Under 3.75 goals
Logan Lightning went six times over and four times under 3.5 goals, with an average of 4.2 goals per game. Capalaba went eight times over and four times under 3.5 goals with 4.3 goals per game. These teams have problems scoring, and I expect to see two or three goals max.
Logan Lightning have been inconsistent lately, winning three and losing three in the past six matches. At home, they have been much better, but they haven't been fantastic offensively, especially in recent games. Also, defensively, they are doing a solid job at their stadium, as they had two clean sheets in four matches.
Capalaba have been absolutely terrible, and as the season progresses, they are only looking worse and worse. They have been absolutely terrible away from home, scoring only one goal in the last four matches - 0.25 per game. So, I do not expect them to score against Logan Lighting either. If they fail to score, I think we will easily win this bet because Logan are unable to score over two goals, in my opinion.
In the last three h2h games, these teams went under 3.5 goals twice - 67%.
Max stake 10 on under 3.75 goals at 1.97 odds.