Leon vs. Club Universidad Nacional Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 26 October 2025

The upcoming Liga MX clash between Leon and Club Universidad Nacional on 26 October 2025 promises to be a pivotal encounter for both teams. Held at the Estadio Nou Camp, the match sees Leon, currently 16th in the standings with 12 points, taking on 12th-placed Club Universidad Nacional, who have 14 points. Both teams have struggled recently, but this match offers a crucial opportunity for redemption.

Leon have had a challenging season, with no clean sheets in their last five games and an average of 0.80 goals per game. Their top scorer, Ismael Diaz, has netted five goals, and he will be crucial for Leon’s attack. However, injuries could weaken their performance, giving an edge to the visitors.

Club Universidad Nacional, despite their own struggles, have a strong head-to-head record against Leon, winning four of their last five encounters. With key players like their top scorer Guillermo Martinez sidelined, the team will rely on the experience of goalkeeper Keylor Navas and midfielder Adalberto Carrasquilla to navigate this test.

Given the dynamics at play, our recommended bet is Pumas UNAM Draw No Bet. Their consistent record against Leon and the home side’s recent vulnerabilities make this a valuable pick.

Leon vs Club Universidad Nacional Prediction & Betting Tip

This is why the ‘Pumas UNAM Draw No Bet’ is a solid betting tip:

• Head-to-Head Dominance: Pumas UNAM have had the upper hand against Leon, with four wins and a draw in their last five meetings, including a comprehensive 4-1 win in their latest encounter.
• Leon’s Vulnerable Form: Leon have struggled, managing just one win in their last five games. Their recent home form has also been shaky, affecting their confidence and performance.
• Injury Concerns: Leon are likely to miss key players like Rigoni, Moreno, and Blanco, which could weaken their overall stability, both offensively and defensively.

The odds of 2.10 offer good value, balancing risk with the potential for a positive outcome in favour of Pumas.

Leon vs Club Universidad Nacional Odds

The betting odds for the Liga MX clash between Leon and Club Universidad Nacional suggest a relatively balanced game. With Leon slightly favoured at 2.44 to win, the bookies give a nod towards the home side, despite their recent struggles. A draw is priced at 3.35, indicating the possibility of a tight contest. Club Universidad Nacional, however, are not far off with odds of 2.64.

These odds reflect the close nature of the match, given both teams’ recent form. While Leon’s home form has been patchy, their odds suggest they still have a chance to turn things around. Meanwhile, Club Universidad Nacional’s stronger head-to-head record might offer value for those looking to back the away side.

Leon Team Analysis

Leon Recent Performance D L L L L

Leon’s recent form has been worrying, with no wins in their last five matches. They hold a record of D L L L L in their past five games, indicating a run of three consecutive losses following two draws. Their last encounter saw them defeated 2-0 by Atlas, further highlighting their struggles.

In these matches, Leon have managed to score an average of just 0.80 goals per game and have not kept a single clean sheet. Their defensive frailties and lack of clinical edge upfront are notable concerns.

With only 12 points and standing in the 16th position, Leon need to bolster their form if they want to climb up the Liga MX rankings. Their next face-off against Club Universidad Nacional is a crucial opportunity to regain momentum.

Leon Key Players

Leon will heavily rely on their standout performers to turn their fortunes around. Ismael Diaz, the team’s top scorer with 5 goals, is expected to be a pivotal player upfront. His ability to find the net could be the deciding factor in breaking down Club Universidad Nacional’s defence.

In midfield, James Rodriguez brings a wealth of experience and creativity, and he will need to pull the strings to provide scoring opportunities. Fernando Beltran is another key figure, tasked with controlling the tempo of the game and offering defensive solidity.

Expected lineup for Leon:

• Goalkeeper: Oscar Garcia
• Defenders: Paul Bellon, Jaine Barreiro, Rodrigo Echeverria, Salvador Reyes
• Midfielders: Jordi Cortizo, Fernando Beltran, James Rodriguez, Ivan Moreno, Jose Alvarado
• Forward: Rogelio Funes Mori

Key individual battles include Rogelio Funes Mori against Pumas’ solid centre-back Nathan Silva, a duel that could be crucial in determining the match’s outcome.

Leon Suspensions & Injuries

Leon have a major injury concern with Daniel Arcila, who is carrying a knock injury, making his participation in the match doubtful. Arcila’s potential absence could impact Leon’s defensive stability, an area where they have already been struggling, as evidenced by their lack of clean sheets in their last five games.

Fortunately, Leon do not have any suspended players for this match. However, even without suspensions, navigating the injury challenges while trying to improve their standings could be a significant task for Eduardo Berizzo and his squad.

The match against Club Universidad Nacional is pivotal, and Leon will need to compensate for any gaps left by absent players to climb up the Liga MX rankings.

Leon Tactics and Formation

Leon Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-2-3-1
• Key Forward: Rogelio Funes Mori
• Midfield Creators: James Rodriguez, Ivan Moreno, Jose Alvarado
• Defensive Setup: Paul Bellon, Jaine Barreiro, Rodrigo Echeverria, Salvador Reyes
• Goalkeeper: Oscar Damián García

Leon have been steadfast with their 4-2-3-1 formation in recent matches. This formation relies heavily on the lone striker, Rogelio Funes Mori, to lead the attack and convert chances created by the trio of attacking midfielders.

