Tijuana vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Match Preview and Betting Tips, 29 September 2025

This Liga MX clash sees Tijuana hosting league leaders Cruz Azul at Estadio Caliente. Kicking off on 29 September 2025 at 04:05, this match is pivotal as both teams look to secure vital points in Round 11.

Cruz Azul, perched at the top of the standings with 24 points, are the bookmaker favourites with odds of 2.08. Boasting an unbeaten record in their last five games, they come into this match in fine form. Their top scorer Angel Sepulveda has been key, tallying 5 goals this season.

On the other hand, Tijuana sits in 7th place with 16 points. While their recent form shows promise, their previous encounters with Cruz Azul have been less favourable, having lost four of the last five meetings. Nonetheless, their home form remains strong, having not lost in six consecutive home games.

Expect a gripping encounter, but our match prediction leans towards an away win for Cruz Azul, given their superior form and head-to-head record.

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Betting tip

Best Bet Recommendation: Away Win for Cruz Azul

Reasoning:

1. Current Form: Cruz Azul is in excellent form, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches, maintaining an unbeaten streak this season. In contrast, Tijuana has been inconsistent with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.
2. Head-to-Head Dominance: Cruz Azul has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against Tijuana, showcasing a strong historical advantage.
3. Season Performance: Cruz Azul is currently 1st in the standings with 7 wins and 3 draws, while Tijuana is 7th with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses.

Given these factors, an away win for Cruz Azul is the most likely outcome.

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Odds

With bookies favouring Cruz Azul to take this match, it’s clear that their top-of-the-table form is turning heads. Here’s a quick look at the odds for this Liga MX matchup scheduled for 29 September 2025 at Estadio Caliente.

Cruz Azul are backed with 2.08 odds, reflecting their impressive streak and strong position in the league. For those looking at a potential draw, the odds are 3.57, hinting that while unlikely, it’s not entirely off the cards. Tijuana’s odds stand at 3.05, making them the underdogs despite decent home form.

These odds suggest a tight contest but lean towards Cruz Azul’s consistency and higher scoring rate. With Cruz Azul also having a solid defence, the odds show confidence in their ability to clinch another win.

Tijuana Team Analysis

Tijuana Recent Performance

Tijuana’s recent form has had its ups and downs, reflected in their last five matches with results reading: Draw, Win, Draw, Win, and Loss. Sitting in 7th place with 16 points, they have shown a strong attacking presence, averaging 2.40 goals scored in their last five games. However, their inconsistency shows in their recent loss to Santos Laguna, following an impressive 5-0 win against Leon.

In terms of defence, Tijuana has kept 2 clean sheets in their last five matches, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game over the season. Their home form remains formidable, being unbeaten in their last six home games.

This mix of strong offence and shaky defence makes their upcoming match against high-flying Cruz Azul intriguing, especially given their historical difficulties against them.

Tijuana Key Players

Frank Boya has been a standout performer for Tijuana, netting 5 goals this season, making him their top scorer. His presence in the midfield, combined with his knack for goal-scoring, will be crucial against Cruz Azul’s sturdy defence.

Another key player is goalkeeper Antonio Rodriguez, who has contributed to 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games. His performance could be pivotal in keeping Cruz Azul’s attack at bay.

Potential key battles will include Frank Boya against Cruz Azul’s solid defenders like Willer Ditta. Additionally, Tijuana’s defensive setup, featuring players like Jackson Porozo and Jesus Vega, will need to counter the threat posed by Cruz Azul’s top scorer, Angel Sepulveda.

Expected lineup for Tijuana:

• Goalkeeper: Antonio Rodriguez
• Defenders: Rafael Fernandez, Jackson Porozo, Jesus Gomez, Jesus Vega
• Midfielders: Frank Boya, Ivan Tona, Ramiro Arciga, Kevin Castaneda, Adonis Preciado
• Forward: Mourad Daoudi

Tijuana Suspensions & Injuries

Tijuana heads into this crucial clash against Cruz Azul without any reported suspensions or injuries. This clean bill of health allows the head coach to field his strongest possible line-up, something that will be essential against a formidable Cruz Azul side.

The absence of injuries and suspensions is a significant advantage, giving them a full squad to utilize in what promises to be an intense and demanding encounter. This means Tijuana can rely on their key players like top scorer Frank Boya and solid goalkeeper Antonio Rodriguez without any limitations.

Having all their primary options available could be the edge Tijuana needs to balance their strong home form against the league leaders.

Tijuana Tactics and Formation

Tijuana Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 4-4-2
• Key Forward: Mourad Daoudi
• Midfield Trio: Frank Boya, Ivan Tona, Ramiro Arciga
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games.
• Notable Strategy: Strong home performance, being unbeaten in their last six home matches.

