in the last five games), a bet on Belgrano offers great value with odds of 2.22.

With the match tipped to be quite competitive, betting on Belgrano (+1) provides a cushion against Boca Juniors’ fluctuating form, reflecting the recent trends and overall tournament performances.

Boca Juniors vs Belgrano Odds

The bookmakers have positioned Boca Juniors as the favorites for the upcoming clash against Belgrano. With odds reflecting their overall standing and home advantage, it’s clear why.

Boca Juniors vs Belgrano Betting Odds
Bet	Odds
Boca Juniors	1.71
Draw	3.21
Belgrano	5.67

Despite Boca Juniors being the favorites at 1.71, the odds of a draw or a win for Belgrano shouldn’t be dismissed, especially considering Belgrano’s recent unbeaten streak and Boca Juniors’ key injuries. A bet on Belgrano, particularly with the handicap, offers enticing value as they have shown strong performances in their latest matches.

Boca Juniors Team Analysis

Boca Juniors Recent Performance

Boca Juniors’ recent form has been a bit of a mixed bag, marked by the following results:

• Boca Juniors 5 – 0 Newell’s Old Boys (W)
• Defensa y Justicia 2 – 1 Boca Juniors (L)
• Boca Juniors 2 – 2 Central Cordoba (D)
• Rosario Central 1 – 1 Boca Juniors (D)
• Aldosivi 0 – 2 Boca Juniors (W)

Analysis

Recent form: WDDLW
Despite the fluctuation in their results, Boca Juniors have managed to find the back of the net consistently, averaging 2.20 goals in their last five matches. They also secured two clean sheets during this period, illustrating a balanced defensive and attacking approach.

They will, however, miss key player Alan Velasco due to a knee injury, which might impact their overall play. But with the home advantage and a lineup featuring key players like Milton Gimenez, who is also their top scorer, Boca Juniors look poised to put in a strong performance against Belgrano.

The team will need to capitalize on their scoring power, particularly in the final minutes, as they’ve registered most of their goals between the 76th and 90th minute this season.

Boca Juniors Key Players

For Boca Juniors, key players like Milton Gimenez, their current top scorer with 3 goals this season, will be crucial in breaking down Belgrano’s defense. Paired with Miguel Merentiel in attack, Gimenez will look to exploit any defensive lapses.

In midfield, Rodrigo Battaglia and Leandro Paredes are expected to orchestrate play, providing both defensive stability and offensive creativity. The team’s ability to create chances will heavily rely on their performance.

The expected lineup for Boca Juniors:

• Goalkeeper: Agustin Marchesin
• Defenders: Juan Barinaga, Lautaro Di Lollo, Ayrton Costa, Lautaro Blanco
• Midfielders: Brian Aguirre, Rodrigo Battaglia, Leandro Paredes, Carlos Palacios
• Forwards: Milton Gimenez, Miguel Merentiel

Expect individual battles between Gimenez and Belgrano’s defenders like Lisandro Lopez, who will play a key role in neutralizing Boca Juniors’ attacking threat.

Boca Juniors Suspensions & Injuries

Boca Juniors will be navigating this match without some key players, which could significantly impact their performance against Belgrano.

• Alan Velasco is out with a knee injury, and his influential playmaking will be sorely missed in the midfield. His potential return is slated for late November 2025.
• Édinson Cavani is doubtful due to a muscle injury, adding to Boca Juniors’ attacking woes.
• Milton Delgado is currently serving a suspension due to national team duty, further depleting Boca’s lineup.

These absences are critical, especially Velasco’s, as he plays a pivotal role in their attacking transitions and overall game plan. Boca Juniors will need to adapt quickly and rely on their available players to fill these gaps effectively, which might challenge their depth and tactical flexibility.

Boca Juniors Tactics and Formation

Boca Juniors will likely stick to their favored 4-4-2 formation for this clash against Belgrano.
Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forwards: Milton Gimenez and Miguel Merentiel
• Midfield Structure: Brian Aguirre and Carlos Palacios handling the flanks, with Rodrigo Battaglia and Leandro Paredes controlling the central midfield.
• Defensive Stability: With two clean sheets in their last five games, the defensive quartet of Juan Barinaga, Lautaro Di Lollo, Ayrton Costa, and Lautaro Blanco will need to be solid.
• Notable Strategy: Boca’s ability to find the net late in games, especially in the 76-90 minute interval, underscores their persistent offensive thrust and potential to capitalize on tiring defenses.

Their game plan will focus on leveraging strong defensive foundations while looking to exploit scoring opportunities late in the match.