James Rodriguez is pivotal in the attacking midfield role, providing creativity and vision to unlock defenses. The defensive midfielders, Jordi Cortizo and Fernando Beltran, are vital in shielding the back four and initiating counter-attacks.

Despite their tactical setup, Leon’s recent performance has been less than ideal, with no clean sheets and only an average of 0.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches. They will need a disciplined defensive performance and better finishing to turn things around against Club Universidad Nacional.

Club Universidad Nacional Team Analysis

Club Universidad Nacional Recent Performance L L L D L

Club Universidad Nacional’s recent form has been patchy, managing just one draw and suffering four defeats in their last five matches, giving them a form record of L L L D L. In their previous game, they faced a narrow 1-0 loss to Atletico de San Luis, highlighting their current struggles.

In these matches, they have managed an average of only 0.80 goals per game, similar to Leon, and also have not kept any clean sheets. Their defensive stability has been a concern, compounded by an inability to regularly find the back of the net.

Despite these challenges, Club Universidad Nacional holds a slight advantage over Leon in the rankings with 14 points and stands in 12th place. Their next match presents an opportunity to halt their slide and gain some much-needed momentum.

Club Universidad Nacional Key Players

Club Universidad Nacional will depend on their key players to navigate this crucial fixture. Guillermo Martinez is their top scorer with 4 goals, and even though he is sidelined with an injury, the team will need to find alternative sources of goals.

Midfielder Adalberto Carrasquilla’s experience and tenacity will be vital in controlling the game’s tempo and breaking down Leon’s attacks. Goalkeeper Keylor Navas, with his wealth of experience, will be essential in organizing the defense and keeping Leon’s offense at bay.

Expected lineup for Club Universidad Nacional:

• Goalkeeper: Keylor Navas
• Defenders: Pablo Bennevendo, Nathan Silva, Alvaro Angulo, Ruben Duarte, Jose Caicedo
• Midfielders: Alan Medina, Santiago Trigos, Adalberto Carrasquilla, Jorge Ruvalcaba
• Forward: Santiago Lopez

A key individual battle will be Santiago Lopez taking on Leon’s central defenders, Jaine Barreiro and Rodrigo Echeverria. This duel could prove crucial in determining the match outcome.

Club Universidad Nacional Suspensions & Injuries

Club Universidad Nacional face notable injury concerns ahead of their clash against Leon. Guillermo Martinez Ayala, their top scorer with 4 goals, is sidelined with a foot injury and is not expected to return until early January 2026. This is a significant blow to the team as they look to find alternative goal-scoring options. Additionally, Aaron Ramsey is dealing with physical discomfort and is expected to return in about a week, making him unavailable for this match.

The absence of these key players could impact the team’s performance, particularly in the attacking third, where Guillermo Martinez’s absence will be felt the most. However, there are no suspensions reported, so the rest of the squad will need to step up to fill the void and maintain their competitive edge against Leon.

Club Universidad Nacional Tactics and Formation

Club Universidad Nacional Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 5-4-1
• Key Forward: Santiago Lopez
• Midfield Trio: Adalberto Carrasquilla, Santiago Trigos, Alan Medina
• Defensive Setup: Pablo Bennevendo, Nathan Silva, Alvaro Angulo, Ruben Duarte, Jose Caicedo
• Goalkeeper: Keylor Navas

Club Universidad Nacional have opted for a solid 5-4-1 formation recently, emphasizing their defensive solidity while relying on counter-attacks. This setup allows them to be compact at the back with five defenders, providing robust coverage and making it difficult for opponents to break through.

Santiago Lopez will spearhead the attack, supported by the midfield quartet’s dynamism. Adalberto Carrasquilla will play a crucial role in linking up play between the defence and attack, while Alan Medina will likely focus on exploiting any space available on the flanks.

Despite the absence of their top scorer Guillermo Martinez, the team’s defensive strength and ability to score late goals (particularly in the 76-90 minute interval) make them a challenging opponent.

Leon vs Club Universidad Nacional Head-to-Head Statistics

Leon and Club Universidad Nacional have a well-documented history of encounters, and their last five meetings reflect the dominance of Club Universidad Nacional. Leon last faced off against Club Universidad Nacional on 31 March 2025, where Leon were narrowly defeated 2-1. This continues a trend, as Club Universidad Nacional have won four of the last five fixtures between the teams.

Here’s a breakdown of the last five head-to-head matches:

• 2025-03-31: Leon 1-2 Club Universidad Nacional
• 2024-07-07: Club Universidad Nacional 4-1 Leon
• 2024-04-15: Club Universidad Nacional 1-0 Leon
• 2023-11-01: Leon 1-1 Club Universidad Nacional
• 2023-01-22: Club Universidad Nacional 4-1 Leon

The comprehensive victories by Club Universidad Nacional highlight their strategic advantage. Leon will be striving to overcome this history and change their fortunes in the upcoming match.

Odds accurate as of 24 October 2025, 02:01, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.