Tijuana’s strategy often revolves around a solid 4-4-2 formation. This allows them to be flexible in both attack and defence. Frank Boya, their top scorer with 5 goals, plays a crucial role in the midfield, supporting both defensive and offensive plays. The presence of Mourad Daoudi up front gives them a reliable target man in attack.

With a defense that has managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five games, they will look to maintain this solidity against Cruz Azul. Tijuana’s home form is particularly noteworthy, offering them a psychological edge especially when playing at the Estadio Caliente.

Cruz Azul Team Analysis

Cruz Azul Recent Performance

Cruz Azul’s recent form has been impeccable, winning four of their last five matches and drawing once. This excellent run includes wins against FC Juarez (3-2) and Toluca (1-0), placing them firmly at the top of the Liga MX standings with 24 points.

The team has demonstrated a balanced approach in both attack and defence, averaging 1.80 goals scored and keeping 2 clean sheets in their last five matches. Their ability to score in 9 consecutive matches showcases their offensive prowess, while a sturdy defence has only conceded 5 goals in the same period.

Given their recent performance, Cruz Azul enters this fixture against Tijuana teeming with confidence, looking to maintain their unbeaten streak.

Cruz Azul Key Players

Angel Sepulveda has been a crucial part of Cruz Azul’s attack, leading the team with 5 goals this season. His consistent performances have made him a key figure in their offensive strategy.

Kevin Mier, the goalkeeper, has been a dependable last line of defence, contributing to the team’s 2 clean sheets in the last five games. This stability at the back complements their attacking prowess, making them a balanced and formidable side.

In terms of key battles, keep an eye on Sepulveda versus Tijuana’s stalwart defenders like Jackson Porozo. Additionally, midfielder Carlos Rodriguez against Tijuana’s Frank Boya in the centre of the park will be a pivotal duel.

Expected lineup for Cruz Azul:

• Goalkeeper: Kevin Mier
• Defenders: Jorge Rodarte, Willer Ditta, Gonzalo Piovi
• Midfielders: Ignacio Rivero, Erik Lira, Carlos Rodriguez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Jose Paradela
• Forwards: Gabriel Fernandez

Cruz Azul Suspensions & Injuries

Cruz Azul will be missing influential midfielder Luka Romero due to a red card suspension, with one match left on his ban. This absence could impact their midfield dynamic, forcing the team to adjust its game plan for this match against Tijuana.

Additionally, Andres Montano remains sidelined with a cruciate ligament injury and is expected to return late January 2026. His prolonged absence has not derailed Cruz Azul’s impressive form this season but will be something to consider in squad rotation.

Despite these setbacks, Cruz Azul’s depth should allow them to cope effectively, maintaining their strong performance levels in the upcoming clash.

Cruz Azul Tactics and Formation

Cruz Azul Tactical Breakdown:

• Formation: 3-4-2-1
• Key Forward: Gabriel Fernandez
• Midfield Quartet: Ignacio Rivero, Erik Lira, Carlos Rodriguez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi
• Defensive Strength: Two clean sheets in the last five games
• Notable Strategy: Scoring in 9 consecutive matches in this tournament

Cruz Azul typically employs a 3-4-2-1 formation, providing a solid structure both defensively and offensively. Their midfield, led by Carlos Rodriguez, plays a pivotal role in transitioning play from defence to attack efficiently. The three-man defence, with players like Willer Ditta and Gonzalo Piovi, has proven resilient, keeping two clean sheets in their last five games.

Gabriel Fernandez spearheads the attack, supported by the creative midfield play and the overlapping runs of wing-backs Ignacio Rivero and Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi. Their continuous goal-scoring form, highlighted by scoring in nine consecutive matches, indicates the effectiveness of their attacking tactics.

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head Statistics

In their last five encounters, Cruz Azul has shown dominance over Tijuana, winning four out of five matchups. The latest meeting in February 2025 ended in a 3-2 victory for Cruz Azul, further highlighting their upper hand in this rivalry.

• 2025-02-01: Tijuana 2 – 3 Cruz Azul
• 2024-12-01: Cruz Azul 3 – 0 Tijuana
• 2024-11-28: Tijuana 3 – 0 Cruz Azul
• 2024-07-17: Cruz Azul 3 – 0 Tijuana
• 2024-01-31: Cruz Azul 1 – 0 Tijuana

This record clearly tilts the scale in favour of the league leaders, Cruz Azul. With their consistent form and previous success against Tijuana, they head into this match as the clear favourites. However, Tijuana’s solid home form, being unbeaten in their last six home games, could present a challenge in what promises to be an exciting fixture.

Odds accurate as of 27/09/2025 04:09, and are subject to change. Please always check the odds before placing your bets with any bookmaker.