Belgrano Team Analysis

Belgrano Recent Performance

Belgrano has shown impressive resilience in their recent fixtures, maintaining an unbeaten streak with the following results:

• Belgrano 1 – 1 Estudiantes (D)
• Talleres 0 – 0 Belgrano (D)
• Barracas Central 1 – 1 Belgrano (D)
• Belgrano 3 – 0 Newell’s Old Boys (W)
• Newell’s Old Boys 1 – 3 Belgrano (W)

Analysis

Recent form: WWDDD
Belgrano has averaged 1.60 goals per match in their last five games while maintaining two clean sheets. Their defensive solidity, marked by an average of just 1.1 goals conceded per game this season, showcases their tactical discipline.

Belgrano’s recent consistency, coupled with a balanced attack and defense, highlights their potential to challenge Boca Juniors. Their ability to score most goals in the 46-60 minute interval could catch Boca off-guard, especially with Boca’s penchant for late-game scoring.

Belgrano Key Players

Belgrano will rely on the skills of key players such as Franco Jara, their joint top scorer with 3 goals this season. Jara’s ability to find the net will be crucial as they face Boca Juniors’ defense.

Another crucial contributor is Nicolas Fernandez, who has netted 10 goals in the tournament so far, making him a significant threat upfront. Fernandez’s goal-scoring prowess could pose a serious challenge to Boca Juniors’ backline.

In the midfield, Francisco Gonzalez Metilli and Lucas Zelarayan will play pivotal roles. Their creativity and ball-handling skills could help exploit any gaps in Boca Juniors’ defense.

The expected lineup for Belgrano:

• Goalkeeper: Thiago Cardozo
• Defenders: Gabriel Compagnucci, Lisandro Lopez, Leonardo Morales, Tobias Ostchega
• Midfielders: Ulises Sanchez, Francisco Gonzalez Metilli, Lucas Zelarayan, Julian Mavilla
• Forwards: Franco Jara, Nicolas Fernandez

Key individual battles include the matchup between Fernandez and Boca’s defensive duo of Lautaro Di Lollo and Ayrton Costa.

Belgrano Suspensions & Injuries

Belgrano heads into their clash with Boca Juniors facing several injury concerns that could impact their squad depth and tactical approach.

• Federico Ricca is sidelined with a thigh injury, expected to return in late October 2025.
• Alexis Maldonado and Elias Lopez are also out with thigh and hamstring injuries respectively, both eyeing returns in early November 2025.
• Adrian Sporle and Santiago Longo are nursing hamstring and knee injuries, with potential returns around early November 2025.
• Lucas Menossi is currently suspended due to an accumulation of yellow/red cards, missing critical midfield coverage.

These absences mean coach Ricardo Zielinski will need to rely on the resilience and adaptability of the remaining squad members to maintain their unbeaten streak against a formidable Boca Juniors side. The team will have to adjust their defensive and midfield strategies to compensate for the missing players.

Belgrano Tactics and Formation

Belgrano is likely to continue with their favored 3-4-1-2 formation, which has served them well in recent fixtures.
Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-1-2
• Key Forwards: Franco Jara and Nicolas Fernandez
• Midfield Configuration: Ulises Sanchez and Julian Mavilla on the flanks, with Francisco Gonzalez Metilli and Lucas Zelarayan centralizing their play.
• Defensive Resilience: With defenders like Lisandro Lopez and Leonardo Morales, Belgrano has managed to secure two clean sheets in their last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Belgrano tends to be most dangerous in the 46-60 minute interval, a period where they have scored numerous critical goals this season.

Their game plan often revolves around solid defensive organization, quick transitions, and effective use of wide play to stretch opposition defenses, looking to capitalize on Boca Juniors’ recent vulnerabilities and injured key players.

Boca Juniors vs Belgrano Head-to-Head Statistics

The history between Boca Juniors and Belgrano shows a series of competitive and closely fought matches. Here’s a look at their last five encounters:

• Belgrano 1 – 3 Boca Juniors (2025-04-12 Apertura)
• Belgrano 2 – 0 Boca Juniors (2024-09-28 Liga Profesional)
• Boca Juniors 3 – 2 Belgrano (2024-03-03 Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• Belgrano 4 – 3 Boca Juniors (2023-10-10 Copa de la Liga Profesional)
• Boca Juniors 2 – 0 Belgrano (2023-05-14 Liga Profesional)

Analysis

In their last five meetings, both teams have secured wins, making it clear that this fixture is often unpredictable. Boca Juniors have a slight edge with 3 wins, while Belgrano claimed 2 victories. Notably, both teams have managed to score goals in these encounters, indicating a trend of high-scoring matches.

Belgrano’s most recent victory against Boca Juniors in September 2024 suggests they have the capability to upset the odds, especially considering Boca’s injury concerns and recent mixed form. This historical context sets the stage for another potentially thrilling encounter.

Odds accurate as of 16/10/2025 22:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.