Chelsea vs Real Madrid Tips & Predictions

Chelsea v Real Madrid Recent Form

Chelsea have lost just once in Europe this season. The 1-1 draw with Real in the first leg was the fourth time they’ve failed to win in this season’s Champions League. Real’s record is a little sketchier. They’ve drawn two consecutive matches but won the four before then.

Chelsea v Real Madrid Recent Matchups

Last Tuesday’s meeting was just the fourth match between the two clubs in official UEFA matches. Chelsea took an early lead through Christian Pulisic but Real Madrid hit back within 15 minutes. Karim Benzema’s well-taken goal secured the 1-1 draw.

Chelsea v Real Madrid Stats & Analysis

This match will surely be settled by the tightest margin. Chelsea’s games have usually gone that way since manager Thomas Tuchel was appointed in January. There has been an average of just 1.6 total match goals in Chelsea’s five Champions League matches that Tuchel has managed.

The first leg continued a long-standing record. Chelsea remain one of just five European club sides that Real Madrid have played in a competitive match and haven’t beaten. The others – Arsenal, Ipswich, Aberdeen and CD Toledo will keep their records intact for at least a little while longer.

But the Blues will be quietly confident about their chances in this tie. The away goal could make all the difference as Chelsea know they only need to keep a clean sheet to secure a place in the UEFA Champions League final. They’re quite adept at that after having kept clean sheets in nine of their 11 home matches under manager Thomas Tuchel.

Madrid will be wary. They’ve struggled on the road in this competition this season. Los Blancos have won just two of their last six Champions League away matches which is their worst run of form for five years. They also have a pretty poor record in England. They haven’t won away at an English side in this competition since 2014, losing two and drawing the other two.

Chelsea v Real Madrid Bets

So it’s no surprise to see that the hosts are the favourites. Chelsea are available at 2.32 to win the match on the night and to secure their place in the Champions League final. It’s 3.40 for the draw and 3.45 for Real Madrid to win the win that would book their place in the Istanbul final. It’s just 6.75 for the 1-1 draw that would trigger extra time in this tie.

We shouldn’t expect a high-scoring match here. The Blues don’t concede or score too many goals under manager Thomas Tuchel. That average figure of 1.6 total match goals under him is proof of that. Under 2.5 total match goals here is unsurprisingly low at 1.69 but under 1.5 looks better value at 3.05.

The Blues know that a shutout will secure their place in the final. They’ve kept nine clean sheets in their first 11 home matches under Thomas Tuchel. It’s 3.75 for Chelsea to win to nil which has some value.

Christian Pulisic was one of the best players on the pitch in the first leg. The American international is 7.25 to score the first goal of a match that probably won’t have too many others.